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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1462597
2030 年干散货航运市场预测:按船舶类型、船舶尺寸、商品、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Dry Bulk Shipping Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vessel Type (Conventional Bulkers, Combined Bulk Carriers, Gearless Bulk Carriers, Self-dischargers, Bulker Lakers and Other Vessel Types), Vessel Size, Commodity, End User and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2023年全球干散货航运市场规模为44.2亿美元,预计到2030年将达到66.8亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为6.1%。
干散货运输运输大量未包装的均质货物,例如煤炭、铁矿石、谷物和水泥。它在全球贸易中发挥重要作用,并支持建筑、製造业和农业等行业。为此,需要使用称为散货船的特殊船舶,其尺寸和设计针对不同类型的货物进行了最佳化。
根据世界钢铁协会2021年报告,预计2024年亚洲钢铁需求将持续成长3-5%,支撑中国、日本和韩国的钢铁出口。
全球经济成长
经济扩张,尤其是发展中地区的经济扩张,增加了对煤炭、铁矿石和谷物等原料的需求,从而需要干散货运输。随着经济成长,对建筑材料和生活必需品的需求增加,对高效航运服务的需求也随之增加。经济成长与驱动因素陆大宗商品需求之间的相关性凸显了全球经济状况在塑造干散货航运业轨迹中所扮演的重要角色。
地缘政治风险
干散装货运的地缘政治风险源自于关键航运地区的领土争端、制裁、海盗和政治不稳定等因素。这些风险可能会扰乱航线、增加保险费并导致货物交付延误或中断。这种不确定性抑制了投资,阻碍了航线规划,并增加了航运公司的营运成本。因此,由于投资者和相关人员认为干散货运输存在高风险,市场成长受到阻碍,导致采取谨慎态度并可能减少贸易量。
加大基础建设计划投资
道路、桥樑和港口等基础设施计划投资的增加,创造了对钢铁、水泥和骨料等原材料的需求,而这些原材料需要散装货船运输。随着各国继续优先发展基础设施以支持经济成长和都市化,干散货航运服务的需求预计将保持强劲,为航运公司提供利用货运量增加的机会。
产品价格波动
干散货运输与需求直接相关。全球供需波动、地缘政治紧张局势、不利天气和经济因素都可能导致价格快速波动。价格急剧下跌降低了盈利和投资兴趣,导致船队扩张和基础设施投资延迟。它还影响长期规划和业务决策,使公司难以有效优化其资源,最终阻碍市场扩张。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19大流行最初扰乱了干散货航运市场,导致全球贸易和工业活动下降,导致商品需求下降。封锁措施、贸易模式波动和港口限制进一步阻碍了航运业务,并带来了物流挑战。但随着经济逐步重新开放和刺激奖励策略的实施,原料需求回升,支撑干散货航运市场的復苏。
预计传统型散装船业在预测期内将是最大的
预计传统型散装货船产业将出现良好成长。传统型散装货船是干散货运输的基石,是设计用于运输未包装散装货物(例如谷物、煤炭、矿石)的船舶。这些船舶通常具有大型货舱,尺寸从灵便型到海岬型。传统散装货船以其在全球海洋运输散装货物方面的多功能性和效率而闻名。它对于促进全球贸易至关重要,并且仍然是航运业的关键组成部分。
预计大宗商品贸易产业在预测期内复合年增长率最高
预计大宗商品交易产业在预测期内将出现最高的复合年增长率。商品贸易商在该领域发挥着重要作用,他们在世界各地买卖需要高效运输物流的商品。分析市场趋势、谈判合约并管理与运输成本和交货日期相关的风险。透过了解供需动态,大宗商品贸易商可以优化运输路线、船舶选择和运价,以确保及时且经济有效地交付货物,透过驱动因素促进全球货物贸易的正常运作。
亚太地区在全球贸易和工业生产中发挥关键作用,是干散货航运市场的重要枢纽。中国、印度、日本和韩国等国家是煤炭、铁矿石、谷物和矿产等商品的主要进出口国。该地区快速的都市化、基础设施发展和工业化推动了对原材料的需求,这需要散装货船的高效运输。儘管如此,亚太地区持续的经济成长和贸易扩张仍继续为干散货航运业带来机会。
预计欧洲在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。德国、荷兰和英国是主要出口国。该地区先进的工业基础和广泛的基础设施推动了对原材料的需求,并需要高效的海上运输。此外,欧洲也出口钢铁和农产品等商品。然而,持续的永续性努力和技术创新正在为欧洲干散货运输市场创造成长机会。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Dry Bulk Shipping Market is accounted for $4.42 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $6.68 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 6.1% during the forecast period. Dry bulk shipping involves the transportation of unpackaged, homogeneous cargo commodities, such as coal, iron ore, grains, and cement, in large quantities. It plays a crucial role in global trade, supporting industries like construction, manufacturing, and agriculture. Specialized vessels called bulk carriers are employed for this purpose, with varying sizes and designs optimized for different types of cargo.
According to World Steel Association 2021 report, steel demand in Asia is expected to continue growing by 3-5% in 2024, supporting steel exports from China, Japan, and Korea.
Global economic growth
Economic expansion, particularly in developing regions, escalates the demand for raw materials like coal, iron ore, and grains, necessitating their transportation via dry bulk shipping. As economies grow, there is a heightened requirement for construction materials and commodities, thereby driving the need for efficient shipping services. The correlation between economic growth and demand for dry bulk commodities underscores the vital role played by global economic conditions in shaping the trajectory of the dry bulk shipping industry.
Geopolitical risks
Geopolitical risks in dry bulk shipping arise from factors such as territorial disputes, sanctions, piracy, and political instability in key shipping regions. These risks can disrupt shipping routes, increase insurance premiums, and lead to delays or interruptions in cargo delivery. Such uncertainties deter investment, hinder route planning, and raise operational costs for shipping companies. Consequently, market growth is hampered as investors and stakeholders perceive higher risks associated with dry bulk shipping, leading to a cautious approach and potentially reduced trade volumes.
Rising investments in infrastructure projects
Rising investments in infrastructure projects, including the construction of roads, bridges, and ports, generate demand for raw materials such as steel, cement, and aggregates, necessitating transportation through bulk carriers. As countries continue to prioritize infrastructure development to support economic growth and urbanization, the demand for dry bulk shipping services is expected to remain robust, presenting opportunities for shipping companies to capitalize on increased freight volumes.
Volatility in commodity prices
Dry bulk shipping has direct correlation with demand. Fluctuations in global supply and demand, geopolitical tensions, weather events, and economic factors can cause rapid price changes. Sudden price drops can reduce profitability and investment incentives, leading to delays in fleet expansions and infrastructure investments. Moreover, it affects long-term planning and operational decisions, making it challenging for companies to optimize their resources efficiently, ultimately hindering market expansion.
Covid-19 Impact
The covid-19 pandemic initially disrupted the dry bulk shipping market, causing a decline in global trade and industrial activity, leading to reduced demand for commodities. Lockdown measures, fluctuating trade patterns and port restrictions further hampered shipping operations, causing logistical challenges. However, as economies gradually reopened and stimulus measures were implemented, demand for raw materials rebounded, supporting a recovery in the dry bulk shipping market.
The conventional bulkers segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The conventional bulkers segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth. Conventional bulkers, a cornerstone of dry bulk shipping, are vessels designed to transport unpackaged bulk cargo such as grains, coal, and ores. These ships typically feature large cargo holds and can range in size from handysize to capesize vessels. Conventional bulkers are known for their versatility and efficiency in transporting bulk commodities across the world's oceans. They remain essential in facilitating global trade and are a vital component of the maritime shipping industry.
The commodity traders segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The commodity traders segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period. Commodity traders play a vital role in this sector by buying and selling these goods globally, necessitating efficient shipping logistics. They analyze market trends, negotiate contracts, and manage risks associated with transportation costs and delivery timelines. By understanding supply and demand dynamics, commodity traders optimize shipping routes, vessel selection, and freight rates to ensure timely and cost-effective delivery of goods, thereby facilitating the smooth functioning of global trade in dry bulk commodities.
The Asia-Pacific region is a vital hub for the dry bulk shipping market due to its significant role in global trade and industrial production. Countries like China, India, Japan, and South Korea are major importers and exporters of commodities like coal, iron ore, grains, and minerals. Rapid urbanization, infrastructure development and industrialization in the region drive demand for raw materials, necessitating efficient transportation via bulk carriers. Nonetheless, ongoing economic growth and trade expansion in the Asia-Pacific region continue to fuel opportunities for the dry bulk shipping industry.
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period. Countries like Germany, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom being major importers and exporters. The region's advanced industrial base and extensive infrastructure drive demand for raw materials, necessitating efficient maritime transportation. Additionally, Europe exports commodities like steel and agricultural products. However, ongoing efforts towards sustainability and technological innovation present opportunities for growth in the European dry bulk shipping market.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Dry Bulk Shipping Market include Golden Ocean Group Limited, COSCO Shipping Corporation Limited, Star Bulk Carriers Corporation, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Safe Bulkers Inc., Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Navios Maritime Holdings Inc., Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, DryShips Inc., Pacific Basin Shipping Limited, Oldendorff Carriers, Diana Shipping Inc., Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc., Thoresen Thai Agencies, U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation and Baltic & International Maritime Council (BIMCO).
In June 2023, Golden Ocean Group (GOGL) announced that it had entered into agreements to acquire 16 modern dry bulk vessels in an all-share transaction valued at $412 million. Growing its fleet enables GOGL to compete more effectively in the dry bulk shipping market, potentially attracting new business and strengthening its relationships with existing customers.
In January 2023, MOL and Mitsui announced that they had acquired an approval in principle (AiP) for a large ammonia-powered bulk carrier. The 210,000-dwt capesize bulker is a joint development between Mitsui OSK Lines (MOL) and Mitsui. MOL and Mitsui have also jointly determined the ship's size and specifications.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.