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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1476365
到 2030 年天然气分散式发电市场预测:按技术、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Distributed Natural Gas Fueled Generation Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Technology (Microturbine, Stationary Fuel Cells, Natural Gas Gensets and Other Technologies), End User (Commercial, Industrial and Other End Users) and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2023年全球天然气分散式发电市场规模为287亿美元,预计预测期内复合年增长率为12.5%,到2030年将达到655亿美元。
天然气分散式发电市场是指透过以天然气为燃料的小型发电厂发电的能源产业部分。这些分散式发电系统通常利用往復式引擎、微型涡轮机或燃料电池将天然气转化为电力。这种分散式发电具有减少输电损耗、提高电网可靠性的优点,因为小型设施安装在靠近最终用户的地方。
人们对气候变迁的担忧日益加剧
随着世界寻求减少温室气体排放,天然气越来越被视为一种过渡燃料,因为它的碳集中低于煤炭和石油。分散式发电在靠近用电量的地方发电,具有许多好处,包括提高效率、减少传输损耗和增强电网弹性。这一趋势是由促进可再生能源整合和脱碳的政策所推动的。此外,天然气的灵活性和可靠性使其成为间歇性再生能源来源的宝贵补充,并确保稳定的能源供应,同时过渡到更永续的能源未来。
竞争压力
竞争压力严重限制了天然气分散式发电市场。随着替代能源在能源领域的激增,天然气发电面临激烈的竞争。太阳能和风能等可再生能源正变得越来越经济高效且环保,从而提高了普及和市场渗透率。因此,天然气分散式发电市场的参与者面临创新、降低成本和提高效率以保持竞争力的压力。
电力需求增加
分散式发电比集中式发电厂更有弹性可靠,特别是在电网容易中断的地区或扩展传统电力基础设施成本高昂的偏远地区。天然气储量丰富且相对便宜,使其成为有吸引力的发电燃料选择。此外,技术的进步使天然气分散式发电机变得更加高效和环保,并且越来越注重永续性。
价格波动
天然气价格根据多种因素波动,包括供需趋势、地缘政治紧张局势、天气模式和监管变化。这种波动为 DNGFG计划的投资者和开发商带来了不确定性,使其难以预测长期盈利和投资收益。价格的高波动可能会阻止潜在投资者参与 DNGFG计划。这是因为投资者担心成本突然增加的风险,这可能导致净利率下降和财务损失。
最初,该行业因供应链挑战、劳动力短缺以及由于封锁和经济不确定性而减少业务而导致需求减少而受到干扰。许多建设计划被推迟或搁置,导致新的天然气发电系统无法安装。然而,随着疫情的发展,可靠的能源基础设施的重要性日益凸显,推动天然气分散式发电解决方案的需求逐渐復苏。
微型涡轮机产业预计将在预测期内成为最大的产业
由于微型涡轮机尺寸紧凑、效率高和多功能性,预计在预测期内将增长最大。这些涡轮机是利用天然气发电的小型发电机,非常适合分散式能源生产。紧凑的设计允许安装在各种环境中,包括住宅、商业和工业。与传统发电系统相比,微型涡轮机具有多种优势,包括降低排放气体、降低维护成本和提高可靠性。
工业领域预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高
预计工业领域在预测期内将经历最高的复合年增长率。工业营业单位越来越多地采用天然气燃料分散式发电系统作为可靠的现场电力解决方案,以满足其能源需求。与传统电网电力相比,这些系统具有成本效益、效率和环境永续性等优势。此外,各行业通常具有较高的能源需求,并且在不同地点运营,这使得分散式发电成为确保不间断供电的有吸引力的选择。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大份额。随着人们对环境永续性和能源来源多样化的需求日益关注,该地区各国政府正在实施支持采用天然气等清洁能源解决方案的法规。这些法规通常包括补贴、税收减免和简化天然气分散式发电工程许可流程等奖励。此外,更严格的排放标准和温室排放减排目标正在促使工业和公共产业从污染更严重的燃料转向天然气等更清洁的替代品。
预计欧洲地区在调控期间将维持盈利成长。随着法规结构鼓励向再生能源来源过渡并努力实现能源安全,分散式发电系统成为人们关注的焦点。这种权力下放允许社区、企业甚至个人家庭投资和管理自己使用天然气的能源生产。此外,微电网解决方案和智慧电錶等技术进步将使天然气发电在当地有效利用和分配。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Distributed Natural Gas Fueled Generation Market is accounted for $28.7 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $65.5 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 12.5% during the forecast period. The Distributed Natural Gas Fueled Generation Market refers to the segment of the energy industry that involves the production of electricity through small-scale power plants fueled by natural gas, which are dispersed across various locations rather than centralized in a single facility. These distributed generation systems typically utilize reciprocating engines, microturbines, or fuel cells to convert natural gas into electricity. This decentralized approach to power generation involves smaller-scale facilities located closer to the end-users, offering benefits such as reduced transmission losses and enhanced grid reliability.
Growing concerns about climate change
As the world seeks to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, natural gas is increasingly viewed as a transitional fuel due to its lower carbon intensity compared to coal and oil. Distributed generation, which involves generating electricity close to where it is consumed, offers numerous benefits including improved efficiency, reduced transmission losses, and increased grid resilience. This trend is bolstered by policies promoting renewable energy integration and decarbonization efforts. Moreover, the flexibility and reliability of natural gas make it a valuable complement to intermittent renewable energy sources, ensuring a stable energy supply while transitioning to a more sustainable energy future.
Competitive pressures
Competitive pressures are significantly constraining the Distributed Natural Gas Fueled Generation Market. With the energy sector witnessing a surge in alternative energy sources, natural gas-fueled generation faces stiff competition. Renewable energy options like solar and wind power are becoming increasingly cost-effective and environmentally friendly, leading to greater adoption and market penetration. As a result, players in the distributed natural gas-fueled generation market are under pressure to innovate, reduce costs and enhance efficiency to stay competitive.
Increasing demand for electricity
Distributed generation offers greater flexibility and reliability compared to centralized power plants, particularly in areas prone to grid disruptions or remote regions where extending traditional power infrastructure is cost-prohibitive. Natural gas is abundant and relatively inexpensive, making it an attractive fuel option for generating electricity. Furthermore, advancements in technology have made distributed natural gas-fueled generators more efficient and environmentally friendly, aligning with the increasing emphasis on sustainability.
Price volatility
Natural gas prices are subject to fluctuations influenced by various factors such as supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, weather patterns, and regulatory changes. This volatility introduces uncertainty for investors and developers in DNGFG projects, making it challenging to predict long-term profitability and return on investment. High price volatility can deter potential investors from committing to DNGFG projects, as they may fear the risk of sudden cost increases that could erode margins or lead to financial losses.
Initially, the industry experienced disruptions due to supply chain challenges, workforce shortages, and reduced demand as businesses scaled back operations amid lockdowns and economic uncertainty. Many construction projects were delayed or put on hold, hindering the installation of new natural gas-powered generation systems. However, as the pandemic progressed, the importance of reliable energy infrastructure became evident, driving a gradual recovery in demand for distributed natural gas-fueled generation solutions.
The Microturbine segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
Microturbine segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period due to its compact size, high efficiency, and versatility. These turbines are small-scale power generators that utilize natural gas to produce electricity, making them ideal for decentralized energy production. Their compact design allows for installation in various settings, including residential, commercial, and industrial applications. Microturbines offer several advantages over traditional power generation systems, such as lower emissions, reduced maintenance costs, and increased reliability.
The Industrial segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Industrial segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period. Industrial entities are increasingly adopting distributed natural gas-fueled generation systems as reliable on-site power solutions to meet their energy demands. These systems offer advantages such as cost-effectiveness, efficiency, and environmental sustainability compared to traditional grid electricity. Moreover, industries often have high energy requirements and operate in diverse locations, making distributed generation an attractive option for ensuring uninterrupted power supply.
Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest share over the extrapolated period. With growing concerns about environmental sustainability and the need to diversify energy sources, governments across the region are implementing regulations favoring the adoption of cleaner energy solutions like natural gas. These regulations often include incentives such as subsidies, tax breaks, and streamlined permitting processes for distributed natural gas fueled generation projects. Additionally, stringent emissions standards and targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions are pushing industries and utilities to transition away from more polluting fuels towards cleaner alternatives like natural gas.
Europe region is projected to hold profitable growth during the domination period. As regulatory frameworks encourage the shift towards renewable energy sources and strive for energy security, decentralized power generation systems are gaining prominence. This decentralization empowers local communities, businesses, and even individual households to invest in and manage their own energy production using natural gas. Furthermore, advancements in technology, such as microgrid solutions and smart meters, enable efficient utilization and distribution of natural gas-generated power at a local level.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Distributed Natural Gas Fueled Generation market include ABB Group, Bloom Energy Corporation, Caterpillar Inc, Cummins, Inc, Doosan Corporation, FuelCell Energy, Inc, General Electric, JFE Holdings, Inc, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd, MAN Energy Solutions SE, Mitsubishi Power, Ltd, Plug Power Inc, Redox Power Systems, LLC, Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC and Siemens AG.
In June 2020, With an aim to design and develop fuel cell-powered ships, Bloom Energy BE announced that it has signed a joint development agreement (JDA) with Samsung Heavy Industries (SHI), which is part of Samsung Group. The vision of both companies is to generate clean power for ships and make the marine industry more sustainable.