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2030 年 α-甲基苯乙烯市场预测:按纯度、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Alpha-Methylstyrene Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Purity (Above 99.5% and Between 95% and 99.5%), Application, End User and By Geography |
据Stratistics MRC称,2023年全球α-甲基苯乙烯市场规模为5.706亿美元,预计预测期内复合年增长率为4.8%,到2030年将达到7.922亿美元。
α-甲基苯乙烯 (AMS) 是一种无色液体芳香族化合物,具有独特的气味,主要用作塑胶、树脂和特殊化学品生产中的单体。聚 α-甲基苯乙烯 (PAMS) 透过聚合生产,可用于多种应用,例如黏剂、被覆剂和包装材料。 AMS 具有热稳定性、耐化学性以及与其他单体的相容性,使其在聚合物合成中具有重要价值,并可作为苯乙烯基共聚物和树脂生产的前体。
根据OICA(国际汽车构造组织)的预测,2022年全球汽车产量将达到8,501万辆,较2021年的8,020万辆成长6%。
电子工业的繁荣
电子产业的成长也可能透过电子製造中使用的其他化学品和材料的需求增加而间接影响 AMS 市场。例如,α-甲基苯乙烯用于生产丙烯腈丁二烯苯乙烯(ABS)树脂,该树脂因其高抗衝击性和韧性而用于电子产品。电子产品中 ABS 树脂需求的增加可能会导致 α-甲基苯乙烯需求的增加。此外,製造商需要确保稳定可靠的 AMS 供应,以满足电子製造商的需求,从而导致产能和供应链优化方面的潜在投资。
环境问题和法规
环境法规的快速变化以及对 AMS 环境影响的新担忧可能会为製造商、投资者和客户带来市场不确定性。未来监管要求的不确定性可能会限制对 AMS 产能的投资并抑制长期规划,导致市场波动和不稳定。如果 AMS 的製造流程或产品不符合出口市场的环境标准,可能会导致贸易限制、关税和非关税壁垒,从而阻碍我们进入这些市场或在这些市场竞争的能力。
建筑和包装业的成长
α-甲基苯乙烯用于生产丙烯腈-丁二烯-苯乙烯(ABS)和苯乙烯-丙烯腈(SAN)等树脂,并因其优异的机械性能、抗衝击性和多功能性而在包装应用常用。此外,α-甲基苯乙烯已在黏剂、密封剂和被覆剂等聚合物建筑材料中得到应用,促进了整体需求的成长。在电子商务、食品宅配服务和消费品的推动下,包装产业的扩张正在推动对 AMS 树脂的需求。
原物料价格波动
原料价格的快速波动可能会扰乱α-甲基苯乙烯供应链,导致库存管理挑战、生产延误和供不应求。对不稳定原料市场的依赖可能会使 AMS 製造商面临与供应链中断、地缘政治事件、自然灾害以及其他无法控制的外部因素相关的风险。
COVID-19 的影响
封锁措施和经济放缓减少了工业活动,影响了塑胶、黏剂和被覆剂等行业的 AMS 消费。物流和运输中断阻碍了原材料的供应和产品的分销,影响了市场运作。然而,AMS 在医疗保健和包装等关键产业的应用提供了一定的弹性。随着復苏努力、疫苗分发和经济奖励策略,市场预计将逐渐恢復稳定,但未来需求模式仍有不确定性。
超过 99.5% 的细分市场预计将成为预测期内最大的细分市场
由于纯度高于 99.5% 的 AMS 用于丙烯腈丁二烯苯乙烯 (ABS) 的热稳定剂、塑胶工业溶剂、黏剂和被覆剂,因此99.5% 及以上的细分市场有望实现良好成长。这些产业对高纯度 AMS 的需求不断增长是推动该领域成长的主要因素。高纯度 AMS 也用作塑胶工业、黏剂、被覆剂、蜡和黏合剂的溶剂,以及染料和油漆的增黏剂。
预计电子业在预测期内复合年增长率最高。
电子产业在丙烯腈丁二烯苯乙烯(ABS)树脂的生产中发挥关键作用,预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高。智慧型手机、笔记型电脑和家用电器等消费性电子产品的需求不断增长,增加了对 ABS 树脂的需求,从而推动了对 AMS 的需求。电子产业的深度,加上新兴经济体对消费品需求的激增,代表着市场成长的机会。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。这是因为中国是化学加工中心,占世界化学产品的大部分。俄乌战争后,2022年,化学工业在能源和原物料成本上涨、疫情、经济不确定性和政治动盪等因素的影响下,全球供应链面临进一步瓶颈。根据BASF《化工产业展望》,预计2023年中国化工产量将小幅下降5.9%。然而,从中期来看,新化工厂建设投资的增加正在支持 AMS 的需求。
预计北美在预测期内将出现最高的复合年增长率,因为 AMS 在这些领域的使用不断增加,特别是在 ABS 树脂的生产中,正在促进该行业的成长。此外,政府投资和倡议的增加进一步推动了北美α-甲基苯乙烯市场对 AMS 的需求。 AMS主要用于生产丙烯腈-丁二烯-苯乙烯(ABS)树脂,该树脂在汽车和电子行业中有着广泛的应用。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Alpha-Methylstyrene Market is accounted for $570.6 million in 2023 and is expected to reach $792.2 million by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 4.8% during the forecast period. Alpha-Methylstyrene (AMS) is a colorless liquid aromatic compound with a distinctive odour, primarily used as a monomer in the production of plastics, resins, and specialty chemicals. Its polymerization produces poly-alpha-methylstyrene (PAMS), utilized in various applications including adhesives, coatings, and packaging materials. AMS exhibits thermal stability, chemical resistance, and compatibility with other monomers, making it valuable in polymer synthesis, it serves as a precursor in the manufacture of styrene-based copolymers and resins.
According to the Organization Internationale des Constructeurs d'Automobiles (OICA), global automotive vehicle production reached 85.01 million in 2022, with a growth rate of 6% as compared to 80.20 million vehicles manufactured in 2021, thereby indicating an increased demand for alpha methyl styrene from the automotive industry.
Flourishing electronics industry
The electronics industry's growth can also indirectly impact the AMS market through increased demand for other chemicals and materials used in electronics manufacturing. For instance, Alpha-Methylstyrene is used in the production of acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) resins, which are utilized in electronics for their high impact resistance and toughness. The increased demand for ABS resins in electronics can lead to higher demand for Alpha-Methylstyrene. Further manufacturers may need to ensure a stable and reliable supply of AMS to meet the requirements of electronics manufacturers, leading to potential investments in production capacity and supply chain optimization.
Environmental concerns and regulations
Rapid changes in environmental regulations or emerging concerns about the environmental impact of AMS can create market uncertainty for manufacturers, investors, and customers. Uncertainty about future regulatory requirements can deter investment in AMS production capacity and discourage long-term planning, leading to market volatility and instability. If AMS production processes or products fail to meet environmental standards in export markets, it can lead to trade restrictions, tariffs, or non-tariff barriers, hindering market access and competitiveness.
Growth in construction and packaging
Alpha-Methylstyrene is utilized in the production of resins such as acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) and styrene-acrylonitrile (SAN), which are commonly used in packaging applications due to their excellent mechanical properties, impact resistance, and versatility. Further alpha-methylstyrene finds applications in polymer-based construction materials like adhesives, sealants, and coatings, contributing to the overall demand growth. The expansion of the packaging industry, driven by e-commerce, food delivery services, and consumer goods, boosts the demand for AMS-based resins.
Price volatility of raw materials
Sharp fluctuations in raw material prices can disrupt the supply chain for Alpha-Methylstyrene, leading to inventory management challenges, production delays, and supply shortages. Dependence on volatile raw material markets can expose AMS manufacturers to risks associated with supply chain disruptions, geopolitical events, natural disasters, and other external factors beyond their control.
Covid-19 Impact
Lockdown measures and economic slowdowns led to reduced industrial activities, affecting AMS consumption in sectors like plastics, adhesives, and coatings. Disruptions in logistics and transportation hindered raw material availability and product distribution, impacting market operations. However, AMS's applications in essential industries such as healthcare and packaging provided some resilience Recovery efforts, vaccine distribution, and economic stimulus packages are expected to gradually restore market stability, albeit with lingering uncertainties about future demand patterns.
The above 99.5% segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The above 99.5% segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, as AMS with purity above 99.5% is used as a heat stabilizer for acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS), as a solvent in the plastics industry, and in other applications such as adhesives and coatings. The increasing demand for high-purity AMS in these industries is a key factor contributing to the growth of this segment. AMS with high purity is also used as a solvent in the plastics industry and as a dye and paint adhesive agent in adhesives, coatings, waxes, and tackifiers.
The electronics segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The electronics segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, due to its crucial role in the production of acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) resins, which find extensive applications in electronic appliances and consumer electronic devices. The increasing demand for consumer electronics such as smartphones, laptops, and home appliances has propelled the need for ABS resins, thereby driving the demand for AMS. The thickening of the electronics industry, coupled with the surging demand for consumer goods from developing economies, acts like an opportunity for the market growth.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the China is a hub for chemical processing, accounting for a major chunk of global chemicals. Following Russia and Ukraine war, the chemical industry experienced a year marked by further bottlenecks in global supply chains already strained by rising energy and raw material costs, pandemic, economic uncertainty, and political turmoil in 2022. Continuing on the tumultuous grounds, China is expected to register a slightly weaker growth of 5.9% in chemical production in 2023, as per the BASF's chemical industry outlook. However, the increasing investments in the construction of new chemical plants support the demand for AMS in the mid-term.
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to increasing use of AMS in these sectors, particularly in the production of ABS resins, contributes to the growth of the industry. Additionally rising government investments and initiatives further boost the demand for AMS in North America alpha-methylstyrene market. It is primarily driven by its use in the production of acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene (ABS) resins, which find extensive applications in the automotive and electronic appliances industries.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Alpha-Methylstyrene Market include AdvanSix, Altivia, Chang Chun Group, Cepsa, Domo Chemicals, Deepak, INEOS, Eni S.P.A., Kraton Corporation, Mitsubishi Chemical Corporation, Kumho P&B Chemicals.,inc., Prasol Chemicals Limited, Seqens, Rosneft, Solvay, SI Group, Inc. and Yangzhou Lida Chemical Co., Ltd.
In April 2024, AdvanSix Achieves ISCC PLUS Certification Advancing Sustainable Manufacturing Across Its Value Chain. This approach tracks AdvanSix's use of recycled materials at its sites to support the transition to circular economy principles - reduce, reuse and recycle.
In March 2024, Launch of "GOBIK Aqueous Suspension Syringes", Pertussis, Diphtheria, Tetanus, Inactivated Polio and Hib Combined Vaccine. It is expected that the use of GOBIK will reduce the number of shots of routine vaccinations and the burden on infants and guardians.
In June 2023, AdvanSix Introduces New 100% Post-Consumer Recycled Content Nylon. They offer the same excellent physical and mechanical properties as conventional nylon products.