市场调查报告书
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到 2030 年的种云市场预测:按类型、播种剂、方法、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Cloud Seeding Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Cumulus, Stratocumulus, Orographic, Convective and Other Types), Seeding Agent, Method, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2024 年全球种云市场规模将达到 4.088 亿美元,预计到 2030 年将达到 6.734 亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为 8.7%。
种云是一种人工影响天气技术,旨在透过将物质引入云中来增加降水。这些物质,通常是碘化银、氯化钠和其他化学物质,形成形成和聚结水滴的核。该过程由飞机或地面发电机执行,将播种剂散布入目标云中。它用于增加干旱地区的降雨量,改善供水,缓解干旱状况。
根据Gap Initiative的预测,为了在2022年和2050年为超过90亿人可持续生产粮食和农产品,农业生产率需要平均每年提高1.73%。 2011年至2020年,全球农业生产力年均成长1.12%。
对水资源的需求不断增加
对水资源的需求不断增长正在推动市场的成长。由于气候变迁和人口成长,水资源短缺变得更加普遍,种云为增加降雨量和补充水供应提供了潜在的解决方案。这项技术在面临严重干旱和缺水的地区越来越受到追捧。透过种云增加降雨量,各国和各行业的目标是确保农业、工业和家庭用水的供应更加可靠。
环境问题
使用碘化银等化学物质的目的是增加降水,但存在可能污染水源和土壤的问题。人们也担心对生态系统和生物多样性的长期影响。此外,不断变化的自然天气模式可能会扰乱当地的气候和水循环,可能导致意想不到的环境破坏。这些担忧可能会阻碍种云技术的采用和开发。
不断增长的农业需求
随着世界对粮食需求的增加,农民正在寻求创新的解决方案来提高作物产量并确保可靠的水资源供应。种云提供了一种增加降雨量的方法,这对于容易发生干旱和降水不稳定的地区的灌溉至关重要。透过种云改善供水可以提高农业生产力,满足不断增长的粮食需求,并支持永续农业。因此,不断增长的农业需求正在推动市场成长。
高成本
高成本是市场的主要负面因素。与种云作业相关的费用(例如设备、化学品和人员)可能会很大。这种经济负担限制了这项技术的取得,特别是对于发展中地区和小型农业企业而言。此外,高成本可能会对投资的合理性带来挑战,特别是在无法保证种云结果的情况下。因此,经济障碍可能会限制该技术的传播和应用。
COVID-19 大流行影响了市场,导致供应链中断、计划延误和营运能力下降。旅行限制和封锁影响了人员和设备的流动,阻碍了种云活动。景气衰退导致的财务紧张导致计划延迟和取消,影响了市场成长。此外,疫情期间环境和农业计划优先事项的转变以及预算削减进一步限制了对种云技术的投资。
预计层积云部分在预测期内将达到最大。
预计层积云将在预测期内达到高峰。这些低空蓬鬆云通常垂直发展有限,但可以透过种云诱导降雨。将碘化银等催晶剂引入层积云中可以促进更大水滴的形成并增加降水。这种方法在层积云常见且干旱的地区特别有效。
预计冰雹抑制产业在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。
预计冰雹抑制产业在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。冰雹抑制是种云市场的一个主要应用,旨在减少雷暴期间冰雹的形成和严重程度。透过将碘化银等助晶剂分散到云中,可以产生破坏性较小的冰片,而不是大冰雹。有效的冰雹抑制可以防止重大经济损失,减少昂贵的维修和保险申请的需要,并提高对恶劣天气事件的抵御能力。
预计北美在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。干旱多发地区正在积极投资种云技术,以增加降雨量并管理供水。技术进步和政府支持政策正在推动市场成长。此外,对改善农业用水和减轻干旱影响的关注正在支持在整个非洲大陆扩大种云倡议。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将维持最高的复合年增长率。种云为缺水地区增加降雨量和管理供水提供了潜在的解决方案。各国经济的快速成长和发展导致对基础设施和技术(包括种云系统)的投资增加。亚太国家政府正积极投资人工影响天气项目,包括种云计划。这些措施旨在解决水资源短缺问题并加强水资源管理。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Cloud Seeding Market is accounted for $408.8 million in 2024 and is expected to reach $673.4 million by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.7% during the forecast period. Cloud seeding is a weather modification technique aimed at enhancing precipitation by introducing substances into clouds. These substances, typically silver iodide, sodium chloride, or other chemicals, act as nuclei around which water droplets can form and coalesce. The process is conducted by aircraft or ground-based generators that disperse the seeding agents into targeted clouds. It is used to increase rainfall in arid regions, improve water supplies, and mitigate drought conditions.
According to Gap initiative, in 2022, to sustainably produce food and agricultural products for more than 9 billion people in 2050, agricultural productivity must increase by an average of 1.73 percent per year. In the years 2011-2020, the agricultural productivity of the world grew by an average of only 1.12 percent per year.
Increasing demand for water resources
The increasing demand for water resources is driving the growth of the market. As water scarcity becomes more prevalent due to climate change and population growth, cloud seeding offers a potential solution for augmenting rainfall and replenishing water supplies. This technology is increasingly sought after by regions facing severe droughts or water shortages. By enhancing precipitation through cloud seeding, countries and industries aim to ensure more reliable water availability for agriculture, industry, and domestic use.
Environmental concerns
The use of chemicals like silver iodide, while intended to enhance precipitation, raises issues regarding potential contamination of water sources and soil. There are worries about the long-term ecological impact on ecosystems and biodiversity. Additionally, the unintended consequences of altering natural weather patterns may disrupt local climates and water cycles, leading to unforeseen environmental consequences. These concerns can hinder the adoption and development of cloud seeding technologies.
Rising agricultural needs
As global food demand escalates, farmers are seeking innovative solutions to enhance crop yields and ensure consistent water availability. Cloud seeding offers a method to increase rainfall, which is crucial for irrigation in regions prone to drought or irregular precipitation. By improving water supply through cloud seeding, agricultural productivity can be boosted, helping to meet the growing food requirements and support sustainable farming practices. Thus, rising agricultural needs are fueling the growth of the market.
High costs
High costs are a significant negative factor in the market. The expenses associated with cloud seeding operations, including equipment, chemicals, and personnel, can be substantial. This financial burden limits the technology's accessibility, particularly for developing regions or smaller agricultural enterprises. Additionally, the high costs can lead to challenges in justifying the investment, especially when the results of cloud seeding are not guaranteed. Consequently, the economic barriers may restrict widespread adoption and application of the technology.
The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the market by causing disruptions in supply chains, project delays, and reduced operational capacities. Travel restrictions and lockdowns affected the movement of personnel and equipment, hindering cloud seeding activities. Financial constraints due to economic downturns led to postponed or cancelled projects, affecting market growth. Additionally, shifting priorities and reduced budgets for environmental and agricultural initiatives during the pandemic have further constrained investment in cloud seeding technologies.
The stratocumulus segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The stratocumulus is expected to be the largest during the forecast period. These low-altitude, puffy clouds often have limited vertical development but can be targeted for cloud seeding to induce rainfall. By introducing seeding agents like silver iodide into stratocumulus clouds, it is possible to stimulate the formation of larger water droplets and increase precipitation. This method is particularly useful in regions where stratocumulus clouds are prevalent and drought conditions are a concern.
The hail suppression segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The hail suppression segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period. Hail suppression is a key application within the cloud seeding market, aiming to reduce the formation and severity of hailstones during thunderstorms. By dispersing seeding agents like silver iodide into clouds, less damaging ice pellets instead of large hailstones. Effective hail suppression can prevent significant economic losses and reduce the need for costly repairs and insurance claims, enhancing resilience against severe weather events.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. Regions facing frequent droughts, are actively investing in cloud seeding technologies to augment precipitation and manage water supply. Advances in technology and supportive government policies are driving market growth. Additionally, the focus on improving water availability for agriculture and mitigating drought impacts supports the expansion of cloud seeding initiatives across the continent.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the highest CAGR over the forecast period. Cloud seeding offers a potential solution to enhance rainfall and manage water supplies in water-scarce areas. The rapid economic growth and development in countries have led to increased investments in infrastructure and technology, including cloud seeding systems. Governments in Asia Pacific countries are actively investing in weather modification programs, including cloud seeding projects. These initiatives aim to address water scarcity issues and enhance water resource management.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Cloud Seeding market include Weather Modification, Inc., AeroTech Aerosol, LLC, North American Weather Consultants, Inc., Baron Services, Inc., Seeding Solutions, Inc., Boeing, DynCorp International LLC, Rockwell Collins, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd., Applied Weather Technology, Silver Lining, Inc., Weather Central, Inc., Atmospheric Water Solutions, Textron Aviation and AeroCloud Solutions.
In July 2024, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries America, Inc. (MHIA), a subsidiary of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. (MHI), announced it has purchased a 100% equity interest in three Southwestern Pennsylvania utility-scale solar power projects from project developer Oriden, an MHI Group company, advancing the company's energy transition strategy.
In July 2023, Textron Aviation received an order from AvMet International for one Beechcraft King Air 360CHW and four Beechcraft King Air 260 aircraft to support the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's National Meteorological Center's cloud seeding program.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.