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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1577124
到 2030 年混合种子市场预测:按种植类型、作物类型、农场类型、时期、分销管道和地区进行的全球分析Hybrid Seeds Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Cultivation Type, Crop Type, Farm Type, Duration, Distribution Channel and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2024 年全球混合种子市场规模为 325 亿美元,预计在预测期内将以 8.9% 的复合年增长率成长,到 2030 年达到 543 亿美元。
混合种子是两种基因不同的亲代植物杂交的结果,产生的后代表现出两者所需的性状。这一过程提高了产量、抗病性和对各种环境条件的适应性等特性。混合种子旨在优化生长和性能,使其在农业中特别有价值,因为农业中产量最大化非常重要。混合种子通常会产生更有活力和均匀的植物,确保一致的收穫。混合种子可能有局限性,例如遗传多样性降低以及农民需要每个季节购买新种子。
根据联合国粮农组织统计,目前世界人口在2018年为76.3亿,平均成长1.14%(2014-2018年),2025年将达到81.9亿,2030年将达到85.5亿,预计此数字将达到1万。
对产量作物的需求不断增长
全球对产量作物的需求不断增长,大大推动了混合种子的开发和采用。这些种子是透过杂交不同的植物品种产生的,产生具有理想特性的后代,例如提高生产力、抗病性和环境适应性。随着人口增长和气候变迁影响农业实践,农民正在转向使用混合种子来最大限度地提高产量并确保粮食安全。此外,由于与传统种子相比,混合作物的性能得到改善,因此通常具有更高的投资收益。
智慧财产权问题
智慧财产权问题对混合种子产业产生重大影响,为创新和可及性造成障碍。与基因改造种子相关的专利常常导致垄断,少数公司控制大部分市场。这限制了农民获得各种种子品种的能力,增加了对特定品牌的依赖并增加了成本。农民在保存和重新种植种子方面经常面临挑战,因为许多混合种子被设计为不孕或需要许可费才能使用。这些因素不仅阻碍农业生物多样性,也威胁粮食安全,特别是在农民依赖传统做法的发展中地区。
农产品创新与现代化
农业产品创新和现代化显着加速了混合种子的开发,推动了产量、復原力和适应性的提升。混合种子是透过杂交不同的植物品种来结合所需的特性(例如抗病性或耐旱性)而产生的。现代农业实践结合了先进的生物技术,例如基因编辑和标记辅助选择,使育种者能够更有效、更准确地开发混合种子。此外,资料分析和精密农业工具的整合使农民能够优化种植策略和资源分配,以确保最大的生产力。
农产品价格波动
农产品价格的波动为农民和投资者带来了不确定性,对混合种子市场产生了重大影响。当农产品价格上涨时,由于产量潜力较高,农民往往被鼓励采用混合种子,以实现利润最大化。然而,如果价格随后下跌,经济回报可能不再证明投资更昂贵的混合种子是合理的,导致不愿意采用混合。然而,这些价格波动也对种子公司产生影响,使其无法准确预测需求,这可能导致库存过多和缺货。
COVID-19 大流行对混合种子产业产生了重大影响,影响了生产、供应链和农民的取得。封锁和限制导致农田和种子生产设施劳动力短缺,推迟了播种和收穫週期。物流中断阻碍了混合种子的分发,特别是在偏远地区,限制了农民获得产量作物所需的优质种子的能力。由于市场不确定性和消费行为变化导致的需求波动导致某些种子品种出现过剩和短缺。这场大流行也凸显了农业实践中恢復能力的必要性,并刺激了种子技术和分配方法的创新。
预计在预测期内,保护性种植部分将是最大的。
预计保护性种植产业在预测期内将达到最高水准。保护性栽培透过极大促进混合种子的开发而正在彻底改变农业。这种方法创造了一个受控环境,例如温室或遮阳屋,可以保护作物免受天气、害虫和疾病的影响,从而改善植物健康和产量。在这样的环境中,混合种子可以针对特定性状进行最佳化,例如抗病性、耐旱性和优异的生长速度,从而实现更精确的育种技术。受控的环境可以促进更好的授粉和种子生产,产生可在各种气候和土壤类型中生长的混合种子。
预计合作领域在预测期内复合年增长率最高。
由于合作社部门提高了农业生产力和永续性,预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高。透过汇集资源、知识和专业知识,该合作社促进了适合当地条件的优质混合种子的开发和销售。这些种子旨在提供更高的产量,抵抗病虫害,并承受不同的气候条件,最终透过提高作物的復原力和盈利使农民受益。合作社通常提供必要的支援服务,例如种植最佳实践和病虫害综合防治培训,以帮助农民最大限度地发挥混合种子的效益。
预计北美地区在预测期内将占据市场最大份额。随着这些地区的消费者变得更加富裕,他们需要更多种类的食品,促使农民采用先进技术,包括混合种子。这一转变不仅将提高新兴市场的农业生产力,还将刺激对以创新和品质闻名的北美种子公司的需求。此外,随着这些市场的扩大,对永续农业实践的重视增加了混合种子的吸引力,因为它们增强了对不同气候的适应性并提高了害虫抵抗力。
预计欧洲地区在预测期内将呈现良好的成长动能。透过投资研发,政府鼓励种子技术创新,进而创造出产量、抗病的混合种子。财政奖励,例如向采用混合种子的农民津贴和补贴,鼓励永续农业实践并改善粮食安全。此外,法律规范有利于新型混合的核准和商业化,并确保它们符合安全和环境标准。公共机构和私人公司之间的合作促进知识共用和技术转让,提高全球市场的竞争力。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Hybrid Seeds Market is accounted for $32.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $54.3 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.9% during the forecast period. Hybrid seeds are the result of crossbreeding two genetically distinct parent plants to produce offspring that exhibit desirable traits from both. This process enhances characteristics such as yield, disease resistance, and adaptability to various environmental conditions. Hybrid seeds are engineered to optimize growth and performance, making them particularly valuable in agriculture where maximizing output is crucial. They often produce plants that are more vigorous and uniform, ensuring a consistent harvest. Hybrid seeds can come with limitations, such as reduced genetic diversity and the requirement for farmers to purchase new seeds each season, as hybrid plants do not reliably reproduce the same traits in subsequent generations.
According to FAO, the current global population stands at 7.63 billion in 2018, witnessed an average growth of 1.14% (2014-2018) and is expected to reach 8.19 billion by 2025 and 8.55 billion by 2030.
Increasing demand for high-yield crops
The rising global demand for high-yield crops is significantly driving the development and adoption of hybrid seeds. These seeds are engineered by cross-breeding different plant varieties to produce offspring with desirable traits such as increased productivity, disease resistance, and environmental adaptability. As populations grow and climate change affects agricultural practices, farmers are turning to hybrid seeds to maximize their harvests and ensure food security. Furthermore, hybrid crops typically offer higher returns on investment due to their enhanced performance compared to traditional seeds.
Intellectual property issues
Intellectual property issues significantly impact the hybrid seed industry, creating barriers for innovation and accessibility. Patents on genetically modified seeds often lead to monopolies, where a few corporations control large portions of the market. This limits farmers' ability to access diverse seed varieties and increases dependency on specific brands, driving up costs. Farmers often face challenges related to seed saving and replanting, as many hybrid seeds are designed to be sterile or require licensing fees for use. These factors not only hinder agricultural biodiversity but also threaten food security, particularly in developing regions where farmers may rely on traditional practices.
Product innovation and modernization of agriculture
Product innovation and modernization in agriculture have significantly enhanced hybrid seed development, driving improvements in yield, resilience, and adaptability. Hybrid seeds are created by cross-breeding different plant varieties to combine desirable traits, such as disease resistance and drought tolerance. Modern agricultural practices incorporate advanced biotechnological techniques, like gene editing and marker-assisted selection, which enable breeders to develop hybrids more efficiently and precisely. Additionally, the integration of data analytics and precision farming tools allows farmers to optimize planting strategies and resource allocation, ensuring maximum productivity.
Fluctuations in prices of agricultural commodities
Fluctuations in prices of agricultural commodities significantly impact the hybrid seeds market by creating uncertainty for farmers and investors. When commodity prices rise, farmers are often encouraged to adopt hybrid seeds due to their higher yield potential, aiming to maximize profits. However, if prices subsequently fall, the financial returns may not justify the investment in more expensive hybrid seeds, leading to hesitation in their adoption. However, this volatility also affects seed companies, as they may struggle to forecast demand accurately, resulting in either excess inventory or shortages.
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the hybrid seeds sector, affecting production, supply chains, and farmer access. Lockdowns and restrictions led to labor shortages in agricultural fields and seed production facilities, causing delays in sowing and harvesting cycles. Disruptions in logistics hampered the distribution of hybrid seeds, particularly in remote areas, limiting farmers' ability to access quality seeds crucial for high-yield crops. Fluctuating demand due to market uncertainties and changing consumer behavior resulted in surplus or shortages of certain seed varieties. The pandemic also highlighted the need for resilience in agricultural practices, prompting innovations in seed technology and distribution methods.
The Protected Cultivation segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
Protected Cultivation segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period. Protected cultivation is revolutionizing the agricultural landscape by significantly enhancing the development of hybrid seeds. This method involves creating controlled environments, such as greenhouses or shade houses, that protect crops from adverse weather, pests, and diseases, leading to improved plant health and yield. In such settings, hybrid seeds can be optimized for specific traits, like disease resistance, drought tolerance, and superior growth rates, allowing for more precise breeding techniques. The controlled conditions facilitate better pollination and seed production, resulting in hybrids that thrive in various climates and soil types.
The Cooperatives segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Cooperatives segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period as it improve agricultural productivity and sustainability. By pooling resources, knowledge, and expertise, cooperatives facilitate the development and distribution of high-quality hybrid seeds that are tailored to local conditions. These seeds are engineered to offer higher yields, resist pests and diseases, and withstand varying climatic conditions, ultimately benefiting farmers through increased crop resilience and profitability. Cooperatives often provide essential support services, including training in best practices for cultivation and integrated pest management, which further empowers farmers to maximize the advantages of hybrid seeds.
North America region is anticipated to command the largest share of the market over the extrapolated period. As consumers in these regions become more affluent, they increasingly seek diverse food products, driving agricultural producers to adopt advanced technologies, including hybrid seeds. This shift not only boosts the agricultural productivity in emerging markets but also stimulates demand for North American seed companies, which are known for their innovation and quality. Additionally, as these markets expand, there is a growing emphasis on sustainable farming practices, further increasing the appeal of hybrid seeds that offer better adaptability to varying climates and improved pest resistance.
Europe region is estimated to witness profitable growth during the projected time frame. By investing in research and development, governments foster innovation in seed technology, which leads to the creation of high-yield and disease-resistant hybrids. Financial incentives, such as grants and subsidies for farmers adopting hybrid seeds, encourage sustainable agricultural practices and increase food security. Additionally, regulatory frameworks facilitate the approval and commercialization of new hybrids, ensuring they meet safety and environmental standards. Collaborative initiatives between public institutions and private companies promote knowledge sharing and technology transfer, enhancing competitiveness in the global market.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Hybrid Seeds market include BASF SE, Bayer AG, Crystal Crop Protection Pvt. Ltd, DLF Seeds, Dupont, Emerald Seed Company, Germains Seed Technology, Kaveri Seed Co Ltd, Ceres Global Ag Corp and Syngenta Crop Protection AG.
In July 2024, Syngenta Crop Protection, a leader in agricultural innovation, and Ginkgo Bioworks, which is building the leading platform for cell programming and biosecurity, announced a new collaboration aimed at accelerating the launch of a new biological solution. Through this new collaboration, Ginkgo plans to develop and optimize a microbial strain that can meet the productivity targets of a secondary metabolite from the Syngenta Biologicals pipeline.
In July 2023, Syngenta launches new plant protection solutions for paddy and vegetable farmers in India. As paddy cultivation picks up momentum with the onset of monsoon in the country, Syngenta India, a leading ag-tech company unveiled its new age plant protection solutions.
In April 2021, RACT collaborated with Bayer in order to jointly develop hybrid wheat varieties. Wheat provides about 20 percent of the proteins consumed in the world. Securing the wheat harvests through hybrid wheat production systems that help increase the yield and robustness of the crop.