市场调查报告书
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2030 年分散式能源系统市场预测:按类型、应用、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Decentralized Energy System Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Wind Power, Hydropower, Solar Power, Combined Heat and Power (CHP) Systems, Bio-energy, Geothermal Energy and Other Types), Application, End User and by Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2024年全球分散式能源系统市场规模为213.2亿美元,预计将以30.9%的复合年增长率成长,到2030年达到1,072.4亿美元。
分散式能源系统(DES)是一种小型能源生产和分配网络,与传统中央电网分开或并行运作。为了使社区和企业能够自行发电,DES 经常使用再生能源来源,例如生物质、太阳能和风能。透过减少石化燃料的使用,该系统促进了永续性,减少了传输损失并提高了能源弹性。
据国际能源总署(IEA)称,到2030年,分散式能源系统将为农村人口提供电力,特别是在集中式电网有限的地区,例如撒哈拉以南非洲和东南亚,我们有潜力提供近乎10%的电力。
引进可再生能源
分散能源市场的主要驱动力之一是世界向可再生能源的过渡。为了实现严格的排放目标并应对气候变化,各国正在增加对太阳能和风能等可再生能源的投资。透过向企业和社区提供当地可再生资源,分散式系统减少了与集中式发电相关的传输损失。此外,这项区域策略不仅促进能源独立,而且促进永续性,使该地区减少对外部能源来源的依赖。
社会认知度和接受度
分散式能源系统的实施受舆论影响很大。儘管环境问题受到关注,但有些地区可能找不到像传统集中式解决方案那样可靠或有效的去中心化解决方案。有关这些系统的功能和优点的不准确或不完整的资讯也可能会阻碍接受。此外,与当地社区合作对于建立信任并向消费者传达改用分散能源来源的好处至关重要。
提高耐用性和能源安全
能源来源多样化和减少对集中式发电厂的依赖是分散式系统改善能源安全的两种方式。当发生电网断电或自然灾害时,本地能源生产可作为可靠的备用电源,确保关键服务的持续运作。此外,需要持续供电的关键基础设施(例如资料中心、医院和紧急服务)必须特别具有弹性。
可再生能源的可变性
太阳能和风能等再生能源来源本质上是零星且可变的,因此通常是分散式能源系统的基础。这种间歇性使得维持稳定的电力供应变得困难,尤其是在需求高或发电量低的情况下。能源储存技术的改进正在帮助解决这些问题,但它们并不适用于所有应用,因为目前的储存选项不够充分或不具有成本效益。此外,如果客户担心可靠性,这种不可预测性可能会阻止他们采用分散式系统。
COVID-19 大流行对能源市场造成了重大干扰,并导致消费模式发生变化。最初,100 多个国家进入封锁状态,能源需求大幅减少,尤其是工业部门的能源需求。这导致了能源价格和能源公司股票价格的波动。但随着公用事业公司适应远距工作和住宅能源使用增加带来的新消费动态,这种流行病也加速了数位技术和智慧电网解决方案的采用。这些市场变化增加了对时间敏感的费率方案和能源管理工具的需求,以帮助客户优化能源使用。
太阳能发电领域预计将在预测期内成为最大的领域
预计占据最大份额的领域是太阳能。太阳能的扩充性、成本下降以及在住宅、商业和工业领域的广泛适用性使其成为一种主导技术。此外,太阳能电池和太阳能热系统等光伏技术的进步所带来的效率和可负担性的提高也正在加速采用。在世界各国政府的激励和支持政策的推动下,太阳能装置正在迅速扩大,并处于分散式能源的前沿。
预计市政部门在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。
在分散式能源系统市场中,市政部门预计将以最高的复合年增长率成长。都市化的加快以及提高城市能源永续性和復原力的需求是这一增长的主要驱动力。为了满足当地能源需求并减少对集中式电源的依赖,市政当局越来越多地部署分散式能源解决方案,例如微电网和可再生能源装置。此外,还进一步鼓励市政当局透过支持采用可再生能源和气候计画的政府措施来投资分散系统,将其定位为向永续能源实践过渡的关键参与者。
由于积极的气候政策和对可再生能源部署的坚定承诺,欧洲地区占据了分散式能源系统市场的最大份额。丹麦、德国和英国等领先国家已经实施了支持分散式能源发电的强有力的框架。欧洲国家製定了重要的再生能源目标,旨在大幅减少温室气体排放,并提高再生能源在能源结构中的份额。此外,政府对智慧电网技术的奖励和投资透过促进分散式能源资源的整合来支持这种积极主动的方法。
在分散式能源系统市场中,亚太地区预计将以最高的复合年增长率成长。对可再生能源技术的投资正在增加,快速增加可再生能源产能的国家,特别是中国和印度,是这项快速成长的主要推动力。该地区各国政府正在采用微电网、太阳能和风电等分散式能源解决方案,以满足该地区多样化的能源需求以及对能源独立和永续性日益增长的需求。此外,由于缺乏可靠的电网基础设施,离网和分散式电力系统在许多地区被推广为可行的选择。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Decentralized Energy System Market is accounted for $21.32 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $107.24 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 30.9% during the forecast period. A decentralized energy system (DES) is a small-scale network of energy production and distribution that can function separately from the conventional central grid or in tandem with it. In order to allow communities or businesses to generate their own electricity, DES frequently uses renewable energy sources like biomass, solar, and wind. By using less fossil fuel, this system promotes sustainability, lowers transmission losses, and improves energy resilience.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), decentralized energy systems could supply nearly 70% of electricity to rural populations by 2030, especially in regions with limited access to centralized grids, such as sub-Saharan Africa and Southeast Asia.
Adoption of renewable energy
One major factor propelling the decentralized energy market is the worldwide transition to renewable energy. To meet strict emissions targets and fight climate change, countries are investing more and more in renewable energy sources like solar and wind. By enabling local renewable resources to be used by businesses and communities, decentralized systems lower the transmission losses that come with centralized power generation. Additionally, this regional strategy not only promotes energy independence but also sustainability, enabling areas to become less dependent on outside energy sources.
Social awareness and acceptance
Adoption of decentralized energy systems is greatly influenced by public opinion. Even though environmental issues are receiving more attention, some communities might not believe that decentralized solutions can be as reliable or effective as traditional centralized ones. Acceptance may be hampered by inaccurate or incomplete information regarding the features and advantages of these systems. Furthermore, to foster trust and inform consumers about the benefits of switching to decentralized energy sources, community engagement initiatives are crucial.
Enhanced durability and energy safety
Diversifying energy sources and lowering dependency on centralized power plants are two ways that decentralized systems improve energy security. Localized energy production can act as a dependable fallback in the event of grid outages or natural disasters, guaranteeing the continued operation of vital services. Moreover, critical infrastructure, which needs a constant power source, such as data centers, hospitals, and emergency services, needs resilience in particular.
Renewable energy sources volatility
Renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind, are naturally sporadic and variable and are therefore frequently the foundation of decentralized energy systems. Maintaining a steady power supply may become difficult as a result of this intermittency, especially when demand is high or generation is low. Energy storage technology improvements are helping to address these problems, but not all applications will be able to take advantage of the current storage options due to their lack of sufficient or cost-effectiveness. Additionally, customers may be discouraged from adopting decentralized systems because of this unpredictability if they have reliability concerns.
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused major disruptions and alterations in consumption patterns in the energy market. At first, lockdowns in over 100 countries caused a sharp drop in energy demand, especially from the industrial sectors. This led to fluctuations in energy prices and the stock values of energy companies. However, as utilities adjusted to new consumption dynamics brought on by remote work and rising residential energy use, the pandemic also hastened the adoption of digital technologies and smart grid solutions. In order to help customers optimize their energy usage, this change in the market led to an increase in demand for time-sensitive pricing plans and energy management tools.
The Solar Power segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The segment with the largest share is predicted to be solar power. The scalability, declining costs, and broad applicability of solar energy across residential, commercial, and industrial sectors have made it a leading technology. Moreover, adoption has also been accelerated by improvements in efficiency and affordability brought about by developments in solar technologies, such as photovoltaic cells and solar thermal systems. Solar energy installations are expanding quickly, putting them at the forefront of the decentralized energy landscape owing to global government incentives and supportive policies.
The Municipalities segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
In the market for decentralized energy systems, the municipalities segment is anticipated to grow at the highest CAGR. Growing urbanization and the need for cities to improve their energy sustainability and resilience are the main drivers of this growth. In order to meet local energy demands and lessen dependency on centralized power sources, municipalities are increasingly implementing decentralized energy solutions, such as micro grids and renewable energy installations. Additionally, municipalities are further encouraged to invest in decentralized systems by government initiatives that support the adoption of renewable energy and climate action plans, which position them as important players in the shift to sustainable energy practices.
Due to its aggressive climate policies and strong commitment to the adoption of renewable energy, the Europe region holds the largest share of the market for decentralized energy systems. Strong frameworks supporting decentralized energy generation are being implemented by leading nations like Denmark, Germany, and the United Kingdom. European nations have established significant targets for renewable energy, aiming for substantial reductions in greenhouse gas emissions and an increased share of renewables in their energy mix. Furthermore, government incentives and investments in smart grid technologies support this proactive approach by making it easier to integrate distributed energy resources.
In the market for decentralized energy systems, the Asia-Pacific region is anticipated to grow at the highest CAGR. Increased investments in renewable energy technologies, especially in nations like China and India that are rapidly increasing their renewable capacity, are the primary cause of this rapid growth. Governments in the area are adopting decentralized energy solutions like micro grids, solar power, and wind power in response to the region's varied energy needs as well as the growing need for energy independence and sustainability. Moreover, off-grid and decentralized power systems are promoted as viable alternatives in many areas due to the absence of a reliable grid infrastructure.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Decentralized Energy System market include BYD Company, Schneider Electric, General Electric (GE), Eaton, MAN Energy Solutions, Panasonic, Exide Technologies, ABB Ltd., Siemens, ENGIE, LG Chem, Johnson Controls, Liebherr, S&C Electric Company and Honeywell.
In September 2024, BYD Automotive GmbH and Hedin Mobility Group have entered into an agreement for the sale of the subsidiary Hedin Electric Mobility GmbH, the appointed Dealer+ of BYD vehicles and spare parts in the German market. The transaction also includes a business transfer of the two pioneer stores in Stuttgart and Frankfurt which are operated by Hedin Mobility Group's German retail division.
In May 2024, Schneider Electric has signed a strategic agreement with the Taiwanese-based battery manufacturer ProLogium. Schneider Electric and ProLogium will combine their expertise to develop smart manufacturing and energy management systems and optimize the production of Lithium Ceramic Batteries in ProLogium's gigafactory in Dunkirk.
In March 2024, ABB is collaborating with Green Hydrogen International (GHI) on a project to develop a major green hydrogen facility in south Texas, United States. As part of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) ABB's automation, electrification and digital technology will be assessed for deployment at GHI's Hydrogen City project.