市场调查报告书
商品编码
1587599
2030 年汽车齿轮市场预测:按齿轮类型、车辆类型、材料、生产流程、技术、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Automotive Gears Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Gear Type, Vehicle Type, Material, Production Process, Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2024 年全球汽车齿轮市场规模为 425.8 亿美元,预计预测期内复合年增长率为 5.2%,到 2030 年将达到 526.3 亿美元。
汽车齿轮是在汽车传动系统内传输动力和运动的机械部件。它将引擎旋转功率转换为可用扭矩,从而实现加速和速度调节。它们有多种形式,包括正齿轮、斜齿轮、锥齿轮和行星齿轮,每种形式都旨在优化效率、减少磨损并确保各种驾驶条件下的可靠性。
IEA预计,2023年欧洲将註册1,400万辆新电动车,中国将生产810万辆电动车,美国将生产140万辆电动车。
扩大汽车生产
随着全球汽车产量的扩大,对可靠、高性能齿轮来提高车辆效率、性能和安全性的需求变得至关重要。产量增加导致销售量增加,使製造商能够扩大业务并投资创新齿轮技术。此外,消费者对汽车先进功能的日益偏好,例如提高燃油效率和增强驾驶动力,将进一步推动对专用齿轮系统的需求,最终导致齿轮设计和製造的市场成长和技术创新。
设计复杂性
汽车齿轮设计的复杂性源自于现代车辆对更高性能、效率和适应性的需求。随着製造商采用混合和电力传动系统等先进技术,齿轮系统变得更加复杂,需要精密工程和专用材料。这种复杂性延长了开发时间,增加了生产成本,并增加了设计错误的风险,最终阻碍了市场的成长。
越来越多地转向电动车 (EV)
加速向电动车 (EV) 的转变需要开发用于电动传动系统的专用齿轮系统。与传统内燃机不同,电动车需要不同的齿轮配置来优化扭力传递并提高效率。这种转变促使製造商创新并开发更轻、更高性能的齿轮,以提高电动车的整体性能。随着电动车普及率的提高,汽车齿轮市场可能会扩大,以满足该细分市场不断变化的需求。
与替代技术的竞争
来自电动车和氢燃料电池车等替代技术的竞争正在减少对传统机械齿轮系统的依赖。此外,直接驱动系统和电子控制变速箱等技术创新消除了对复杂齿轮装置的需求,进一步威胁传统齿轮製造商。这种转变可能会导致齿轮技术开发和生产的投资减少,从而为公司在快速发展的汽车领域保持竞争力带来挑战。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19 大流行扰乱了生产和供应链,导致延误和短缺,对汽车齿轮市场产生了重大影响。停产和消费者需求减少导致汽车销售下降,进而减少了齿轮产量。然而,随着製造商寻求适应新的传动系统要求,向电动车 (EV) 的转变刺激了齿轮技术的创新。随着市场復苏,对永续性和先进製造流程的关注预计将塑造汽车装备的未来。
智慧装备领域预计将在预测期内成为最大的领域
由于智慧齿轮领域提高了汽车的性能和效率,预计将在预测期内获得最大的市场占有率。这些齿轮提供温度、磨损和负载等参数的即时资料,从而实现预测性维护并减少停机时间。与其他车辆系统通讯的能力将支援增强的功能,有助于开拓自动驾驶和联网汽车汽车市场,并最终彻底改变汽车装备市场。
预计汽车齿轮产业在预测期内复合年增长率最高
预计汽车齿轮领域在预测期内复合年增长率最高。汽车齿轮在传动系统中起着重要作用,有助于将引擎动力传输到车轮。这些齿轮可以实现平稳的换檔,使汽车能够有效加速并在各种驾驶条件下保持最佳速度。它采用创新的齿轮设计,提高燃油效率,提高性能,并确保无缝的驾驶体验。
在汽车产量增加和消费者需求增加的推动下,亚太地区预计将在预测期内创下最大的市场占有率。中国、日本和印度等国家是主要参与者,它们在製造技术方面取得了进步,并转向电动和混合动力汽车,从而改善了齿轮设计和效率。此外,政府促进汽车创新和基础设施投资的措施也进一步提振了市场前景。此外,对燃油效率的日益关注使亚太地区成为汽车齿轮生产和创新的重要中心。
由于汽车产业蓬勃发展,预计北美地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。美国和加拿大引领市场,专注于支援电动车和自动化系统的齿轮设计创新。主要汽车製造商的存在以及对永续性的日益关注正在刺激更轻、更强的齿轮的发展。此外,减少排放的研发投资和监管支持正在推动该地区的市场成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Automotive Gears Market is accounted for $42.58 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $52.63 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 5.2% during the forecast period. Automotive gears are mechanical components that transmit power and motion within a vehicle's drivetrain. They enable the engine's rotational force to be converted into usable torque, allowing for acceleration and speed regulation. They come in various forms, such as spur, helical, bevel, and planetary gears, each designed to optimize efficiency, reduce wear, and ensure reliability under different driving conditions.
According to IEA, 14 million new electric vehicles were registered in Europe in 2023, China produced 8.1 million electric vehicles, and the US reached 1.4 million in 2023.
Growing vehicle production
As global automotive manufacturing ramps up, the need for reliable, high-performance gears becomes critical for enhancing vehicle efficiency, performance, and safety. Increased production leads to higher sales volumes, allowing manufacturers to scale operations and invest in innovative gear technologies. Additionally, the rise in consumer preference for advanced features in vehicles, such as improved fuel efficiency and enhanced driving dynamics, further fuels the demand for specialized gear systems, ultimately contributing to market growth and innovation in gear design and manufacturing.
Design complexities
Design complexities in automotive gears arise from the need for higher performance, efficiency, and adaptability in modern vehicles. As manufacturers incorporate advanced technologies, such as hybrid and electric drive trains, the intricacies of gear systems increase, necessitating precise engineering and specialized materials. These complexities can lead to longer development times, higher production costs, and increased risk of design errors, ultimately hampering market growth.
Mounting shift towards electric vehicles (EVs)
The mounting shift towards electric vehicles (EVs) necessitates the development of specialized gear systems tailored for electric drive trains. Unlike traditional internal combustion engines, EVs require different gear configurations to optimize torque delivery and improve efficiency. This transition encourages manufacturers to innovate and develop lightweight, high-performance gears that enhance the overall performance of electric vehicles. As EV adoption continues to rise, the automotive gears market will expand to meet evolving requirements in this segment.
Competition from alternative technologies
Competition from alternative technologies, such as electric and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, reduces the reliance on traditional mechanical gear systems. Additionally, innovations like direct-drive systems and electronically controlled transmissions eliminate the need for complex gear arrangements, further threatening traditional gear manufacturers. This shift can lead to decreased investment in gear technology development and production, creating challenges for companies to maintain competitiveness in a rapidly evolving automotive landscape.
Covid-19 Impact
The covid-19 pandemic significantly impacted the automotive gears market by disrupting production and supply chains, leading to delays and shortages. Lockdowns and reduced consumer demand caused a decline in vehicle sales, resulting in decreased gear production. However, the shift towards electric vehicles (EVs) spurred innovation in gear technology, as manufacturers sought to adapt to new drivetrain requirements. As the market recovers, a focus on sustainability and advanced manufacturing processes is expected to shape the future of automotive gears.
The smart gears segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The smart gears segment is predicted to secure the largest market share throughout the forecast period owing to its enhanced vehicle performance and efficiency. These gears provide real-time data on parameters like temperature, wear, and load, enabling predictive maintenance and reducing downtime. Their ability to communicate with other vehicle systems supports enhanced functionality, contributing to the development of autonomous and connected vehicles, ultimately revolutionizing the automotive gears market.
The automotive gears segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The automotive gears segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR during the forecast period. Automotive gears play a crucial role in transmission systems, facilitating the transfer of engine power to the wheels. They enable smooth gear shifts, allowing vehicles to accelerate efficiently and maintain optimal speed across various driving conditions. They leverage innovative gear designs to enhance fuel efficiency, improve performance, and ensure a seamless driving experience.
Asia Pacific is expected to register the largest market share during the forecast period driven by increasing vehicle production and rising consumer demand. Countries like China, Japan, and India are major players, with advancements in manufacturing technologies and a shift towards electric and hybrid vehicles enhancing gear design and efficiency. Additionally, government initiatives promoting automotive innovations and investments in infrastructure further boost market prospects. Further, growing focus on fuel efficiency is making the Asia-Pacific region a key hub for automotive gear production and innovation.
North America is projected to witness the highest CAGR over the forecast period characterized by a strong automotive industry. The United States and Canada lead the market, focusing on innovations in gear design to support electric vehicles and automated systems. The presence of major automotive manufacturers and a growing emphasis on sustainability are fueling the development of lightweight and high-strength gears. Additionally, investments in research and development, along with regulatory support for emissions reduction, are propelling market growth in the region.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Automotive Gears Market include Robert Bosch GmbH, Magna International Inc., ZF Friedrichshafen AG, Eaton Corporation plc, Schaeffler AG, Bharat Gears Ltd., Univance Corporation, Linamar Corporation, SHOWA Corporation, Mando Corporation, Oerlikon Group, NSK Limited, GKN Automotive, BorgWarner Inc., American Axle & Manufacturing Inc. and Dana Incorporated.
In May 2024, Dana Incorporated launched a new line of high-efficiency gear systems designed specifically for commercial electric vehicles (EVs), with a focus on heavy-duty applications such as trucks and buses. This development aims to enhance the overall energy efficiency and performance of electric drivetrains, addressing the growing demand for sustainable solutions in the transportation sector.
In April 2024, ZF Friedrichshafen AG introduced a new range of gear systems aimed at optimizing the performance of electric vehicle (EV) drive trains. These innovative gear systems are specifically designed to address key challenges in electric mobility, such as energy efficiency and driving range, which are critical for the success of electric vehicles.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.