市场调查报告书
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2030 年加氢裂解装置市场预测:按类型、催化剂类型、原料、应用和地区进行的全球分析Hydrocracker Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis by Type, Catalyst Type, Feedstock, Application and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC预测,2024年全球加氢裂解装置市场规模将达到718.9亿美元,预计2030年将达到1,179亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为8.6%。
加氢裂解器是重要的精製设备,可将重质碳氢化合物转化为更轻、更高价值的产品,例如柴油、喷射机燃料和汽油。这个过程称为加氢裂解,在催化剂存在下使用高压、高温和氢气。为了满足环保要求,加氢裂解器被製造用于将重油馏分(例如减压瓦斯油和渣油)转化为更清洁的低硫燃料。
对清洁燃料的需求不断增长
旨在减少排放的更严格的环境法规,例如超低硫柴油和汽油标准,正在推动对清洁燃料的需求。这项变更迫使炼油厂实现营运现代化,而加氢裂解装置对于此过程至关重要,因为它们将重质原油转化为高品质、低硫燃料。加氢裂解装置的投资是由市场需求和满足监管要求的需求所驱动的。随着各国优先考虑燃料效率和脱碳,加氢裂解装置成为永续精製的必需品,市场正在扩大。
资本和营业成本高
加氢裂解装置的高营运和资本成本可能会阻碍对新措施和改进的投资,从而阻碍市场扩张。较小的炼油厂可能会因高昂的初始安装成本以及持续的维护和营业成本而被推迟。这种成本障碍可能会减缓加氢裂解技术的采用,并影响整个市场的产能成长。结果,这将阻碍市场的扩张。
能源消耗增加
能源消耗的增加,特别是在开发中国家,正在推动对运输燃料和石化产品的需求。持续的工业活动和人口成长将增加对高效燃料生产的需求。在这种情况下,加氢裂解装置至关重要,因为它们使炼油厂能够将较重的原油转化为更轻、更适销的产品,如汽油和柴油。加氢裂解技术的投资是受这一趋势推动的,也将提高炼油厂的产能和效率,以满足市场需求,同时维持环境法规,推动市场扩张。结果是,有利于市场扩张。
原油价格波动
原油价格波动为炼油厂带来财务不确定性,进而对市场产生负面影响。油价下跌导致净利率下降,迫使炼油厂缩减加氢裂解技术和维护投资。因此,计划进度可能会被推迟,产能扩张可能会受到阻碍。此外,价格波动使长期规划变得复杂,并使炼油厂难以进行昂贵的加氢裂解器升级,阻碍了市场成长。
由于关门和旅行限制,运输燃料的需求减少,COVID-19 大流行扰乱了加氢裂解器市场。炼油厂运作放缓,导致加氢裂解装置计划及维修延误。然而,随着疫情后燃料消耗的恢復,市场有所復苏。这场危机也加速了向清洁燃料的转变,促使炼油厂升级加氢裂解装置,以提高效率并满足环保要求。
沸石催化剂产业预计在预测期内规模最大
沸石催化剂能够将重质碳氢化合物转化为柴油、喷射机燃料和石化原料等有价值的产品,因此沸石催化剂领域预计将成为预测期内最大的领域。沸石催化剂的高热稳定性和酸性可促进更深的裂解并优化炼油厂产量。此外,沸石催化剂透过促进硫和其他杂质的去除来支持清洁燃料的生产。随着炼油厂致力于满足更严格的环境法规并最大限度地提高盈利,对先进沸石催化剂的需求持续成长。
剩余升级部分预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高。
渣油提质领域预计在预测期内将出现最高的复合年增长率,因为它透过最大限度地利用资源、减少废弃物和将渣油转化为低品位燃料来提高盈利。加氢裂解残渣升级还可透过减少硫和碳排放来支援环境合规性。随着炼油厂应对原油品质的变化和收紧燃料规格,对具有渣油升级能力的加氢裂解装置的需求持续成长。
预计北美地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率,因为炼油厂能够将重质原油转化为柴油和喷射机燃料等高价值产品,从而提高营运效率和盈利。对清洁燃料的需求不断增加以及向石化生产的转变进一步推动了加氢裂解装置的采用。由于北美专注于能源转型和精製升级,加氢裂解器帮助炼油厂保持竞争力,同时确保遵守更严格的燃料标准并支援国内能源需求。
预计亚太地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高,因为对运输燃料的需求,特别是中国和印度等国家的需求,正在推动市场扩张。此外,加氢裂解装置可协助炼油厂优化重质原油加工,提高盈利。此外,随着炼油厂产量多样化,向石化产品的转变也推动了加氢裂解装置的采用。市场对于提高燃料品质、保障地区能源安全扮演重要角色。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Hydrocracker Market is accounted for $71.89 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $117.9 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.6% during the forecast period. A hydrocracker is an essential refinery unit that converts heavy hydrocarbons into lighter, higher-value products such as diesel, jet fuel, and gasoline. High pressure, high temperatures, and hydrogen gas in the presence of catalysts are all used in the process, which is called hydro cracking. In order to comply with environmental requirements, hydrocrackers are made to transform heavy oil fractions, such as vacuum gas oil and residue, into cleaner, low-sulfur fuels.
Growing Demand for Cleaner Fuels
Stringent environmental rules aimed at decreasing emissions, such as standards for ultra-low sulfur diesel and gasoline, are driving up demand for cleaner fuel. This change forces refineries to modernize their operations, and hydrocrackers are essential in this process since they transform heavy crude into high-quality, low-sulfur fuels. Investment in hydrocracker units is encouraged by the demand in order to satisfy market demands and regulatory requirements. The market is expanding because hydrocrackers are becoming necessary for sustainable refining as nations prioritize fuel economy and decarbonization.
High Capital and Operating Costs
Hydrocrackers' high operating and capital expenses can impede market expansion by discouraging investment in new initiatives and improvements. Smaller refiners may be put off by the high initial installation costs as well as continuing maintenance and operating costs. This cost barrier might cause hydrocracking technology to be adopted more slowly, which would affect the market's overall capacity increase. As a result, it prevents the market from expanding.
Rising Energy Consumption
Rising energy consumption, particularly in developing nations, has driven up demand for transportation fuels and petrochemicals. The requirement for efficient fuel production increases as industrial activity and population growth continue. In this situation, hydrocrackers are essential because they allow refineries to transform heavier crude oils into lighter, more marketable goods like gasoline and diesel. Investment in hydro cracking technology is fueled by this trend, which also increases refinery capacity and efficiency to satisfy market demands while maintaining environmental regulations, thus promoting market expansion. As a result, it promotes market expansion.
Fluctuating Crude Oil Prices
Fluctuating crude oil prices negatively impact the market by creating financial uncertainty for refiners. Low prices may lead to reduced margins, prompting refineries to scale back investments in hydro cracking technology and maintenance. This can delay project timelines and hinder capacity expansion. Additionally, volatility complicates long-term planning, making it difficult for refiners to commit to costly hydrocracker upgrades, thus it hampers the growth of the market.
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted the hydrocracker market due to reduced demand for transportation fuels amid lockdowns and travel restrictions. Refinery operations slowed, leading to delays in hydrocracker projects and maintenance. However, the market rebounded as fuel consumption recovered post-pandemic. The crisis also accelerated the shift toward cleaner fuels, prompting refineries to upgrade hydrocrackers for enhanced efficiency and environmental compliance.
The zeolite-based catalysts segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The zeolite-based catalysts segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period as these catalysts enable better conversion of heavy hydrocarbons into valuable products like diesel, jet fuel, and petrochemical feed stocks. Their high thermal stability and acidity facilitate deeper cracking, optimizing refinery yields. Additionally, zeolite catalysts support the production of cleaner fuels by promoting the removal of sulfur and other impurities. As refineries aim to meet stricter environmental regulations and maximize profitability, the demand for advanced zeolite-based catalysts continues to grow.
The residue upgrading segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The residue upgrading segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period because it maximizes resource utilization, reduces waste, and enhances profitability by converting residues that would otherwise be used as low-grade fuel. Residue upgrading through hydro cracking also supports environmental compliance by lowering sulfur and carbon emissions. As refineries adapt to shifting crude oil qualities and stricter fuel standards, the demand for hydrocrackers with residue upgrading capabilities continues to grow.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period as it enables refineries to convert heavy crude into higher-value products like diesel and jet fuel, improving operational efficiency and profitability. The growing demand for cleaner fuels and the shift toward petrochemical production further drive hydrocracker adoption. As North America focuses on energy transition and refining upgrades, hydrocrackers help refineries remain competitive while ensuring compliance with stricter fuel standards and supporting domestic energy needs.
Asia Pacific is projected to witness the highest CAGR over the forecast period owing to demand for transportation fuels, especially in countries like China and India, drives market expansion. Additionally, hydrocrackers help refineries optimize heavy crude processing, enhancing profitability. The shift toward petrochemicals as refineries diversify their outputs also boosts hydrocracker adoption. This market plays a key role in improving fuel quality and ensuring energy security in the region.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Hydrocracker Market include Albemarle Corporation, Arkema, Axens, BASF SE, BP plc, Chevron Corporation, Clariant, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Haldor Topsoe A/S, Honeywell International Inc., Indian Oil Corporation Limited, JGC Corporation, Johnson Matthey, PetroChina Company Limited, Royal Dutch Shell plc, Saudi Aramco, Sinopec Corporation, TotalEnergies SE, Valero Energy Corporation and W. R. Grace & Co.-Conn.
In July 2024, BASF and 'Pragati' extended full transparency & traceability to bio-based footwear solutions with SuCCESS code. The footwear segment has been at the forefront of implementing sustainable solutions at BASF.
In June 2024, CPGC and BASF signed Framework Agreement on actual ship application of Onboard Carbon Capture System. OASE blue is BASF's gas treatment technology designed for CO2 capture application in flue gas, with low energy consumption, low solvent losses, and an exceptionally flexible operating range.
In Oct 2023, Honeywell announced Honeywell Product Quality Review, an innovative software solution for manufacturers of medical products. The solution is designed to automate and streamline the annual product quality review (APQR) process.
Table (2022-2030) ($MN)