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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1617151
2030 年玉米市场预测:按类型、形状、分销管道、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Maize Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Yellow Maize, White Maize, Sweet Maize, Flint Maize, Popcorn Maize and Other Types), Form, Distribution Channel, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2024年全球玉米市场规模为1,436亿美元,预计到2030年将达到1,924亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为5.0%。玉米,俗称玉蜀黍,是一种原产于中美洲的谷物植物(Zea mays)。玉米是世界上种植最广泛的作物之一,以其可食用的大颗粒状结构而闻名。玉米是一种用途广泛的作物,有多种用途,包括麵粉、玉米饼和爆米花,以及牲畜饲料和生质燃料等工业产品。玉米富含碳水化合物、纤维和必需营养素,在数百万人的饮食中发挥重要作用,特别是在开发中国家。
据粮农组织称,2020年全球玉米产量将从11.4亿吨增加到11.6亿吨。据此,其生产面积将从2019年的1.96亿公顷增加到2020年的2.01亿公顷。
饲料需求增加
由于玉米是动物营养的主要原料,动物饲料需求的成长对市场产生了重大影响。随着全球畜牧业的扩张,特别是在新兴经济体,对负担得起的优质饲料的需求正在迅速增加。这一趋势正在推动玉米生产,农民越来越注重种植玉米作为饲料而不是食品。此外,人们对动物健康和生产力重要性的认识不断提高,进一步加速了饲料产业的玉米消费。
天气变化
天气波动对市场构成重大风险,因为干旱、洪水和反季节气温等极端天气事件可能严重影响作物产量。降雨模式不一致和气温上升降低了玉米产量并导致供不应求。这些干扰推高了玉米价格,对生产者和消费者都产生了影响。此外,天气造成的歉收可能导致市场不稳定,使农民更难规划和获得稳定收入。
增加生质燃料的使用
玉米在生质燃料中的使用不断增加,特别是乙醇生产,正在重塑市场。随着各国优先考虑再生能源来源以减少碳排放,玉米已成为生质燃料生产的关键成分。这项变更将增加对玉米的需求,影响价格和供应。这种趋势在美国等地区尤其明显,这些地区的政策支持生质燃料生产,导致农民分配更多土地种植专门用于生质燃料生产的玉米。
与其他作物的竞争
来自大豆和小麦等其他作物的竞争会占用玉米种植的土地和资源,对市场产生负面影响。农民可能会转向盈利较高或风险较低的作物,特别是为了应对玉米价格波动或天气变化。这减少了玉米的供应,导致价格波动和市场不稳定。此外,生质燃料和食品产业对替代作物的需求不断增加,将进一步加剧这种竞争。
COVID-19 大流行对市场造成了毁灭性影响,造成供应链瓶颈、劳动力短缺和运输延误。停产和限制扰乱了生产和分销,影响了国内和国际玉米贸易。此外,全球对牲畜饲料和生质燃料等玉米产品需求的中断导致市场不稳定。农民面临财务困难,许多人难以维持其生产,导致产量减少和价格波动。
黄玉米部分预计将在预测期内成为最大的部分
由于黄玉米在饲料、食品、生质燃料等方面的用途广泛,预计在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。富含淀粉和必需营养素,是畜牧饲料和工业用途的首选品种。由于需求量大,因此进行了大规模生产,特别是在美国和巴西等国家。此外,黄玉米是加工食品的重要原料,也是市场的关键驱动力。
预计水产养殖业在预测期内复合年增长率最高
预计水产养殖业在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。随着对水产品的需求增加,水产养殖业依赖玉米作为饲料的高能量含量和营养价值。这种转变将促进玉米消费,特别是在水产养殖业不断发展的国家。对永续和具有成本效益的饲料的需求不断增长,进一步巩固了玉米在支持全球水产养殖业扩张中的作用。
由于高生产水准和多样化的应用,预计北美地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。玉米对于牲畜饲料、生质燃料生产和食品至关重要。受益于先进的农业技术和政府政策,美国仍然是世界上最大的玉米生产国和出口国。加拿大也对该地区的玉米市场做出了较小规模的贡献,主要用于饲料和加工。
由于人类消费和牲畜饲料行业的需求不断增加,预计亚太地区在预测期内将出现最高的成长率。家禽畜牧业的快速成长是玉米需求的主要动力。在印度和中国等国家,玉米是动物饲料的重要成分。此外,各国政府也实施了补贴和最低支持价格(MSP)等支持措施,以提高国内玉米产量。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Maize Market is accounted for $143.6 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $192.4 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 5.0% during the forecast period. Maize, commonly known as corn, is a cereal plant (Zea mays) originating from Central America. It is one of the most widely cultivated crops globally, known for its large, edible kernels that grow on cob-like structures. Maize is a versatile crop used for human consumption in various forms, including flour, tortillas, and popcorn, as well as for animal feed and industrial products like biofuels. Rich in carbohydrates, fiber, and essential nutrients, maize plays a vital role in the diets of millions of people, especially in developing countries.
According to FAO, global maize production increased from 1.14 billion ton to 1.16 billion ton in 2020. Along with this, the area under its production also increased from 196 million hectares in 2019 to 201 million hectares in 2020.
Rising demand for animal feed
The rising demand for animal feed is significantly influencing the market, as maize is a primary ingredient in animal nutrition. As the global livestock industry expands, particularly in emerging economies, the need for affordable, high-quality feed has surged. This trend drives maize production, with farmers increasingly focusing on cultivating maize for feed rather than food products. Additionally, the growing awareness of the importance of animal health and productivity further accelerates maize consumption in the animal feed sector.
Weather variability
Weather variability poses a significant risk to the market, as extreme weather events like droughts, floods, and unseasonal temperatures can severely impact crop yields. Inconsistent rainfall patterns and rising temperatures reduce maize productivity, leading to supply shortages. These disruptions drive up maize prices, affecting both producers and consumers. Additionally, weather-induced crop failures can cause instability in the market, making it more challenging for farmers to plan and secure consistent income.
Increasing use in biofuels
The increasing use of maize in biofuels, particularly ethanol production, is reshaping the market. As countries prioritize renewable energy sources to reduce carbon emissions, maize has become a key feedstock for biofuel production. This shift boosts maize demand, influencing its price and availability. The trend is particularly strong in regions like the U.S., where policies support biofuel production, driving farmers to allocate more land for maize cultivation dedicated to biofuel production.
Competition from other crops
Competition from other crops, such as soybeans and wheat, negatively impacts the market by diverting land and resources away from maize cultivation. Farmers may shift to more profitable or less risky crops, particularly in response to fluctuating maize prices or changing weather conditions. This reduces maize supply, causing price volatility and market instability. Additionally, growing demand for alternative crops in biofuels or food industries further intensifies this competition.
The COVID-19 pandemic had a disruptive impact on the market, causing supply chain bottlenecks, labor shortages, and transportation delays. Lockdowns and restrictions hindered production and distribution, affecting both domestic and international maize trade. Additionally, disruptions in global demand for maize-based products, including animal feed and biofuels, led to market instability. Farmers faced financial challenges, with many struggling to maintain operations, leading to reduced production and price fluctuations.
The yellow maize segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The yellow maize segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the projection period due to its versatile use in animal feed, food products, and biofuels. Rich in starch and essential nutrients, it is the preferred variety for livestock feeding and industrial applications. Its high demand drives large-scale production, especially in countries like the U.S. and Brazil. Additionally, yellow maize is a vital ingredient in processed foods, making it a key driver in markets.
The aquaculture segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The aquaculture segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the extrapolated period. As the demand for seafood rises, aquaculture operations rely on maize for its high-energy content and nutritional value in feed. This shift boosts maize consumption, particularly in countries with growing aquaculture industries. The rising need for sustainable and cost-effective feed further solidifies maize's role in supporting the expansion of the global aquaculture sector.
North America region is estimated to account for the largest market share during the forecast period driven by high production levels and diverse uses. Maize is crucial for animal feed, biofuel production, and food products. The U.S. remains the world's largest producer and exporter of maize, benefiting from advanced farming technology and government policies. Canada also contributes to the regional maize market, though on a smaller scale, primarily for animal feed and processing.
Asia Pacific is expected to register the highest growth rate over the forecast period driven by rising demand from both human consumption and animal feed sectors. The rapid growth of the poultry and livestock industries is a primary driver of maize demand. In countries like India and China, maize is a crucial ingredient in animal feed. Additionally, various governments are implementing supportive measures such as subsidies and minimum support prices (MSPs) to boost domestic maize production.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Maize market include Cargill, Incorporated, Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM), Bunge Limited, Syngenta International AG, DuPont de Nemours, Inc., Bayer CropScience, Olam International, GrainCorp Limited, The Mosaic Company, Ingredion Incorporated, Tate & Lyle PLC, Royal DSM, Global Food Group, Conagra Brands, Inc and Sumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd.
In November 2024, Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) announced the opening of an expanded corn wet mill production facility in Razgrad, Bulgaria.
In September 2024, Cargill India is set to operate a new corn mill in Karnataka, which represents the company's largest investment in India, amounting to approximately $96.38 million. The facility will process about 800 tonnes of corn daily, primarily sourced locally.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.