市场调查报告书
商品编码
1617200
2030 年可再生能源市场预测:按类型、应用和地区分類的全球分析Renewable Energy Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type, Application and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC预测,2024年全球可再生能源市场规模将达到12,691.4亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为18.8%,预计到2030年将达到35,678.5亿美元。
可再生能源是指从阳光、风、雨、潮汐、波浪、地热等自然资源中获得的、可以在人类时间尺度上恢復的能源。再生能源来源对于阻止气候变迁和确保永续发展至关重要,因为与石化燃料相比,排放的温室气体更少,对环境的污染也更少。
根据国际能源总署 (IEA) 的数据,在加速情境下,到 2030 年,全球可再生能源装置容量将增加近两倍,达到近 11,000 吉瓦。
降低可再生能源技术成本
由于过去十年成本显着降低,可再生能源技术在经济上已具备与石化燃料相比的竞争力。根据国际可再生能源机构(IRENA)的报告,自2010年以来,陆上风力发电成本下降了40%,光电模组价格下降了80%。这一趋势是由技术创新、规模经济和製造业进步所推动的。此外,例如,中国在太阳能板生产方面的主导地位导致全球价格下降,而涡轮机效率的提高使风电变得更便宜。
初期投资成本高
儘管成本大幅降低,但与传统石化燃料系统相比,可再生能源技术仍需要大量初始投资。风力发电机、太阳能发电厂和复杂的电网系统等基础设施需要大量的财务投资。例如,大型离岸风力发电计划可能会因电网整合、海底电缆和涡轮机安装的成本而令投资者望而却步。此外,开发中国家的财政资源有限,在没有外部援助或融资的情况下往往难以为可再生能源计划获得融资。
绿氢能发展
随着绿色氢能产业的快速发展,可再生能源面临着令人兴奋的机会。利用可再生电力产生的绿色氢气,可以使重工业、航运和航空等难以脱碳的产业脱碳。澳洲、日本和德国等国家大力投资绿氢基础设施和计划。此外,工业界和可再生能源公司之间的合作正在帮助氢技术商业化。
常规能源竞争
儘管存在环境问题,石化燃料仍然是主要竞争对手,特别是在化石燃料丰富且补贴丰厚的地区。在许多国家,煤炭和天然气比可再生能源更便宜。政府向石化燃料产业提供税收减免和补贴,进一步削弱了可再生能源的竞争优势。此外,支援石化燃料的现有能源网路和基础设施也使向可再生能源的过渡变得复杂。
COVID-19 的疫情对可再生能源市场产生了各种影响。由于供应链中断以及封锁和监管造成的计划开发延迟,可再生能源计划的开发放缓。由于投资被暂时重新分配以解决紧迫的经济和公共卫生问题,某些地区的可再生能源资金受到影响。然而,随着能源需求模式的改变以及许多国家增加了再生能源在其能源结构中的份额,与石化燃料相比,这场流行病证明了再生能源的弹性。
预计水电产业在预测期内将是最大的
预计可再生能源市场将由水力发电部门主导。其成熟的基础设施、扩充性和作为稳定能源来源的可靠性是其优越性的原因。水力发电厂是世界能源结构的重要组成部分,因为它们提供基本负载电力。与太阳能和风能等间歇性能源来源相比,水力发电厂可以快速改变其输出以满足不断变化的能源需求。此外,水力发电是许多国家(包括中国、巴西和加拿大)可再生能源的主要来源。儘管存在高初始资本投资和环境问题等障碍,该行业仍具有较长的营运寿命和较低的营业成本。
预计住宅领域在预测期内复合年增长率最高
在可再生能源市场中,住宅领域预计将以最高的复合年增长率成长。这种增长是由小型可再生能源的使用不断增加所推动的,例如家用电池储存系统、屋顶太阳能电池板和住宅风力发电机。世界各国政府提供税额扣抵、上网电价补贴和补贴等奖励,以鼓励住宅转向可再生能源,进一步推动了市场成长。此外,技术发展正在降低可再生能源系统的成本并提高其效率,满足消费者对环境永续性和能源独立性的需求。
预计可再生能源市场将由亚太地区主导。这一优势是由对太阳能发电工程的大量投资推动的,特别是在中国和印度等国家,这些国家是全球太阳能电池板市场的主要参与企业。随着该地区快速的都市化和工业化增加了能源需求,各国政府正在製定奖励,鼓励使用可再生能源。此外,澳洲和日本等国家正在大力投资可再生基础设施,巩固了该地区作为可再生能源开发先驱的地位。
在预测期内,北美地区将出现可再生能源市场复合年增长率最高的地区。旨在减少碳排放和鼓励永续能源实践的政府计划,以及增加对可再生技术(特别是太阳能和风力发电)的投资,正在推动这一成长。随着经济成长导致电力需求持续增加,该地区对尖端可再生能源生产技术的重视预计将进一步加速市场扩张。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Renewable Energy Market is accounted for $1269.14 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $3567.85 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 18.8% during the forecast period. Renewable energy describes energy that comes from natural resources like sunlight, wind, rain, tides, waves, and geothermal heat that are restored on a human timescale. Since renewable energy sources emit fewer greenhouse gases and contribute to less environmental pollution than fossil fuels, they are essential for halting climate change and guaranteeing sustainable development.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global renewable energy capacity is set to nearly triple by 2030 under its accelerated scenario, reaching almost 11,000 GW.
Reduction in renewable technology costs
Renewable energy technologies have become economically competitive with fossil fuels due to a significant decrease in cost over the last ten years. The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) reports that onshore wind costs have dropped by 40% since 2010, while solar PV module prices have dropped by 80%. This trend is being driven by technological innovations, economies of scale, and manufacturing advancements. Additionally, China's hegemony in the production of solar panels, for instance, has helped to lower prices globally, and advancements in turbine efficiency have made wind power more affordable.
Expensive initial investment costs
Despite considerable cost reductions, renewable energy technologies still require a large initial investment when compared to conventional fossil fuel systems. Large financial investments are needed for infrastructure such as wind turbines, solar farms, and sophisticated grid systems. Large offshore wind projects, for example, can put off investors due to the costs of grid integration, subsea cabling, and turbine installation. Furthermore, adoption rates are also slowed by developing nations limited financial resources, which frequently make it difficult to set aside money for renewable energy projects without outside assistance or loans.
Development of green hydrogen
Renewable energy has a revolutionary opportunity with the burgeoning green hydrogen sector. Decarbonizing hard-to-abate industries like heavy industry, shipping, and aviation may be possible with green hydrogen, which is generated using renewable electricity. Australia, Japan, and Germany are among the nations making significant investments in green hydrogen infrastructure and projects. Moreover, collaborations between industries and renewable energy firms are propelling the commercialization of hydrogen technologies.
Conventional energy's competitiveness
Fossil fuels continue to be a major rival despite environmental concerns, particularly in areas where they are plentiful and heavily subsidized. Coal and natural gas continue to be more affordable and available than renewable alternatives in many nations. The competitive advantage of renewable energy is further hampered by governments that offer tax breaks or subsidies to the fossil fuel industry. Additionally, the established energy networks and infrastructure that support fossil fuels also make the switch to renewable energy sources more difficult.
The COVID-19 pandemic affected the market for renewable energy in different ways. The deployment of renewable energy projects was slowed down, on the one hand, by supply chain disruptions and project development delays brought on by lockdowns and restrictions. Funding for renewable energy was impacted in certain areas as investments were momentarily reallocated to address pressing economic and public health issues. However, as energy demand patterns changed and renewables grew in proportion to the energy mix in many nations, the pandemic demonstrated the resilience of renewables in comparison to fossil fuels.
The Hydroelectric Power segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The market for renewable energy is expected to be dominated by the hydroelectric power segment. Its established infrastructure, scalability, and dependability as a steady energy source are the reasons for its dominance. Hydroelectric plants are an essential part of the world's energy mix because they supply base load electricity. Hydropower plants can swiftly modify their output to satisfy changing energy demands, in contrast to intermittent sources like solar and wind. Furthermore, hydropower is a major source of renewable energy in many nations, such as China, Brazil, and Canada. Despite obstacles like high initial capital investment and environmental concerns, the segment enjoys long operational life spans and low operating costs.
The Residential segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
In the market for renewable energy, the residential segment is projected to grow at the highest CAGR. The growing use of small-scale renewable energy sources like home battery storage systems, rooftop solar panels, and residential wind turbines is what is causing this growth. The growth of the market is being further accelerated by governments around the world offering incentives such as tax credits, feed-in tariffs, and subsidies to entice homeowners to switch to renewable energy. Moreover, technological developments have reduced the cost and increased the efficiency of renewable energy systems, satisfying consumer demands for environmental sustainability and energy independence.
The market for renewable energy is expected to be dominated by the Asia Pacific region. Significant investments in solar power projects, especially in nations like China and India, which are major participants in the global solar panel market, are the driving force behind this dominance. Rapid urbanization and industrialization in the area have raised energy demands, which is why governments are enacting incentives to encourage the use of renewable energy. Additionally, countries like Australia and Japan are making significant investments in renewable infrastructure, strengthening the region's standing as a pioneer in the development of renewable energy.
Over the course of the forecast period, the renewable energy market is expected to grow at the highest CAGR in the North American region. Government programs aimed at lowering carbon emissions and encouraging sustainable energy practices, as well as growing investments in renewable technologies, particularly solar and wind energy, are driving this growth. The region's emphasis on cutting-edge renewable energy production techniques is anticipated to further accelerate market expansion as the demand for electricity continues to rise as a result of economic growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Renewable Energy market include ABB Ltd, EDF Renewables, Innergex, Schneider Electric, Adani Green Energy Ltd, Tata Power Company Limited, General Electric (GE), Enel Green Power S.p.A, Acconia S.A., Invenergy, Suzlon Energy Ltd., Geronimo Energy, Xcel Energy Inc, Orient Green Power Company Ltd and Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, S.A.
In November 2024, EDF Renewables North America has signed a 20-year Energy Storage Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with Arizona Public Service (APS) for the development of the Beehive Battery Energy Storage System in Peoria, Arizona. This stand-alone battery energy storage system (BESS), with a capacity of 250 MW and four-hour duration, is expected to begin construction in 2025 and reach commercial operation in 2026.
In October 2024, Schneider Electric and StarCharge have signed a joint venture agreement aimed at driving innovation in the European electric vehicle (EV) and energy storage markets. The joint venture will create a leading European prosumer company delivering EV charging infrastructure, photovoltaic inverters, AC and DC chargers, and storage systems to the European market.
In May 2024, ABB Canada and Powrmatic Canada Ltd announced a new regional distribution agreement. Powrmatic will provide electrical contractors increased access to a complete portfolio of cutting-edge ABB products and smart building solutions including, safety switches, switchboards, panelboards, amongst others, aimed at lowering energy consumption and ensuring electrical safety in residential and commercial buildings.