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市场调查报告书
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1636770

2030 年黄金市场预测:按类型、形状、分销管道、克拉、用途和地区进行全球分析

Gold Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Jewellery, Bullion, Technological Applications, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), Central Bank Reserves and Other Types), Form, Distribution Channel, Carat, Application and By Geography

出版日期: | 出版商: Stratistics Market Research Consulting | 英文 200+ Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

价格

根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,预测期内全球黄金市场以 9.38% 的复合年增长率成长。

黄金是一种贵金属,以其光泽的黄色外观、高延展性和抗腐蚀性而闻名。数千年来,黄金一直被视为交换媒介、财富的象征以及珠宝饰品、技术和工业应用的关键材料。它的稀有性、耐用性和导电性使其成为电子和航太应用中不可或缺的材料。此外,黄金是一种安全的资产,广泛用于投资并被中央银行作为持有。

珠宝饰品需求不断增长

人口、经济和文化等多种因素共同推动了黄金市场对珠宝饰品的需求不断增长。在中国和印度等国家,黄金具有重要的文化和礼仪意义,尤其是在宗教仪式、节庆和婚礼期间。这些国家的都市化进程加快和可支配收入增加,使得黄金首饰越来越普及,也越来越受欢迎。此外,时尚潮流的变化和珠宝设计的进步也帮助年轻的顾客发现黄金的魅力。奢侈品公司的国际行销努力进一步提升了黄金作为财富和声望的象征的地位。由于季节性和节日需求激增,黄金市场的这一领域不断增长。

黄金交易中的投机与操纵

黄金交易的投机和操纵严重影响黄金市场的稳定性和投资者信心。大型机构投资者和避险基金是众多投机者之一,他们经常影响黄金价格,并利用市场和经济趋势赚钱。波动性也可能是由于故意抬高或压低价格的行为造成的,例如欺骗或发送虚假的市场讯号。由于监管薄弱和结构分散,黄金交易很容易受到此类骗局的攻击。个人和机构投资者都可能受到操纵,从而削弱投资者信心并阻碍公平的价格发现。

扩大数位黄金平台

数位黄金平台的成长正在改变黄金市场,使其更容易获得并吸引更广泛的消费者。这些服务允许用户轻鬆且经济地在线上购买、出售和储存辅币黄金,从而消除了对实体所有权的需求。金融科技的兴起和智慧型手机的广泛使用正在加速其普及,尤其是在都市区的年轻、精通科技的消费者中。透明度、即时交易以及与投资应用程式整合等功能提高了用户的便利性和信任度。此外,与电子商务网站和金融机构的合作正在扩大数位黄金的覆盖范围。

工业需求有限

由于金价高企且有较便宜的替代品出现,黄金市场的工业需求较低。黄金优异的导电性和耐腐蚀性使其在电子、医疗设备和航太非常有用,但其高成本阻碍了它在这些应用中的广泛应用。在需要考虑成本的应用中,人们经常选择铜和银等替代品。技术发展也不断致力于在不牺牲功能的前提下减少黄金的使用量。由于道德和环境的考虑,工业化采金受到进一步限制。工业需求仅占整个黄金市场的一小部分,珠宝和投资需求占主导地位。

COVID-19 的影响

新冠肺炎疫情对黄金市场产生了重大影响,由于投资者在全球经济不确定的情况下寻求避险资产,黄金价格创下历史新高。采矿、提炼和供应链的中断暂时限制了黄金产量。然而,通膨担忧和股市动盪推动的投资需求上升抵消了这些挑战。央行政策和奖励策略进一步支撑了黄金的吸引力。同时,由于消费者珠宝饰品支出下降,黄金的实体需求暂时减弱,尤其是在印度和中国等主要市场。

预计预测期内数位黄金市场规模将达到最大。

由于智慧型手机使用量的增加、金融科技解决方案的兴起以及对线上投资平台的偏好日益增加,数位黄金市场估计将成为最大的市场。数位黄金允许用户投资少量黄金而无需实体存储,从而提供了更大的可访问性,吸引了小投资者。低进入门槛、即时交易和高透明度使其成为千禧世代和精通技术的个人的热门选择。此外,将数位黄金与其他投资组合相结合的便利性进一步加速了其在世界各地的采用。

预计预测期内工业应用领域将以最高的复合年增长率成长。

由于其优异的电导性、耐腐蚀性和延展性,预计工业应用领域在预测期内将呈现最高的复合年增长率。黄金广泛用于电子工业,製造连接器、开关和电路基板。在医学领域,黄金用于牙科治疗、医疗植入和诊断设备。此外,航太和国防工业也依赖黄金来承受恶劣条件及其在卫星中的反射特性。此外,黄金也用于可再生能源技术和精密仪器,进一步增强了其工业相关性。

比最大的地区

预计亚太地区将在市场占有率,而且人们对黄金具有很强的文化亲和性。这些国家的可支配收入不断提高、都市化加快以及中产阶级人口不断增长,推动了黄金珠宝饰品和投资的需求。此外,黄金被视为对冲通膨和经济不确定性的工具,进一步吸引了投资者。数位黄金平台的扩张和零售投资的增加也促进了该地区黄金市场的成长。

复合年增长率最高的地区:

在预测期内,由于经济不确定性、通膨担忧以及对避险资产的需求不断增加,预计北美将实现最高的复合年增长率。作为对冲市场波动的工具,黄金尤其在地缘政治不稳定和金融危机时期吸引投资者。此外,该地区拥有大量金矿开采公司和交易所交易基金(ETF),为市场准入提供了便利。数位黄金平台的日益普及以及人们对黄金投资潜力的认识不断提高也推动了该地区对贵金属的需求。

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  • 公司简介
    • 全面分析其他市场参与者(最多 3 家公司)
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    • 根据客户兴趣对主要国家进行的市场估计、预测和复合年增长率(註:基于可行性检查)
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    • 根据产品系列、地理分布和策略联盟对主要企业进行基准化分析

目录

第一章执行摘要

第 2 章 前言

  • 概述
  • 相关利益者
  • 研究范围
  • 调查方法
    • 资料探勘
    • 资料分析
    • 资料检验
    • 研究途径
  • 研究资讯来源
    • 主要研究资讯来源
    • 二手研究资料资讯来源
    • 先决条件

第三章 市场走势分析

  • 驱动程式
  • 限制因素
  • 机会
  • 威胁
  • 应用分析
  • 新兴市场
  • COVID-19 的影响

第 4 章 波特五力分析

  • 供应商的议价能力
  • 买家的议价能力
  • 替代品的威胁
  • 新进入者的威胁
  • 竞争对手之间的竞争

第五章 全球黄金市场类型

  • 珠宝
  • 金条
  • 科技应用
  • 交易所交易基金 (ETF)
  • 中央银行储备
  • 其他类型

6. 世界黄金市场形态

  • 纸黄金
  • 实体黄金
  • 数位黄金

7. 全球黄金市场按分销管道划分

  • 直接销售
  • 网路平台
  • 金融机构
  • 专卖店
  • 交换

第 8 章 世界黄金市场(以克拉计算)

  • 24 克拉
  • 22 克拉
  • 18 克拉
  • 14 克拉及以下

第九章 全球黄金市场(依用途)

  • 投资
  • 工业应用
  • 文化和宗教用途
  • 其他用途

第十章 全球黄金市场(按地区)

  • 北美洲
    • 美国
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥
  • 欧洲
    • 德国
    • 英国
    • 义大利
    • 法国
    • 西班牙
    • 其他欧洲国家
  • 亚太地区
    • 日本
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 澳洲
    • 纽西兰
    • 韩国
    • 其他亚太地区
  • 南美洲
    • 阿根廷
    • 巴西
    • 智利
    • 南美洲其他地区
  • 中东和非洲
    • 沙乌地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
    • 卡达
    • 南非
    • 其他中东和非洲地区

第十一章 重大进展

  • 协议、伙伴关係、合作和合资企业
  • 收购与合併
  • 新产品发布
  • 业务扩展
  • 其他关键策略

第十二章 公司概况

  • Gold Fields Limited
  • Kinross Gold Corporation
  • Barrick Gold Corporation
  • Polyus Gold International
  • Newmont Corporation
  • Metalor Technologies International SA
  • Valcambi SA
  • PAMP SA
  • Rand Refinery
  • Johnson Matthey
  • GoldMoney Inc.
  • Royal Canadian Mint
  • Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
  • Sibanye Stillwater Limited
  • Newcrest Mining Limited
Product Code: SMRC28412

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Gold Market is growing at a CAGR of 9.38% during the forecast period. Gold is a precious metal known for its lustrous yellow appearance, high malleability, and resistance to corrosion. Gold has been valued for millennia as a medium of exchange, a symbol of wealth, and a key material in jewellery, technology, and industrial applications. Its rarity, durability, and conductivity make it indispensable in electronics and aerospace. Additionally, gold is a safe-haven asset, widely used in investments and held by central banks as reserves.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Rising Demand in Jewelry

A mix of demographic, economic, and cultural factors is driving the growing demand for jewellery in the gold market. Gold has great cultural and ceremonial significance in places like China and India, especially during religious rites, festivals, and weddings. In these nations, rising urbanization and disposable affluence have increased the accessibility and allure of gold jewellery. Additionally, younger clients are discovering gold to be more appealing due to shifting fashion trends and advancements in jewellery design. Gold's standing as a symbol of wealth and prestige is further enhanced by international marketing initiatives by luxury firms. This area of the gold market consistently grows as a result of seasonal and festive demand spikes.

Restraint:

Speculation and manipulation in gold trading

The stability of the gold market and investor confidence are greatly impacted by speculation and manipulation in gold trading. Large institutional investors and hedge funds are among the many speculators who frequently affect gold prices by taking advantage of market and economic movements in order to make money. Volatility can occasionally result from coordinated acts that intentionally raise or deflate prices, such as spoofing or producing false market signals. Gold trade is vulnerable to such tactics due to regulatory weaknesses and its decentralized structure. Both retail and institutional participants are impacted by manipulation, which damages investor trust and interferes with fair price discovery.

Opportunity:

Expansion of digital gold platforms

The growth of digital gold platforms is transforming the gold market by increasing its accessibility and appeal to a wider range of consumers. These services remove the need for physical ownership by enabling users to easily and affordably buy, sell, and store fractional gold online. Adoption has been fuelled by the rise of fintech and smartphone penetration, especially among younger, tech-savvy consumers in both urban and rural locations. User convenience and confidence have increased due to features including transparency, real-time transactions, and connectivity with investment apps. Additionally, collaborations with e-commerce sites and financial institutions have expanded the reach of digital gold.

Threat:

Limited industrial demand

The high price of the metal and the availability of less expensive substitutes result in low industrial demand in the gold market. Although gold is useful in electronics, medical devices, and aerospace due to its exceptional conductivity and resistance to corrosion, its high cost prevents broad use in these sectors. For applications where cost is a concern, substitutes like copper and silver are frequently chosen. Technological developments also constantly aim to reduce the amount of gold used without sacrificing functionality. Gold mining's industrial adoption is further limited by ethical and environmental issues. Due to the dominance of jewellery and investment demand, industrial demand continues to represent a very modest portion of the total gold market.

Covid-19 Impact

The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the gold market, driving prices to record highs as investors sought safe-haven assets amidst global economic uncertainty. Disruptions in mining, refining, and supply chains temporarily constrained gold production. However, increased investment demand, fueled by inflation fears and volatile stock markets, offset these challenges. Central bank policies and stimulus measures further supported gold's appeal. Meanwhile, reduced consumer spending on jewellery, especially in key markets like India and China, led to a temporary decline in physical gold demand.

The digital gold segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The digital gold segment is estimated to be the largest, driven by increasing smartphone usage, the rise of fintech solutions, and the growing preference for online investment platforms. Digital gold provides accessibility, allowing users to invest in fractional gold without the need for physical storage, appealing to smaller investors. Low entry barriers, real-time transactions, and enhanced transparency have made it a popular choice among millennials and tech-savvy individuals. Additionally, the convenience of integrating digital gold with other investment portfolios further accelerates its adoption globally.

The industrial applications segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

The industrial applications segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR during the forecast period, due to its excellent conductivity, corrosion resistance, and malleability. It is widely used in electronics for manufacturing connectors, switches, and circuit boards. In the medical field, gold is used in dental work, medical implants, and diagnostic equipment. Aerospace and defense industries also rely on gold for its ability to withstand harsh conditions and its reflective properties in satellites. Additionally, gold is utilized in renewable energy technologies and high-precision instruments, further enhancing its industrial significance.

Region with largest share:

Asia Pacific is expected to have the largest market share during the forecast period due to strong cultural affinity for gold, particularly in countries like India and China, where gold is integral to weddings, festivals, and wealth preservation. Rising disposable incomes, urbanization, and growing middle-class populations in these countries boost demand for gold jewellery and investment. Additionally, gold is seen as a hedge against inflation and economic instability, which further attracts investors. The expanding digital gold platforms and increasing retail investment also contribute to the region's growing gold market.

Region with highest CAGR:

During the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to register the highest CAGR, owing to economic uncertainty, inflation concerns, and the growing demand for safe-haven assets. As a hedge against market volatility, gold attracts investors, especially during periods of geopolitical instability or financial crises. Additionally, the strong presence of gold mining companies and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the region facilitates market accessibility. The rising popularity of digital gold platforms and increasing awareness of gold's investment potential also contribute to the region's demand for the precious metal.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players profiled in the Gold Market include Gold Fields Limited, Kinross Gold Corporation, Barrick Gold Corporation, Polyus Gold International, Newmont Corporation, Metalor Technologies International SA, Valcambi SA, PAMP SA, Rand Refinery, Johnson Matthey, GoldMoney Inc., Royal Canadian Mint, Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited, Sibanye Stillwater Limited, and Newcrest Mining Limited.

Key Developments:

In December 2024, Bonterra Resources Inc. is pleased to announce additional assay results from the Moss target and the restart of drilling by a 100% indirect subsidiary of Gold Fields Ltd at the Phoenix JV. The Project is under a definitive earn-in and joint venture agreement with Osisko Mining Inc., which is now gold Fields.

In November 2024, Newmont Corporation announced that it has agreed to sell its Eleonore operation in Northern Quebec, Canada, to Dhilmar Ltd for $795 million in cash consideration. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2025, subject to certain conditions being satisfied.

In November 2023, Kinross Gold Corporation announced that it has acquired deemed beneficial ownership of 5,018,017 common shares of Allegiant Gold Ltd. issuable upon exercise of common share purchase warrants previously acquired by Kinross.

Types Covered:

  • Jewellery
  • Bullion
  • Technological Applications
  • Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
  • Central Bank Reserves
  • Other Types

Forms Covered:

  • Paper Gold
  • Physical Gold
  • Digital Gold

Distribution Channels Covered:

  • Direct Sales
  • Online Platforms
  • Financial Institutions
  • Specialized Retail Stores
  • Exchanges

Carats Covered:

  • 24 Carat
  • 22 Carat
  • 18 Carat
  • 14 Carat and below

Applications Covered:

  • Investment
  • Industrial Applications
  • Cultural and Religious Uses
  • Other Applications

Regions Covered:

  • North America
    • US
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • UK
    • Italy
    • France
    • Spain
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia Pacific
    • Japan
    • China
    • India
    • Australia
    • New Zealand
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • South America
    • Argentina
    • Brazil
    • Chile
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East & Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE
    • Qatar
    • South Africa
    • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

  • Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
  • Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
  • Covers Market data for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, 2026, and 2030
  • Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
  • Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
  • Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
  • Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
  • Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

  • Company Profiling
    • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
    • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
  • Regional Segmentation
    • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
  • Competitive Benchmarking
    • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

  • 2.1 Abstract
  • 2.2 Stake Holders
  • 2.3 Research Scope
  • 2.4 Research Methodology
    • 2.4.1 Data Mining
    • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
    • 2.4.3 Data Validation
    • 2.4.4 Research Approach
  • 2.5 Research Sources
    • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
    • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
    • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Drivers
  • 3.3 Restraints
  • 3.4 Opportunities
  • 3.5 Threats
  • 3.6 Application Analysis
  • 3.7 Emerging Markets
  • 3.8 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

  • 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
  • 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
  • 4.3 Threat of substitutes
  • 4.4 Threat of new entrants
  • 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Gold Market, By Type

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Jewellery
  • 5.3 Bullion
  • 5.4 Technological Applications
  • 5.5 Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
  • 5.6 Central Bank Reserves
  • 5.7 Other Types

6 Global Gold Market, By Form

  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.2 Paper Gold
  • 6.3 Physical Gold
  • 6.4 Digital Gold

7 Global Gold Market, By Distribution Channel

  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 Direct Sales
  • 7.3 Online Platforms
  • 7.4 Financial Institutions
  • 7.5 Specialized Retail Stores
  • 7.6 Exchanges

8 Global Gold Market, By Carat

  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 24 Carat
  • 8.3 22 Carat
  • 8.4 18 Carat
  • 8.5 14 Carat and below

9 Global Gold Market, By Application

  • 9.1 Introduction
  • 9.2 Investment
  • 9.3 Industrial Applications
  • 9.4 Cultural and Religious Uses
  • 9.5 Other Applications

10 Global Gold Market, By Geography

  • 10.1 Introduction
  • 10.2 North America
    • 10.2.1 US
    • 10.2.2 Canada
    • 10.2.3 Mexico
  • 10.3 Europe
    • 10.3.1 Germany
    • 10.3.2 UK
    • 10.3.3 Italy
    • 10.3.4 France
    • 10.3.5 Spain
    • 10.3.6 Rest of Europe
  • 10.4 Asia Pacific
    • 10.4.1 Japan
    • 10.4.2 China
    • 10.4.3 India
    • 10.4.4 Australia
    • 10.4.5 New Zealand
    • 10.4.6 South Korea
    • 10.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
  • 10.5 South America
    • 10.5.1 Argentina
    • 10.5.2 Brazil
    • 10.5.3 Chile
    • 10.5.4 Rest of South America
  • 10.6 Middle East & Africa
    • 10.6.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 10.6.2 UAE
    • 10.6.3 Qatar
    • 10.6.4 South Africa
    • 10.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

11 Key Developments

  • 11.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
  • 11.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
  • 11.3 New Product Launch
  • 11.4 Expansions
  • 11.5 Other Key Strategies

12 Company Profiling

  • 12.1 Gold Fields Limited
  • 12.2 Kinross Gold Corporation
  • 12.3 Barrick Gold Corporation
  • 12.4 Polyus Gold International
  • 12.5 Newmont Corporation
  • 12.6 Metalor Technologies International SA
  • 12.7 Valcambi SA
  • 12.8 PAMP SA
  • 12.9 Rand Refinery
  • 12.10 Johnson Matthey
  • 12.11 GoldMoney Inc.
  • 12.12 Royal Canadian Mint
  • 12.13 Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
  • 12.14 Sibanye Stillwater Limited
  • 12.15 Newcrest Mining Limited

List of Tables

  • Table 1 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Region (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 2 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Type (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 3 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Jewellery (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 4 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Bullion (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 5 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Technological Applications (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 6 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 7 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Central Bank Reserves (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 8 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Other Types (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 9 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Form (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 10 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Paper Gold (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 11 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Physical Gold (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 12 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Digital Gold (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 13 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Distribution Channel (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 14 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Direct Sales (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 15 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Online Platforms (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 16 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Financial Institutions (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 17 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Specialized Retail Stores (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 18 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Exchanges (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 19 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Carat (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 20 Global Gold Market Outlook, By 24 Carat (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 21 Global Gold Market Outlook, By 22 Carat (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 22 Global Gold Market Outlook, By 18 Carat (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 23 Global Gold Market Outlook, By 14 Carat and below (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 24 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Application (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 25 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Investment (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 26 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Industrial Applications (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 27 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Cultural and Religious Uses (2022-2030) ($MN)
  • Table 28 Global Gold Market Outlook, By Other Applications (2022-2030) ($MN)

Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.