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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1662721
2030 年磷酸盐市场预测:按类型、资源、应用和地区分類的全球分析Phosphates Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type, Resource, Application and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2024 年全球磷酸盐市场价值为 182.9 亿美元,预计到 2030 年将达到 243.7 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 4.9%。磷酸盐是由氧和磷组成的必需无机化合物,经常与钠、钾和钙等其他元素混合。磷酸盐对于生物和工业应用都至关重要。磷酸盐是DNA、RNA和ATP的重要组成部分,因此在生物体的细胞能量转移、遗传和代谢等生物过程中起着关键作用。肥料利用它们作为农业的主要养分,从而提高作物产量和土壤肥力。磷酸盐在工业中广泛用作食品添加剂、清洁剂,并在水处理过程中起到清洗、乳化和缓衝的作用。
根据美国地质调查局 (USGS) 的数据,2023 年 5 月美国可销售磷矿产量估计为 186 万吨,较 4 月增加 15%,较 2022 年 5 月下降 4%。
人们对肥料的兴趣日益浓厚
联合国预测,到2050年,地球人口将达到近100亿,对粮食生产的需求将持续增加。磷酸盐对于根部生长、开花和植物的整体健康至关重要,因此是肥料的关键成分。为了维持作物的高产量,中国、印度和美国等农业部门规模较大的国家都严重依赖磷酸盐肥料。此外,精密农业和土壤肥力管理的推动导致客製化磷肥的使用增加,以最大限度地提高养分输送和效率。
采矿相关的环境问题
磷酸盐开采和加工对环境的重大影响包括温室气体排放、栖息地破坏和水污染。采矿作业经常会产生大量废弃物,这些废物会透过放射性元素和重金属污染附近的水体。此外,化学肥料生产和开采会释放灰尘和有毒气体,也会造成空气污染。对这些环境问题的认识不断提高,导致对采矿作业的监管不断加强,从而推迟了磷酸盐生产商的新采矿计划并提高了合规成本。
磷酸盐回收技术开发
随着人们对永续性和资源保护的关注,磷酸盐回收现在提供了许多机会。鸟粪石结晶和生物回收技术等创新技术使得从污水、污水污泥和农业径流中提取磷成为可能。这些技术不仅减少了对采矿的依赖,也减少了磷径流对环境造成的污染。此外,世界各国政府和组织都在资助研发,以提高回收效率。
其他营养来源的竞争加剧
传统磷酸盐市场正日益受到合成生物学解决方案、生物肥料和有机肥料等替代营养源发展的威胁。这些替代方案对于有意减少农业对环境影响的消费者和立法者来说很有吸引力。此外,随着生物技术的发展,其有效性和可负担性得到了提高,减少了对磷酸盐肥料的需求,这些替代品可能会占据很大一部分市场。
磷酸盐市场受到了新冠肺炎疫情多方面的影响。停工、运输限制和劳动力短缺扰乱了供应链,导致采矿和生产活动暂时停止。然而,由于粮食安全成为危机期间的主要问题,农业部门被指定为重点产业,对磷肥的需求得以维持。同时,由于工业活动和消费者支出的减少,磷酸盐在化学品和清洁剂等工业应用中的使用量有所下降。这场疫情也凸显了当地自给自足的必要性,促使人们对供应链依赖性进行审查,并促使为当地磷酸盐生产和回收计划提供资金。
预计磷酸铵板块在预测期内将占据最大份额
由于磷酸铵在农业中广泛用作肥料,预计在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。磷酸二铵(DAP)和磷酸一铵(MAP)等磷酸铵肥料因其高营养成分而备受推崇。它结合磷和氮来提高作物产量并促进植物生长。这些肥料对于种植谷物、谷类和其他重要作物尤其重要。此外,全球人口的成长、粮食需求的增加以及农业集约化都促进了这一领域的主导地位。
预计预测期内,製药业将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
由于营养补充剂、膳食补充剂和药物配方中磷酸盐的使用越来越多,预计预测期内製药业将出现最高成长。在製药工业中,磷酸盐用作缓衝剂、稳定剂和赋形剂,对于维持药物的稳定性和功效至关重要。全球人口老化、慢性病发病率上升以及医疗成本上升推动了对磷酸盐类药物的需求。此外,药物输送系统的发展以及磷酸盐化合物在生物製药和肿瘤学等专门疗法中的使用日益增多也推动了这一领域的爆炸性增长。
预计预测期内亚太地区将占据最大的市场占有率。亚太地区是世界上最大的磷酸盐市场,主要原因是农业对磷酸盐的需求很高,尤其是在中国和印度等农业部门对其经济至关重要的国家。该地区广泛的农业实践和为支持扩大粮食生产而不断增长的肥料需求也大大导致了磷酸盐产品的消费量。此外,该地区快速的工业化和人口增长也导致对磷酸盐的需求量很大。
预计预测期内中东和非洲的复合年增长率最高。这一增长的主要驱动力是农业领域对磷酸盐的需求不断增加,特别是为了提高作物产量和确保粮食安全而生产的肥料。该地区各国正在提高磷酸盐生产能力,其中包括主要磷酸盐出口国摩洛哥。中东和非洲是世界上成长最快的磷矿市场。目前该地区越来越重视提高粮食生产效率和农业永续性。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Phosphates Market is accounted for $18.29 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $24.37 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 4.9% during the forecast period. Phosphates are necessary inorganic compounds made up of oxygen and phosphorus that are frequently mixed with other elements like sodium, potassium, or calcium. In both biological and industrial applications, they are essential. Phosphates play a crucial role in the biological processes of cellular energy transfer, genetics, and metabolism in living things because they are essential building blocks of DNA, RNA, and ATP. Fertilizers use them as a primary nutrient in agriculture, thereby increasing crop yield and soil fertility. Phosphates are used extensively in industry for their cleaning, emulsifying, and buffering qualities in food additives, detergents, and water treatment procedures.
According to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), U.S. marketable phosphate rock production in May 2023 was estimated to be 1.86 million metric tons, which was 15% higher than in April and 4% lower than in May 2022.
Growing interest in fertilizers
The United Nations predicts that by 2050, there will be close to 10 billion people on the planet, which will increase demand for food production. Because they are essential for root growth, flowering, and general plant health, phosphates are a key component of fertilizers. To sustain high crop yields, nations with sizable agricultural sectors-like China, India, and the United States-heavily depend on fertilizers based on phosphates. Additionally, the use of customized phosphate fertilizers that maximize nutrient delivery and efficiency has grown as a result of the move toward precision agriculture and soil fertility management.
Issues with the environment related to mining
Significant environmental effects of phosphate mining and processing include greenhouse gas emissions, habitat destruction, and water pollution. Large volumes of waste are frequently produced by mining operations, which can also cause radioactive elements and heavy metals to contaminate adjacent water bodies. Furthermore, air pollution is also caused by the release of dust and toxic gases during fertilizer production and mining. Stricter rules on mining operations have resulted from growing awareness of these environmental problems; this has slowed down new mining projects and raised compliance costs for phosphate producers.
Technological developments in phosphate recycling
Phosphate recycling now offers a lot of opportunities as sustainability and resource conservation gain more attention. It is now possible to extract phosphorus from wastewater, sewage sludge, and agricultural runoff owing to innovative technologies like struvite crystallization and biological recovery techniques. In addition to lowering dependency on mining, these techniques lessen the pollution that phosphorus runoff causes to the environment. Moreover, to increase recycling efficiency, governments and organizations around the world are funding research and development (R&D).
Growing rivalry from other sources of nutrients
The conventional phosphate market is increasingly under threat from the development of substitute nutrient sources, such as synthetic biology-based solutions, bio-fertilizers, and organic fertilizers. Customers and legislators who are interested in lessening the environmental impact of agriculture find these substitutes appealing since they are frequently seen as more environmentally friendly and sustainable. Additionally, these substitutes may take a sizable portion of the market as biotechnology developments increase their effectiveness and affordability, which would lower the need for fertilizers based on phosphates.
The market for phosphates was affected in a variety of ways by the COVID-19 pandemic. Lockdowns, transportation restrictions, and a shortage of workers caused supply chains to break down, temporarily slowing mining and production operations. However, as food security became a top concern during the crisis, the demand for phosphate-based fertilizers was sustained by the agricultural sector's designation as an essential industry. On the other hand, decreased industrial activity and consumer spending led to a decline in the use of phosphates in industrial applications, such as chemicals and detergents. The necessity of regional self-sufficiency was also brought to light by the pandemic, which prompted a closer examination of supply chain dependencies and encouraged funding for regional phosphate production and recycling projects.
The Ammonium Phosphate segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The ammonium phosphate segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period because it is widely used in the agricultural industry as a fertilizer. Ammonium phosphate fertilizers, like diammonium phosphate (DAP) and monoammonium phosphate (MAP), are prized for their high nutrient content. They combine phosphorus and nitrogen to boost crop yields and encourage plant growth. For the cultivation of cereals, grains, and other vital crops, these fertilizers are particularly crucial. Moreover, the world's population growth, rising food demand, and intensifying agriculture all contribute to the segment's dominance.
The Pharmaceuticals segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the pharmaceuticals segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate because phosphates are increasingly being used in dietary supplements, nutraceutical, and medication formulations. In the pharmaceutical industry, phosphates are used as buffering agents, stabilizers, and necessary excipients that are crucial to preserving the stability and effectiveness of medications. The demand for phosphate-based drugs is being driven by the aging of the world's population, the increasing incidence of chronic illnesses, and rising healthcare costs. Additionally, the segment's explosive growth is also being fueled by developments in drug delivery systems and the growing use of phosphate compounds in specialized treatments like biopharmaceuticals and oncology.
During the forecast period, the Asia-Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share. Asia-Pacific's position as the world's largest phosphate market is largely due to the high demand for phosphates in agricultural applications, especially in nations like China and India where the agricultural sector is vital to the economy. The region's large-scale farming practices and growing need for fertilizers to support expanding food production also contribute significantly to the high consumption of phosphate-based products. Furthermore, the region's rapid industrialization and population growth also contribute to the high demand for phosphates.
Over the forecast period, the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. The primary cause of this growth is the growing need for phosphates in the agricultural sector, particularly for the production of fertilizer, which is motivated by the need to increase crop yields and guarantee food security. The region's nations are increasing their phosphate production capabilities, including Morocco, a major phosphate exporter. MEA is the phosphate market with the fastest rate of growth in the world. Moreover, this is due to the region's increasing emphasis on improving food production efficiency and agricultural sustainability.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Phosphates market include EuroChem Group AG, Innophos Holdings, Inc., Jordan Phosphate Mines Co. PLC, Yara International ASA, The Mosaic Company, OCP Group, PhosAgro AG, Solvay SA, ICL Group Ltd., Nutrien Ltd., Aditya Birla Chemicals Ltd., Israel Chemicals Ltd., Ma'aden-Saudi Arabian Mining Company, Haifa Chemicals Ltd. and Avantor Inc.
In July 2024, Yara and Atome sign Heads of Terms for offtake from Atome's renewable CAN project in Villeta, Paraguay. Global demand for food is growing with the population, pushing the need for higher crop yields and more efficient fertilizer. Agriculture and food companies need cleaner and cost-effective fertilizers to reduce their carbon footprints.
In June 2024, Jordan Phosphates Mines Company (JPMC) is pleased to announce a strategic partnership with Waterise, a pioneering Norwegian start-up specialising in deep sea environmentally friendly desalination. Together, they will embark on an ambitious deep sea desalination project in the Gulf of Aqaba to meet the increasing water demand at JPMC's facilities.
In April 2024, Ma'aden and the Mosaic Company has announced that they have entered into a share purchase and subscription agreement. The agreement provides for the sale by Mosaic of all its shares in Ma'aden Wa'ad Al Shamal Phosphate Company, a joint venture investment among Ma'aden, Mosaic and Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, to Ma'aden in exchange for newly issued shares in Ma'aden.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.