![]() |
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1679240
2030 年钻石市场预测:按类型、产品、切割、颜色、用途和地区进行的全球分析Diamond Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Natural Diamonds and Synthetic Diamonds), Product (Rough Diamonds and Polished Diamonds), Cut, Color, Application and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,预计 2024 年全球钻石市场规模将达到 431.1 亿美元,到 2030 年将达到 587.7 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 5.3%。
钻石是碳的结晶质,以其卓越的导热性、硬度和亮度而闻名。钻石是在地球地函深处的高温和高压条件下经过数百万年或数十亿年形成的。由于其无与伦比的硬度,钻石经常用于钻孔、研磨和切割等工业製程。此外,虽然钻石有许多工业用途,但它们也被视为代表珠宝的精緻和奢华的宝石。使用化学气相沉积 (CVD) 或高压高温 (HPHT) 技术生成的合成钻石在工业和商业用途中越来越受欢迎。
金伯利进程认证机制(KPCS)致力于收集和传播有关钻石开采和国际贸易的资料。成员国必须正式提交可供审核检验的统计资料。 2006年,金伯利进程证书制度监督了超过4.8亿克拉的钻石毛坯出口,总价值达357亿美元。
人们对婚礼和高级珠宝饰品的兴趣日益浓厚
钻石经常用于结婚戒指、订婚戒指和个性珠宝。随着中阶的日益富裕,对高级珠宝的需求也日益增长,尤其是在中国和印度等开发中国家。此外,为了满足消费者日益增长的需求,卡地亚、蒂芬妮、海瑞温斯顿等国际奢侈品牌也不断推出独特的钻石系列。钻石是地位和声望的象征,社群媒体的影响力和名流的代言推动了人们的购买慾望。
高价位和经济不可预测性
钻石价格昂贵,因此被视为易受经济波动影响的奢侈品。在景气衰退时期,钻石销售受到可自由支配支出减少的影响,尤其是在高级珠宝饰品等非必需品市场。购买力也受到美国、中国和印度等主要消费地区的市场波动、通货膨胀和货币贬值的影响。此外,中产阶级消费者将钻石视为奢侈品,因此经常选择实验室培育的钻石和其他宝石,限制了天然钻石销售的成长。
实验室培育钻石产业的成长
实验室培育钻石产业的快速扩张为总体市场带来了巨大的成长机会。这些钻石是透过化学气相沉积 (CVD) 和高压高温 (HPHT) 等尖端製程培育的,为开采钻石提供了永续且经济实惠的替代品。此外,消费者(尤其是 Z 世代和千禧世代)对道德采购和环境影响的意识不断增强,正在推动对实验室培育钻石的需求。随着技术进步不断提高生产效率,各大珠宝品牌纷纷将实验室培育钻石添加到其係列中,使其更为广泛地普及且价格更为实惠。
实验室生产的钻石面临日益激烈的竞争
传统钻石市场现在正面临实验室培育钻石的严重威胁。化学气相沉积 (CVD) 和高压高温 (HPHT) 技术的改进使得实验室培育的钻石更加永续、更便宜,且与天然钻石几乎完全相同。由于道德和环境效益,实验室培育钻石越来越受到年轻消费者,尤其是千禧世代和 Z 世代的欢迎。此外,它们在时尚配件、高级珠宝和订婚戒指中的应用也给天然钻石的价格和销售带来了压力。
COVID-19 疫情对钻石市场产生了重大影响,扰乱了国际供应链、采矿活动和零售。由于封锁和旅行限制导致矿场、製造工厂和珠宝店暂时关闭,高级珠宝饰品市场的需求尤其急剧下降。社交活动和婚礼的取消进一步减少了消费者的钻石购买量。然而,随着品牌采用虚拟咨询和电子商务平台,市场已发出向数位零售转变的信号,导致线上钻石销售增加。此外,疫情造成的经济不确定性激发了人们对钻石作为传统投资替代资产的兴趣。
天然钻石市场预计将在预测期内占据最大份额
预计天然钻石将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率,因为它具有稀有性、历史重要性和奢华感,其中天然钻石占全球销售额的大部分。天然钻石因其璀璨的光芒、独特性和投资潜力而占据珠宝饰品业的主导地位,尤其是在订婚戒指和高端收藏品领域。此外,该行业由戴比尔斯、阿尔罗萨和力拓等大型矿业公司主导,他们透过负责任的采购措施确保稳定的供应。
预计预测期内抛光钻石部分将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
预计预测期内抛光钻石部分将实现最高成长率。新兴国家消费者对高级珠宝饰品的需求不断增长以及可支配收入的提高预计将推动该市场抛光钻石领域的大幅成长。此外,珠宝业对抛光钻石的需求强劲,抛光钻石经过切割和加工以增强其光泽和视觉吸引力。在中国和印度等国家,中产阶级的不断壮大以及对钻石珠宝饰品的需求不断增加,进一步刺激了这种需求。
预计预测期内北美地区将占据最大的市场占有率。影响这种主导地位的主要因素是高可支配收入和与钻石珠宝的深厚文化联繫,尤其是在美国,它占全球钻石需求的一半以上。消费者对奢侈品的偏好和完善的零售基础设施进一步加强了该地区的主导地位。此外,北美在采矿服务、建筑和机械製造等工业用途中人造钻石的使用量显着增加,也增加了其市场占有率。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将呈现最高的复合年增长率。这一成长主要得益于中国和印度等新兴市场对钻石珠宝的需求不断增长,这些市场的可支配收入不断增加和消费者偏好的变化活性化。此外,该地区(尤其是中国和印度)强大的製造能力支撑了其在实验室培育钻石和天然钻石的市场地位。这些因素共同使得亚太地区成为推动全球钻石产业成长的关键地区。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Diamond Market is accounted for $43.11 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $58.77 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 5.3% during the forecast period. Diamond is a crystalline carbon that is renowned for its remarkable thermal conductivity, hardness, and brilliance. It develops over millions to billions of years deep within the Earth's mantle under conditions of intense heat and pressure. Because of its unmatched hardness, diamond is frequently used in industrial processes like drilling, grinding, and cutting. Moreover, diamonds have many industrial applications, but they are also prized as gemstones that represent commitment and luxury in jewellery. For both industrial and commercial applications, synthetic diamonds made using chemical vapor deposition (CVD) and high-pressure high-temperature (HPHT) techniques have become more and more popular.
According to the Kimberley Process Certification Scheme (KPCS) emphasizes collecting and publishing data relating to actual mining and international trade in diamonds. Member countries are required to officially submit statistics that can be verified through audit. In 2006, the KPCS monitored $35.7 billion in rough diamond exports, representing more than 480 million carats.
Growing interest in bridal and luxury jewellery
Diamonds are a popular choice for wedding bands, engagement rings, and statement jewelry pieces because they have long been connected to love, commitment, and luxury. The demand for upscale jewelry has increased due to the growing wealth of the middle class, especially in developing nations like China and India. Additionally, to meet the growing demand from consumers, international luxury brands like Cartier, Tiffany & Co., and Harry Winston are constantly launching unique diamond collections. Diamonds are a status and prestige symbol, and aspirational purchases are further fueled by social media influence and celebrity endorsements.
High price and economic unpredictability
Due to their high price, diamonds are considered luxury goods that are susceptible to changes in the economy. Diamond sales are impacted by a decline in discretionary spending during economic downturns, especially in non-essential markets like luxury jewelry. Purchasing power is further impacted by market volatility, inflation, and currency depreciation in important consumer regions such as the United States, China, and India. Furthermore, because middle-class consumers view diamonds as a luxury, they frequently choose lab-grown diamonds or other gemstones, which restricts the growth of natural diamond sales.
Growth of the lab-grown diamond industry
The market for diamonds in general has a significant growth opportunity due to the lab-grown diamond industry's rapid expansion. These diamonds offer a sustainable and affordable substitute for diamonds that are mined, owing to cutting-edge processes like Chemical Vapor Deposition (CVD) and High-Pressure High-Temperature (HPHT). Moreover, demand for lab-grown diamonds is rising as a result of growing consumer awareness of ethical sourcing and environmental impact, particularly among Gen Z and millennials. As technology continues to improve production efficiency, major jewelry brands are now including lab-grown diamonds in their collections, making them more widely available and reasonably priced.
Growing rivalry from lab-grown diamonds
The conventional diamond market is now seriously threatened by lab-grown diamonds. Improvements in Chemical Vapor Deposition (CVD) and High-Pressure High-Temperature (HPHT) technologies have made lab-grown diamonds more sustainable, less expensive, and almost identical to natural diamonds. Lab-grown diamonds are becoming more and more popular among younger consumers, particularly millennials and Gen Z, because of their ethical and environmental benefits. Additionally, natural diamond prices and sales are under pressure as a result of the increasing use of these diamonds in fashion accessories, fine jewelry, and engagement rings.
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly affected the diamond market by interfering with international supply chains, mining activities, and retail sales. Demand fell precipitously as a result of the temporary closure of mines, manufacturing facilities, and jewellery stores brought on by lockdowns and travel restrictions, especially in the luxury jewellery market. The cancellation of social gatherings and weddings further decreased diamond purchases by consumers. But as brands embraced virtual consultations and e-commerce platforms, the market showed a shift toward digital retailing, with online diamond sales rising. Furthermore, the pandemic's economic unpredictability fuelled interest in diamonds as a substitute asset for traditional investments.
The Natural Diamonds segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The Natural Diamonds segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period due to their rarity, historical significance, and luxury appeal, natural diamonds account for the majority of global sales. They are valued for their brilliance, uniqueness, and investment potential, and they dominate the jewelry industry, particularly for engagement rings and high-end collections, because consumers continue to associate them with exclusivity and status. Moreover, the industry is driven by leading mining companies such as De Beers, Alrosa, and Rio Tinto, which ensure a steady supply through responsible sourcing initiatives.
The Polished Diamonds segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the Polished Diamonds segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. Growing consumer demand for fine jewellery and rising disposable incomes in emerging economies are expected to fuel significant growth in this market's polished diamond segment. Additionally, the jewellery industry has a strong demand for polished diamonds, which have undergone cutting and finishing procedures to improve their brilliance and visual appeal. In nations like China and India, the growing middle class and the rising demand for diamond jewellery serve to further support this demand.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share. The main factors influencing this dominance are high disposable incomes and a deep cultural connection to diamond jewelry, especially in the US, which accounts for more than half of the world's diamond demand. The region's dominant position is further reinforced by its customer preference for luxury goods and its well-established retail infrastructure. Furthermore, the use of synthetic diamonds for industrial purposes such as mining services, construction, and machinery manufacturing has increased significantly in North America, which has helped to account for its sizeable market share.
Over the forecast period, the Asia-Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. The growing demand for diamond jewellery in developing nations like China and India, where rising disposable incomes and changing consumer preferences fuel increased market activity, is the main driver of this growth. Moreover, the region's substantial manufacturing capabilities, especially in China and India, support its position in the markets for lab-grown and natural diamonds. These factors all combine to make the Asia-Pacific region a key global driver of the diamond industry's growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Diamond market include De Beers Inc, Gem Diamonds Limited, Lucara Diamonds Inc, Rio Tinto, Kalyan Jewellers India Ltd., Arctic Canadian Diamond Company Ltd, Sagar Diamonds Ltd., Signet Jewelers Ltd., Alrosa Inc, Petra Diamonds Limited, Anglo American Plc, Star Diamond Corp., Graff Diamonds Ltd., BlueStone Jewellery and Lifestyle Pvt. Ltd. and Lucapa Diamond Company.
In January 2025, Rio Tinto and Glencore, two of the world's largest mining companies, recently engaged in brief merger discussions. However, these talks have since ended without any agreement, according to a report by Reuters, citing sources. The discussions between Rio Tinto and Glencore did not progress beyond the initial stages.
In March 2024, De Beers Canada Inc. (De Beers) and WSP Canada Inc. (WSP) are pleased to announce the successful conclusion of the contract with WSP to progress closure of the Victor diamond mine in northern Ontario, near Attawapiskat. The mine ceased production when the plant closed in 2019, and since early 2021 De Beers has worked closely with WSP who managed active closure of the mine site as prime closure contractor.
In February 2024, Lucara Diamond Corp. is pleased to announce that it has entered into a new diamond sales agreement ("NDSA") with HB Group out of Antwerp, Belgium ("HB"), in respect of all qualifying diamonds produced in excess of 10.8 carats in size from its 100% owned Karowe Diamond Mine in Botswana.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.