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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1679325
2030 年量子战争市场预测:按产品类型、组件、量子 PNT、量子计算与模拟、应用、最终用户、地区进行的全球分析Quantum Warfare Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product Type (Hardware, Software, and Services), Component, Quantum PNT, Quantum Computing & Simulations, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球量子战市场预计在 2024 年达到 17.2 亿美元,预计到 2030 年将达到 46.7 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 18.1%。
「量子战」指将量子运算、密码学、感测器、通讯系统等量子技术应用于军事和国防活动。这包括开发用于先进监视的量子感测器、用于发现隐形飞机的量子雷达以及高度安全的加密技术。透过利用动态的概念来提高安全性和作战效率,量子战争可望改善军事系统、网路安全和情报收集能力,为各国在现代衝突中提供竞争优势。
根据 IBM 的最新研究,到 2023 年,资料外洩的平均总成本将达到 445 万美元,凸显了对高阶安全解决方案的需求。根据最近的资料,2022 年全球侦测到的网路威胁分布以勒索软体为主,为主要攻击手法,占 68.42%,其次是网路入侵,占 18.42%,资料外洩占 3.95%。
对国家安全的担忧日益加剧
世界各国政府都强调需要采取强而有力的措施来抵御潜在的威胁。网路战、间谍活动和日益加剧的地缘政治紧张局势正在加速对量子战技术的投资。正在开发先进的量子感测器和通讯系统以增强军事能力。国家安全战略越来越多地采用量子技术来保持竞争力。
开发和营运成本高
开发和部署量子战争技术需要大量的资金投入。这些技术非常复杂,需要大量的研究和开发。此外,维护和升级量子系统需要高昂的营运成本。这些成本可能会成为中小型国防相关企业进入该领域的障碍。政府和组织必须拨出大量预算来支持量子战争技术的应用。
太空资产的重要性日益增加
卫星等太空资产在通讯、导航和监视方面发挥着至关重要的作用,使其成为先进量子加密和防御系统的理想目标。量子技术可以透过超安全的量子金钥分发来确保卫星通讯的安全,防止窃听和骇客攻击。此外,太空量子感测器和雷达系统可以增强全球监视、侦测和情报收集能力。随着外太空成为一个竞争日益激烈的领域,各国正在优先考虑整合量子技术,以保护其太空资产并保持国防和国家安全的战略优势。
熟练劳动力有限
量子技术需要量子运算、密码学和量子物理学等高度专业化的知识。训练有素的专业人员的短缺阻碍了国防承包商、政府和科技公司有效设计、开发和实施基于量子的解决方案的能力。这种技能差距将导致关键量子系统的研究、测试和部署的延迟,从而减缓先进量子技术在国防应用中的采用。此外,缺乏强大的人才库可能会阻碍各国在日益重要的量子战争领域保持竞争力。
COVID-19的影响
COVID-19 疫情正在扰乱供应链并减缓量子战技术的发展。封锁和限制影响了研究和测试活动。但这场疫情也凸显了先进防御机制的必要性。作为疫情后復苏计画的一部分,各国政府可能会增加对量子技术的投资。 COVID-19 对量子战争市场的整体影响是挑战与机会并存的。
预计在预测期内,感测器部分将成为最大的部分。
由于对先进检测和监控系统的需求不断增加,预计感测器部分将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。量子感测器具有无与伦比的精度和灵敏度,使其成为军事应用的理想选择。这些感测器能够侦测物理特性的微小变化,增强情境察觉和威胁侦测能力。人们对加强防御机制的日益关注推动了量子感测器的采用。
预测期内航空业将以最高复合年增长率成长
由于机载平台越来越多地采用量子技术,预计空中领域将在预测期内见证最高的成长率。飞机上正在安装量子通讯系统和感测器以增强其性能。提供安全通讯和先进监控的能力正在推动这一成长。对现代化防空系统的投资进一步推动了这一领域的扩张。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。这是因为中国和印度等国家正在大力投资国防和量子技术。该地区致力于军事力量现代化,并正在加速采用量子战争技术。政府倡议和与研究机构的合作进一步推动了市场成长。该地区主要国防相关企业的存在也占据了最大份额。
预计北美地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。这是因为美国主要科技公司和国防组织的存在正在推动量子战争的创新。政府对先进国防计划的资助和支持进一步推动了市场成长。军民合作加速最尖端科技发展。北美保持其技术优势的努力正在推动该地区的快速成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Quantum Warfare Market is accounted for $1.72 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $4.67 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 18.1% during the forecast period. The term "quantum warfare" describes the application of quantum technologies-such as advances in quantum computing, cryptography, sensors, and communication systems-in military and defense activities. This includes the creation of quantum sensors for sophisticated surveillance, quantum radar for spotting stealth aircraft, and extremely secure encryption techniques. By utilizing the concepts of quantum mechanics for increased security and operational efficacy, quantum warfare seeks to improve military systems, cybersecurity, and intelligence collection capabilities, giving countries a competitive advantage in contemporary conflict.
According to IBM's latest research, the average total cost of a data breach reached USD 4.45 million in 2023, highlighting the critical need for advanced security solutions. According to recent data, the distribution of detected cyber threats worldwide in 2022 revealed ransomware as the dominant threat vector at 68.42%, followed by network breaches at 18.42% and data exfiltration at 3.95%.
Increased focus on national security
The necessity of strong defences against possible threats is being emphasized by governments. The rise in cyber warfare, espionage, and geopolitical tensions has accelerated investments in quantum warfare technologies. Advanced quantum sensors and communication systems are being developed to enhance military capabilities. National security strategies are increasingly incorporating quantum technologies to maintain a competitive edge.
High development and operational costs
The development and implementation of quantum warfare technologies require substantial financial investments. The complexity of these technologies necessitates extensive research and development efforts. High operational costs are also associated with maintaining and upgrading quantum systems. These costs can be a barrier to entry for smaller defense contractors. Governments and organizations must allocate significant budgets to support the adoption of quantum warfare technologies.
Growing importance of Space-based assets
Space-based assets, such as satellites, play a crucial role in communication, navigation, and surveillance, making them prime targets for advanced quantum encryption and defense systems. Quantum technologies offer the potential to secure satellite communications through ultra-secure quantum key distribution, preventing interception or hacking. Additionally, quantum sensors and radar systems deployed in space can enhance global surveillance, detection, and intelligence-gathering capabilities. As space becomes a more contested domain, nations are prioritizing the integration of quantum technologies to protect their space-based assets and maintain a strategic edge in defense and national security.
Limited skilled workforce
Quantum technologies require highly specialized knowledge in fields like quantum computing, cryptography, and quantum physics, which are still emerging and evolving. A shortage of trained professionals hampers the ability of defense contractors, governments, and tech firms to effectively design, develop, and implement quantum-based solutions. This skills gap can lead to delays in research, testing, and deployment of critical quantum systems, slowing the adoption of advanced quantum technologies in defense applications. Additionally, the lack of a robust talent pool could prevent nations from staying competitive in the increasingly important field of quantum warfare.
Covid-19 Impact
The Covid-19 pandemic has disrupted supply chains and delayed the development of quantum warfare technologies. Lockdowns and restrictions have affected research and testing activities. However, the pandemic has also highlighted the need for advanced defense mechanisms. Governments are likely to increase investments in quantum technologies as part of their post-pandemic recovery plans. The overall impact of Covid-19 on the quantum warfare market is a mix of challenges and opportunities.
The sensor segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The sensor segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, due to the increasing demand for advanced detection and monitoring systems. Quantum sensors offer unparalleled precision and sensitivity, making them ideal for military applications. These sensors can detect minute changes in physical properties, enhancing situational awareness and threat detection capabilities. The growing focus on enhancing defense mechanisms is driving the adoption of quantum sensors.
The airborne segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the airborne segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, due to the rising adoption of quantum technologies in aerial platforms. Quantum communication systems and sensors are being integrated into aircraft to enhance their capabilities. The ability to conduct secures communications and advanced surveillance is driving this growth. Investments in modernizing aerial defense systems are further supporting the segment's expansion.
During the forecast period, Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, due to significant investments in defense and quantum technologies by countries like China and India. The region's focus on modernizing its military capabilities is driving the adoption of quantum warfare technologies. Government initiatives and collaborations with research institutions are further supporting market growth. The presence of major defense contractors in the region also contributes to the largest share.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, owing to the presence of leading tech companies and defense organizations in the United States is driving innovation in quantum warfare. Government funding and support for advanced defense projects are further boosting market growth. Collaborations between the military and private sector are accelerating the development of cutting-edge technologies. North America's commitment to maintaining technological superiority is fueling the region's rapid growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Quantum Warfare Market include IBM, Microsoft, Google, Intel, Honeywell, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon Technologies, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, Alibaba Group, CRON Systems, Zyvex Labs, QuTech, SAAB AB, Terra Quantum, AT&T, and Airbus.
In February 2025, Lockheed Martin announced the delivery of the first F-16 Block 70 jet to Bulgaria, marking a major step forward in the country's efforts to modernize its air force. F-16s are built by the Lockheed Martin team in Greenville. Bulgaria has ordered 16 total aircraft.
In January 2025, Telefonica Tech and IBM announced a collaboration agreement to develop and deliver security solutions that address security challenges posed by future cryptographically relevant quantum computers.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.