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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1700094
2032 年汽车排放控制市场预测:按技术、车辆类型、燃料类型、销售管道和地区进行的全球分析Automotive Emission Control Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Technology, Vehicle Type, Fuel Type, Sales Channel and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球汽车排放控制市场预计在 2025 年达到 536 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 755 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 5%。
为减少汽车引擎排放的危险排放气体采取的方法和策略称为汽车排放控制。它由选择性触媒还原(SCR)系统、柴油颗粒过滤器(DPF)、废气再循环(EGR)、触媒转换器等组成。透过减少一氧化碳(CO)、氮氧化物(NOx)、碳氢化合物(HC)和颗粒物(PM)的排放,这些系统有助于改善空气品质和环境合规性。
根据标普全球移动出行预测,2025年全球汽车销售量将达8,960万辆。
环保意识不断增强
日益增强的环保意识正在推动排放控制系统的需求。世界各国政府正在推出更严格的法规,如欧7和国6,以减少排放气体。这项监管倡议,加上消费者对环保汽车的偏好,正在刺激对先进排放气体技术的投资。此外,公共宣传活动和教育活动强调了永续交通的重要性,并鼓励製造商创新和遵守环境标准。
向电动车(EV)的过渡
向电动车的转变对汽车排放控制市场构成了重大限制。由于电动车不依赖内燃机,因此不需要传统的排放气体控制系统。这种转变将减少对触媒转换器和柴油微粒过滤器等零件的需求。此外,电动车市场的成长,尤其是在已开发地区,正在挑战製造商向混合动力和替代燃料的排放气体控制系统多元化发展,以保持相关性。
混合动力汽车排放控制的发展
小型触媒转换器和温度控管技术等创新技术正变得越来越普遍,以优化混合动力汽车的效率。此外,丰田和本田等汽车製造商正在投资混合动力专用解决方案,以满足排放控制要求,同时延长电动续航里程。政府为混合动力汽车的采用提供补贴进一步扩大了这种需求。开发混合动力自适应系统的公司可以开拓这个市场并弥合传统市场和纯电动市场之间的差距。
原物料价格波动
铂、钯、铑等贵金属是触媒转换器不可或缺的材料,其价格波动威胁市场稳定。供应链中断、地缘政治紧张局势和采矿瓶颈将加剧成本波动并挤压製造商的利润率。 2018年至2022年间,钯金价格飙涨超过200%,对生产预算造成压力。此外,汽车製造商可能会寻求替代方案,例如节俭(减少金属含量)或采用合成催化剂,但这可能会降低性能。这种不确定性使长期规划和定价策略变得复杂,尤其是对于较小的供应商。
COVID-19 疫情扰乱了汽车排放控制领域的供应链和製造业务。停工导致生产停止,经济衰退减缓了对新技术的投资。但随着政府和消费者越来越重视环境健康,疫情也加速了向永续、环保解决方案的转变。
触媒转换器市场预计将成为预测期内最大的市场
触媒转换器部分预计将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率,因为它在减少内燃机排放的有害废气方面发挥着至关重要的作用。这些设备对于满足全球严格的排放标准至关重要。此外,触媒转换器技术的进步(例如减少铂族金属的使用)正在提高其效率和吸引力。因此,在可预见的未来,触媒转换器可能仍将是排放控制系统的关键组成部分。
预计在预测期内,售后市场销售部门将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
由于严格的定期排放气体测试和车辆老化,预计售后市场销售部门将在预测期内见证最高的成长率。触媒转换器和微粒过滤器会随着时间的劣化而老化,必须更换才能符合规定。此外,亚太和拉丁美洲等开发中地区的汽车持有不断增长也推动了需求。独立服务中心和线上零件销售的兴起进一步提高了可近性。全球道路上行驶的内燃机汽车超过 14 亿辆,即使电动车的普及率不断提高,售后市场仍将保持弹性,从而确保供应商获得可持续的收益来源。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。这是由于中国、印度和日本的汽车产量高,以及排放控制严格。中国的国六法规和印度的巴拉特第六阶段法规都要求采用先进的触媒转换器和 SCR 系统。此外,快速的都市化和不断壮大的中产阶级正在推动汽车销售。该地区强大的製造业基础以及现代和塔塔汽车等主要供应商的存在进一步巩固了其地位。政府在德里和北京等大城市推行的改善空气品质的倡议也刺激了人们的采用。
受汽车持有增加、经济成长和排放控制加强的推动,预计亚太地区将在预测期内出现最高的复合年增长率。泰国、印尼等东南亚国家已实施欧4/5同等标准,推动了对后处理系统的需求。此外,汽车售后市场的扩张和农村地区环保意识的增强也推动了这一成长。全球OEM和本地製造商之间的合资企业正在促进技术转让,而对混合动力汽车的投资正在创造双重需求。这些因素使亚太地区成为未来预期成长的中心。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Automotive Emission Control Market is accounted for $53.6 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $75.5 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 5% during the forecast period. The methods and tactics employed to lessen the dangerous emissions that automobile engines emit are referred to as automotive emission control. It consists of selective catalytic reduction (SCR) systems, diesel particulate filters (DPF), exhaust gas recirculation (EGR), and catalytic converters. By reducing emissions of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxides (NOx), hydrocarbons (HC), and particulate matter (PM), these systems contribute to better air quality and environmental compliance.
According to S&P Global Mobility, global auto sales are forecasted to reach 89.6 million units in 2025.
Increasing environmental awareness
Growing environmental awareness is driving demand for emission control systems. Governments worldwide are implementing stricter regulations, such as Euro 7 and China VI, to reduce emissions. This regulatory push, combined with consumer preference for eco-friendly vehicles, fuels investment in advanced emission technologies. Furthermore, public campaigns and educational initiatives highlight the importance of sustainable transportation, encouraging manufacturers to innovate and comply with environmental standards.
Transition to electric vehicles (EVs)
The transition to electric vehicles poses a significant restraint on the automotive emission control market. EVs eliminate the need for traditional emission control systems, as they do not rely on internal combustion engines. This shift reduces demand for components like catalytic converters and diesel particulate filters. Moreover, the growth of the EV market, particularly in developed regions, challenges manufacturers to diversify into hybrid and alternative fuel-based emission control systems to maintain relevance.
Development of hybrid vehicle emission control
Innovations such as compact catalytic converters and thermal management technologies are gaining traction to optimize hybrid efficiency. Moreover, automakers like Toyota and Honda are investing in hybrid-specific solutions to meet emission norms while extending electric range. Governments offering subsidies for hybrid adoption further amplify this demand. Companies developing adaptive systems for hybrids can tap into this niche, bridging the gap between conventional and fully electric markets.
Changes in raw material prices
Fluctuating prices of precious metals like platinum, palladium, and rhodium critical for catalytic converters threaten market stability. Supply chain disruptions, geopolitical tensions, and mining bottlenecks exacerbate cost volatility, squeezing profit margins for manufacturers. Palladium prices surged by over 200% between 2018 and 2022, straining production budgets. Additionally, automakers may seek alternatives, such as thrifting (reducing metal content) or adopting synthetic catalysts, risking performance compromises. This uncertainty complicates long-term planning and pricing strategies, particularly for smaller suppliers.
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted supply chains and manufacturing operations in the automotive emission control sector. Lockdowns halted production, while economic downturns delayed investments in new technologies. However, the pandemic also accelerated the shift towards sustainable and eco-friendly solutions, as governments and consumers increasingly prioritize environmental health.
The catalytic converters segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The catalytic converters segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, driven by their crucial role in reducing harmful emissions from internal combustion engines. These devices are essential for meeting stringent emission standards worldwide. Furthermore, advancements in catalytic converter technology, such as reducing platinum group metals usage, enhance their efficiency and appeal. As a result, catalytic converters will continue to be a vital component in emission control systems.
The aftermarket sales segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the aftermarket sales segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, driven by stringent periodic emission testing and aging vehicle fleets. As catalytic converters and particulate filters degrade over time, replacements become necessary to comply with regulations. Additionally, rising vehicle ownership in developing regions like Asia-Pacific and Latin America fuels demand. The proliferation of independent service centers and online part sales further boosts accessibility. With over 1.4 billion ICE vehicles globally, the aftermarket remains resilient even as EV adoption grows, ensuring sustained revenue streams for suppliers.
During the forecast period, the Asia pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, driven by high vehicle production in China, India, and Japan, coupled with stringent emission standards. China's China 6 norms and India's Bharat Stage VI regulations necessitate advanced catalytic converters and SCR systems. Additionally, rapid urbanization and expanding middle-class populations increase automotive sales. The region's robust manufacturing base and presence of key suppliers like Hyundai and Tata Motors further solidify its dominance. Government initiatives promoting cleaner air in megacities like Delhi and Beijing also accelerate adoption.
Over the forecast period, the Asia pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, fueled by rising vehicle ownership, economic growth, and tightening emission laws. Southeast Asian nations like Thailand and Indonesia are implementing Euro 4/5-equivalent standards, boosting demand for after-treatment systems. Moreover, expanding automotive aftermarkets and increasing environmental awareness in rural areas drive growth. Collaborative ventures between global OEMs and local manufacturers enhance technology transfer, while investments in hybrid vehicles create dual demand. These factors position Asia-Pacific as the epicenter of future growth potential.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Automotive Emission Control Market include Johnson Matthey, SGL Carbon, ElringKlinger, Hella, Mahle GmbH, Faurecia, Tenneco, BASF, Corning Incorporated, Umicore, NGK Insulators, Denso Corporation, Continental AG, BorgWarner, Eberspacher, Delphi Technologies, Cummins Inc. and Robert Bosch GmbH.
In December 2021, Tenneco is putting its 100-plus years of powertrain expertise in improving vehicle fuel efficiency and reducing emissions to work to explore synthetic fuels (e-fuels), a viable near-term solution to further maximize the efficiency and minimize the carbon footprint of internal combustion engines (ICE). Tenneco's Powertrain business group is partnering with key academic and industry experts to examine the technical possibilities and commercial feasibility of synthetic fuels as a key technology to help the industry transition to climate-neutral transportation. This collaborative effort is referred to as the NAMOSYN project.
In July 2021, BASF to carve out mobile emissions catalysts business and invest up to €4.5 billion in battery materials and recycling. As the largest chemicals supplier to the automotive industry, BASF will further strengthen its focus on battery materials and recycling and will establish a separate mobile emissions catalysts, automotive catalysts recycling and associated precious metal services entity. The new entity will be named BASF Automotive Catalysts and Recycling.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.