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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1725154
NPK 肥料市场预测(至 2032 年):按等级、性质、营养成分、形态、生产技术、分销管道、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析NPK Fertilizers Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Grade, Nature, Nutrient Composition, Form, Production Technology, Distribution Channel, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球 NPK 肥料(饲料和食品)市场预计在 2025 年达到 32 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 45 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 5.2%。
NPK 肥料是富含氮 (N)、磷 (P) 和钾 (K) 的营养配方,对植物生长至关重要。饲料NPK肥料用于改良饲料作物,进而提高动物饲料的营养价值。食品级 NPK 肥料经过精製用于生产作物,并符合高安全性和纯度标准以防止污染。虽然两种等级的肥料都能促进植物的最佳生长,但食品级肥料需要进一步加工才能满足人类食用的标准。
根据印度政府化学和化肥部化肥局的数据,2023-24 财年印度化肥(包括 NPK)总消费量量约为 6,126 万吨。
世界人口和粮食需求不断增长
全球人口的快速成长和粮食需求的增加是 NPK 肥料(饲料和食品)市场的主要驱动力。随着人口的成长,特别是新兴经济体的人口成长,对农业生产的需求也会增加。 NPK肥料透过氮、磷和钾提供均衡的营养,使农民能够优化作物产量并提高食品品质。此外,受可支配收入增加和饮食偏好变化的推动,肉类、乳製品、水果和蔬菜消费量不断增加,也加剧了对有效肥料的需求,以确保粮食安全和永续农业生产。
价格和市场波动
天然气、磷矿和钾肥等原材料的相关成本受到全球供应链中断、地缘政治衝突和能源价格波动的影响。这些因素会导致化肥价格波动,影响农民的购买选择和利润率。此外,仓储和处理成本,加上严格的政府法规和不定期的补贴政策,加剧了市场波动。这种不稳定性可能会阻碍对施肥的投资,阻碍先进施肥技术的采用,最终影响市场成长。
精密农业和智慧农业
土壤测试、遥感探测和变数施肥等数据主导技术的实施有助于客製化肥料剂量,增强养分分布并减少浪费。此外,缓释性效性NPK 肥料的开发使植物更容易吸收养分,并减少对环境的危害,从而满足了精密农业的目标。随着农民逐步实施这些新方法,对先进 NPK 肥料的需求预计将会增加,推动市场成长并提高永续农业生产。
气候变迁对农业的影响
气候变迁透过改变天气模式、增加极端事件的发生率并影响土壤健康,对 NPK 肥料业务构成重大威胁。不稳定的降水、干旱和温度波动会扰乱作物週期和养分吸收,降低肥料功效和农业产量。此外,气候引起的土壤劣化和养分流失可能需要增加施肥量,从而增加农民的成本。
新冠疫情对氮磷钾肥料产业产生了复杂的影响。儘管日益增长的粮食安全问题导致化肥需求增加,但该行业仍受到严重的供应链中断、劳动力问题和运输限制的打击。生产延迟和原材料短缺导致价格暂时上涨和产品供应有限。此外,旅行和商业限制阻碍了化肥快速分发给消费者。儘管存在这些障碍,但疫情凸显了化肥对于维持食品供应链的迫切需求,从而加强了市场的长期成长轨迹。
预计预测期内颗粒部分将实现最大程度的成长
颗粒肥料由于其易于施用、保质期长、适用于多种作物和土壤类型,预计将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。颗粒状 NPK 肥料可调节营养物质的释放,并最大限度地减少因浸出和挥发而造成营养流失的可能性。此外,它与当前农业技术的兼容性和经济可行性赢得了世界各地农民的支持。大规模农田作物生产(尤其是集约农业地区)的强劲需求进一步增强了该行业的优势,确保了其持续的市场领先地位。
预计预测期内控制释放部分将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
受人们对永续农业的认识不断提高以及对有效营养管理的需求的推动,预计控制控制释放部分将在预测期内见证最高的成长率。控制释放NPK 肥料可长期稳定供应养分,提高作物产量并最大限度地减少对环境的影响。此外,聚合物涂层技术的进步和环境永续农业投入的法律核准正在促进其应用。这种快速扩张是由于其在高价值和作物作物中的有效性以及与精密农业趋势的一致性,使其成为市场中成长最快的部分。
在预测期内,亚太地区预计将占据最大的市场占有率,这得益于其庞大的农业基础、高人口密度以及不断增长的食品需求。中国和印度等国家拥有广阔的耕地面积,政府提倡平衡施肥,为该地区的优势做出了巨大贡献。此外,快速的都市化、不断增加的可支配收入和不断变化的饮食习惯正在推动使用氮磷钾肥料来加强农业生产。大量投资于农业基础设施以及知名肥料製造商的存在增强了该地区的领导地位,确保了市场的持续扩张。
在预测期内,由于先进农业技术和精密农业技术的快速采用,预计亚太地区将呈现最高的复合年增长率。该地区市场蓬勃发展,其特点是人们对土壤健康的认识不断加深、政府对永续农业的支持以及向特种肥料和控制释放肥料的转变。此外,种植面积的扩大和高价值作物需求的不断增长也推动了化肥的使用。亚太地区强劲的经济成长和对当地生产和分销系统的大量投资使该地区成为全球成长最快的 NPK 肥料市场。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global NPK Fertilizers (feed-grade and food-grade) Market is accounted for $3.2 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $4.5 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 5.2% during the forecast period. NPK fertilizers are nutrient-rich formulations that comprise nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), and potassium (K), which are required for plant growth. Feed-grade NPK fertilizers are used to improve forage crops and thereby increase the nutritional value of animal food. Food-grade NPK fertilizers are purified for use in edible crop production, adhering to high safety and purity criteria to prevent contamination. Both grades promote optimal plant growth, but food-grade fertilizers are further processed to fulfill human consumption standards.
According to the Department of Fertilizers, Ministry of Chemicals and Fertilizers, Government of India, the total consumption of fertilizers (including NPK) in India during the financial year 2023-24 was approximately 61.26 million tonnes.
Growing global population and food demand
The rapid expansion of the global population, along with increasing food demand, is the main driver for the NPK fertilizers (feed-grade and food-grade) market. As populations grow, particularly in developing economies, the demand for increased agricultural output escalates. NPK fertilizers provide balanced nutrition via nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium, allowing farmers to optimize crop yields and enhance food quality. Moreover, heightened consumption of meat, dairy, fruits, and vegetables, propelled by growing disposable incomes and evolving dietary tastes, intensifies the demand for effective fertilizers to guarantee food security and sustainable agricultural production.
Price volatility and market fluctuations
The expenses associated with raw materials, like natural gas, phosphate rock, and potash, are influenced by global supply chain interruptions, geopolitical conflicts, and variable energy prices. These factors may result in volatile fertilizer prices, affecting farmers' purchasing choices and profit margins. Moreover, storage and handling expenses, coupled with stringent governmental rules and erratic subsidy policies, exacerbate market instability. This volatility may dissuade investment in fertilizer application and impede the implementation of sophisticated fertilization techniques, ultimately impacting market growth.
Precision agriculture and smart farming
The incorporation of data-driven technology, including soil testing, remote sensing, and variable rate applications, facilitates the customized administration of fertilizers, enhancing nutrient distribution and reducing waste. Additionally, the development of slow-release and controlled-release NPK fertilizers aligns with the goals of precision agriculture by helping plants absorb nutrients better and reducing harm to the environment. As farmers progressively implement these new approaches, the need for sophisticated NPK fertilizers is anticipated to escalate, propelling market growth and enhancing sustainable agricultural output.
Climate change impacts on agriculture
Climate change is a substantial threat to the NPK fertilizers business by modifying weather patterns, elevating the incidence of extreme events, and impacting soil health. Erratic precipitation, drought conditions, and temperature variations can interfere with crop cycles and nutrient absorption, diminishing fertilizer efficacy and agricultural output. Moreover, climate-induced soil deterioration and nutrient leaching may require elevated fertilizer application rates, hence escalating expenses for farmers.
The Covid-19 epidemic exerted a complex influence on the NPK fertilizers industry. Despite the rising demand for fertilizers driven by intensified food security concerns, the industry encountered substantial supply chain disruptions, labor difficulties, and transportation limitations. Manufacturing delays and shortages of raw materials resulted in transient price surges and restricted product supply. Moreover, limitations on travel and commerce hindered the prompt distribution of fertilizers to consumers. Notwithstanding these hurdles, the pandemic highlighted the crucial need for fertilizers to sustain food supply networks, thereby strengthening the market's long-term growth trajectory.
The granular segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The granular segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period owing to its simplicity of application, extended shelf life, and compatibility with various crops and soil types. Granular NPK fertilizers provide regulated nutrient release, minimizing the potential for nutrient loss by leaching or volatilization. Moreover, their compatibility with current agricultural technology and economic viability render them a favored option among farmers worldwide. The segment's supremacy is further reinforced by strong demand in extensive field crop production, especially in areas with intensive agricultural methods, guaranteeing its sustained market leadership.
The controlled-release segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the controlled-release segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, propelled by heightened awareness of sustainable agriculture and the necessity for effective nutrient management. Controlled-release NPK fertilizers deliver a consistent supply of nutrients over a longer duration, improving crop output and minimizing environmental effects. Furthermore, progress in polymer-coating technology and legislative endorsement for environmentally sustainable agricultural inputs are expediting implementation. The segment's swift expansion is credited to its efficacy in high-value and industrial crops, alongside its congruence with precision agriculture trends, establishing it as the market's fastest-growing section.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, supported by its extensive agricultural foundation, significant population density, and rising food demand. Countries such as China and India, characterized by their vast arable territory and governmental programs advocating for balanced fertilization, significantly contribute to regional supremacy. Moreover, swift urbanization, increasing disposable incomes, and changing dietary habits are propelling the utilization of NPK fertilizers to enhance agricultural production. The region's leadership is bolstered by substantial expenditures in agricultural infrastructure and the presence of prominent fertilizer manufacturers, assuring continuous market expansion.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, driven by the rapid implementation of sophisticated agricultural technologies and precision farming methodologies. The region's vibrant market is marked by heightened knowledge of soil health, governmental backing for sustainable agriculture, and a transition toward specialty and controlled-release fertilizers. Moreover, the expansion of cultivated areas and the increasing demand for high-value crops are driving fertilizer usage. The region's vigorous economic expansion, along with significant investments in local production and distribution systems, establishes Asia Pacific as the fastest-growing market for NPK fertilizers worldwide.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in NPK Fertilizers (feed-grade and food-grade) Market include Yara International ASA, The Mosaic Company, Nutrien Ltd., EuroChem Group AG, CF Industries Holdings, Inc., PhosAgro Group, ICL Group Ltd., K+S Aktiengesellschaft (K+S AG), Haifa Chemicals Ltd., Kingenta Ecological Engineering Group Co., Ltd., Stanley Fertilizer Co., Ltd., Xinyangfeng Fertilizer Co., Ltd., Uralchem Group, Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc., Borealis AG, OCI Nitrogen (OCI N.V.), Sinofert Holdings Ltd., and Coromandel International Ltd.
In April 2025, CF Industries has formed a joint venture with JERA and Mitsui to build the world's largest low-carbon ammonia plant in Louisiana. The facility will have an annual capacity of 1.4 million metric tons, with production expected to begin in 2029.
In May 2024, BioPrime AgriSolutions, a leading ag-biotech startup harnessing the power of agricultural biotechnology for sustainable and resilient farming practices, is delighted to announce a strategic partnership with Yara India, a subsidiary of Yara International, the world's leading crop Nutrition Company. Bringing together BioPrime's cutting-edge SNIPR technology-based "Chiron" with Yara India's expertise & leadership in crop nutrition, this collaboration marks a noteworthy milestone in serving farmers with sustainable solutions mitigating the risk of crop failures due to weather uncertainties & boosting the crop yields.
In March 2024, EuroChem announces new R&D program to improve fertilizers. The Company announced the launch of a new research program aimed at developing technology for processing comple--x ores and increasing the recovery of valuable components from phosphate rock. This initiative will increase recovery by 10% and help the Company broaden its resource base.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.