![]() |
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1744535
2032 年己二腈市场预测:按生产流程、应用、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Adiponitrile Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Production Process, Application (Nylon Synthesis, Hexamethylene Diisocyanate, Electrolyte Solution and Other Applications), End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球己二腈市场预计在 2025 年达到 125.5 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 255.6 亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为 10.7%。
己二腈是一种有机化合物,分子式为(CH2)4(CN)2,其四碳脂肪族链两侧各有两个腈基(-CN)。它是一种无色液体,略带气味,是生产广泛使用的合成聚合物尼龙-6,6的关键步骤。己二腈的主要生产方法是丙烯腈的电氢化二聚化或丁二烯的氢氰化。己二腈生成六亚甲基二胺,六亚甲基二胺随后与己二酸聚合生成尼龙-6,6。此外,己二腈含有活性腈基,因此需要小心处理,尤其是在高温或强酸强碱环境下。
根据国际汽车工业组织 (OICA) 的数据,2022 年全球汽车产量将达到 8,501 万辆,比 2021 年的 8,020 万辆成长 5.99%。该增幅已四舍五入为 6%,这对于一般报告目的来说是准确的。
对尼龙6的兴趣日益浓厚
己二腈是己二胺的前驱物,己二胺与己二酸聚合而成。尼龙6以其卓越的机械强度、耐化学性和热稳定性而闻名,是各种工业应用的理想选择。消费品、汽车和航太等高要求应用需要高性能工程塑料,而这些应用越来越多地选择尼龙6而非传统材料。此外,全球对尼龙6的强劲需求,尤其是在需要高承载能力和尺寸稳定性的应用领域,正直接推动己二腈市场的扩张。
供应链中断和原材料的不可预测性
己二腈的生产依赖于丁二烯和丙烯腈等上游石化产品。作为天然气加工和石油精製的产物,这些原料容易受到地区产量、地缘政治紧张局势和原油价格波动的影响。新冠疫情、俄乌衝突和欧洲能源危机等事件导致了石化产业的生产延误、价格上涨和停产。运输物流或重要原料供应的任何长期中断都可能直接影响己二腈的供应,增加生产成本,并限制终端产业的供应。
实现经济高效、更环保的生产方法的技术创新
己二腈产业的新技术为提高生产力、减少排放和降低生产成本提供了机会。电化学合成、生物基原料和先进催化系统等创新技术作为氢氰化等传统技术的绿色替代方案,日益受到关注。此外,如果企业投资研发以优化这些新一代工艺,则可以减轻其环境合规负担,从而在永续性标准严格的市场中占据竞争优势。
能源投入与原物料价格波动
己二腈的生产严重依赖丁二烯和丙烯腈等石化衍生原料。这些原料的价格容易受到供应链中断、地缘政治因素以及全球原油市场行情的影响而大幅波动。此外,己二腈的合成需要耗能,尤其是在高温高压条件下,这使得生产商极易受到燃料和电力价格波动的影响。此外,长期供不应求和投入成本上升可能会降低製造商的利润率,并阻碍其他拥有更可靠供应链的聚合物生产商使用己二腈。
新冠疫情对己二腈市场造成了重大衝击,因为製造业放缓、汽车和纺织等终端行业需求下降以及全球供应链中断。己二腈的主要用途是尼龙6(6),在疫情初期,由于停工和运输限制,其生产频率降低,从而减少了对该化学品的需求。此外,由于安全隐患和劳动力短缺,一些大型化工厂暂时关闭或减产,进一步加剧了供应链的压力。
丁二烯氢氰化部分预计将在预测期内成为最大的部分
丁二烯氢氰化製程预计将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。该工艺因其高效、成熟的扩充性和经济实惠的特点,成为生产己二腈最受欢迎的工业方法。大量的己二腈是透过氢氰酸与丁二烯催化作用加成生成的,通常使用镍基催化剂。该工艺的主导地位归功于英威达 (Invista) 和奥升德 (Ascend) 等行业领先企业对该工艺进行了广泛的商业性优化。此外,氢氰化製程因其产量稳定、产量高且易于与上下游化工生产系统整合而备受青睐。
预计预测期内电解质溶液部分将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
预计电解质溶液领域将在预测期内实现最高成长率。全球对锂离子电池的需求不断增长是推动这一增长的主要因素,而锂离子电池在电解配方中使用己二腈作为高性能溶剂。己二腈的热稳定性和电化学稳定性使其成为能源储存系统、便携式电子设备和电动车(EV)等新一代电池技术的理想选择。此外,随着各国加快向清洁能源和电动出行转型,预计己二腈在电池级电解质中的应用将激增。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。这得归功于蓬勃发展的化学製造业和不断增长的下游应用,尤其是在尼龙生产领域。该地区的主导地位源于快速的工业化进程、纺织和汽车行业日益增长的需求以及大规模的基础设施投资。中国、印度和韩国等国家凭藉其强大的生产能力和不断扩张的出口产业,成为关键的市场参与者。此外,由于原料供应充足且政府推出了扶持政策,亚太地区已成为全球己二腈市场的重要区域。
预计中东和非洲地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。化工和石化产业的投资不断增加,尤其是在沙乌地阿拉伯和阿联酋等国家,推动了该地区的成长。为了满足国内外市场的需求,该地区正致力于扩大製造业基础并加强基础建设。此外,汽车和纺织业需求的不断增长,以及与国际公司的策略联盟和合作,预计将在预测期内加速中东和非洲地区对己二腈的采用。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Adiponitrile Market is accounted for $12.55 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $25.56 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 10.7% during the forecast period. Adiponitrile is an organic compound with the formula (CH2)4(CN)2. It is made up of two nitrile (-CN) groups on either side of a four-carbon aliphatic chain. It is a colorless liquid with a slight smell that is an essential step in the manufacturing of nylon-6, 6, a synthetic polymer that is used extensively. The main methods for creating adiponitrile are the electrohydrodimerization of acrylonitrile or the hydrocyanation of butadiene. Its production of hexamethylenediamine, which is subsequently polymerized with adipic acid to form nylon-6,6, accounts for its industrial significance. Moreover, adiponitrile needs to be handled carefully because of its reactive nitrile groups, especially when exposed to high temperatures or strong acids or bases.
According to the International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA), global automotive production reached 85.01 million units in 2022, reflecting a 5.99% increase compared to 80.20 million units in 2021. The percentage increase is rounded to 6%, which is accurate for general reporting.
Growing interest in nylon 6, 6
An essential component of nylon 6, 6, adiponitrile is a precursor to hexamethylenediamine, which is then polymerized with adipic acid. Renowned for its exceptional mechanical strength, chemical resistance, and thermal stability, nylon 6 is perfect for a variety of industrial uses. Increasingly, nylon 6 is being chosen over traditional materials due to the need for high-performance engineering plastics in demanding settings, such as consumer goods, automotive, and aerospace. Additionally, the strong worldwide demand for nylon 6, 6, particularly in applications requiring load-bearing capacity and dimensional stability, is directly propelling the adiponitrile market's expansion.
Supply chain interruptions and unpredictability of raw materials
Upstream petrochemicals like butadiene and acrylonitrile are essential for the production of adiponitrile. Due to their status as byproducts of natural gas processing and oil refining, these raw materials are subject to changes in regional production, geopolitical tensions, and the price of crude oil. Petrochemical industry delays, price spikes, and shutdowns have resulted from events like the COVID-19 pandemic, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the energy crises in Europe. Any prolonged interruption in the transportation logistics or supply of essential raw materials can have a direct impact on the availability of adiponitrile, raise production costs, and restrict supply to end-use industries.
Innovation in technology for cost-effective and greener production methods
Opportunities to increase productivity, cut emissions, and save production costs are presented by emerging technologies in the adiponitrile industry. As environmentally friendly substitutes for conventional techniques like hydrocyanation, innovations like electrochemical synthesis, bio-based feedstocks, and sophisticated catalytic systems are attracting more attention. Furthermore, businesses may experience reduced environmental compliance burdens and obtain a competitive advantage in markets with strict sustainability standards if they invest in research and development to optimize these next-generation processes.
Price fluctuations for energy inputs and raw materials
The production of adiponitrile is heavily reliant on petrochemical-derived feedstock's like butadiene and acrylonitrile. Due to supply chain interruptions, geopolitical factors, and global crude oil markets, these raw materials are susceptible to large price swings. Furthermore, because adiponitrile synthesis requires a lot of energy, particularly when it is done at high temperatures and pressures, producers are extremely vulnerable to fluctuations in the price of fuel and electricity. Moreover, long-term shortages or spikes in input costs can lower manufacturers' profit margins and deter other polymers with more reliable supply chains from using adiponitrile.
Due to manufacturing slowdowns, decreased demand from end-use industries like automotive and textiles, and disruptions in global supply chains, the COVID-19 pandemic had a significant effect on the adiponitrile market. Adiponitrile's primary use, nylon 6, 6, was produced less frequently during the early stages of the pandemic due to lockdowns and transportation restrictions, which reduced demand for the chemical. Furthermore, taxing the supply chain were a number of large chemical plants that either temporarily closed or operated at reduced capacity as a result of safety concerns and a lack of workers.
The Hydro-cyanation of butadiene segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The Hydro-cyanation of butadiene segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. The main reasons this process is the most popular industrial way to produce adiponitrile are its high efficiency, proven scalability, and affordability. Large amounts of adiponitrile are created by the catalytic addition of hydrogen cyanide to butadiene, usually with the aid of catalysts based on nickel. Its dominance can be attributed to the extensive commercial optimization of this method by industry leaders such as Invista and Ascend Performance Materials. Moreover, the hydro-cyanation process is preferred because it produces consistent production output, offers high yields, and integrates easily with upstream and downstream chemical manufacturing systems.
The electrolyte solution segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the electrolyte solution segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. The growing demand for lithium-ion batteries worldwide, which use adiponitrile as a high-performance solvent in electrolyte formulations, is the main factor driving this growth. It is a perfect part of next-generation battery technologies for energy storage systems, portable electronics, and electric vehicles (EVs) because of its thermal and electrochemical stability. Additionally, the use of adiponitrile in battery-grade electrolytes is anticipated to rise sharply as nations quicken their shift to clean energy and e-mobility.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, driven by its thriving chemical manufacturing sector and growing downstream uses, especially in the production of nylon. The region's dominance is a result of rapid industrialization, rising demand from the textile and automotive industries, and large infrastructure investments. Because of their large production capacities and expanding export industries, nations like China, India, and South Korea are important players. Furthermore, Asia-Pacific is the leading region in the global adiponitrile market due to the availability of raw materials and supportive government policies.
Over the forecast period, the Middle East & Africa region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. Investments in the chemical and petrochemical sectors are rising, especially in nations like Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, which is driving this growth. To meet demand from both domestic and international markets, the area is concentrating on growing its manufacturing base and enhancing its infrastructure. Additionally, it is anticipated that during the forecast period, the Middle East and Africa will adopt adiponitrile more quickly due to growing demand from the automotive and textile sectors as well as strategic alliances and collaborations with international players.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Adiponitrile Market include BASF SE, Tokyo Chemical Industry Co., Ltd., Solvay SA, Evonik Industries, Ascend Performance Materials Inc, Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc, Sumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd., Merck KGaA, Asahi Kasei Corporation, Mitsui Chemicals, Inc., Invista, Vizag Chemical International Inc, Alfa Aesar Inc, Spectrum Chemical Mfg. Corporation and Toray Industries, Inc.
In April 2025, Chemicals group Solvay launched an expansion on to regain its previous strength in processing rare earths, hoping to attract customers after China imposed new barriers. China implemented export restrictions on certain rare earth elements, a group of 17 minerals, as part of its sweeping response to U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs.
In March 2025, Evonik has entered into an exclusive agreement with the Cleveland-based Sea-Land Chemical Company for the distribution of its cleaning solutions in the U.S. The agreement builds on a long-standing relationship with the distributor and expands the reach of Evonik's cleaning solutions to the entire U.S. region.
In December 2024, BASF and Inocas S.A. signed a long-term supplier finance agreement, including offtake of Macauba Kernel Oil and Macauba Pulp Oil, an R&D project and options to acquire equity shares in INOCAS in future. The partnership includes financing of INOCAS' plans to significantly expand the Macauba oil production in Brazil on an industrial scale, strengthening the country's position in the bioeconomy.