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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1766024
2032 年电动拖拉机市场预测:按传动系统、电池、动力、应用和地区分類的全球分析Electric Tractor Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Drive Train, Battery, Power Output, Application and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球电动拖拉机市场预计在 2025 年达到 4.0442 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 10.7577 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 15.0%。
电动拖拉机是尖端农业设备,采用可充电电池运作,而非传统的内燃机。这些拖拉机旨在减少温室气体排放和营运成本,使其成为更清洁、更安静、更有效率的农业选择。此外,电动拖拉机维护成本低且节能,特别适合经常进行短距离作业的中小型农场。凭藉智慧互联、GPS 自动化和再生煞车等尖端功能,电动拖拉机正引领精准农业和永续农业的转型。
根据WRI印度统计,印度拥有全球最大的拖拉机市场,2022年拖拉机销售量将超过100万台,占全球拖拉机产量的45%。
燃油价格上涨
随着柴油价格长期呈上涨趋势且波动加剧,农民们正在寻找更具成本效益的选择。电动拖拉机可以使用电网电力或离网太阳能充电,从长远来看,这可以显着降低营业成本。研究表明,电动拖拉机每年可帮助农民节省1,500-2,000印度卢比(约2,000美元)的燃料成本。除其他优势外,电动拖拉机的经济效益在燃料成本占农业投入成本大比重的美国和印度等国家尤其具有吸引力。
电动拖拉机的初始成本高
电动拖拉机的初始成本高昂,可能是柴油拖拉机的1.5到2倍,这是最大的障碍之一。昂贵的锂离子电池、电力传动系统和先进的控制系统是造成这种成本差异的主要原因。许多小农户和边际农户,尤其是在巴西、印度和非洲部分开发中国家,儘管营运和维护成本较低,但仍难以进行初始投资。此外,融资和信贷管道有限也减缓了电动拖拉机的普及。
能源储存和电池技术开发
电池化学、能量密度和充电速度的快速进步,使电动拖拉机更加实用。诸如续航里程焦虑和充电时间过长等关键缺陷,应该透过固体电池、可更换电池组和快速充电系统等新技术来解决。此外,这些发展还能使电动拖拉机能够处理更繁重的任务,并延长每次充电的续航时间。
成熟的柴油拖拉机生态系的优势
柴油拖拉机凭藉其成熟的供应链、服务网路、零配件供应和用户熟悉度,几十年来一直主导着全球拖拉机市场。而对于电动拖拉机而言,这种成熟的生态系统构成了重大障碍,尤其是在农民规避风险、更青睐试验技术的农村地区。此外,儘管电动拖拉机具有环保效益,但很难说服农民放弃他们熟悉且信赖的拖拉机系统,因此电动拖拉机的市场渗透率一直很低。
新冠疫情对电动拖拉机市场造成了多方面的影响。全球供应链中断、工厂关闭以及电池和半导体等关键零件交付延迟,导致市场初期受挫,生产和新车型上市放缓。农民收入减少和财务不稳定,尤其是在开发中国家,也导致他们削减开支,宁愿修理柴油设备,也不愿购买更新、更昂贵的电动替代。疫情也增加了人们对永续和自给自足耕作方法的兴趣,因此作为绿色復苏计画的一部分,各国政府和组织正在考虑将其农业机械电气化。
预计预测期内锂离子电池领域将成为最大的市场。
预计锂离子电池领域将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。锂离子电池因其高能量密度、轻量化设计、长寿命和快速充电功能而备受青睐,这些特性对于需要长时间使用的农业应用至关重要。与铅酸电池和镍氢电池相比,锂离子电池在各种负载下性能更佳,并提供更高效的电力传输。此外,电池管理系统 (BMS) 的技术进步以及成本的持续下降进一步增强了其在电动拖拉机上的适用性。
预计农业和林业部门在预测期内将以最高复合年增长率成长
预计农业和林业领域将在预测期内实现最高成长率。全球永续农业实践的兴起、政府对电动农机发展的激励措施以及人们对减少农业碳排放需求的日益重视,是推动这一成长的关键因素。电动拖拉机尤其适合农业,因为它们噪音小、易于维护且营业成本低,是中小型农场的理想选择。此外,太阳能和自动驾驶电动拖拉机等技术创新也正在加速其普及。
预计北美地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率,这得益于其完善的农业机械化框架、新技术的早期应用以及政府对清洁能源的大力支持。美国在这方面处于世界领先地位,这得益于其在农业电气化方面的大量投资、约翰迪尔和君主拖拉机等主要参与者的存在,以及对环保型农业设备的需求不断增长。此外,排放目标和电动车扣除额等优惠措施也推动了电动拖拉机的普及。
由于政府大力支持电动车发展、日益增长的环境问题以及农业现代化的快速推进,预计亚太地区将在预测期内实现最高的复合年增长率。中国和印度在这方面处于领先地位,印度透过PM-KUSUM和FAME等计画提供补贴,以推广电动农机的使用。该地区拥有大量中小型农场,对小型且价格实惠的电动拖拉机的需求旺盛。此外,当地生产商和新兴企业正在增加对研发和本地製造的投资,这改善了电动拖拉机的普及,并加速了新兴国家的市场扩张。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Electric Tractor Market is accounted for $404.42 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $1075.77 million by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 15.0% during the forecast period. Electric tractors are cutting-edge farm equipment that runs on rechargeable batteries rather than conventional internal combustion engines. These tractors provide a cleaner, quieter, and more effective option for farming operations because they are made to lower greenhouse gas emissions and operating expenses. Moreover, their lower maintenance requirements and energy efficiency make them especially appropriate for small to medium-sized farms, where frequent short-range tasks can be advantageous. With cutting-edge features like smart connectivity, GPS-based automation, and regenerative braking, electric tractors are spearheading the transition to precision and sustainable farming.
According to WRI India, India-home to the largest global tractor market-sold over 1 million tractors in 2022, contributing 45% of global tractor production; agriculture and transportation together accounted for 14% and 8.36% of India's national GHG emissions, respectively, underscoring the environmental imperative of electrifying farm equipment.
Increasing fuel prices
Farmers are looking for more cost-effective options as a result of the long-term upward trend and growing volatility of diesel prices. Over time, electric tractors significantly reduce operating costs because they can be charged using either grid electricity or off-grid solar. Electric tractors, for instance, can help farmers save up to ₹1.5-2 lakh (~USD 2,000) a year on fuel costs, according to studies. Additionally, this economic benefit is especially alluring in nations where fuel accounts for a sizable amount of farm input costs, such as the United States and India.
High initial cost of electric tractors
The high initial cost of electric tractors, which can be 1.5-2 times that of their diesel counterparts, is one of the biggest obstacles. The pricey lithium-ion batteries, electric drive trains, and sophisticated control systems are primarily to blame for this cost disparity. Many small and marginal farmers, particularly in developing nations like Brazil, India, and parts of Africa, find it difficult to make the initial investment even though operating and maintenance costs are lower. Furthermore, the problem is made worse by limited access to financing or credit options, which slows down widespread adoption.
Developments in energy storage and battery technology
Electric tractors are becoming more practical due to rapid advancements in battery chemistry, energy density, and charging speeds. Key drawbacks like range anxiety and lengthy charging times should be addressed by emerging technologies like solid-state batteries, swappable battery packs, and fast-charging systems. Moreover, electric tractors may be able to handle heavier tasks and operate for longer periods of time between charges owing to these developments, which will make them appropriate for a wider variety of farming uses and larger landholdings.
Dominance of the ecosystem of established diesel tractors
Diesel-powered tractors with a well-established supply chain, service network, spare parts availability, and user familiarity have dominated the global tractor market for decades. For electric tractors, this established ecosystem presents a significant obstacle, particularly in rural regions where farmers are risk-averse and favor tried-and-true technologies. Additionally, market penetration is slowed by the difficulty of persuading farmers to abandon a system they are familiar with and trust, despite the environmental advantages.
The market for electric tractors experienced mixed effects from the COVID-19 pandemic. Global supply chain disruptions, factory closures, and delays in the delivery of vital components like batteries and semiconductors led to initial market setbacks that slowed production and the introduction of new models. Farmers' decreased income and financial instability, particularly in developing nations, also caused them to be frugal with their spending and favour repairing their diesel equipment rather than purchasing more expensive, newer electric alternatives. As part of green recovery plans, governments and organizations are now considering electrifying farm equipment because the pandemic has also increased interest in sustainable and self-sufficient agricultural methods.
The lithium-ion batteries segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The lithium-ion batteries segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. These batteries are favored because of their high energy density, lightweight design, extended lifespan, and quick charging capabilities-all of which are critical for agricultural operations that need prolonged use. In contrast to lead-acid or nickel-metal hydride batteries, lithium-ion batteries offer superior performance under a range of loads and more effective power delivery. Furthermore, their suitability for electric tractors has been further enhanced by technological advancements in battery management systems (BMS) and their declining cost over time.
The agriculture & forestry segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the agriculture & forestry segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. The global movement toward sustainable farming methods, government incentives supporting electric farm equipment, and growing awareness of the need to reduce carbon emissions in the agriculture industry are the main drivers of this growth. Because they are quiet, easy to maintain, and cost less to operate, electric tractors are particularly well-suited for the agricultural industry-perfect for small and medium-sized farms. Additionally, speeding up adoption are innovations like solar-powered and autonomous electric tractors.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share, driven by a well-established framework for agricultural mechanization, early adoption of new technologies, and robust government support for clean energy. Due to substantial investments in agricultural electrification, the presence of major players like John Deere and Monarch Tractor, and the growing demand for environmentally friendly farming equipment, the United States leads the world in this regard. Furthermore, the deployment of electric tractors has also been accelerated by advantageous policies like emission reduction targets and tax credits for electric vehicles.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, driven by aggressive government programs supporting electric mobility, growing environmental concerns, and the quick modernization of agriculture. China and India are leading the way, with India providing subsidies to promote the use of electric farm equipment through programs like PM-KUSUM and FAME. Because there are so many small and medium-sized farms in the area, there is a high demand for small, reasonably priced electric tractors. Additionally, local producers and startups are investing more in R&D and local manufacturing, which increases accessibility to electric tractors and speeds up market expansion in emerging economies.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Electric Tractor Market include Kubota Corporation, Claas, Escorts Kubota Limited, Monarch Tractor, AGCO Corporation, Deere & Company, Solectrac Inc., CNH Industrial N.V., Yanmar Holdings Co. Ltd., AutoNxt Automation Pvt. Ltd., Ztractor, Mahindra and Mahindra, Cellestial E-Mobility Pvt Ltd, TAFE and Proxecto.
In October 2024, Escorts Kubota Limited (EKL) has entered into the Business Transfer Agreement with Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (Sona Comstar) for transferring the existing Railway Equipment Business Division (RED) as going concern, on slump sale basis, for a lumpsum cash consideration of INR 1,600 Crore, subject to the terms of the Agreement.
In September 2024, Kubota Corporation has acquired Bloomfield Robotics, Inc., a Pittsburgh-based company. Bloomfield provides a service that monitors the health and performance of specialty crops, one plant at a time, using advanced imaging and artificial intelligence (AI) to growers across seven countries and three continents.
In July 2024, AGCO Corporation announced it has entered into a definitive agreement to sell the majority of its Grain & Protein business to American Industrial Partners ("AIP") in an all-cash transaction valued at $700 million, subject to working capital and other customary closing adjustments.