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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1766029
2032 年生物异丁烯市场预测:按原料、应用、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Bio-Isobutene Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Raw Material, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球生物异丁烯市场预计在 2025 年达到 325.7 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 519.6 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 6.9%。
生物异丁烯是一种可再生的生物基替代品,可取代传统的化石来源异丁烯,主要透过利用工程微生物发酵植物来源的醣类而生产。它是生产塑胶、合成橡胶、高性能燃料和其他特殊化学品的关键成分。生物异丁烯具有显着的环境效益,包括减少温室气体排放和碳足迹,使其成为转型为永续循环经济的首选。
根据ACS永续化学与工程的Meta分析,将12种主要化学品的原料从化石转换为生物质,每年可减少约1.2亿吨二氧化碳当量,并减少每年1,500 PJ的化石能源使用量。
添加剂和可再生燃料需求
高性能可再生燃料,例如生物异辛烷和乙基叔丁基醚 (ETBE),主要由生物异丁烯製成,这些燃料被混合到汽油中以提高其可燃性并减少有害颗粒物。欧盟可再生能源指令 II (RED II) 和加州低碳燃料标准 (LCFS) 等严格的燃料品质和碳强度法规正在推动对低排放气体燃料添加剂的需求。此外,随着运输业向更绿色燃料转型,生物异丁烯在维持引擎性能和环保合规性方面发挥越来越重要的作用。
与化石燃料替代品相比,生产成本较高
生物异丁烯的生产成本相对较高,是其广泛应用的最大障碍之一。用于生产生物异丁烯的发酵法通常需要复杂的生物技术基础设施和昂贵的原料,例如来自小麦或甜菜的葡萄糖。精製和分离是成本高且能源密集的下游製程的例子。另一方面,化石衍生的异丁烯受益于成熟且规模高效的石化製程。此外,在碳定价、补贴和立法创造一个竞争环境之前,橡胶生产和燃料混合等价格敏感的行业可能不愿意转向异丁烯。
塑胶和合成橡胶领域潜力巨大
生物异丁烯是合成丁基橡胶、聚异丁烯以及其他用于黏合剂、医药包装、汽车和建筑的弹性体的关键单体。消费者和法规正在迫使这些产业使用永续材料。生物基橡胶和塑胶的日益增长的趋势为生物异丁烯取代化石基材料创造了良好的机会。此外,生物异丁烯适用于现有的製造基础设施,使操作员更容易切换而无需进行重大设备改造,从而加速了其在合成材料中的应用。
知名石化产品竞争激烈
生物异丁烯市场与现有的异丁烯及相关石油基碳氢化合物竞争激烈。数十年的基础设施投资和技术进步,降低了这些传统替代品的单位成本,提高了产能,并建立了完善的供应链。然而,作为相对较新的进入者,生物异丁烯难以达到这些传统替代品的规模经济效益。此外,原油价格波动可能会进一步推高化石基异丁烯的价格,进一步降低生物基异丁烯的竞争力,尤其是在燃料和橡胶等价格敏感的市场。
新冠疫情对生物异丁烯市场产生了多方面的影响。供应链中断、劳动力短缺以及工业活动减少(尤其是在化学和可再生燃料产业),导致研究、先导计画和规模化生产暂时停滞。由于企业重新聚焦关键功能,对生物基基础设施的投资被推迟。然而,这场危机凸显了稳健永续供应链的重要性,并加速了全球迈向绿色復苏计画的脚步。随着经济復苏,在重新关注气候目标、清洁能源和永续材料的推动下,生物异丁烯已成为后疫情时代转型为低碳产业的战略资产。
预测期内,甜菜市场预计将成为最大的市场
预计甜菜将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率,这得益于其在北美、欧洲等地的广泛供应、高可发酵糖含量和高转化率。甜菜是微生物发酵的首选原料,因为它产量稳定,并且与现有的精製精炼厂基础设施相容。甜菜生长週期短,且适应温带气候,是可靠且可扩展的资源。此外,甜菜的永续性特征(比其他作物耗水量和土地需求量更少)进一步巩固了其在生物异丁烯生产中的地位。
预计预测期内燃料部门的复合年增长率最高。
预计燃料领域将在预测期内实现最快的成长。由于加州低碳燃料标准和欧盟可再生能源指令II等监管要求,低碳混合燃料的采用正在加速。发酵和催化加工技术的进步降低了生产成本,使生物基燃料更具竞争力。此外,随着汽车製造商和精製寻求永续的方式来满足严格的排放目标,预计所有应用领域对生物异丁烯衍生燃料添加剂的需求将以最快的速度增长。
在预测期内,欧洲预计将占据最大的市场占有率,这得益于其对永续性目标的坚定承诺、先进的生物精製基础设施以及强有力的监管支持。欧盟的绿色交易政策和可再生能源指令(RED II)正在推动生物基燃料和化学品的采用。法国和德国等国家正率先投入巨资,大力投资生物异丁烯的研究和商业化生产。此外,欧洲完善的农业基础,尤其是甜菜生产,确保了稳定的原料供应。
在预测期内,由于汽车和化妆品行业的成长、快速的工业化以及对永续材料的需求不断增长,预计亚太地区将呈现最高的复合年增长率。为了履行国际气候变迁承诺并减少对石化燃料的依赖,中国、印度、日本和韩国等国家正在大力投资绿色化学品生产和可再生技术。此外,消费者对环保产品的偏好日益增长、政府扶持生物基产业的积极倡议以及日益增强的环保意识也在推动市场扩张。此外,该地区广泛的农业基础提供了丰富的生物质原料,使其成为未来几年扩大生物异丁烯生产的理想地点。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Bio-Isobutene Market is accounted for $32.57 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $51.96 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 6.9% during the forecast period. Bio-isobutene is a renewable, bio-based alternative to traditional fossil-derived isobutene, primarily produced through the fermentation of plant-based sugars using engineered microorganisms. It is an essential component in the manufacturing of plastics, synthetic rubber, high-performance fuels, and other specialty chemicals. Bio-isobutene is a desirable alternative in the transition to sustainable and circular economies because it provides substantial environmental advantages, such as lower greenhouse gas emissions and a smaller carbon footprint.
According to a meta analysis by ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering, shifting production from fossil to biomass feedstocks for twelve major chemicals could save an estimated 120 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent annually, while cutting fossil energy use by 1,500 PJ per year-a level broadly applicable to bio isobutene as part of the biochemicals sector.
Demand for additives and renewable fuels
High-performance, renewable fuels such as bio-isooctane and ETBE (ethyl tert-butyl ether) are blended with gasoline to improve how well it burns and to reduce harmful particles, and they are mainly produced from bio-isobutene. Due to strict fuel quality and carbon intensity regulations, like the EU's Renewable Energy Directive II (RED II) and California's Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS), there is a growing need for low-emission fuel additives. Additionally, bio-isobutene plays an increasingly important role in maintaining engine performance and environmental compliance as the transportation industry moves toward greener fuels.
Expensive manufacturing compared to fossil-based substitutes
The comparatively high cost of producing bio-isobutene is one of the biggest obstacles to its widespread use. The fermentation-based methods used to produce bio-isobutene frequently call for complex biotechnological infrastructure and costly feedstocks, such as glucose from wheat or sugar beets. Purification and separation are examples of downstream processing that can be expensive and energy-intensive. Fossil-based isobutene, on the other hand, benefits from well-established, scale-efficient petrochemical processes. Additionally, price-sensitive sectors like rubber production and fuel blending might be reluctant to make the switch until carbon pricing, subsidies, or legislative requirements level the playing field.
High potential in the plastics and synthetic rubber sectors
A crucial monomer in the synthesis of butyl rubber, polyisobutylene, and other elastomers used in adhesives, pharmaceutical packaging, automotive, and construction is bio-isobutene. Consumers and regulations are now pressuring these industries to use sustainable materials. A promising opportunity for bio-isobutene to replace its fossil-derived counterpart is being created by the growing trend of bio-based rubbers and plastics. Furthermore, bio-isobutene's compatibility with current manufacturing infrastructure speeds up its adoption in synthetic materials by facilitating the switch for businesses without requiring extensive equipment overhauls.
Vigorous rivalry from well-known petrochemical products
The market for bio-isobutene is fiercely competitive with established isobutene and related hydrocarbons derived from petroleum. Decades of infrastructure investment and technological advancement have resulted in lower unit costs, large production capacities, and established supply chains for these traditional alternatives. Bio-isobutene, on the other hand, is a relatively recent entrant and finds it difficult to match these economies of scale. Moreover, changes in the price of crude oil can occasionally make fossil-based isobutene even more affordable, which further reduces the competitiveness of its bio-based counterpart, particularly in markets where prices are sensitive, like those for fuels and rubber.
The COVID-19 pandemic affected the bio-isobutene market in a variety of ways. Supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, and decreased industrial activity, especially in the chemical and renewable fuels industries, temporarily halted research, pilot projects, and scale-up efforts. As businesses refocused on critical functions, investments in bio-based infrastructure were postponed. The crisis did, however, also highlight the significance of robust, sustainable supply chains and hasten the global movement toward environmentally friendly recovery plans. As economies started to recover, bio-isobutene was positioned as a strategic asset in the post-pandemic shift to low-carbon industries due to the renewed focus on climate goals, clean energy, and sustainable materials.
The sugar beet segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The sugar beet segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period because it is widely available in places like North America and Europe, has a high fermentable sugar content, and has effective conversion rates. Because it allows for consistent yields and works well with the current bio-refining infrastructure, sugar beet is a preferred feedstock for microbial fermentation. It is a dependable and scalable resource due to its shorter growing cycle and tolerance for temperate climates. Furthermore, sugar beet's sustainability profile-which includes less water use and land requirement than some other crops-further supports its place in the production of bio-isobutene.
The fuel segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the fuel segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. Low-carbon blendstock adoption is being accelerated by regulatory requirements like California's Low Carbon Fuel Standard and the EU's Renewable Energy Directive II. Bio-based fuels are becoming more competitive as a result of technological advancements in fermentation and catalytic processing that are reducing production costs. Moreover, the demand for fuel additives derived from bio-isobutene is expected to increase at the fastest rate across all applications as automakers and refiners look for sustainable ways to meet strict emissions targets.
During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share, driven by a strong commitment to sustainability goals, sophisticated bio-refining infrastructure, and robust regulatory support. The Green Deal policies and the Renewable Energy Directive (RED II) of the European Union have made it easier for bio-based fuels and chemicals to be adopted. With significant investments in bio-isobutene research and commercial production, nations like France and Germany are leading the way. Furthermore, a consistent supply of feedstock is guaranteed by Europe's well-established agricultural base, especially in the production of sugar beets.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR as a result of the growing automotive and cosmetics industries, fast industrialization, and rising demand for sustainable materials. To meet international climate commitments and lessen their reliance on fossil fuels, nations like China, India, Japan, and South Korea are making significant investments in green chemical production and renewable technologies. Market expansion is also being accelerated by growing consumer preference for eco-friendly products, favorable government initiatives supporting bio-based industries, and rising environmental awareness. Additionally, the region's extensive agricultural base offers a wealth of biomass feedstocks, which makes it the perfect place to scale up the production of bio-isobutene in the years to come.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Bio-Isobutene Market include Clariant AG, Honeywell International Inc., Eastman Chemical Company, Butamax Advanced Biofuels LLC, Gevo, Inc., The Dow Chemical Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, BASF SE, Songwon Industrial Co. Ltd., LanzaTech Inc., Butagaz SAS, Evonik Industries AG, DuPont de Nemours, Lanxess AG, Ineos Group Holdings S.A. and Global Bioenergies Inc.
In April 2025, Gevo, Inc. and Future Energy Global are pleased to announce that they have signed a pioneering offtake agreement for carbon abatement attributes, to enable airlines and other companies to reduce their CO2 emissions through Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF).
In March 2025, Eastman Chemical Company entered into a severance agreement with Brad A. Lich, outlining severance benefits in the event of certain employment terminations. The agreement includes a $2 million cash severance payment and up to four months of healthcare coverage, contingent on compliance with restrictive covenants and a release of claims.
In December 2024, Honeywell announced the signing of a strategic agreement with Bombardier, a global leader in aviation and manufacturer of world-class business jets, to provide advanced technology for current and future Bombardier aircraft in avionics, propulsion and satellite communications technologies. The collaboration will advance new technology to enable a host of high-value upgrades for the installed Bombardier operator base, as well as lay innovative foundations for future aircraft. Honeywell estimates the value of this partnership to the company at $17 billion over its life.