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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1776690
2032 年电池更换市场预测:按车辆类型、服务类型、电池容量、站点类型、电池类型、应用和地区进行的全球分析Battery Swapping Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type, Service Type, Battery Capacity, Station Type, Battery Type, Application and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球电池更换市场预计在 2025 年达到 25.4 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 128.1 亿美元,复合年增长率为 26.0%。
电池更换是电动车 (EV) 的创新解决方案,用户可在指定更换站快速更换电量耗尽的电池。这种方法对两轮车、三轮车和商用车尤其具有吸引力,因为它显着减少了传统充电带来的停电时间。电池更换可以缓解电动车使用者的续航焦虑,促进能源分散化,并提高营运效率。此外,它还能促进电池设计的标准化,使电动车基础设施更具可扩展性,更易于维护。
据国际能源总署(IEA)称,中国的电池更换站只需五分钟即可完成电池更换,并将透过分散式充电、减轻电网压力,在重型车辆电气化方面发挥关键作用。
减少停机时间并加快恢復速度
减少车辆停机时间是电池更换最吸引人的优势之一。传统充电方式依充电器类型不同,可能需要30分钟到几个小时不等,而电池更换只需不到五分钟即可完成电池的更换。这种快速更换流程对于叫车、最后一哩配送和计程车服务等商业应用至关重要,因为这些应用要求车辆尽可能保持运作才能保持盈利。此外,快速週转可提高资产运转率,减少閒置时间,并提高生产力。
缺乏互通性和标准化
电池更换市场面临的一个主要障碍是缺乏广泛接受的电池、连接器和更换机制标准。目前,不同的电动车製造商使用的电池尺寸、化学成分、电压和介面各不相同。这使得支援多个品牌和车型变得困难,并限制了单一更换站的扩充性。由于缺乏标准化的通讯协定或设计,更换网路碎片化且覆盖范围有限。许多OEM不愿接受全行业的协作、监管要求以及为实现互通性而可能出现的专有技术妥协。
透过公私合营和政府补贴实现成长
各国政府越来越认识到电池更换对电动车普及和实现碳中和目标的重要性。公私合营(PPP) 是指政府提供土地、补贴和监管支持,以换取私人投资者对基础设施和技术的投资。例如,市政府可以与新兴企业合作,在公共停车场、公车站和地铁站设立电池更换中心。此外,此类伙伴关係有潜力促进基础设施建设,确保公平使用,并展示可扩展经营模式的可行性。
快速充电基础设施的优势
快速充电站(尤其是搭乘用电动车充电站)的快速发展和普及,是电池更换模式的最大挑战之一。大型汽车製造商和能源供应商正在大力投资超快速直流充电器,这种充电器可在15-30分钟内为电动车充满电。随着这项技术越来越普及和高效,电池更换的需求正在下降,尤其是对于喜欢在家中或公共充电站充电的私人车主而言。此外,在车队、两轮车和三轮车等专业市场之外,快速充电的使用日益增多,这可能会限制对换电站的需求和投资吸引力。
新冠疫情对电池更换市场产生了许多影响。短期内,供应链中断、封锁、出行限制以及基础设施部署延迟导致市场动盪,减缓了电动车的销售和新充电站的建设。然而,这场危机也加速了向非接触式、共用和永续出行解决方案的转变,并提高了人们对电池更换作为传统充电实用且卫生替代方案的认识,尤其是在最后一英里运输、配送车辆和医疗保健物流领域。从中长期来看,随着各国政府和新兴企业意识到电池更换在疫情后復苏中的潜力,更多的投资和政策关注已转向电池更换。
预计二轮车市场在预测期内将占最大份额
预计二轮车细分市场将在预测期内占据最大市场占有率。电动机车和Scooter的广泛使用,尤其是在中国、印度和东南亚等亚太国家交通拥堵的城市,是推动其主导的主要因素。这些车辆常用于宅配、食品配送和个人交通,因此快速加油至关重要。电池更换是一种快速且经济实惠的维修方法,可以减少停机时间和漫长的充电等待时间。此外,二轮车电池重量轻,非常适合手动或半自动更换,因此专门为该市场设计的充电站得到了广泛建立。
在预测期内,锂离子部分将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
预计锂离子电池领域将在预测期内实现最高成长率。锂离子技术以其高能量密度、轻量化设计、快速充电和长寿命而闻名,在各类电动车中日益普及。由于电池更换车型需要频繁充放电,锂离子电池的长寿命和高效率使其成为此类应用的理想选择。此外,锂离子化学技术的改进和成本的下降正在加速其应用,尤其是在用于宅配和叫车服务的二轮车和三轮车领域。其性能和扩充性进一步增强了该领域在新兴经济体的成长前景。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大市场占有率,这得益于中国、印度和台湾等国家和地区电动车的快速普及和政府的大力支持。中国以成熟的换电基础设施主导全球市场,例如蔚来汽车,其在全国拥有数百个换电站。在印度,优惠的政策、城市出行需求以及对电动两轮车和三轮车日益增长的需求正在推动市场成长。 GogoroScooter换电网路的成功进一步证明了台湾地区在该地区的领导地位。此外,高城市密度、注重预算的消费者以及积极推动共用、扩充性和永续出行解决方案的法律规范,都是该地区的优势。
预计欧洲将在预测期内实现最高的复合年增长率,这得益于永续城市交通的需求、更严格的碳排放目标以及不断扩大的环境法规。德国、法国和荷兰等国家正在投资电动车基础设施,例如车队电池更换系统和微移动服务。由于政府加强对清洁替代能源的奖励,以及商用电动车和共享电动Scooter的日益普及,市场正在更快扩张。此外,许多欧洲新兴企业和试点计画也在探索标准化的更换模式,以支援该地区电池即服务(BaaS) 解决方案的快速发展和创新。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Battery Swapping Market is accounted for $2.54 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $12.81 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 26.0% during the forecast period. Battery swapping is an innovative solution for electric vehicles (EVs) that allows users to quickly replace a depleted battery with a fully charged one at designated swapping stations. This method greatly cuts down on the downtime that comes with traditional charging, which makes it particularly attractive for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, and commercial fleets. Battery swapping reduces range anxiety in EV users, promotes energy decentralization, and improves operational efficiency. Additionally, it encourages battery design standardization, which makes EV infrastructure scalable and easier to maintain.
According to the International Energy Agency, battery swapping stations in China can complete a swap in as little as five minutes, reduce stress on the electric grid by spreading charging, and play a key role in electrifying heavy-duty vehicles-with around 50% of new electric heavy duty trucks in 2023 equipped with swapping-ready batteries.
Shorter downtime and quicker recovery
The ability to reduce vehicle downtime is one of the most compelling benefits of battery swapping. Battery switching can replace a depleted battery in less than five minutes, as opposed to traditional charging, which can take anywhere from thirty minutes to several hours, depending on the type of charger. In commercial applications where vehicles must remain operational as much as possible to maintain profitability, such as ride-hailing, last-mile delivery, and taxi services, this quick exchange process is essential. Moreover, quick turnaround boosts asset utilization, decreases idle time, and improves productivity.
Insufficient interoperability and standardization
A major obstacle to the battery-swapping market is the absence of widely recognized standards for batteries, connectors, and swapping mechanisms. At the moment, different EV manufacturers employ batteries with different dimensions, chemistries, voltages, and interfaces. This limits the scalability of a single swapping station by making it challenging to accommodate several brands or car models. In the absence of standardized protocols and designs, swapping networks continue to be dispersed and have a restricted reach. Many OEMs are reluctant to commit to industry-wide cooperation, regulatory requirements, and potential compromises on proprietary technology in order to establish interoperability.
Growth using public-private alliances and government grants
Governments are realizing more and more how important battery swapping is to reaching national EV adoption and carbon neutrality targets. Public-private partnerships (PPPs) are made possible by this, in which governments offer land, subsidies, or regulatory support in exchange for private investors' investments in infrastructure and technology. City governments can collaborate with startups to install battery-swapping hubs at public parking lots, bus depots, or metro stations, for instance. Additionally, these kinds of partnerships have the potential to expedite the development of infrastructure, guarantee fair access, and show the viability of scalable business models.
Predominance of infrastructure for fast charging
The quick development and extensive use of fast-charging stations, especially for passenger EVs, is one of the biggest challenges to the battery-swapping model. Ultra-fast DC chargers that can recharge EVs in 15 to 30 minutes are being heavily invested in by major automakers and energy providers. Battery swapping is becoming less necessary as these technologies become more widely available and effective, particularly for private vehicle owners who would rather charge at home or at public stations. Furthermore, the demand and investment appeal for swapping stations may be constrained by the increasing use of fast charging outside of specialized markets like fleets and two- and three-wheelers.
The COVID-19 pandemic affected the battery-swapping market in a variety of ways. In the short term, supply chain disruptions, lockdowns, limited mobility, and infrastructure deployment delays caused market disruptions that slowed down EV sales and new station installations. But the crisis also hastened the transition to contactless, shared, and sustainable mobility solutions, raising awareness of battery swapping as a practical and sanitary substitute for traditional charging, especially for last-mile transportation, delivery fleets, and healthcare logistics. In the medium to long term, more investments and policy attention were directed toward battery swapping as governments and startups realized its potential for post-pandemic recovery.
The 2-wheeler segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The 2-wheeler segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. The widespread use of electric bikes and scooters, especially in crowded cities in Asia-Pacific nations like China, India, and Southeast Asia, is the main factor driving this dominance. Since these cars are frequently used for courier services, food delivery, and personal mobility, quick refueling is crucial. A quick and affordable fix that cuts down on downtime and lengthy charging waits is battery swapping. Furthermore, because 2-wheeler batteries are lightweight, they are perfect for manual or semi-automated swapping, which promotes the widespread installation of stations designed specifically for this market.
The lithium-ion segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the lithium-ion segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. Lithium-ion technology, which is well-known for its higher energy density, lightweight design, quicker charging speed, and longer lifespan, is becoming more and more popular in electric vehicles of all kinds. Because battery-swapping models necessitate frequent discharging and recharging, lithium-ion batteries' longevity and effectiveness make them perfect for these kinds of applications. Additionally, their widespread use is being fueled by improvements in lithium-ion chemistries and falling costs, especially in 2- and 3-wheelers used for delivery and ride-hailing services. The segment's growth prospects in emerging economies are further enhanced by their performance and scalability.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, fueled by the swift uptake of electric cars and robust government backing in nations like China, India, and Taiwan. With a well-established swapping infrastructure led by organizations like NIO, which has hundreds of stations spread across the country, China leads the world. Growth in India is being driven by favorable policies, the need for urban mobility, and the growing demand for electric two- and three-wheelers. Taiwan's leadership in the region is further demonstrated by its success with Gogoro's scooter-swapping network. Moreover, high urban density, budget-conscious consumers, and proactive regulatory frameworks that promote shared, scalable, and sustainable mobility solutions are all advantages for the area.
Over the forecast period, the Europe region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, driven by the need for sustainable urban mobility, stricter carbon emission targets, and expanding environmental regulations. Infrastructure for electric vehicles, such as fleet battery swapping systems and micro-mobility services, is being invested in by nations like Germany, France, and the Netherlands. The market is expanding more quickly as a result of growing government incentives for clean energy alternatives and the growing use of commercial EVs and shared electric scooters. Additionally, standardized swapping models are also being investigated by a number of European startups and pilot programs, which is assisting in the region's quick development and innovation in battery-as-a-service (BaaS) solutions.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Battery Swapping Market include Numocity Technologies Private Limited, BattSwap Inc., Sun Mobility Private Limited, Ola Electric, Ample, Inc., Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (Honda Mobile Power Pack), Kwang Yang Motor Co., Ltd., BYD Company Ltd, Lithion Power Private Limited, Aulton, Esmito Solutions Pvt. Ltd, NIO Inc., Leo Motors Inc., Gogoro Inc and Panasonic Corporation.
In March 2025, NIO and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. signed a strategic partnership in Ningde, Fujian. Together, they will advance the high-quality development of the new energy vehicle industry by building a battery swapping network for passenger vehicles across the full range of products, unifying industry technical standards, enhancing capital and business collaboration, and providing efficient recharging solutions for users.
In August 2024, Honda Motor Co., Ltd. and Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. announced that they have reached an agreement for Honda to supply Yamaha with electric motorcycle models for the Japanese market, based on the Honda "EM1 e:" and "BENLY e: I" Class-1 category* models, as an OEM (original equipment manufacturer). The two companies will proceed with further discussion toward the signing of a formal agreement.
In July 2024, Panasonic Corporation announced that its Cold Chain Solutions Company has entered into an agreement with Cooling Solutions S.L. to purchase all the shares of its subsidiary Area Cooling Solutions, a Polish refrigeration equipment manufacturer. This transaction is a strategic step for Panasonic to strengthen its condensing unit business in the European market and to accelerate its ongoing global expansion.