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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1787884
2032年无源雷达市场预测:按类型、平台、频宽、应用、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Passive Radar Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Type (Passive Bi-Static Radar, Passive Multi-Static Radars and Passive Coherent Location ), Platform, Frequency Band, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球被动雷达市场预计在 2025 年达到 16.7 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 35.8 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 11.5%。
被动雷达是一种透过处理非合作照明源(例如商业广播讯号(电视、无线电)、行动电话讯号和其他环境电磁辐射)的反射来侦测和追踪物体的雷达系统。被动雷达比传统的主动雷达更隐蔽,并且由于它不发射自身讯号,因此不易受到干扰和侦测。军事和民用应用均可受益于这项技术,它降低了干扰和拦截的可能性,同时提高了情境察觉。此外,被动雷达系统采用先进的讯号处理方法,将目标资讯从杂波和背景杂讯中分离出来。
据北约科学技术组织 (STO) 称,无源雷达系统,尤其是与主动雷达融合后,能够显着提高陆、海、空平台的探测可靠性。 2019 年,在七个北约国家以及澳洲、瑞典和瑞士参与的一项试验中,主被动雷达融合技术在行动军事网路中得到了展示。
人们对秘密监控的兴趣日益浓厚
被动雷达系统正日益被采用,因为它们无需主动发射讯号即可进行监控。被动雷达系统非常适合执行隐藏任务,因为它们不会被敌军侦测到,也不会被反雷达武器瞄准。透过追踪无人机和隐形飞机等低可观测目标,无源雷达在军事和防御场景中,尤其是在衝突或敌对环境中,提供了一种隐蔽且安全的空域监测方法。由于被动雷达可以隐密运作并提高探测基础设施的弹性,北约在其研究项目中强调了此类系统在现代防空体系中的重要性。
复杂的讯号处理要求
与可根据特定侦测目标客製化发射波形的主动雷达系统相比,被动雷达必须使用非雷达讯号。这给目标识别、多普勒处理、杂波抑制和讯号同步带来了重大挑战。在从吵杂环境中捕捉宝贵回波的同时,接收器必须应对讯号多路径、延迟以及来自原始广播公司的干扰。因此,被动雷达系统需要先进的即时讯号处理演算法、高效能运算能力和专家系统校准。这些技术要求增加了系统复杂性、开发成本和维护负担,尤其对于缺乏国防级经验的民用使用者和新手而言。
商业和私营部门的成长
无源雷达在非军事用途的应用日益广泛,这是其最有前景的前景之一。由于被动雷达不像传统的主动雷达那样发射讯号,因此非常适合电磁污染和频谱许可问题严重的都市区。被动雷达可以帮助空中交通管制、机场週边安全、都市区无人机监控和关键基础设施保护等民用产业提高安全性和感知能力,同时又不会干扰其他电子系统。此外,随着无人机、空中计程车和自动配送系统的普及,城市需要低成本、可靠且低排放的监控工具。
先进主动雷达系统带来的威胁
儘管被动雷达具有明显的优势,但得益于自适应波形设计、数位波束成形、氮化镓 (GaN) 放大器和主动电子扫描阵列 (AESA) 架构的进步,有源雷达技术仍在快速发展。这些进步在探测范围、解析度和目标追踪精度方面显着超越了现有被动雷达系统的可靠性。这些高性能有源系统因其久经考验的效用、灵活性以及在战场上更直接的控制能力,经常受到政府和军队的青睐。在部署和投资方面,无源雷达可能会被淘汰出这场技术竞赛,尤其是在被动系统无法匹敌或与现代雷达性能整合的情况下。
新冠疫情对无源雷达市场产生了多重影响。一方面,全球供应链中断以及医疗保健预算的重新分配导致国防采购和研发活动暂时停滞,导致多项无源雷达开发和部署计画被推迟。旅行限制和封锁也影响了现场测试、系统整合和关键零件的製造。然而,疫情也凸显了低排放、非侵入式监测技术在无人空域、边境和禁区监测中的价值,重新激发了人们对军事和商业应用被动雷达系统的兴趣。
预计被动连贯定位(PCL)领域在预测期内将占据最大份额
预计无源连贯定位 (PCL) 领域将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。透过利用现有的非合作发送器,例如FM广播、电视广播和行动电话讯号,PCL 系统无需发射雷达讯号即可探测和追踪目标,从而具有极高的成本效益和隐身性。 PCL 系统在现代战争和空域监控中特别有用,因为它们适用于城市环境并能抵御电子对抗。此外,随着各国优先考虑低排放监控系统以降低探测风险和营运成本,PCL 系统的使用率正在上升,巩固了其市场领先地位。
预计预测期内,太空领域将以最高复合年增长率成长
预计太空领域将在预测期内呈现最高成长率。太空情境察觉和星基监测支出的增加,以及对不依赖地面基础设施的全球覆盖的战略需求,是这项快速扩张的主要驱动力。天基被动雷达系统正在利用来自地球或其他卫星源的机会讯号,提高其对轨道或空中物体进行高度隐身追踪的能力。这些系统对于寻求在保持隐身能力的同时保持轨道域感知和高层大气感知的国防部队至关重要。此外,卫星星系和小规模空间技术的发展进一步推动了天基被动雷达解决方案的使用和可扩展性。
预计欧洲将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。这得归功于其对尖端国防技术的大量投资、对电子战能力的日益重视以及被动雷达系统主要开发商的存在。由于被动雷达系统价格低廉且隐身性能好,欧洲国家正积极将其应用于城市安全、防空和边境监控。此外,欧盟致力于提高情境察觉并减少对主动雷达系统的依赖,这也推动了该地区的需求。国防部与私人企业之间的合作使欧洲在全球无源雷达市场主导地位,德国、英国和法国等国家是采用无源雷达的主要国家。
预计亚太地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。这归因于地缘政治紧张局势加剧、国防预算增加以及韩国、日本、中国和印度等国家对先进监测技术的需求。由于该地区致力于提高低排放探测能力以保护其海洋、领空和边境,被动雷达系统的应用正变得越来越广泛。持续的军事现代化计划、快速的技术进步以及国内国防製造业投资的增加,市场正在成长。此外,随着各国寻求更具弹性和隐身性的雷达解决方案来应对现代威胁,亚太地区正成为无源雷达部署和创新的热点。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Passive Radar Market is accounted for $1.67 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $3.58 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 11.5% during the forecast period. Passive radar is a type of radar system that detects and tracks objects by processing reflections from non-cooperative sources of illumination, such as commercial broadcast signals (TV, radio), cellular signals, or other ambient electromagnetic emissions. Passive radar is more covert and less vulnerable to jamming or detection than traditional active radar because it doesn't emit its own signal. Both military and civilian applications can benefit from this technology, which lowers the possibility of interference or interception while improving situational awareness. Moreover, sophisticated signal processing methods are used by passive radar systems to separate target information from clutter and background noise.
According to the NATO Science and Technology Organization (STO), passive radar systems-especially when fused with active radar-significantly enhance detection reliability across ground, sea, and air platforms. In a 2019 trial involving seven NATO nations plus Australia, Sweden, and Switzerland, the fusion of active and passive radars was successfully demonstrated in a mobile military network
Growing interest in secret monitoring
The ability of passive radar systems to conduct surveillance without actively sending out signals has led to their increasing adoption. Because enemy forces cannot readily detect or target them with anti-radiation weapons, they are perfect for covert missions. Tracking low-observable targets like drones or stealth aircraft, passive radar offers a covert and secure way to monitor airspace in military and defense scenarios, particularly in contested and hostile environments. Because passive radar can function covertly and improve the resilience of detection infrastructure, NATO has highlighted the significance of such systems in contemporary air defense architectures in its research programs.
Complex requirements for signal processing
Passive radar must use signals that are not intended for radar use, in contrast to active radar systems that can modify the transmitted waveform to meet particular detection objectives. This leads to significant difficulties in target discrimination, Doppler processing, clutter removal, and signal synchronization. The receiver must contend with signal multipath, delays, and interference from the original broadcaster while gleaning valuable reflections from a noisy environment. Therefore, sophisticated real-time signal processing algorithms, high-performance computing power, and expert system calibration are needed for passive radar systems. System complexity, development expenses, and maintenance burdens are increased by these technical requirements, particularly for civilian users or new entrants lacking defense-grade experience.
Growth in the commercial and civilian sectors
The growing ability of passive radar to be used for non-military purposes is one of its most promising prospects. Passive radar is perfect for urban areas where electromagnetic pollution and spectrum licensing are issues because it doesn't emit any signals like traditional active radar does. By using passive radar, civilian industries like air traffic control, airport perimeter security, urban drone monitoring, and critical infrastructure protection can increase safety and awareness without interfering with other electronic systems. Moreover, cities will need low-cost, dependable, low-emission surveillance tools as drones, air taxis, and autonomous delivery systems proliferate; passive radar technology is well-suited to this role.
Threat posed by sophisticated active radar systems
Despite the distinct benefits of passive radar, active radar technology is still developing quickly owing to advancements in adaptive waveform design, digital beamforming, gallium nitride (GaN) amplifiers, and AESA (Active Electronically Scanned Array) architectures. These advancements are significantly exceeding the dependability of existing passive radar systems in terms of detection range, resolution, and target tracking accuracy. These high-performance active systems are frequently preferred by governments and militaries due to their demonstrated battlefield utility, flexibility, and more direct control. In terms of deployment and investment, passive radar may be eclipsed by this technological race, particularly if passive systems are unable to compete with or integrate with contemporary radar capabilities.
The COVID-19 pandemic affected the passive radar market in a variety of ways. On the one hand, defense procurement and research and development activities were momentarily slowed down by global supply chain disruptions and budget reallocations toward healthcare, which caused several passive radar development and deployment programs to be delayed. Travel limitations and lockdowns also had an impact on field testing, system integration, and the manufacturing of critical components. However, the pandemic highlighted the value of low-emission, non-intrusive surveillance technologies for unmanned airspace, border, and restricted zone monitoring, which sparked a resurgence of interest in passive radar systems for both military and commercial uses.
The passive coherent location (PCL) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The passive coherent location (PCL) segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. The ability to detect and track targets without releasing any radar signals-making it extremely cost-effective and stealthy-by utilizing existing non-cooperative transmitters, such as FM radio, TV broadcasts, and cellular signals, drives its dominance. Because PCL systems are compatible with urban environments and resistant to electronic countermeasures, they are especially useful in contemporary warfare and airspace surveillance. Moreover, the use of PCL systems keeps growing, solidifying their market-leading position as countries prioritize low-emission surveillance systems to lower detection risk and operating costs.
The space-based segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the space-based segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. Growing expenditures in space situational awareness, satellite-based surveillance, and the strategic requirement for worldwide coverage independent of terrestrial infrastructure are the main drivers of this quick expansion. Through the use of opportunity signals from Earth-based or other satellite sources, space-based passive radar systems provide improved capabilities for highly stealthy tracking of objects in orbit or in the air. For defense forces looking to stay covert while maintaining orbital domain awareness and upper-atmosphere awareness, these systems are essential. Additionally, the use and scalability of space-based passive radar solutions are further accelerated by the development of satellite constellations and smaller space technologies.
During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share, driven by significant investments in cutting-edge defense technologies, a growing emphasis on electronic warfare capabilities, and the presence of important developers of passive radar systems. Passive radar systems are being actively adopted by European countries for urban security, air defense, and border surveillance because of their affordability and stealth. Furthermore, the European Union's efforts to improve situational awareness and lessen reliance on active radar systems have also increased demand in the region. With the help of partnerships between defense ministries and private sector entities, nations like Germany, the UK, and France are among the top adopters, securing Europe's leading position in the global passive radar market.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, driven by growing geopolitical tensions, increased defense budgets, and the need for sophisticated surveillance technologies in nations like South Korea, Japan, China, and India. Passive radar systems have become more widely used as a result of the region's emphasis on improving low-emission detection capabilities to protect maritime areas, airspace, and borders. The market is growing as a result of continued military modernization initiatives, rapid technological advancements, and higher investments in domestic defense manufacturing. Moreover, Asia-Pacific is becoming a hotspot for passive radar deployment and innovation as countries look for more resilient and stealthy radar solutions to combat contemporary threats.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Passive Radar Market include Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd., Hensoldt AG, Indra Sistemas, S.A., RTX Corporation, SRC Inc., ERA AS (Omnipol Group), Leonardo S.p.A, Airbus SE, Thales Group, L3Harris Technologies, Inc, BAE Systems plc, Lockheed Martin, Advanced Electronics Company and Ramet AS.
In July 2025, HENSOLDT and Young Poong Electronics (YPE) formalised a License and Manufacturing Agreement. Under this agreement, YPE will locally produce HENSOLDT's lightweight LCR 100 flight data recorder and the combined voice and data recorder FCR 230, also known as the combined voice and flight data recorder. These locally manufactured recorders will initially serve the expanding South Korean market, with the option to supply additional customers throughout Asia and the Pacific region.
In May 2025, Raytheon, an RTX business, has been awarded a $580 million follow-on production contract from the U.S. Navy for the Next Generation Jammer Mid-Band (NGJ-MB) system. Under the contract, Raytheon will provide additional production NGJ-MB pod shipsets, including pods for the Royal Australian Air Force, as well as spares and peculiar support equipment.
In July 2024, Israel Aerospace Industries reportedly secures a $1 billion deal with undisclosed foreign client. The substantial agreement is set to be delivered over five years and completed by 2029. Although IAI has not revealed specific details about the deal or the client, foreign media speculates that it involves the delivery of satellites to Morocco.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.