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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1787920
2032 年燃煤发电市场预测:按组件、电厂类型、燃料类型、容量、技术、应用和地区进行的全球分析Coal Fired Power Generation Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Component, Plant Type, Fuel Type, Capacity, Technology, Application and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球燃煤发电市场规模预计在 2025 年达到 1,085 亿美元,并在 2032 年达到 1,528 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 5%。
在火力发电厂燃烧煤炭发电的过程称为燃煤发电。该过程包括在熔炉中燃烧煤炭,并在锅炉中加热水以产生高压蒸气。然后,蒸气驱动连接到发电机的涡轮机,将热能转换为电能。由于煤炭资源丰富且价格低廉,燃煤发电厂被广泛使用,尤其是在开发中国家。然而,燃煤发电厂是温室气体排放和空气污染的主要来源,已成为国际能源和环境讨论的热门话题。
新兴国家电力需求旺盛
全球快速的都市化和工业化进程推动了对可靠、广泛电力供应的需求。满足这日益增长的需求,一个可靠且经济实惠的方式是透过燃煤发电厂。由于煤炭供应广泛且基础设施完善,许多开发中国家仍在使用煤炭。有限的替代能源也支持了燃煤发电。因此,这些地区对燃煤发电厂的投资持续成长。
严格的环境法规和排放标准
洗涤器和碳捕获系统是发电厂必须购买的昂贵污染控制技术,以满足需求。这些额外的成本使得燃煤能源的经济性和吸引力降低。为了进一步抑制煤炭使用,政府有时会对超标排放处以罚款和费用。日益增多的法规也限制了燃煤发电厂的新许可证发放,从而减缓了市场扩张。随着更清洁的替代能源日益普及,煤炭难以继续保持其可行能源来源的地位。
捕碳封存(CCS)技术进步
新型碳捕集与封存 (CCS) 技术能够更有效地从烟气中捕捉二氧化碳,从而提高燃煤发电厂的环境可行性。这些技术进步使电厂无需停产即可满足更严格的排放标准。改进的 CCS 整合技术提高了电厂的整体效率,并降低了营运成本。此外,各国政府正在提供财政和政策奖励,以支持 CCS 的发展。因此,在註重碳排放的能源格局中,CCS 技术正在延长燃煤发电厂的运作寿命并提升其重要性。
与可再生能源的竞争加剧
太阳能、风能和水力发电等替代能源正变得越来越便宜、越来越干净。碳排放税、法规和补贴是世界各国政府鼓励可再生能源发展的一些方式。煤炭能源需求的改变使得燃煤电厂的经济可行性下降。能源储存的发展进一步提高了可再生能源的可靠性。因此,煤炭基础设施投资的持续下降影响了市场扩张。
COVID-19的影响
新冠疫情严重扰乱了燃煤发电市场,工业活动放缓和全国范围的停工导致电力需求下降。许多发电厂面临营运限制、劳动力短缺和物流挑战,导致煤炭消费量下降。由于各国在復苏计画中优先考虑可再生能源计划,煤炭基础设施投资下降。此外,全球供应链的不稳定性影响了煤炭的运输和供应。疫情也加速了老旧、低效率燃煤电厂的退役,尤其是在转向清洁替代能源的地区,这对市场产生了长期影响。
预计发电机部分将成为预测期内最大的部分
由于燃煤发电能够确保稳定且有效率的电力输出,预计发电机领域将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。先进的发电机技术能够提高电厂整体效率,降低营运成本,并增强能源可靠性。大容量发电机对于满足日益增长的电力需求至关重要,尤其是在工业和都市区。发电机设计的持续技术创新有助于提高热效率并降低排放气体。随着新兴市场扩大其能源基础设施,对强劲燃煤发电机的需求将持续推动市场成长。
预计住宅领域在预测期内将以最高复合年增长率成长
由于城镇人口成长导致电力需求持续成长,预计住宅用电将在预测期内达到最高成长率。许多新兴国家仍然严重依赖燃煤发电来满足家庭能源需求,尤其是在可再生能源资源有限的地区。燃煤发电价格低廉且基础建设完善,使其成为居民消费的首选。此外,住宅供暖和製冷的季节性高峰进一步支持了燃煤发电的稳定使用。这种稳定的需求有助于维持燃煤发电厂,从而支持市场成长。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率,因为该地区高度依赖煤炭发电,尤其是在中国、印度和印尼。儘管可再生能源的采用日益增多,但快速的都市化、工业成长和不断增长的电力需求仍使煤炭的地位得以维持。各国政府持续投资于净煤技术,例如超临界和超超临界锅炉,以平衡经济和环境目标。然而,来自国际气候协议和区域污染问题的压力日益增大,正推动全部区域逐步转向可再生能源和混合系统。
预计北美在预测期内的复合年增长率最高,因为该地区正在积极转向更清洁的能源来源。由于严格的环境法规、廉价的天然气以及对可再生能源的投资,美国和加拿大已经关闭了大量燃煤电厂。儘管仍有一些具备碳捕获能力的电厂在运作中,但整体煤炭消费量已大幅下降。公共、企业永续性目标以及不断变化的投资者偏好进一步抑制了燃煤发电。该地区煤炭市场的未来主要取决于煤炭基础设施的退役和再利用。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Coal Fired Power Generation Market is accounted for $108.5 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $152.8 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 5% during the forecast period. The process of burning coal in a thermal power plant to generate electricity is known as coal-fired power generating. This process produces high-pressure steam by heating water in a boiler by burning coal in a furnace. A turbine that is attached to an electric generator is powered by this steam, which transforms thermal energy into electrical energy. Because coal is plentiful and reasonably priced, coal-fired power plants are frequently employed, particularly in developing nations. Nonetheless, they are a major source of greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution, which makes them a hot topic in international energy and environmental discussions.
High electricity demand in emerging economies
The demand for a reliable, extensive power supply is heightened by the fast urbanisation and industrialisation of the world. A dependable and affordable way to satisfy this growing need is through coal-fired power facilities. Because of its widespread availability and well-established infrastructure, coal is still used in many developing countries. Coal's place in the power mix is further supported by the limited availability of alternative energy sources. Investments in coal-fired facilities are therefore still increasing in these areas.
Stringent environmental regulations and emissions norms
Scrubbers and carbon capture systems are expensive pollution control technology that power plants must purchase in order to meet requirements. Coal-based energy's economics and appeal are diminished by these additional costs. In order to further discourage the use of coal, governments sometimes impose fines or fees on excessive emissions. Stricter regulations also restrict the approval of new coal-fired plants, which slows market expansion. Coal is struggling to stay a viable energy source as cleaner alternatives gain popularity.
Technological advancements in carbon capture and storage (CCS)
Coal power plants can now be made environmentally feasible by more effectively capturing CO2 from flue gases thanks to new CCS techniques. These developments enable factories to comply with strict emission standards without having to halt operations. Improved CCS integration raises overall plant efficiency and lowers operating costs. Additionally, governments are providing financial and policy incentives to assist the development of CCS. Therefore, in an energy landscape that is concerned with carbon, CCS technology is prolonging the operating life and significance of coal-fired power stations.
Rising competition from renewable energy sources
Alternatives like solar, wind, and hydroelectric power are becoming more affordable and cleaner. Carbon taxes, regulations, and subsidies are some of the ways that governments around the world are encouraging renewable energy. Coal plants become less economically viable as a result of this change in the demand for coal-based energy. The dependability of renewable energy sources is further reinforced by technological developments in energy storage. As a result, market expansion is impacted by the ongoing drop in investment in coal infrastructure.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly disrupted the coal-fired power generation market, leading to reduced electricity demand due to industrial slowdowns and nationwide lockdowns. Many power plants faced operational constraints, labor shortages, and logistical challenges, resulting in lower coal consumption. Investment in coal-based infrastructure declined as countries prioritized renewable energy projects in recovery plans. Additionally, the volatility in global supply chains impacted coal transportation and availability. The pandemic also accelerated the retirement of older, less efficient coal plants, especially in regions shifting toward cleaner energy alternatives. This created long-term implications for the market.
The generators segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The generators segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, due to ensured consistent and efficient electricity output from coal combustion. Advanced generator technologies enhance overall plant efficiency, reducing operational costs and increasing energy reliability. High-capacity generators are essential to meet rising power demands, especially in industrial and urban areas. Continuous innovations in generator design contribute to improved thermal efficiency and lower emissions. As developing nations expand their energy infrastructure, demand for robust coal-fired generators continues to drive market growth.
The residential segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the residential segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, due to the continuous rise in electricity demand from growing urban populations. Many developing countries still rely heavily on coal-based electricity to meet household energy needs, especially in areas with limited access to renewable sources. The affordability and established infrastructure of coal-fired power make it a preferred choice for residential consumption. Additionally, seasonal peaks in residential heating and cooling further drive consistent coal power usage. This steady demand helps sustain coal-fired plants and supports market growth.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share due to its high dependency on coal for electricity, particularly in China, India, and Indonesia. Rapid urbanization, industrial growth, and rising electricity demand have sustained coal's role despite growing renewable energy adoption. Governments continue investing in cleaner coal technologies like supercritical and ultra-supercritical boilers to balance economic and environmental goals. However, increasing pressure from international climate accords and local pollution concerns are encouraging a gradual shift toward renewable and hybrid systems across the region.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, owing to the region aggressively shifts toward cleaner energy sources. The United States and Canada have retired numerous coal plants, driven by stringent environmental regulations, cheaper natural gas, and investments in renewables. Despite a few operational units with carbon capture capabilities, overall coal consumption has dropped significantly. Public policies, corporate sustainability goals, and evolving investor preferences further discourage coal-based generation. The market's future in the region is primarily tied to decommissioning activities and repurposing coal infrastructure.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Coal Fired Power Generation Market include General Electric Company, Siemens Energy AG, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd., Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc., Doosan Enerbility Co., Ltd., Toshiba Corporation, Harbin Electric Corporation, Shanghai Electric Group Co., Ltd., Dongfang Electric Corporation, Larsen & Toubro Limited, China Energy Engineering Corporation, Thermax Limited, BWX Technologies, Inc., MAN Energy Solutions SE, Alstom SA and Hitachi, Ltd.
In May 2025, Siemens Energy partnered with 8 Rivers Capital and Navajo Transitional Energy Company to explore a gigawatt-scale decarbonized coal power plant using Allam-Fetvedt Cycle (AFC) technology. This follows collaboration to develop a direct-fired supercritical CO2 turbine for carbon-capture-based power generation.
In August 2024, Toshiba ESS signed a MoU with PLN Nusantara Power to deploy carbon capture technology at thermal power plants, including coal-fired units like Paiton 1 and 2. This partnership supports Indonesia's 2060 carbon neutrality goal by enhancing emissions reduction at existing fossil-fueled facilities.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.