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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1803074
2032 年生物丁二烯市场预测:按产品类型、等级、来源、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Bio-Butadiene Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Product Type, Grade, Source, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球生物丁二烯市场预计在 2025 年价值 26.5 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 52.4 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 10.2%。
生物丁二烯是传统丁二烯的永续替代品,由玉米、甘蔗和植物油等可再生生物质透过发酵和催化转化等製程生产而成。它在轮胎、黏合剂和鞋类等应用中使用的合成橡胶、塑胶和弹性体的生产中发挥关键作用。虽然生物丁二烯有助于减少石化燃料的使用和二氧化碳排放,但实现规模化和经济高效的生产仍然是一项挑战。
根据美国能源部(DOE)的数据,美国每年生产超过10万吨生物基丁二烯。
对永续橡胶的需求不断增长
生物丁二烯源自乙醇和生物质等可再生原料,其碳排放低于石化衍生丁二烯。随着各行各业寻求减少环境足迹,永续橡胶解决方案在汽车、鞋类和工业应用领域日益受到青睐。监管压力和企业永续性目标正在加速绿色供应链的转变。发酵和催化转化技术的创新也提高了生物丁二烯生产的产量和可扩展性。这种日益增长的需求正在推动旨在实现永续橡胶解决方案商业化的投资和伙伴关係。
商业规模有限
目前大多数技术仍处于试点或早期部署阶段,缺乏满足大规模工业需求的能力。高昂的资本成本、复杂的加工要求以及原料的多样性,对扩大生产规模构成了挑战。此外,缺乏标准化的生产通讯协定和供应链整合,也减缓了市场应用。由于回报不确定且开发週期较长,投资者仍保持谨慎。如果在製程效率和成本降低方面没有取得重大突破,生物丁二烯将难以在产量和价格上与石化产品竞争。
汽车需求不断成长
随着电动车和低排放气体交通运输的蓬勃发展,製造商们正在寻找轮胎、密封件和内装零件的环保替代品。生物丁二烯与现有的橡胶配方相容,可在不影响性能的情况下进行替代。汽车原始设备製造商 (OEM) 和一级供应商越来越多地采用生物基原料,以满足 ESG 目标和消费者期望。政府激励措施和绿色采购政策进一步推动了生物基材料在汽车供应链中的应用。预计这一趋势将推动乘用车和商用车领域对生物丁二烯的需求。
来自石化丁二烯的竞争
大规模生产设施受惠于规模经济,使得合成丁二烯的价格远低于生物基替代品。此外,原油价格波动可能会暂时提升石化衍生物的竞争力。鑑于合成橡胶在工业应用中的根深蒂固的地位,製造商之间存在着变革的阻力。由于缺乏明显的性能或成本优势,生物丁二烯可能难以取代传统材料。除非得到政策和技术突破的支持,否则这些竞争压力可能会减缓到永续橡胶的过渡。
新冠疫情扰乱了全球供应链,对石化和生物基橡胶的生产均产生了影响。停工和劳动力短缺导致先导计画延期,并减缓了生物丁二烯技术的研发进度。然而,这场危机也凸显了对韧性和在地化供应链的需求,并重新激发了人们对可再生原料的兴趣。随着产业復苏,永续性已成为重中之重,加速了对生物基材料的投资。整体而言,儘管短期内存在一些挫折,但疫情强化了生物丁二烯的长期价值提案。
预测期内,苯乙烯-丁二烯橡胶(SBR) 市场预计将实现最大幅度成长
受环保材料需求推动,丁苯橡胶 (SBR) 预计将在预测期内占据最大市场占有率。发酵和催化加工技术的创新正在提高生物丁二烯大规模生产的可行性。一个显着的趋势是生物基 SBR 化合物的开发,这些化合物性能更佳,环境影响更小。橡胶製造商和化学公司之间的行业合作正在推动其商业化。支持性法规和永续性目标正在推动这一转变,使生物基 SBR 成为传统石化橡胶的有力替代品。
预计预测期内汽车和运输业将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
受永续旅行解决方案需求不断增长的推动,汽车和交通运输领域预计将在预测期内实现最高成长率。生物丁二烯在电动和混合动力汽车的轮胎胶料、密封件和减震部件中的应用日益广泛。强制性排放气体和材料采购法规正推动原始设备製造商采用生物基材料。轻质耐用橡胶配方的创新正在提高车辆的效率和性能。汽车製造商与化学公司之间的策略联盟正在加速产品开发和商业化。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大市场占有率,这得益于不断增长的工业需求、强大的製造能力以及日益严格的环境法规。中国、印度和日本等国家正在投资可再生化学技术,例如生物质发酵和乙醇基催化转化。新兴趋势包括将生物基橡胶融入汽车和鞋类产业。主要的市场趋势包括政府支持的绿色倡议、中试规模生产设施以及本地企业与全球创新者之间的战略伙伴关係关係。这些因素共同使亚太地区成为永续丁二烯创新和商业化的关键枢纽。
由于永续性需求的不断提高和研发投资的刺激,预计北美地区在预测期内的复合年增长率将最高。气体发酵、生质乙醇转化和工程微生物途径等先进技术正日益普及。新兴趋势包括电动车和绿色建筑材料中生物基橡胶的应用。关键进展包括生技新兴企业与化学巨头之间的策略合作、中试工厂的扩建以及政府激励措施。这些进展使北美成为可再生丁二烯解决方案规模化和商业化的领导者。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Bio-Butadiene Market is accounted for $2.65 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $5.24 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 10.2% during the forecast period. Bio-Butadiene is a sustainable substitute for conventional butadiene, derived from renewable biomass such as corn, sugarcane, or plant oils through processes like fermentation or catalytic transformation. It plays a vital role in producing synthetic rubber, plastics, and elastomers for applications including tires, adhesives, and footwear. While it helps cut down fossil fuel use and carbon footprint, scaling up production and achieving cost efficiency remain ongoing hurdles.
According to the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the U.S. produces over 100,000 metric tons of bio-based butadiene annually.
Rising demand for sustainable rubber
Bio-butadiene, derived from renewable feedstocks like ethanol or biomass, offers a lower carbon footprint compared to petrochemical-derived butadiene. As industries seek to reduce environmental impact, sustainable rubber solutions are gaining traction across automotive, footwear, and industrial applications. Regulatory pressures and corporate sustainability goals are accelerating the shift toward greener supply chains. Additionally, innovations in fermentation and catalytic conversion technologies are improving the yield and scalability of bio-butadiene production. This rising demand is fostering investment and partnerships aimed at commercializing sustainable rubber solutions.
Limited commercial scale
Most current technologies are still in pilot or early-stage deployment, lacking the capacity to meet large-scale industrial demand. High capital costs, complex processing requirements, and feedstock variability pose challenges to scaling operations. Moreover, the absence of standardized production protocols and supply chain integration slows down market adoption. Investors remain cautious due to uncertain returns and long development timelines. Without significant breakthroughs in process efficiency and cost reduction, bio-butadiene may struggle to compete with its petrochemical counterpart on volume and price.
Growing automotive demand
As electric vehicles and low-emission transport gain momentum, manufacturers are seeking greener alternatives for tires, seals, and interior components. Bio-butadiene's compatibility with existing rubber formulations makes it a viable substitute without compromising performance. OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers are increasingly incorporating bio-based inputs to meet ESG targets and consumer expectations. Government incentives and green procurement policies further support adoption in automotive supply chains. This trend is expected to drive demand for bio-butadiene across both passenger and commercial vehicle segments.
Competition from petrochemical butadiene
Large-scale production facilities benefit from economies of scale, making synthetic butadiene significantly cheaper than bio-based alternatives. Additionally, fluctuations in crude oil prices can temporarily enhance the competitiveness of petrochemical derivatives. The entrenched position of synthetic rubber in industrial applications creates resistance to change among manufacturers. Without clear performance or cost benefits, bio-butadiene may face difficulty displacing conventional materials. This competitive pressure could slow down the transition to sustainable rubber unless supported by policy or technological breakthroughs.
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted global supply chains, affecting both petrochemical and bio-based rubber production. Lockdowns and labor shortages led to delays in pilot projects and slowed down R&D efforts in bio-butadiene technologies. However, the crisis also highlighted the need for resilient and localized supply chains, prompting renewed interest in renewable feedstocks. As industries recover, sustainability has emerged as a key priority, accelerating investment in bio-based materials. Overall, while short-term setbacks occurred, the pandemic reinforced the long-term value proposition of bio-butadiene.
The styrene-butadiene rubber (SBR) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The styrene-butadiene rubber (SBR) segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, due to the push for eco-friendly materials. Innovations in fermentation and catalytic processing are improving the feasibility of bio-butadiene at scale. Notable trends include the development of bio-SBR compounds with improved performance and reduced environmental impact. Industry collaborations between rubber producers and chemical companies are advancing commercialization. Supportive regulations and sustainability goals are reinforcing this shift, making bio-based SBR a competitive substitute for traditional petrochemical rubber.
The automotive & transportation segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the automotive & transportation segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, fuelled by rising demand for sustainable mobility solutions. Bio-butadiene is increasingly used in tire compounds, seals, and vibration-dampening components for electric and hybrid vehicles. Regulatory mandates on emissions and material sourcing are encouraging OEMs to adopt bio-based inputs. Innovations in lightweight and durable rubber formulations are enhancing vehicle efficiency and performance. Strategic collaborations between automakers and chemical companies are accelerating product development and commercialization.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, driven by rising industrial demand, strong manufacturing capabilities, and growing environmental regulations. Countries like China, India, and Japan are investing in renewable chemical technologies such as biomass fermentation and ethanol-based catalytic conversion. Emerging trends include bio-based rubber integration in automotive and footwear sectors. Key developments feature government-backed green initiatives, pilot-scale production facilities, and strategic partnerships between local firms and global innovators. These factors collectively position Asia Pacific as a leading hub for sustainable butadiene innovation and commercialization.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, owing to rising sustainability mandates, and robust R&D investment. Advanced technologies such as gas fermentation, bioethanol conversion, and engineered microbial pathways are gaining traction. Emerging trends include bio-based rubber adoption in electric vehicles and green construction materials. Key developments involve strategic collaborations between biotech start-ups and chemical giants, expansion of pilot plants, and favourable government incentives. These dynamics are positioning North America as a frontrunner in scaling and commercializing renewable butadiene solutions.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Bio-Butadiene Market include SABIC, Asahi Kasei Corporation, Michelin, Axens, Zeon Corporation, Evonik Industries, Biokemik, Global Bioenergies, ETB Catalytic Technologies, IFPEN, Trinseo, LanzaTech, Genomatica, INVISTA, Braskem, Lummus Technology, Synthos, and Versalis.
In April 2025, Lummus Technology and Neste announced the companies have signed an agreement in which Lummus Technology will acquire the intellectual property and certain assets of NAPCON, Neste's proprietary digital technology solutions provider. The agreement also includes the transfer of key NAPCON personnel to ensure continuity and leverage critical expertise. In addition, Lummus and Neste have entered into a Strategic Collaboration Agreement to provide continuous NAPCON services to Neste and its subsidiaries.
In February 2025, SABIC announced the company's collaboration with Branch Technology to develop lightweight panels to restore the exterior of the Pathfinder, an early test article for the National Aeronautics & Space Administration (NASA) space shuttle orbiter. Branch Technology used its extraordinary cellular fabrication process and SABIC's advanced LNP(TM) THERMOCOMP(TM) compound to robotically 3D-print a matrix structure that forms the core of its BranchClad(R) composite panels.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.