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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1822402

2032 年先进地热系统市场预测：按钻井方法、储存深度、企划案融资模式、技术、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析

Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Drilling Method (Directional, Horizontal, Multi-Lateral and Plasma/Advanced), Reservoir Depth, Project Financing Model, Technology, Application, End User and By Geography
出版日期: | 出版商: Stratistics Market Research Consulting | 英文 200+ Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

价格

根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据，全球先进地热系统市场预计在 2025 年达到 691 亿美元，到 2032 年将达到 1,232 亿美元，预测期内的复合年增长率为 8.6%。

先进地热系统是一项创新技术，利用地球热进行能源生产，采用闭合迴路系统和深层钻探等先进方法取得地热储存。这些系统在生产清洁、可再生电力和热能的同时，最大限度地减少对环境的影响。这些系统旨在提供永续能源解决方案，为传统石化燃料提供可靠、低碳的替代能源，透过先进的工程和资源开采，服务于寻求高效、环保能源来源的产业和地区。

据美国能源部称，下一代地热能利用类似水力压裂的技术在任何地方创建储层，释放巨大、稳定、基本负载清洁能源的潜力。

深钻进展

深层钻探技术的重大进步，尤其是石油和天然气产业的进步，为市场提供了支撑。改良的多晶钻石复合片 (PDC) 钻头、更强劲的井下马达以及先进的导向系统等创新，使得在超过 3,000 公尺深处钻探坚硬、高温岩层更加高效且经济。这些技术对于打造 AGS 所需的广泛地下裂缝网络以及使以前无法开采的地热资源具有经济可行性至关重要。

前期投资高

一个关键阻碍因素是探勘、钻井和储存增产所需的资本支出非常高。 AGS计划涉及巨大的地质风险，需要昂贵的钻井才能发现可采资源。深层高温钻井的专用设备和专业知识进一步推高了成本。这些重大的经济障碍阻碍了私人投资，增加了计划资金筹措难度，与其他再生能源来源相比，市场发展速度较慢，并限制了市场扩张的步伐。

混合发电厂集成

将AGS与其他能源系统整合并创建混合电厂具有巨大的潜力。将AGS与太阳能热能结合或利用工业製程产生的废热，可以提高电厂的整体效率和运转率。此外，AGS可以提供​​恆定的基本负载电力，以补充太阳能和风能等间歇性再生能源。这种混合方法可以降低投资风险，最大限度地提高基础设施利用率，并创造更可靠、更有价值的能源资产，从而提高计划经济效益，吸引更广泛的开发商。

诱发地震活动

用于建造储存水库的水力压裂技术可能诱发地震，此风险对市场构成持续威胁。儘管此类地震事件通常规模较小，但可能引发公众骚乱，引发监管部门更严格的审查，并导致计划延期或取消。管理此类风险需要复杂的监测和缓解通讯协定，这会增加复杂性和成本。公众意识和监管障碍仍然是扩大社会运作许可的重大挑战。

COVID-19的影响：

新冠疫情最初扰乱了供应链，并因封锁和旅行限製而推迟了计划开发。然而，疫情的长期影响是正面的，因为全球復苏策略强调建构具有韧性的脱碳能源系统。人们对先进封装和能源安全的兴趣日益浓厚，为先进地热等可再生基本负载电源带来了大量关注和潜在资金，从而加速了该领域的政策支持和投资。

预计在预测期内，定向部分将实现最大程度的成长。

定向钻井领域预计将在预测期内占据最大的市场份额，因为它在最大化储存接触面和单井能量提取方面发挥关键作用。定向钻井使开发商能够创建与多个天然裂缝相交的复杂井眼，从而显着增加热交换表面积。这项在石油和天然气领域完善的技术对于实现商业性AGS发电所需的高流量和高效率至关重要，并且已成为任何计划开发成本的基本组成部分。

预测期内，政府资助领域将以最高复合年增长率成长

预计政府资助领域将在预测期内呈现最高成长率，因为地热能发电（AGS）被公认为一项关键的基本负载可再生技术，从而带来了前所未有的公共资金投入。美国能源局热能研究前沿观测站（FORGE）等措施以及世界各地的类似倡议正在降低私人投资者使用该技术的风险。津贴、贷款担保以及对先导计画的直接投资正在加速研究、开发和示范，在各国政府努力确保能源独立并实现气候变迁目标的背景下，推动该领域实现最高成长。

占比最大的地区：

由于环太平洋火山带地热资源丰富，尤其是印尼、菲律宾和日本，预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场份额。政府对可再生能源的强力支持、电力需求的不断增长以及减少对煤炭依赖的需求是主要驱动因素。该地区拥有悠久的传统地热开发历史，拥有熟练的劳动力和丰富的机构知识。

复合年增长率最高的地区：

预计北美地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高，这得益于联邦政府的积极政策支持（例如《通膨削减法案税额扣抵》）、对地热技术新创企业的大量风险投资，以及强大的创业投资和天然气行业提供可转移的技能和技术。对强劲、清洁的基本负载电力的需求，加上有利于先导计画的法规环境，共同打造了一个高度创新且快速发展的生态系统，使北美成为成长最快的市场。

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目录

第一章执行摘要

第二章 前言

  • 概述
  • 相关利益者
  • 调查范围
  • 调查方法
    • 资料探勘
    • 数据分析
    • 数据检验
    • 研究途径
  • 研究材料
    • 主要研究资料
    • 次级研究资讯来源
    • 先决条件

第三章市场走势分析

  • 驱动程式
  • 抑制因素
  • 机会
  • 威胁
  • 技术分析
  • 应用分析
  • 最终用户分析
  • 新兴市场
  • COVID-19的影响

第四章 波特五力分析

  • 供应商的议价能力
  • 买方的议价能力
  • 替代品的威胁
  • 新进入者的威胁
  • 竞争对手之间的竞争

5. 全球先进地热系统市场（按钻井方法）

  • 方向
  • 水平的
  • 多边
  • 等离子/高级

6. 全球先进地热系统市场（依储存深度）

  • 浅水（1-2公里）
  • 中等（2-4公里）
  • 深（>4公里）

7. 全球先进地热系统市场（依企划案融资模式）

  • 政府基金
  • IPP/私人
  • PPP模式
  • 社区所有

8. 全球先进地热系统市场（按技术）

  • 增强型地热系统（EGS）
  • 封闭回路型系统
  • 混合系统

9. 全球先进地热系统市场（按应用）

  • 发电
  • 直接加热
  • 工业热能利用
  • 混合汽电共生

第 10 章。全球先进地热系统市场（按最终用户）

  • 公用事业
  • 石油和天然气回收机
  • 区域供热运营商
  • 工业製造商

第 11 章全球先进地热系统市场（按地区）

  • 北美洲
    • 美国
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥
  • 欧洲
    • 德国
    • 英国
    • 义大利
    • 法国
    • 西班牙
    • 其他欧洲国家
  • 亚太地区
    • 日本
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 澳洲
    • 纽西兰
    • 韩国
    • 其他亚太地区
  • 南美洲
    • 阿根廷
    • 巴西
    • 智利
    • 南美洲其他地区
  • 中东和非洲
    • 沙乌地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
    • 卡达
    • 南非
    • 其他中东和非洲地区

第十二章 重大进展

  • 协议、伙伴关係、合作和合资企业
  • 收购与合併
  • 新产品发布
  • 业务扩展
  • 其他关键策略

第十三章：企业概况

  • Ormat Technologies, Inc.
  • Calpine Corporation
  • Enel SpA
  • AltaRock Energy, Inc.
  • KenGen
  • BESTEC GmbH
  • Fuji Electric Co., Ltd.
  • Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
  • Aboitiz Power Corporation
  • First Gen Corporation
  • Energy Development Corporation
  • Ansaldo Energia SpA
  • Toshiba Corporation
  • Yokogawa Electric Corporation
  • Fervo Energy
  • Chevron Corporation
Product Code: SMRC31156

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market is accounted for $69.1 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $123.2 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 8.6% during the forecast period. Advanced geothermal systems are innovative technologies that harness Earth's heat for energy production, using enhanced methods like closed-loop systems or deep drilling to access geothermal reservoirs. These systems generate clean, renewable power or heating with minimal environmental impact. Designed for sustainable energy solutions, they offer reliable, low-carbon alternatives to traditional fossil fuels, catering to industries and regions seeking efficient, eco-friendly energy sources through advanced engineering and resource extraction.

According to the U.S. DOE, next-gen geothermal uses fracking-like techniques to create reservoirs anywhere, unlocking vast, constant baseload clean power potential.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Deep drilling advancements

The market is propelled by significant advancements in deep drilling technologies, particularly from the oil and gas industry. Innovations such as improved polycrystalline diamond compact (PDC) drill bits, enhanced downhole motors, and sophisticated steering systems allow for more efficient and cost-effective drilling into hard, hot rock formations at depths exceeding 3,000 meters. These technologies are critical for creating the extensive subsurface fracture networks necessary for AGS, making previously inaccessible geothermal resources economically viable.

Restraint:

High upfront investment

A major restraint is the exceptionally high capital expenditure required for exploration, drilling, and reservoir stimulation. AGS projects involve significant geological risk, with costly drilling needed before confirming a viable resource. The specialized equipment and expertise for deep, high-temperature drilling further escalate costs. This substantial financial barrier deters private investment and makes project financing challenging, slowing down development and limiting the pace of market expansion compared to other renewable energy sources.

Opportunity:

Hybrid plant integration

A significant opportunity lies in integrating AGS with other energy systems to create hybrid plants. Combining AGS with solar thermal or using waste heat from industrial processes can enhance overall plant efficiency and capacity factor. Furthermore, AGS can provide constant baseload power to complement intermittent renewables like solar and wind. This hybrid approach de-risks investment, maximizes infrastructure use, and creates more reliable and valuable energy assets, improving project economics and attracting a broader range of developers.

Threat:

Induced seismic activity

The market faces a persistent threat from the risk of induced seismicity associated with hydraulic fracturing used to create subsurface reservoirs. While typically minor, these seismic events can cause public concern, lead to stringent regulatory scrutiny, and potentially result in project delays or cancellations. Managing this risk requires sophisticated monitoring and mitigation protocols, which add complexity and cost. Public perception and regulatory hurdles remain significant challenges for widespread social license to operate.

Covid-19 Impact:

The COVID-19 pandemic initially disrupted supply chains and delayed project development due to lockdowns and travel restrictions. However, the long-term impact has been positive, as global recovery strategies heavily emphasized building resilient and decarbonized energy systems. Government stimulus packages and increased focus on energy security have brought greater attention and potential funding to renewable baseload power sources like advanced geothermal, accelerating policy support and investment in the sector.

The directional segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The directional segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, resulting from its critical role in maximizing reservoir contact and energy extraction from a single wellbore. Directional drilling allows developers to create complex well paths that intersect multiple natural fractures, significantly enhancing the heat exchange surface area. This technology, perfected in oil and gas, is essential for achieving the high flow rates and efficiency required for commercial AGS power generation, making it a fundamental and dominant component of any project's development cost.

The government-funded segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the government-funded segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, propelled by the recognition of AGS as a critical baseload renewable technology, leading to unprecedented levels of public funding. Initiatives like the US Department of Energy's Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy (FORGE) and similar programs worldwide are de-risking the technology for private investors. Grants, loan guarantees, and direct investment in pilot projects are accelerating R&D and demonstration, fueling the highest growth in this segment as governments seek to secure energy independence and meet climate goals.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, attributed to abundant geothermal resources along the Pacific Ring of Fire, particularly in Indonesia, the Philippines, and Japan. Strong government mandates for renewable energy, growing electricity demand, and a need to reduce coal dependency are key drivers. The region has a long history of conventional geothermal development, providing a skilled workforce and institutional knowledge that is now being applied to advance more complex AGS projects, cementing its market leadership.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR associated with, a potent combination of aggressive federal policy support (e.g., Inflation Reduction Act tax credits), significant venture capital investment in geothermal tech startups, and a strong oil and gas industry providing transferable skills and technology. The need for firm, clean baseload power, coupled with a favorable regulatory environment for pilot projects, is creating a highly innovative and fast-moving ecosystem, positioning North America for the most rapid market growth.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Advanced Geothermal Systems Market include Ormat Technologies, Inc., Calpine Corporation, Enel SpA, AltaRock Energy, Inc., KenGen, BESTEC GmbH, Fuji Electric Co., Ltd., Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Aboitiz Power Corporation, First Gen Corporation, Energy Development Corporation, Ansaldo Energia S.p.A., Toshiba Corporation, Yokogawa Electric Corporation, Fervo Energy and Chevron Corporation.

Key Developments:

In September 2025, Ormat Technologies, Inc. launched its new modular "GeoNode" power plant design. The pre-fabricated, scalable units are engineered for faster deployment of Advanced Geothermal Systems (AGS) in remote locations, significantly reducing upfront capital costs and development time.

In August 2025, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and Toshiba Corporation unveiled a new co-developed high-temperature turbine blade material specifically for the harsh, corrosive environments of supercritical geothermal resources. This breakthrough is critical for unlocking the next tier of efficiency in advanced geothermal power generation.

In July 2025, Yokogawa Electric Corporation introduced its new integrated control and AI-powered analytics platform for geothermal fields. The system is designed to optimize reservoir management in real-time, predicting output declines and automatically adjusting well flow rates to maximize the lifespan and productivity of AGS projects.

Drilling Methods Covered:

  • Directional
  • Horizontal
  • Multi-Lateral
  • Plasma/Advanced

Reservoir Depths Covered:

  • Shallow (1-2 km)
  • Medium (2-4 km)
  • Deep (>4 km)

Project Financing Models Covered:

  • Government-Funded
  • IPP/Private
  • PPP Models
  • Community-Owned

Technologies Covered:

  • Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS)
  • Closed-Loop Systems
  • Hybrid Systems

Applications Covered:

  • Electricity Generation
  • Direct Heating
  • Industrial Heat Use
  • Hybrid CHP

End Users Covered:

  • Utilities
  • Oil & Gas Repurposers
  • District Heating Operators
  • Industrial Manufacturers

Regions Covered:

  • North America
    • US
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • UK
    • Italy
    • France
    • Spain
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia Pacific
    • Japan
    • China
    • India
    • Australia
    • New Zealand
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • South America
    • Argentina
    • Brazil
    • Chile
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East & Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE
    • Qatar
    • South Africa
    • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

  • Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
  • Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
  • Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
  • Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
  • Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
  • Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
  • Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
  • Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

  • Company Profiling
    • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
    • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
  • Regional Segmentation
    • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
  • Competitive Benchmarking
    • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

  • 2.1 Abstract
  • 2.2 Stake Holders
  • 2.3 Research Scope
  • 2.4 Research Methodology
    • 2.4.1 Data Mining
    • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
    • 2.4.3 Data Validation
    • 2.4.4 Research Approach
  • 2.5 Research Sources
    • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
    • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
    • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Drivers
  • 3.3 Restraints
  • 3.4 Opportunities
  • 3.5 Threats
  • 3.6 Technology Analysis
  • 3.7 Application Analysis
  • 3.8 End User Analysis
  • 3.9 Emerging Markets
  • 3.10 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

  • 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
  • 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
  • 4.3 Threat of substitutes
  • 4.4 Threat of new entrants
  • 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market, By Drilling Method

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Directional
  • 5.3 Horizontal
  • 5.4 Multi-Lateral
  • 5.5 Plasma/Advanced

6 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market, By Reservoir Depth

  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.2 Shallow (1-2 km)
  • 6.3 Medium (2-4 km)
  • 6.4 Deep (>4 km)

7 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market, By Project Financing Model

  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 Government-Funded
  • 7.3 IPP/Private
  • 7.4 PPP Models
  • 7.5 Community-Owned

8 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market, By Technology

  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS)
  • 8.3 Closed-Loop Systems
  • 8.4 Hybrid Systems

9 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market, By Application

  • 9.1 Introduction
  • 9.2 Electricity Generation
  • 9.3 Direct Heating
  • 9.4 Industrial Heat Use
  • 9.5 Hybrid CHP

10 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market, By End User

  • 10.1 Introduction
  • 10.2 Utilities
  • 10.3 Oil & Gas Repurposers
  • 10.4 District Heating Operators
  • 10.5 Industrial Manufacturers

11 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market, By Geography

  • 11.1 Introduction
  • 11.2 North America
    • 11.2.1 US
    • 11.2.2 Canada
    • 11.2.3 Mexico
  • 11.3 Europe
    • 11.3.1 Germany
    • 11.3.2 UK
    • 11.3.3 Italy
    • 11.3.4 France
    • 11.3.5 Spain
    • 11.3.6 Rest of Europe
  • 11.4 Asia Pacific
    • 11.4.1 Japan
    • 11.4.2 China
    • 11.4.3 India
    • 11.4.4 Australia
    • 11.4.5 New Zealand
    • 11.4.6 South Korea
    • 11.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
  • 11.5 South America
    • 11.5.1 Argentina
    • 11.5.2 Brazil
    • 11.5.3 Chile
    • 11.5.4 Rest of South America
  • 11.6 Middle East & Africa
    • 11.6.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 11.6.2 UAE
    • 11.6.3 Qatar
    • 11.6.4 South Africa
    • 11.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

12 Key Developments

  • 12.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
  • 12.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
  • 12.3 New Product Launch
  • 12.4 Expansions
  • 12.5 Other Key Strategies

13 Company Profiling

  • 13.1 Ormat Technologies, Inc.
  • 13.2 Calpine Corporation
  • 13.3 Enel SpA
  • 13.4 AltaRock Energy, Inc.
  • 13.5 KenGen
  • 13.6 BESTEC GmbH
  • 13.7 Fuji Electric Co., Ltd.
  • 13.8 Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
  • 13.9 Aboitiz Power Corporation
  • 13.10 First Gen Corporation
  • 13.11 Energy Development Corporation
  • 13.12 Ansaldo Energia S.p.A.
  • 13.13 Toshiba Corporation
  • 13.14 Yokogawa Electric Corporation
  • 13.15 Fervo Energy
  • 13.16 Chevron Corporation

List of Tables

  • Table 1 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Region (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 2 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Drilling Method (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 3 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Directional (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 4 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Horizontal (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 5 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Multi-Lateral (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 6 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Plasma/Advanced (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 7 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Reservoir Depth (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 8 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Shallow (1-2 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 9 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Medium (2-4 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 10 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Deep (>4 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 11 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Project Financing Model (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 12 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Government-Funded (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 13 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By IPP/Private (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 14 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By PPP Models (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 15 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Community-Owned (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 16 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Technology (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 17 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 18 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Closed-Loop Systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 19 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Hybrid Systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 20 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Application (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 21 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Electricity Generation (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 22 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Direct Heating (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 23 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Industrial Heat Use (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 24 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Hybrid CHP (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 25 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 26 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Utilities (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 27 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Oil & Gas Repurposers (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 28 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By District Heating Operators (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 29 Global Advanced Geothermal Systems Market Outlook, By Industrial Manufacturers (2024-2032) ($MN)

Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.