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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1822420
可程式物质市场预测至 2032 年:按材料、技术、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Programmable Matter Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Material (Metals, Polymers, Nanomaterials, Ceramics, Bioengineered, and Hybrid Composites), Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球可编程物质市场预计在 2025 年达到 7 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 22 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 16.2%。
可编程物质是指其物理特性、形状和功能能够响应外部刺激而可控制且可逆地改变的材料。这些材料透过整合感测器和致动器,并在分子层面上进行编程,从而实现动态自适应。透过改变其结构和行为,可程式物质可以执行各种任务,例如自组装、变形和反应环境变化。这项创新将材料科学、机器人技术和计算技术融为一体,从而打造出能够根据不断变化的功能需求进行变形的多功能智慧系统。
据国防高级研究计划局 (DARPA) 称,该研究的重点是能够根据指令改变形状和属性的材料,从而实现自适应服装和可重建电子设备。
对自适应材料的需求不断增加
一个关键的市场驱动力是航太、汽车、消费性电子等领域对自适应材料日益增长的需求。这些行业需要能够响应外部刺激而动态改变其物理特性(例如形状、刚度和纹理)的下一代部件。这种能力正在赋能诸如变形飞机机翼、自修復汽车外饰以及可定制人体工学产品等突破性应用,推动创新超越传统静态材料的极限,并获得了终端用户领域的广泛认可。
研发成本高
可程式物质技术的研究、开发和原型製作成本极高,是市场发展的一大限制因素。该领域需要材料科学、奈米技术和先进机器人技术的跨学科专业知识。製造微米级和奈米级原型机需要大量资金,需要专门的设备和无尘室设施。这些经济障碍可能会限制资金充足的公司和研究机构的参与,从而减缓小型营业单位的创新和商业产品推出的步伐。
机器人和自动化应用
将可程式物质融入机器人技术和工业自动化领域蕴藏着巨大的机会。这项技术能够创造出柔软、可变形的机器人,使其能够在复杂环境中导航并执行精细的任务。在製造业中,可程式夹具和固定装置可以自主适应不同的产品设计,从而促进灵活的小批量生产线。这种革新自动化灵活性和效率的潜力,为可扩展的可编程物质解决方案带来了巨大的尚未开发的市场。
大规模部署的技术挑战
由于这些材料在商业规模生产和部署方面持续存在的技术挑战,该市场面临巨大的挑战。以经济高效的方式实现对大量单一单元和分子的可靠而精确的控制仍然具有挑战性。在实现跨行业广泛应用之前,必须克服诸如能源效率、响应时间、材料耐久性以及与控制系统和电源的无缝整合等问题。
新冠疫情最初扰乱了研发活动和供应链,导致重大计划和原型设计被推迟。然而,它也起到了催化剂的作用,凸显了对自适应和自动化解决方案的需求。这场危机加速了人们对非接触式介面、自配置医疗设备和弹性製造的兴趣,而可程式材料在这些领域具有长期潜力。因此,2021年及以后的投资强劲反弹,重点在于那些能够提高韧性并减少各种流程中人为干预的应用。
金属产业预计将成为预测期内最大的产业
预计金属材料领域将在预测期内占据最大的市场份额。这一优势归因于其在航太、生物医学(支架、正畸)和汽车等成熟行业中的成熟应用。这些合金具有高强度驱动、可靠性和生物相容性,与更具实验性的分子和颗粒方法相比,为早期可编程物质应用提供了一条成熟且商业性可行的途径,从而巩固了主导地位。
预计形状记忆合金部分在预测期内将达到最高的复合年增长率。
预计形状记忆合金领域将在预测期内实现最高成长率,这得益于合金成分和加工技术的不断创新,从而提升了其性能和效率。此外,向致动器中的微型执行器、工业自动化中的智慧阀门以及机器人中的响应组件等新兴高成长应用领域的扩展,正在推动其大量投资和应用,使其相对于其他材料类型呈现更快的成长轨迹。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大市场份额,这得益于其庞大且在全球占据主导地位的电子製造业基础、政府对先进材料研究的大力支持以及对机器人和工业自动化的大量投资。中国、日本和韩国等国家是该技术的早期终端用户产业的所在地,因此产生了巨大的需求,并推动了该地区的主导市场地位。
在预测期内,北美预计将呈现最高的复合年增长率,这得益于美国航空暨太空总署 (NASA)主导的密集型高价值研发活动。领先的科技公司和新兴企业的强大影响力,加上专注于深度科技的强大创业投资生态系统,将促进快速创新和商业化,从而实现更快的成长率。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Programmable Matter Market is accounted for $0.7 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $2.2 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 16.2% during the forecast period. Programmable matter refers to materials that can change their physical properties, shape, or functionality in a controlled and reversible manner in response to external stimuli. These materials are engineered to adapt dynamically, often through embedded sensors, actuators, or molecular-level programming. By altering their structure or behavior, programmable matter can perform diverse tasks such as self-assembly, shape-shifting, or responsiveness to environmental changes. This innovation bridges material science, robotics, and computing, enabling versatile, intelligent systems capable of transforming to meet evolving functional requirements.
According to DARPA, research focuses on materials that can change shape and properties on command, enabling adaptive clothing and reconfigurable electronics.
Rising demand for adaptive materials
The primary market driver is the escalating demand for adaptive materials across aerospace, automotive, and consumer electronics. These industries seek next-generation components that can dynamically alter their physical properties-such as shape, stiffness, or texture-in response to external stimuli. This capability enables groundbreaking applications like morphing aircraft wings, self-repairing car exteriors, and customizable ergonomic products, pushing innovation beyond the limits of traditional static materials and creating a robust pull from end-user sectors.
High research and development costs
A significant market restraint is the exceptionally high cost associated with research, development, and prototyping of programmable matter technologies. The field requires interdisciplinary expertise in material science, nanotechnology, and advanced robotics. Fabricating prototypes at micro or nano scales is capital-intensive, requiring specialized equipment and cleanroom facilities. These substantial financial barriers limit participation to well-funded corporations and research institutions, potentially slowing the pace of innovation and commercial product launches for smaller entities.
Applications in robotics and automation
A major opportunity lies in the integration of programmable matter into robotics and industrial automation. This technology can enable the creation of soft, shape-shifting robots that can navigate complex environments and perform delicate tasks. In manufacturing, programmable jigs and fixtures could autonomously adapt to different product designs, facilitating agile, low-volume production lines. This potential to revolutionize flexibility and efficiency in automation represents a vast, untapped market for scalable programmable matter solutions.
Technical challenges in large-scale deployment
The market faces a considerable threat from persistent technical challenges in manufacturing and deploying these materials at a commercial scale. Achieving reliable and precise control over a massive number of individual units or molecules in a cost-effective manner remains difficult. Issues with energy efficiency, response time, material durability, and seamless integration with control systems and power sources must be overcome before widespread adoption across industries can become a reality.
The COVID-19 pandemic initially disrupted R&D activities and supply chains, delaying key projects and prototypes. However, it also acted as a catalyst, highlighting the need for adaptive and automated solutions. The crisis accelerated interest in touchless interfaces, self-configuring medical devices, and flexible manufacturing, sectors where programmable matter holds long-term potential. Consequently, investment rebounded strongly post-2021, focusing on applications that enhance resilience and reduce human intervention in various processes.
The metals segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The metals segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. This dominance is attributed to their well-established use in mature industries such as aerospace, biomedical (stents, orthodontics), and automotive. These alloys provide high-force actuation, reliability, and biocompatibility, offering a proven and commercially viable pathway for early programmable matter applications compared to more experimental molecular or granular approaches, thus securing their leading position.
The shape-memory alloys segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the shape-memory alloys segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, propelled by relentless innovation in alloy composition and processing techniques, enhancing their performance and efficiency. Furthermore, their expansion into new, high-growth applications like compact actuators in consumer electronics, smart valves in industrial automation, and responsive components in robotics drives significant investment and adoption, fueling a steeper growth trajectory compared to other material types.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, attributed to its massive and globally dominant electronics manufacturing base, strong government support for advanced materials research, and significant investments in robotics and industrial automation. Countries like China, Japan, and South Korea are hubs for end-user industries that are primary early adopters of this technology, creating immense demand and driving the region's leading market position.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR associated with concentrated, high-value R&D activities led by the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) and NASA, which are heavily funding programmable matter for aerospace and defense applications. A strong presence of leading technology firms and startups, coupled with a robust venture capital ecosystem focused on deep tech, fosters rapid innovation and commercialization, leading to faster growth rates.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Programmable Matter Market include MIT Self-Assembly Lab, FEMTO-ST Institute, University of Liverpool, Carbitex, Airbus, Briggs Automotive Company, VisibleSim, Blinky Blocks, Catoms, Intuitive Surgical, Inc., Boston Dynamics, KUKA AG, Fanuc Corporation, Yaskawa Electric Corporation, Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, Siemens AG, General Electric Company, and Rockwell Automation, Inc.
In July 2025, a research consortium led by the MIT Self-Assembly Lab and Airbus announced a breakthrough in large-scale programmable matter for aerospace. They successfully demonstrated a wing flap composed of thousands of interlocking "Catoms" that can morph its shape in flight, significantly improving aerodynamic efficiency and reducing fuel consumption without traditional mechanical parts.
In July 2025, Intuitive Surgical, Inc. filed a patent for a next-generation surgical tool based on programmable matter principles. The instrument, developed in collaboration with the FEMTO-ST Institute, features a tip that can dynamically alter its stiffness and shape to navigate complex anatomy and adapt to different surgical tasks, minimizing the need for tool exchanges during robotic-assisted procedures.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.