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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1836397
作物基因工程市场预测(至 2032 年):按性状、作物类型、技术、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Genetic Engineering in Crops Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Trait, Crop Type, Technology, End User, and By Geography |
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根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球作物基因工程市场预计到 2025 年将达到 12.4 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 23.2 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 9.3%。
作物基因工程专注于开发基因改造作物或工程改造作物,使其具有更高的产量、抗病虫害、耐旱性和营养品质等特性。在确保粮食安全和永续农业需求的推动下,生物技术和基于CRISPR的技术的进步正在实现精准作物改良。全球人口的成长、饮食偏好的演变以及政府支持生物技术应用的倡议,正在推动这一市场的成长,相关人员纷纷投资研发,以满足未来的农业需求。
根据联合国粮食及农业组织(FAO)的数据,到2023年,全球基改作物的种植作物将超过1.9亿公顷。
全球粮食需求不断成长
这一市场的主要驱动力是全球人口不断增长,预计到2050年将达到近100亿,粮食需求的紧迫性使其难以满足日益增长的人口需求。由于可耕地有限,传统农业难以有效扩大生产规模。基因改造作物直接解决了这个问题,它透过基因改造显着提高产量,增强抗病虫害能力,从而减少收穫前的损失。这种生产力的提升对于确保粮食安全至关重要。此外,这些作物还可以透过改良营养成分来对抗营养不良,使其成为在日益紧张的压力下维持全球粮食供应链的重要工具。
监管挑战和核准流程
市场成长的主要障碍是基因改造作物(GMO) 监管核准流程复杂、成本高昂且冗长。这些框架在不同国家和地区存在巨大差异,为开发者创造了一个碎片化且难以预测的环境。高昂的合规成本以及多年投资后产品被拒绝的风险,限制了中小企业的发展,并延缓了有益创新的商业化进程。这种监管不确定性是减缓全球市场扩张、限制新技术流向监管严格地区农民的主要因素。
开发适应气候变迁的作物
一个重大的新机会在于对作物进行基因改造,使其能够抵御日益严峻的气候变迁挑战。这包括培育能够耐受日益频繁和严重的生物胁迫(例如干旱、盐碱化和极端高温)的品种。此类创新可以稳定脆弱地区的生产,保护农民的生计,并确保稳定的粮食供应。这也能为依赖雨养农业且极易受气候变迁影响的新兴国家开拓新的市场,使基因工程成为确保全球粮食系统未来免受环境变迁影响的关键解决方案。
生物恐怖主义和生物武器风险
理论上,恶意行为者可以设计出针对主要作物的病原体,或培育出抗除草剂的“超级杂草”,从而扰乱农业生产,造成大范围的经济和社会混乱。此类情况,即使是假设性的,也可能引发公众恐慌,并导致政府过度监管,从而扼杀合法研究。这些感知风险加剧了人们对基改作物的“恐惧因素”,并挑战了业界赢得公众信任和维护营运自由的努力。
新冠疫情最初扰乱了基改作物市场,造成供应链瓶颈,减缓了研究工作和种子分发。然而,它也加速了围绕农业生物技术作为全球危机期间确保粮食安全手段的对话,并凸显了韧性和高效的粮食系统的重要性。疫情期间对科学解决方案的关注产生了双重影响,一方面阻碍了短期活动,另一方面也有可能创造一个更有利于农业生物技术创新的长期环境。
预测期内,耐除草剂 (HT) 类作物预计将成为最大的细分市场
耐除草剂 (HT) 领域预计将在预测期内占据最大的市场份额,这得益于其在大豆、玉米和棉花等主要连作作物中的广泛应用。该技术简化并精简了杂草控制流程,使农民能够使用广谱除草剂而不会损害作物。这可以显着节省劳动力和燃料成本,使其成为大规模农业经济上具有吸引力的方案。耐除草剂 (HT) 的稳固地位及其对农民已证实的经济效益巩固了其在市场格局中的主导地位。
预计水果和蔬菜板块在预测期内将达到最高复合年增长率
预计水果和蔬菜细分市场将在预测期内实现最高成长率。这得益于消费者对具有改良特性(例如风味更佳、保质期更长、外观更佳,从而减少食物浪费)的农产品的强劲需求。此外,基因工程技术正被用于培育对常见于高价值水果和蔬菜的特定真菌和病毒性疾病具有抗性的品种。这种以消费者为中心的优势与针对种植者的特定解决方案相结合,正在为该行业创造强劲的成长动力。
预计北美地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场份额。这一主导地位得益于完善的法规结构、美国和加拿大基因改造作物的高采用率以及主要市场参与者的强大影响力。此外,该地区的大型农场对提高效率和产量的技术有着极强的接受度。凭藉成熟的农业生物技术基础设施和农民的持续认可,北美地区巩固了其在该市场收益领导者的地位。
预计亚太地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。这项加速成长得益于中国和印度等主要国家政府加强对农业生物技术的支持力度,这些国家正努力应对耕地面积不断减少、人口不断增加的困境。农民对基改作物益处的认识不断提高,例如提高产量和减少农药使用,这也推动了基改作物的采用。该地区庞大的农业基础和迫切的粮食安全需求为市场快速扩张创造了肥沃的土壤。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Genetic Engineering in Crops Market is accounted for $1.24 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $2.32 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 9.3% during the forecast period. Genetic engineering in crops focuses on developing genetically modified and engineered crops with enhanced traits such as higher yield, pest and disease resistance, drought tolerance, and improved nutritional quality. Driven by the need to ensure food security and sustainable agriculture, advancements in biotechnology and CRISPR-based techniques are enabling precision crop improvement. Increasing global population, evolving dietary preferences, and government initiatives supporting biotech adoption are propelling growth in this market, with stakeholders investing in research and development to meet future agricultural demands.
According to the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), genetically modified (GM) crops were grown on over 190 million hectares globally in 2023.
Increasing Global Food Demand
The primary driver for this market is the pressing need to feed a growing global population, projected to near 10 billion by 2050. Conventional agriculture alone is struggling to expand output sufficiently due to limited arable land. Genetically engineered crops directly address this by being engineered for significantly higher yields and greater resistance to pests and diseases, which reduces pre-harvest losses. This enhanced productivity is crucial for ensuring food security. Furthermore, these crops can be developed with improved nutritional profiles, combating malnutrition and making them a vital tool for sustaining the global food supply chain under increasing pressure.
Regulatory Challenges and Approval Processes
A significant barrier to market growth is the complex, costly, and time-consuming regulatory approval processes for genetically modified organisms (GMOs). These frameworks vary drastically across different countries and regions, creating a fragmented and unpredictable landscape for developers. The high cost of compliance and the risk of a product being rejected after years of investment deter smaller companies and can delay the commercialization of beneficial innovations. This regulatory uncertainty acts as a major restraint, slowing down global market expansion and limiting the flow of new technologies to farmers in restrictive regions.
Development of Climate-Resilient Crops
A major emerging opportunity lies in engineering crops to withstand the escalating challenges of climate change. This involves developing varieties tolerant to abiotic stresses such as drought, salinity, and extreme temperatures, which are becoming more frequent and severe. Such innovations can stabilize production in vulnerable regions, safeguarding farmers' livelihoods and ensuring consistent food supplies. Moreover, this opens up new markets in developing countries where agriculture is heavily rain-fed and susceptible to climate shocks, positioning genetic engineering as a key solution for future-proofing global food systems against environmental volatility.
Bioterrorism and Bioweapons Risks
Malicious actors could theoretically engineer pathogens targeting staple crops or develop herbicide-resistant "superweeds" to disrupt agriculture and cause widespread economic and social havoc. Such scenarios, even if hypothetical, fuel public apprehension and could lead to overly restrictive government regulations that stifle legitimate research. This perceived risk contributes to the "fear factor" surrounding GMOs, challenging the industry's efforts to gain public trust and maintain operational freedom.
The Covid-19 pandemic initially disrupted the genetic engineering crops market through supply chain bottlenecks, delaying research activities and the distribution of seeds. However, it also underscored the critical importance of resilient and efficient food systems, accelerating the dialogue around agricultural biotechnology as a means to ensure food security amidst global crises. The focus on scientific solutions during the pandemic period had a dual effect, simultaneously hindering short-term operations while potentially fostering a more receptive long-term environment for biotech innovations in agriculture
The herbicide tolerance (HT) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The herbicide tolerance (HT) segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period due to its widespread adoption in major row crops like soybean, corn, and cotton. This technology offers simplified and more efficient weed control, allowing farmers to apply broad-spectrum herbicides without damaging their crops. This leads to significant cost savings on labor and fuel, making it an economically attractive solution for large-scale farming. Its established presence and proven economic benefits for growers cement its dominant position in the market landscape.
The fruits and vegetables segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the fruits and vegetables segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. This is driven by strong consumer demand for produce with enhanced traits, such as improved flavor, extended shelf life, and visual appeal, which reduce food waste. Additionally, genetic engineering is being leveraged to develop varieties resistant to specific fungal and viral diseases that commonly affect high-value fruits and vegetables. This combination of consumer-centric benefits and tangible solutions for growers creates a powerful growth vector within the sector.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share. This dominance is anchored by well-established regulatory frameworks, high adoption rates of GM crops in the U.S. and Canada, and strong presence of leading market players. Furthermore, large-scale farm operations in the region are highly receptive to technologies that boost efficiency and yield. The mature agricultural biotechnology infrastructure and consistent farmer acceptance solidify North America's position as the revenue leader in this market.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. This accelerated growth is fueled by increasing government support for agricultural biotechnology in key countries like China and India, which are grappling with the need to feed vast populations amidst shrinking arable land. Growing awareness among farmers about the benefits of GM crops, such as higher yields and reduced pesticide use, is also driving adoption. The region's vast agricultural base and pressing food security needs create a fertile ground for rapid market expansion.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Genetic Engineering in Crops Market include Bayer AG, Corteva Agriscience, Inc., Syngenta AG, BASF SE, KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaA, Limagrain, Calyxt, Inc., Pairwise Plants Technologies, Inc., Benson Hill, Inc., Arcadia Biosciences, Inc., Inari Agriculture, Inc., Yield10 Bioscience, Inc., Evogene Ltd., Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp., KeyGene N.V., and TraitGenetics GmbH.
In September 2025, Syngenta acquired Novartis' natural products and genetic strains collection, accelerating the development of biological and biotechnological crop solutions.
In August 2025, Together with Corteva and M.S. Technologies, BASF is bringing an industry-first biotech soybean with nematode resistance trait stacked with herbicide and insect resistance to Brazil by decade's end, aimed at yield protection and pest management.
In November 2024, Corteva announced a breakthrough hybrid wheat technology poised to increase wheat yields and genetic gains using proprietary methods that enable hybridization across 100% of wheat germplasm.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.