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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1933060
全球可再生能源预测软体市场预测(至2034年):按类型、组件、资料来源、部署模式、技术、应用、最终用户和地区分類的预测Renewable Energy Forecasting Software Market Forecasts to 2034 - Global Analysis By Forecast Type, Component, Data Source, Deployment Mode, Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
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根据 Stratistics MRC 的一项研究,预计到 2026 年,全球可再生能源预测软体市场价值将达到 36 亿美元,到 2034 年将达到 69 亿美元,在预测期内的复合年增长率为 8.4%。
可再生能源预测软体利用先进的演算法、气像模型和历史资料来预测可再生能源发电量。它提供太阳能、风能和水力资源的短期和长期预测,帮助电网营运商平衡供需。准确的预测可以减少对石化燃料备用电源的依赖,最大限度地减少弃风弃光,并提高电网稳定性。透过整合人工智慧和机器学习技术,这些工具提高了预测精度,使公共产业和开发商能够优化营运、降低成本,并最大限度地提高可再生能源在能源系统中的渗透率。
间歇性可再生能源的整合
可再生能源预测软体市场的发展主要得益于间歇性再生能源来源(例如风能和太阳能)在电力系统中的日益普及。发电量的波动性使得精准预测的需求日益增长,以维持电网稳定性并优化调度方案。电力公司和电网运营商依靠预测软体来提高调度精度并降低不平衡成本。可再生能源渗透率的不断提高,以及脱碳政策的实施,正在推动整个电力市场对先进预测解决方案的持续需求。
对高品质数据的依赖
对高品质即时数据的依赖已成为可再生能源预测软体普及应用的关键阻碍因素。丰富的历史资料集、即时气象资料以及可靠的感测器基础设施是实现精准预测的必要条件。资料缺失、不一致或不足都会显着降低预测精度。整合多种资料来源会增加复杂性,增加部署难度并提高营运成本。这种数据依赖性会限制软体的效能,尤其是在监测基础设施欠发达的地区。
先进的人工智慧和数值天气预报(NWP)解决方案
先进的人工智慧 (AI) 和数值天气预报 (NWP) 解决方案为市场带来了巨大的成长机会。 AI 驱动的模型透过学习气象和发电资料中的复杂模式来提高预报精度。高解析度 NWP 输出的整合进一步提升了短期和日内预报的准确性。运算能力的提升和云端技术的日益普及正在推动市场扩张。这些进步有助于优化电网规划、减少弃风弃光以及更有效率地利用可再生能源资产。
影响系统稳定性的预测误差
预测误差仍然是一个重大威胁,不准确的预测会扰乱电网运作并增加监管成本。高估或低估可再生能源发电量都可能导致发电调度决策效率低和系统不稳定。这些误差会削弱营运商对预测工具的信心,并导致经济处罚。随着可再生能源占比的提高,预测误差对运行的影响将更加显着,因此持续改进和检验模型至关重要。
新冠疫情导致计划延期和资本支出减少,暂时阻碍了可再生能源预测软体的应用。然而,随着电力系统营运商适应波动的需求模式,对数位化解决方案的需求也随之成长。疫情期间,远端营运和基于云端的预测平台得到了广泛应用。疫情后的復苏阶段,对数位化预测工具的投资增加,推动了市场长期成长,而可再生能源併网和电力系统优化的需求也进一步促进了这一增长。
在预测期内,超短期和即时预测细分市场将占据最大的市场份额。
由于超短期临近预报在即时电网平衡中发挥至关重要的作用,预计在预测期内,该细分市场将占据最大的市场份额。这些解决方案提供分钟到小时的预测,有助于优化发电调度和频率控制。电力公司依靠临近预报来应对可再生能源输出的快速波动。其营运重要性以及监管机构对即时精度的高要求,进一步巩固了该细分市场在预测软体市场的主导地位。
在预测期内,软体平台细分市场将呈现最高的复合年增长率。
预计在预测期内,软体平台细分市场将实现最高成长率,这主要得益于可扩展的云端预测解决方案日益普及。整合平台提供进阶分析、视觉化功能,并可与能源管理系统互通性。对跨多资产组合的集中式预测的需求正在推动市场成长。持续的软体创新和订阅式交付模式进一步加速了公共产业和可再生能源营运商对平台的采用。
预计在预测期内,欧洲将占据最大的市场份额,这主要得益于风能和太阳能资产的高渗透率。严格的併网需求和先进的能源交易市场促使公共产业越来越依赖精准的预测解决方案。此外,强而有力的可再生能源併网监管要求、人工智慧驱动的预测平台的早期应用以及成熟的数位基础设施,都有助于欧洲持续巩固其市场主导地位。
亚太地区预计将在预测期内实现最高的复合年增长率,这主要得益于可再生能源装置容量的快速扩张和电网现代化倡议。中国、印度和东南亚地区大规模部署太阳能和风能发电设施,推动了对先进预测软体的需求。此外,智慧电网、能源管理系统和即时分析领域的投资不断增加,也进一步促进了该地区市场的成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Renewable Energy Forecasting Software Market is accounted for $3.6 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach $6.9 billion by 2034 growing at a CAGR of 8.4% during the forecast period. Renewable Energy Forecasting Software uses advanced algorithms, weather models, and historical data to predict renewable generation output. It provides short term and long term forecasts for solar, wind, and hydro resources, helping grid operators balance supply and demand. Accurate forecasting reduces reliance on fossil backup, minimizes curtailment, and improves grid stability. By integrating AI and machine learning, these tools enhance precision, enabling utilities and developers to optimize operations, reduce costs, and maximize renewable penetration in energy systems.
Integration of intermittent renewable energy
The Renewable Energy Forecasting Software Market has been driven by increasing integration of intermittent renewable energy sources such as wind and solar into power systems. Variability in generation output has heightened the need for accurate forecasting to maintain grid stability and optimize dispatch planning. Utilities and grid operators have relied on forecasting software to improve scheduling accuracy and reduce imbalance costs. Growing renewable penetration, coupled with decarbonization mandates, has reinforced sustained demand for advanced forecasting solutions across power markets.
Dependence on high-quality data
Dependence on high-quality, real-time data has emerged as a key restraint in renewable energy forecasting software adoption. Accurate forecasts require extensive historical datasets, real-time meteorological inputs, and reliable sensor infrastructure. Data gaps, inconsistencies, or limited coverage can significantly reduce forecasting accuracy. Integration of diverse data sources adds complexity, increasing implementation challenges and operational costs. These data dependencies can restrict software performance, particularly in regions with underdeveloped monitoring infrastructure.
Advanced AI and NWP solutions
Advanced artificial intelligence and numerical weather prediction (NWP) solutions present significant growth opportunities within the market. AI-driven models enhance forecast accuracy by learning complex patterns across weather and generation data. Integration of high-resolution NWP outputs improves short-term and intraday forecasting precision. Market expansion has been reinforced by increasing computing capabilities and cloud-based deployments. These advancements enable better grid planning, reduced curtailment, and improved renewable asset utilization.
Forecasting errors impacting grid stability
Forecasting errors remain a critical threat, as inaccurate predictions can disrupt grid operations and increase balancing costs. Over- or underestimation of renewable output may lead to inefficient dispatch decisions and system instability. Such errors can undermine operator confidence in forecasting tools and result in financial penalties. As renewable penetration rises, the operational impact of forecasting inaccuracies becomes more pronounced, necessitating continuous model improvement and validation.
The COVID-19 pandemic caused temporary disruptions in renewable forecasting software deployments due to delayed projects and reduced capital spending. However, demand for digital solutions increased as grid operators adapted to volatile demand patterns. Remote operations and cloud-based forecasting platforms gained traction during the pandemic. Post-pandemic recovery reinforced investment in digital forecasting tools, supporting long-term market growth driven by renewable integration and grid optimization needs.
The very short-term & nowcasting segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The very short-term & nowcasting segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, resulting from its critical role in real-time grid balancing. These solutions provide minute-to-hour forecasts that support dispatch optimization and frequency control. Utilities rely on nowcasting to manage rapid fluctuations in renewable output. High operational relevance and regulatory requirements for real-time accuracy have reinforced dominance of this segment within the forecasting software market.
The software platforms segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the software platforms segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, propelled by increasing adoption of scalable and cloud-based forecasting solutions. Integrated platforms offer advanced analytics, visualization, and interoperability with energy management systems. Growth has been reinforced by demand for centralized forecasting across multi-asset portfolios. Continuous software innovation and subscription-based delivery models further accelerate platform adoption across utilities and renewable operators.
During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share, supported by its high penetration of wind and solar power assets. Fueled by stringent grid balancing requirements and advanced energy trading markets, utilities increasingly rely on accurate forecasting solutions. Moreover, strong regulatory mandates for renewable integration, combined with early adoption of AI-driven forecasting platforms and mature digital infrastructure, continue to reinforce Europe's leading market position.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, driven by rapid expansion of renewable energy capacity and grid modernization initiatives. Spurred by large-scale solar and wind installations in China, India, and Southeast Asia, demand for advanced forecasting software is rising. In addition, increasing investments in smart grids, energy management systems, and real-time analytics are collectively accelerating regional market growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Renewable Energy Forecasting Software Market include IBM Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Siemens AG, ABB Ltd, General Electric Company, Vaisala Oyj, Schneider Electric SE, DNV Group AS, Utopus Insights, Enverus, AutoGrid Systems, Inc., ENGIE Digital, UL Solutions Inc., Meteomatics AG, and SAP SE.
In December 2025, IBM expanded its Renewables Forecasting platform by incorporating enhanced analytics and IoT sensor integration for improved wind and solar power production accuracy, enabling utilities and asset owners to generate high-fidelity forecasts that better support grid scheduling and imbalance cost reduction.
In November 2025, UL Solutions strengthened its renewable energy forecasting suite by offering extended forecasting horizons and customized location-specific power predictions for both wind and solar projects, supporting system operators and asset owners with extended week-ahead to multi-week forecasts essential for grid balancing and operational planning.
In August 2025, Enverus reported consistent outperformance of its load, wind, and solar forecasting models against ERCOT and IESO regional system operator benchmarks, demonstrating superior accuracy that supports more reliable trading strategies and grid operations.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.