美国撤销对中国的豁免;个别审查或获批准
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1774036

美国撤销对中国的豁免;个别审查或获批准

US to Cancel China Exemptions; Case Review Likely to be Approved

出版日期: | 出版商: TrendForce | 英文 7 Pages | 商品交期: 最快1-2个工作天内

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简介目录

摘要

美国可能撤销对中国设备技术的豁免。然而,鑑于中国已建立成熟的工艺,预计个别审查对市场的影响有限,并能保持供应链稳定。

重点

  • 美国正在考虑撤销对中国工厂的技术豁免,并选择进行个别审查。
  • 中国工厂大多采用成熟的製造工艺,并专注于非尖端产品,这降低了短期供应风险。
  • 撤销豁免可能会影响产能升级和现有运营,但预计整体供应链稳定性仍将保持可控。
  • 鑑于其产品定位和市场需求,某些关键工厂可能继续获得批准。

目录

第一章:记忆体:中国晶圆厂将实现显着产能规模

  • 中国以外的记忆体供应商产能

第二章:晶圆代工厂:新规聚焦基于成熟节点的消费晶片产品

  • 中国海外晶圆代工厂产能

第三章:TrendForce观点:个别审查案件可能获批,但政策不确定性仍存在

简介目录
Product Code: TRi-0073

Overview

US may cancel China facility technology exemptions; however, with mature processes in place, case-by-case reviews are expected to keep the supply chain stable with limited market impact.

Key Highlights:

  • The US is assessing the cancellation of technology exemptions for its facilities in China, opting for a case-by-case review.
  • Chinese sites mostly use mature manufacturing processes, focusing on non-cutting-edge products that lower immediate supply risks.
  • While the withdrawal of exemptions might affect capacity upgrades and current operations, overall supply chain stability is expected to remain manageable.
  • Certain key facilities, due to their product positioning and market demands, are likely to still secure approval.

Table of Contents

1. Memory: Chinese Fabs Account for Pivotal Scale of Capacity

  • Non-China Memory Suppliers' Capacities Established in China

2. Foundry: Focus of New Restrictions Is on Consumer Chip Products Based on Mature Nodes

  • Non-China Foundries' Capacities Established in China

3. TrendForce's View: Approval Will Be Likely for Individual Review Cases, but Policy Uncertainty Will Persist