市场调查报告书
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1372959
无人机计程车市场 - 2018-2028 年全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会与预测,按载客量、推进类型、航程类型、地区、竞争细分Drone Taxi Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, 2018-2028 Segmented By Passenger Capacity, By Propulsion Type, By Range Type, By Region, Competition |
2022 年,全球无人机计程车市场价值为2,300 万美元,预计在预测期内将强劲成长,到2028 年复合年增长率为9.8%。随着技术的变革和城市的变化,全球无人机计程车市场一直在快速发展。行动出行格局推动其成长。根据最新的可用资料,这个细分市场代表了对交通未来的令人信服的一瞥,并有可能彻底改变城市通勤。在这份全面的市场概述中,我们将探讨定义全球无人机计程车市场的主要趋势、驱动因素、挑战和机会。
近年来,随着城市应对日益严重的交通拥堵和对更高效交通解决方案的需求,无人机计程车(也称为城市空中交通(UAM))的概念引起了广泛关注。无人机计程车代表了一种新颖的城市交通方式,预计在城市环境中提供更快、无拥挤的旅行。这些电动垂直起降 (eVTOL) 车辆有潜力减少通勤时间、缓解交通拥堵并减少碳排放,与全球推动永续交通解决方案的步伐保持一致。有几个关键因素正在推动全球无人机计程车市场的成长。首先,城市地区日益恶化的交通拥堵迫切需要替代交通方式。无人机计程车能够绕过地面拥堵,为应对这项挑战提供了一个有前景的解决方案。它们预计将提供快速的点对点旅行,显着减少通勤时间。
主要市场驱动因素
市场概况 | |
---|---|
预测期 | 2024-2028 |
2022 年市场规模 | 2300万美元 |
2028 年市场规模 | 3999万美元 |
2023-2028 年复合年增长率 | 9.80% |
成长最快的细分市场 | 电的 |
最大的市场 | 北美洲 |
缓解城市拥堵
无人机计程车产业面临无数的监管挑战。最重要的问题之一是将这些自主飞行器整合到现有的空域系统中。世界各地的监管机构需要为传统飞机和无人机计程车之间的空域共享制定明确和统一的指导方针,以确保安全共存。此外,定义稳健的认证流程和安全标准至关重要。当局必须彻底评估无人机计程车技术(包括其自主系统)的可靠性和安全性,以灌输公众信心并确保乘客安全。
安全仍然是无人机计程车市场的首要关注点。这些车辆必须拥有先进的防撞系统以防止事故发生。这需要开发先进的感测器技术和演算法,使无人机能够侦测和绕过障碍物,无论是其他飞机、建筑物或自然障碍物。此外,网路安全是一个重要方面。确保无人机计程车系统免受网路威胁对于保护乘客资料和防止可能危及安全的潜在骇客事件至关重要。
为无人机计程车营运建立必要的基础设施是一项巨大的挑战。这包括建立专用的起飞和降落区、充电或加油站以及维修设施。在城市环境中建造这种基础设施特别复杂,需要在实体和数位基础设施、分区法规和土地使用规划方面进行大量投资。
虽然无人机技术的进步是市场驱动力,但它们也可能带来挑战。快速的技术进步需要不断的更新和维护,而这可能是昂贵的。此外,要在快速发展的技术环境中保持竞争力,需要在研发方面进行大量投资,以跟上竞争对手的步伐,并满足消费者对更安全、更有效率和更永续的无人机计程车选择的需求。
大众认知与接受度:
获得大众对无人机计程车服务的接受和信任是一项持续的挑战。克服对自主航空运输安全性和可靠性的怀疑和忧虑对于市场成长至关重要。这包括全面的教育和宣传活动、透明的安全演示以及成功的试点计划,以展示技术的可行性和安全性。
实现经济可行性是另一个挑战。初始开发和营运成本可能很高,公司可能需要时间才能实现收支平衡并产生利润。定价模型必须在消费者的负担能力和运营商的获利能力之间取得平衡。监管支持和激励措施可以在应对这一挑战方面发挥重要作用。
竞争与市场饱和:
随着无人机计程车市场的发展势头强劲,竞争也加剧。许多公司正在进入这个领域,争夺市场份额。这引发了人们对市场饱和和整合潜力的担忧,因为并非所有参与者都能在拥挤的领域中生存。使他们的产品脱颖而出、确保合作伙伴关係以及有效扩展营运对于在这一竞争格局中取得长期成功至关重要。
主要市场趋势
城市空中交通 (UAM) 整合:
城市空中交通是无人机计程车市场的一个突出趋势。随着城市变得更加拥挤和航空旅行技术的进步,UAM 的目标是在城市环境中提供高效、随选的空中交通。这一趋势不仅涉及无人机计程车的发展,还涉及垂直机场和空中交通管理系统等基础设施的创建,以支援这些服务。随着城市化的不断发展,城市空中交通是缓解交通拥堵和减少旅行时间的一个引人注目的解决方案,这正在推动该行业的大量投资和创新。
自动飞行是无人机计程车市场的主要趋势。先进人工智慧和机器学习技术的发展使无人机计程车能够在最少的人为干预下运作。这一趋势包括整合光达和摄影机等先进感测器,以及用于障碍物检测和防撞的复杂演算法。自主性不仅可以提高安全性,还可以将无人机计程车服务扩展到飞行专业知识有限的地区,从而促进市场成长。
在环境问题和永续发展目标的推动下,向电动和混合动力推进系统的转变是无人机计程车市场的重要趋势。与传统内燃机相比,电动和混合动力无人机计程车产生的排放量较少,碳足迹也较小。随着电池技术和能源效率的进步,这些推进系统变得越来越可行,吸引了具有环保意识的消费者和对清洁交通选择的监管支持。
新兴市场参与者与合作伙伴:
无人机计程车市场正在见证新兴参与者和策略合作伙伴的激增。老牌汽车和科技公司以及新创公司正在进入该市场。这一趋势正在促进无人机计程车技术的创新、竞争和加速发展。无人机计程车公司、基础设施供应商和政府机构之间的合作对于监管支援、基础设施发展和市场扩张也至关重要。
除了客运之外,无人机计程车还在物流和货运等多个领域得到应用。这一趋势反映了无人机计程车技术的多功能性,该技术可用于各种目的,例如医疗用品运送、灾难应变和偏远地区访问。将无人机计程车服务范围扩大到客运之外,预计将推动市场成长和收入多元化。
无人机计程车市场正在全球扩张,各公司在不同地区探索机会。这一趋势是由全球城市面临的日益严峻的城市化和交通挑战所推动的。各国正积极试点无人机计程车服务,并建立监管框架来支持其营运。随着越来越多的地区采用这项技术,市场正在经历指数级成长和多样化。
消费者接受度与整合度:
一个日益增长的趋势是消费者逐渐接受无人机计程车服务。随着越来越多的试点计画和演示证明这些车辆的安全性和可靠性,公众的看法正在积极发展。这种趋势对于市场成长至关重要,因为消费者的接受程度为更广泛的采用铺平了道路。无人机计程车与现有交通网络(包括乘车共享平台和城市规划倡议)的无缝整合也是这一趋势的一部分,使空中交通成为未来城市交通系统不可或缺的组成部分。
细分市场洞察
推进类型分析
在预测期内,全球无人机计程车市场的全电动细分市场收入预计将快速成长。全球无人机计程车产业依推进类型分为混合动力、全电动和其他类型。由于将燃油运输转变为全电动解决方案以减轻全球环境危机的影响的需求增加,预计全电动产业将在预测期内占据主导地位。全电动无人机计程车模型可以提供多种优势,包括高性能、最少的热量产生以及低甚至无空气污染的运输,这将推动该类别的收入发展。
范围类型分析
2021年,城市内产业在全球无人机计程车产业中占据了最大的收入份额。全球无人机计程车市场依范围分为城内和城际部分。 2021 年,城市内类别产生的收入最多。无人机计程车市场参与者的主要动机是在主要大都会区以及城市外部或週边的郊区内开发城内航空旅行服务。此外,对城内无人机计程车的需求不断增长,预计这将有助于减少城市内的旅行时间差距。此外,创新的增加和无人机服务在新兴国家的首次亮相预计将推动该领域的成长。例如,Uber 于 2019 年 6 月 5 日在纽约市首次推出了 Uber 直升机。
区域洞察
由于经济显着增长、对无人机计程车的需求不断增加、城市化进程不断扩大以及人口扩张,北美市场将在2021 年占据最大的收入份额。该地区客运无人机发展的不断增长可能会推动预测期内的市场成长。例如,2020年1月8日,亿航智慧在北美首次公开展示自动驾驶空中计程车。亿航在罗利的北卡罗来纳州公路巡逻设施/航空机库前驾驶亿航216飞行,这是亿航216首次获得美国联邦航空管理局(FAA)的飞行许可。
2021年,亚太市场将占据第二大收入份额。该地区不断增长的人口和日益严重的交通拥堵正在推动对更快交通方式的需求,这可能会促进市场收入成长。此外,政府组织在计程车无人机研发方面活动的增加正在推动市场扩张。例如,2021 年 4 月 4 日,韩国国土基础设施交通部发布了最新版本的城市空中交通 (UAM) 路线图,其中包括商业化雄心。新的路线图文件将市场年表分为三个部分:2025年至2029年、2030年至2034年以及2035年及以后。
2021年,欧洲的收入份额位居第三。各种企业和政府机构正在采用更新的技术,例如全电动和自动驾驶的无人机计程车服务,这正在推动该地区的无人机计程车行业的发展。例如,一些大都市社区已经签署了社区大都市空中交通(UAM)计划,该计划是欧洲智慧城市和社区创新合作伙伴关係(EIP-SCC)的一部分。该计划的目的是开发大都市空中交通的商业潜力。据欧盟航空安全局 (EASA) 称,到 2026 年,无人机计程车和救护车可能会在欧洲空域成为现实。
Global Drone Taxi Market has valued at USD 23 million in 2022 and is anticipated to project robust growth in the forecast period with a CAGR of 9.8% through 2028. The global drone taxi market has been rapidly evolving, with transformative technological advancements and a shifting urban mobility landscape driving its growth. As of the latest available data, this market segment represents a compelling glimpse into the future of transportation, with the potential to revolutionize urban commuting. In this comprehensive market overview, we will explore key trends, drivers, challenges, and opportunities that define the global drone taxi market.
The concept of drone taxis, also known as urban air mobility (UAM), has gained significant attention in recent years as cities grapple with worsening traffic congestion and the need for more efficient transportation solutions. Drone taxis represent a novel approach to urban mobility, offering the promise of faster, congestion-free travel within urban environments. These electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) vehicles have the potential to reduce commuting times, ease traffic congestion, and decrease carbon emissions, aligning with the global push towards sustainable transportation solutions. Several key factors are driving the growth of the global drone taxi market. Firstly, the worsening traffic congestion in urban areas has created a compelling need for alternative modes of transportation. Drone taxis, with their ability to bypass ground-level congestion, offer a promising solution to this challenge. They are envisioned to provide rapid point-to-point travel, significantly reducing commute times.
Key Market Drivers
Market Overview | |
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Forecast Period | 2024-2028 |
Market Size 2022 | USD 23 Million |
Market Size 2028 | USD 39.99 Million |
CAGR 2023-2028 | 9.80% |
Fastest Growing Segment | Electric |
Largest Market | North America |
Urban Congestion Relief
One of the primary drivers propelling the global drone taxi market is the escalating problem of urban traffic congestion. Many cities around the world are grappling with ever-increasing traffic volumes, resulting in longer commute times, decreased productivity, and increased environmental pollution. Drone taxis offer a compelling solution to this issue by taking to the skies. By bypassing ground-level traffic, these electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) vehicles promise faster and more efficient point-to-point travel within urban areas. As cities continue to grow and traditional transportation systems struggle to cope, the demand for drone taxis as a congestion-relief measure is set to surge.
Sustainable Mobility
Sustainability has become a paramount concern in today's world, with a strong focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions and combating climate change. The transportation sector is a significant contributor to emissions, and this has sparked a growing interest in eco-friendly mobility solutions. Drone taxis align with this sustainability drive as they are typically electrically powered, producing zero emissions during flight. This eco-friendly aspect makes them an attractive mode of transportation for environmentally conscious governments, businesses, and consumers alike. As sustainability remains a central theme in transportation discussions, the demand for green, aerial mobility solutions like drone taxis is expected to rise.
Advancements in Technology
The continuous evolution of technology has been a pivotal drive behind the growth of the drone taxi market. Significant advancements in electric propulsion systems, battery technology, and autonomous flight control have made eVTOL vehicles more feasible, reliable, and cost-effective. These technological breakthroughs have improved the performance and safety of drone taxis, making them a practical and competitive mode of transportation. Enhanced battery capabilities, for instance, enable longer flight times, while sophisticated autonomous systems ensure safe and efficient navigation. As technology continues to advance, the capabilities and attractiveness of drone taxis are poised to expand, further boosting market growth.
Increasing Urbanization
The global trend of urbanization, with more people flocking to cities in search of better opportunities, has led to higher population densities in urban areas. As a result, traffic congestion has become a pressing issue in many metropolitan regions. Drone taxis are uniquely positioned to address this challenge. They can efficiently navigate densely populated urban environments, offering a direct and convenient means of transportation within city centers. As urbanization continues to reshape the world's demographics, the demand for efficient urban mobility solutions like drone taxis is set to surge.
Rising Demand for Time Efficiency
In today's fast-paced world, time is an invaluable resource. Commuters and businesses alike are increasingly valuing efficiency in their daily activities. Drone taxis hold the promise of substantial time savings by providing rapid and direct transportation. By circumventing the delays and bottlenecks associated with traditional ground-based transportation, drone taxis cater to the growing demand for time-efficient travel. Whether it's for daily commutes or time-sensitive business engagements, the ability to reach destinations quickly and efficiently is a compelling driver for the adoption of drone taxis.
Government Support and Regulatory Framework
Many governments and regulatory bodies worldwide are actively supporting the development and deployment of drone taxis. They recognize the potential benefits that drone taxis offer, including reduced traffic congestion, improved air quality, and economic growth through technological innovation. Establishing clear and favorable regulatory frameworks and guidelines for drone taxi operations is essential to ensure their safe integration into urban airspace. Many countries are actively working on creating a conducive environment for industry to thrive, including initiatives to streamline certification processes and airspace management.
Increased Investment and Industry Collaboration
The drone taxi market has attracted substantial investment from a wide range of players, including traditional automotive and aerospace giants as well as innovative startups. This influx of capital has accelerated research, development, and deployment efforts, leading to the rapid advancement of eVTOL technology. Additionally, industry collaboration is a significant driver. Vehicle manufacturers, technology companies, aviation experts, and urban planners are joining forces to bring diverse expertise together, driving innovation and addressing the multifaceted technical challenges associated with drone taxis. This collaborative approach not only accelerates market entry but also ensures that the technology matures rapidly, further propelling the drone taxi market forward.
Key Market Challenges
The drone taxi industry faces a myriad of regulatory challenges. One of the foremost issues is the integration of these autonomous aerial vehicles into existing airspace systems. Regulatory bodies worldwide need to establish clear and harmonized guidelines for airspace sharing between conventional aircraft and drone taxis to ensure safe coexistence. Moreover, defining robust certification processes and safety standards is crucial. Authorities must thoroughly evaluate the reliability and safety of drone taxi technologies, including their autonomous systems, to instill public confidence and guarantee passenger safety.
Safety remains a paramount concern in the drone taxi market. These vehicles must possess sophisticated collision avoidance systems to prevent accidents. This entails the development of advanced sensor technologies and algorithms that enable drones to detect and navigate around obstacles, be they other aircraft, buildings, or natural obstacles. Additionally, cybersecurity is a vital aspect. Ensuring the protection of drone taxi systems from cyber threats is essential to safeguard passenger data and prevent potential hacking incidents that could compromise safety.
Establishing the necessary infrastructure for drone taxi operations poses a substantial challenge. This includes the creation of dedicated take-off and landing zones, charging or refueling stations, and maintenance facilities. Building this infrastructure within urban environments is particularly complex, requiring significant investments in physical and digital infrastructure, zoning regulations, and land use planning.
While advancements in drone technology are a market driver, they can also pose challenges. Rapid technological progress necessitates continuous updates and maintenance, which can be expensive. Moreover, staying competitive in a rapidly evolving tech landscape requires substantial investment in research and development to keep pace with competitors and satisfy consumer demands for safer, more efficient, and more sustainable drone taxi options.
Public Perception and Acceptance:
Gaining public acceptance and trust in drone taxi services is an ongoing challenge. Overcoming skepticism and apprehension about the safety and reliability of autonomous aerial transport is crucial for market growth. This involves comprehensive education and awareness campaigns, transparent safety demonstrations, and successful pilot programs to showcase the technology's feasibility and safety.
Achieving economic viability is another challenge. Initial development and operational costs can be high, and it may take time for companies to break even and generate profits. Pricing models must strike a balance between affordability for consumers and profitability for operators. Regulatory support and incentives could play a significant role in addressing this challenge.
Competition and Market Saturation:
As the drone taxi market gains momentum, competition is intensifying. Numerous companies are entering the space, vying for market share. This leads to concerns about market saturation and the potential for consolidation, as not all players may survive in a crowded field. Differentiating their offerings, securing partnerships, and effective scaling operations will be critical for long-term success in this competitive landscape.
Key Market Trends
Urban Air Mobility (UAM) Integration:
Urban Air Mobility is a prominent trend in the drone taxi market. As cities become more congested and air travel technology advances, UAM aims to provide efficient, on-demand aerial transportation within urban environments. This trend involves not only the development of drone taxis but also the creation of infrastructure like vertiports and air traffic management systems to support these services. As urbanization continues, UAM represents a compelling solution to alleviate traffic congestion and reduce travel times, which is driving substantial investment and innovation in the sector.
Autonomous flight is a central trend in the drone taxi market. The development of advanced artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies has enabled drone taxis to operate with minimal human intervention. This trend includes the integration of advanced sensors, such as LiDAR and cameras, and sophisticated algorithms for obstacle detection and collision avoidance. Autonomy not only enhances safety but also allows for the expansion of drone taxi services to areas with limited piloting expertise, contributing to market growth.
The shift towards electric and hybrid propulsion systems is a significant trend in the drone taxi market, driven by environmental concerns and sustainability goals. Electric and hybrid drone taxis produce fewer emissions and have a smaller carbon footprint compared to traditional combustion engines. With advancements in battery technology and energy efficiency, these propulsion systems are becoming increasingly viable, attracting environmentally conscious consumers and regulatory support for cleaner transportation options.
Emerging Market Players and Partnerships:
The drone taxi market is witnessing a proliferation of emerging players and strategic partnerships. Established automotive and technology companies, as well as startups, are entering the market. This trend is fostering innovation, competition, and accelerated development of drone taxi technologies. Partnerships between drone taxi companies, infrastructure providers, and government agencies are also crucial for regulatory support, infrastructure development, and market expansion.
Beyond passenger transportation, drone taxis are finding applications in diverse sectors, including logistics and cargo delivery. This trend reflects the versatility of drone taxi technology, which can be adapted for various purposes, such as medical supply delivery, disaster response, and remote area access. Expanding the scope of drone taxi services beyond passenger transport is expected to drive market growth and revenue diversification.
The drone taxi market is expanding globally, with companies exploring opportunities in different regions. This trend is driven by the increasing urbanization and transportation challenges faced by cities worldwide. Various countries are actively piloting drone taxi services and creating regulatory frameworks to support their operation. As more regions embrace this technology, the market is experiencing exponential growth and diversification.
Consumer Acceptance and Integration:
A growing trend is the gradual acceptance of drone taxi services by consumers. As more pilot programs and demonstrations prove the safety and reliability of these vehicles, public perception is evolving positively. This trend is vital for market growth as consumer acceptance paves the way for broader adoption. The seamless integration of drone taxis into existing transportation networks, including ride-sharing platforms and urban planning initiatives, is also a part of this trend, making aerial mobility an integral component of future urban transportation systems.
Segmental Insights
Propulsion Type Analysis
During the forecast period, the completely electric segment revenue is predicted to grow at a high rate in the worldwide drone taxi market. The worldwide drone taxi industry is classified as hybrid, completely electric, and others based on propulsion type. The completely electric sector is predicted to dominate in terms of revenue share over the forecast period due to increased demand for converting fuel-infused transportation into totally electric solutions to mitigate the impact of the worldwide environmental crisis. Fully electric drone taxi models can offer a variety of advantages, including high performance with minimal heat production and low to no air pollution transportation, which will drive revenue development in this category.
Range Type Analysis
In 2021, the intracity sector accounted for the most revenue share in the worldwide drone taxi industry. The worldwide drone taxi market is divided into intracity, and intercity segments based on range. In 2021, the intracity category generated the most income. The primary motivation for drone taxi market participants has been the development of intracity services for air travel within key metropolitan areas and suburban sites outside or surrounding cities. Furthermore, there is a growing demand for intracity drone taxis, which are projected to help reduce travel time gaps within cities. Furthermore, increased innovation and the debut of drone services in emerging nations are projected to propel this segment's growth. Uber, for example, debuted Uber copter in New York City on June 5, 2019.
Regional Insights
Due to significant economic growth, increasing demand for drone taxis, expanding urbanization, and population expansion, the North America market will account for the biggest revenue share in 2021. Rising passenger drone development in this area is likely to fuel market growth during the forecast period. For example, on January 8, 2020, EHang performed its first public demonstration of an autonomous air taxi in North America. Ehang flew EHang 216 in front of the North Carolina State Highway Patrol facility/aviation hangar in Raleigh, and it was the first time Ehuang 216 got flying permission from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).
In 2021, the Asia Pacific market will account for the second-largest revenue share. The region's growing population and increased traffic congestion are driving up demand for speedier forms of transport, which is likely to boost market revenue growth. Furthermore, increased activities by government organizations in taxi drone research and development are fuelling market expansion. For example, on April 4, 2021, Korea's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport published the most recent edition of its Urban Air Mobility (UAM) roadmap, which now includes commercialization ambitions. The new roadmap paper divides the market chronology into three sections: 2025 to 2029, 2030 to 2034, and 2035 and beyond.
In 2021, Europe had the third-largest revenue share. Various enterprises and government agencies are embracing newer technology, such as completely electric and autonomous drone taxi services, which are propelling the drone taxi industry in this region. Several metropolitan communities, for example, have signed on to the Communities' metropolitan Air Mobility (UAM) Initiative, which is part of the European Innovation Partnership on Smart Cities and Communities (EIP-SCC). The program's purpose is to develop a commercial potential for metropolitan air mobility. According to the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA), drone taxis and ambulances might be a reality in European airspace by 2026.
LIFT Aircraft Inc.
Airbus
Aloft Aviation
Boeing
EHang
Joby Aviation
Karen Airecraft, Inc.
Lilium
Moog Inc.
Opener
In this report, the Global Drone Taxi Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below: