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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1945776
军用飞机市场-全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会及预测(按类型、应用、酬载、地区及竞争格局划分,2021-2031年)Military Aircraft Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Type, By Application, By Payload, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球军用飞机市场预计将从 2025 年的 649.4 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 874.2 亿美元,复合年增长率为 5.08%。
该行业涵盖固定翼和旋翼空中资产的设计、采购和维护,这些资产用于空战、战术性空运和侦察行动。推动这一成长的关键因素包括地缘政治日益不稳定以及各国需要用作战能力更先进的平台取代老旧飞机。此外,不断增加的国防预算,尤其是用于战略制空权和快速部署能力的国防预算,以及无人系统整合等技术变革,都在推动全球范围内的大规模采购项目。
| 市场概览 | |
|---|---|
| 预测期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市场规模:2025年 | 649.4亿美元 |
| 市场规模:2031年 | 874.2亿美元 |
| 复合年增长率:2026-2031年 | 5.08% |
| 成长最快的细分市场 | 货物供应 |
| 最大的市场 | 北美洲 |
同时,市场面临持续的供应链中断等重大障碍,导致主要产业参与者生产延误和成本超支。这些物流挑战通常涉及特殊原材料和复杂零件,扰乱了交付计划,阻碍了国防合约的有效执行。根据航太工业协会(AIA)的数据,2024年美国航太和国防出口总额将达到1,387亿美元,显示儘管面临这些重大的产业挑战,国际需求依然强劲。
全球国防费用和采购预算的成长是军用飞机市场的主要驱动力,使各国能够为各种筹资策略提供资金。随着各国政府将空中优势置于优先地位,这种成长正在推动下一代平台的研发和先进航空电子设备的整合。根据斯德哥尔摩国际和平研究所(SIPRI)于2024年4月发布的《2023年全球军费开支趋势》概况介绍,2023年全球整体将达2.443兆美元,实际成长6.8%。这一成长趋势在各联盟内部也十分明显,北约预计到2024年,将有23个成员国达到联盟规定的国防支出国内生产总值)至少2%的门槛,预计将加剧军费采购力度。
同时,不断升级的地缘政治摩擦和日益增长的区域安全风险迫使各国军队迫切需要对其老旧的飞机机队进行现代化改造和更新换代。东欧和印太地区安全局势的恶化促使各国加速提升空中作战能力,采购多用途战斗机。这些作战需求给主要国防相关企业造成了巨大的订单。例如,洛克希德·马丁公司在其2024年10月发布的“2024年第三季度财务业绩”中报告称,其订单1656.9亿美元,凸显了对F-35等平台的持续需求。因此,日益严峻的威胁评估和机队老化共同确保了该行业的持续成长。
全球军用飞机市场目前正遭受严重的供应链中断,这直接阻碍了其成长前景。问题主要源自于钛、铝等关键原料以及半导体、推进装置等专用零件的严重短缺。这些短缺导致生产严重受阻,迫使原始设备製造商(OEM)延长前置作业时间,并推迟复杂飞机系统的完成。因此,儘管市场需求强劲,订单积压量也创历史新高,但由于无法将这些订单订单为交付产品,导致产生收入受限,并减缓了整个行业的扩张速度。
这些物流障碍对国防和航太业的影响显着且可衡量。 ADS集团报告称,2024年上半年飞机交付将比去年同期下降14%,这一降幅主要归因于持续存在的供应链瓶颈。此次产量下降凸显了低效率的製造营运如何阻碍市场满足世界各国军队迫切的现代化需求。这些中断不仅延缓了关键战术性和战略资产的交付,也推迟了製造商的经济收益,并对国防客户的长期机队规划和作战准备构成挑战。
第六代战斗机计画的研发标誌着战略重心向「系统家族」的转变,该家族将整合卓越的隐身性能、可变迴圈引擎和超强互联技术。主要航太製造商正从概念设计阶段转向生产阶段,例如美国下一代空中优势(NGAD)平台,以取代老旧的第五代战斗机。根据汤森路透2025年3月发表的题为《消息人士称,美国国防部将授予美国空军下一代战斗机合约》的报导,美国国防部正以超过200亿美元的工程和製造开发合约推进该项目。这项巨额投资凸显了美国对打造能够突破强大防空系统的装备的重视。
同时,有人-无人战术(MUM-T)能力的整合正在改变舰队作战方式,它将有人驾驶战斗机与自主的「忠诚僚机」相结合,打造「经济实惠的大规模作战力量」。这项发展使得无人部队能够在有人飞行员的指挥下执行高风险的电子战和攻击任务,显着扩展了感测器侦测范围,同时避免人员伤亡。根据2025年6月发表的报导《国防部2026财年预算提案累计超过40亿美元的下一代空军战斗机计画拨款》的文章,美国空军在其2026财年预算中为联合战斗机项目拨款8.04亿美元。这笔拨款将有助于加速自主系统的研发,旨在弥补在与近邻对手潜在衝突中的数量劣势。
The Global Military Aircraft Market is projected to expand from USD 64.94 Billion in 2025 to USD 87.42 Billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 5.08%. This sector encompasses the engineering, acquisition, and maintenance of both fixed-wing and rotary-wing aviation assets tailored for aerial combat, tactical airlift, and surveillance operations. Key factors propelling this growth include escalating geopolitical instability and the imperative for nations to upgrade outdated fleets with operationally advanced platforms. Furthermore, increasing defense budgets dedicated to strategic air dominance and rapid deployment capabilities are driving substantial procurement initiatives worldwide, distinct from technological shifts such as the integration of unmanned systems.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 64.94 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 87.42 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 5.08% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Cargo Supply |
| Largest Market | North America |
Conversely, the market confronts a major obstacle in the form of enduring supply chain interruptions, which lead to manufacturing delays and cost overruns for leading industry players. These logistical hurdles, frequently involving specialized raw materials and intricate components, disrupt delivery timelines and impede the effective execution of defense contracts. Data from the Aerospace Industries Association indicates that in 2024, United States aerospace and defense exports achieved a total value of $138.7 billion, demonstrating the persistent strength of international demand even amidst these significant industrial difficulties.
Market Driver
Increasing global defense spending and military procurement budgets serve as the principal engine for the military aircraft market, allowing countries to finance extensive acquisition strategies. This fiscal expansion facilitates the creation of next-generation platforms and the incorporation of sophisticated avionics as governments place a premium on air superiority. According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), April 2024, in the 'Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2023' Fact Sheet, total global military spending hit $2443 billion in 2023, marking a real-term rise of 6.8 percent. This upward trend is evident within alliances; NATO projected that in 2024, 23 member states would satisfy the alliance's benchmark of investing at least 2 percent of their Gross Domestic Product in defense, thereby reinforcing procurement efforts.
Concurrently, intensifying geopolitical frictions and regional security risks are compelling armed forces to hasten the modernization and replacement of aging aircraft inventories. As security conditions worsen in Eastern Europe and the Indo-Pacific, nations are rushing to bolster their aerial combat capabilities by acquiring multi-role fighters. This operational necessity has resulted in substantial backlogs for major defense contractors. For instance, Lockheed Martin reported a backlog of $165.69 billion in its 'Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results' released in October 2024, highlighting the enduring demand for platforms like the F-35. As a result, the combination of heightened threat assessments and fleet obsolescence guarantees a continued growth trajectory for the industry.
Market Challenge
The Global Military Aircraft Market is currently struggling with critical supply chain disruptions that directly inhibit its growth prospects. This issue largely stems from severe shortages of essential raw materials, including titanium and aluminum, as well as a lack of specialized components such as semiconductors and propulsion units. These deficits cause significant bottlenecks in production, compelling original equipment manufacturers to lengthen lead times and postpone the finalization of complex aerial systems. Consequently, even with strong market demand and record-high order backlogs, the inability to transform these orders into delivered assets limits revenue generation and retards the overall expansion of the sector.
The consequences of these logistical barriers are substantial and measurable across the wider defense and aerospace industrial landscape. According to ADS Group, in 2024, aircraft deliveries fell by 14 percent during the first half of the year relative to the same timeframe in 2023, a decline primarily blamed on these enduring supply chain limitations. This drop in production highlights how manufacturing inefficiencies are hindering the market's ability to satisfy the pressing modernization needs of global armed forces. By delaying the transfer of crucial tactical and strategic assets, these disruptions not only postpone financial gains for manufacturers but also create difficulties for the long-term fleet planning and operational readiness of defense clients.
Market Trends
The advancement of Sixth-Generation Fighter Aircraft Programs represents a strategic shift toward a "family of systems" that incorporates superior stealth, variable-cycle engines, and hyper-connectivity. Leading aerospace manufacturers are moving from conceptual phases to production for platforms such as the U.S. Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD), aiming to succeed aging fifth-generation fleets. As reported by Thomson Reuters, March 2025, in the 'Pentagon set to award US Air Force's next-generation fighter jet contract, sources say' article, the U.S. Department of Defense is furthering this effort with an engineering and manufacturing development contract worth over $20 billion. This substantial investment highlights the emphasis on creating assets designed to breach heavily defended anti-access environments.
Simultaneously, the integration of Manned-Unmanned Teaming (MUM-T) capabilities is reshaping fleet operations by coupling piloted fighters with autonomous "loyal wingmen" to create affordable mass. This development enables unmanned units to conduct high-risk electronic warfare and strike missions under the direction of human pilots, vastly extending sensor range without endangering personnel. According to DefenseScoop, June 2025, in the 'Pentagon's 2026 budget plan includes more than $4B for next-generation Air Force fighter jets' article, the U.S. Air Force designated $804 million for the Collaborative Combat Aircraft program within its fiscal 2026 budget. This allocation facilitates the accelerated production of autonomous systems intended to offset numerical disparities in potential conflicts with near-peer adversaries.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Military Aircraft Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Military Aircraft Market.
Global Military Aircraft Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: