自主最后一公里配送市场－全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会及预测（依平台、应用、酬载、地区及竞争格局划分，2021-2031年）

全球自主最后一公里配送市场预计将从 2025 年的 15.3 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 51.8 亿美元，复合年增长率为 22.54%。

该产业利用无人机和自主地面机器人将小包裹从区域配送中心运送至终端消费者。市场成长的主要驱动力是快速发展的电子商务产业，该产业对快速配送的需求日益增长，以及缓解物流营运中劳动力短缺的迫切需求。根据国际机器人联合会的数据，到2024年，运输和物流业将采购102,900商用服务机器人，占全球部署量的一半以上。

然而，监管的不一致是该市场扩张的一大障碍。不同司法管辖区的法律法规各异，加上公共区域自动驾驶机器运作的严格安全标准，严重阻碍了物流业者的扩充性。因此，企业必须应对复杂的合规要求，这个过程往往会延缓商业化进程，并限制自动驾驶配送网路的地理覆盖范围。

市场驱动因素

全球电子商务和线上零售的蓬勃发展是推动「最后一公里」自主配送市场的主要动力。随着消费者越来越依赖数位平台购买必需品并追求即时送达，物流网路面临巨大的压力，亟需采用扩充性的自主解决方案，以高效处理高吞吐量的包裹。主要产业参与者所取得的里程碑式成就充分印证了这种需求主导的成长。例如，2025年10月，《富比士》报道称，营运2,700台机器人的Starship Technologies公司已在全球范围内完成了超过900万次自主配送，凸显了机器人车队在支持蓬勃发展的线上零售和食品配送行业方面的重要性。

同时，支持自动驾驶技术发展的法规结构正在有效消除商业性规模化的障碍。各国政府正从试点阶段转向制定统一的安全通讯协定和营运许可的全面立法，从而助力企业拓展企业发展。无人机物流领域取得了显着的监管进展，根据《中国日报》2025年4月报道，美团已成为中国首家全国性低空物流营运商。这种向支持性法律环境的转变正在加速市场普及，Zipline在2025年完成了145万次商业配送，这体现了受监管的自动驾驶网路日益增长的可行性，数据来自《机器人报告》。

市场挑战

全球自动驾驶最后一公里配送市场成长的主要障碍仍然是监管碎片化，这从根本上阻碍了扩充性物流所需的标准化。营运商并非在统一的框架下运营，而是面临地方政府、州和国家层面的碎片化监管体系，不同司法管辖区的安全标准和营运权限差异显着。这种法律体系的差异迫使企业针对特定司法管辖区定制飞机配置和软体设置，从而有效地抵消了大规模盈利部署所需的规模经济效益。因此，高昂的合规成本和法规风险抑制了对跨区域和跨境网路的投资。

这种监管摩擦阻碍了技术上具备广泛应用潜力的产业发展。根据三菱重工2024年度产业报告，自动驾驶汽车和无人机的普及率预计将在五年内达到76%，显示产业需求庞大，但目前却受到这些管治障碍的限制。由于合规资源被用于应对相互衝突的法规，而非拓展服务范围，这些交付系统的商业性化应用远远落后于技术能力，导致相当一部分市场需求无法满足。

市场趋势

大型零售商与机器人公司之间的策略试点合作正从实验阶段迈向积极的商业推广，从而提升了都市区的市场密度。大型零售集团正越来越多地将自主系统直接融入其供应链，以实现大范围的快速、无接触配送，验证了该技术的营运可行性。零售商利用其现有的机器人网路克服传统物流的延误，大规模扩张正是这一趋势的例证。根据《物联网世界今日》（IoT World Today，2025年6月）报道，沃尔玛将在多个州的100多家门市推广无人机配送，这将大幅提升其营运规模，并标誌着无人机配送向全国标准化迈出了决定性的一步。

同时，机器人即服务 (RaaS) 订阅模式的采用降低了物流业者的进入门槛，并正在重塑市场的财务结构。这种模式使企业能够以营运成本而非巨额前期投资部署自动驾驶车队，从而柔软性根据不断变化的配送量动态扩展机器人运作规模。因此，先前因成本问题而被排除在外的中小企业 (SME) 也开始加速采用自动化技术。根据国际机器人联合会 (IFR) 发布的《2025 年世界机器人服务机器人报告》，预计到 2024 年，交通运输和物流行业 RaaS 模式的年增长率将达到 42%，凸显了向灵活消费策略的快速转变。

目录

第一章概述

第二章调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章：客户评价

第五章 全球自主最后一公里配送市场展望

• 市场规模及预测
  • 按金额
• 市占率及预测
  • 依平台划分（空中配送无人机（货运无人机、配送无人机）、地面配送无人机（配送机器人、自动驾驶货车/卡车））
  • 按应用领域（物流/运输、医疗/製药、零售/食品）
  • 依载重（小于 5 公斤、5-10 公斤、大于 10 公斤）
  • 按地区
  • 按公司（2025 年）
• 市场地图

6. 北美自动驾驶最后一公里外送市场展望

• 市场规模及预测
• 市占率及预测
• 北美洲：国家分析
  • 我们
  • 加拿大
  • 墨西哥

7. 欧洲自动驾驶最后一公里外送市场展望

• 市场规模及预测
• 市占率及预测
• 欧洲：国家分析
  • 德国
  • 法国
  • 英国
  • 义大利
  • 西班牙

8. 亚太地区自主末端配送市场展望

• 市场规模及预测
• 市占率及预测
• 亚太地区：国家分析
  • 中国
  • 印度
  • 日本
  • 韩国
  • 澳洲

9. 中东和非洲自动驾驶最后一公里外送市场展望

• 市场规模及预测
• 市占率及预测
• 中东和非洲：国家分析
  • 沙乌地阿拉伯
  • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
  • 南非

10. 南美洲自动驾驶最后一公里外送市场展望

• 市场规模及预测
• 市占率及预测
• 南美洲：国家分析
  • 巴西
  • 哥伦比亚
  • 阿根廷

第十一章 市场动态

• 司机
• 任务

第十二章 市场趋势与发展

• 併购
• 产品发布
• 最新进展

第十三章 全球自主最后一公里配送市场：SWOT分析

第十四章：波特五力分析

• 产业竞争
• 新进入者的可能性
• 供应商电力
• 顾客权力
• 替代品的威胁

第十五章 竞争格局

• Starship Technologies
• Drone Delivery Canada Corp.
• Flytrex Inc.
• Amazon, Inc.
• Kiwibot
• Nuro, Inc.
• United Parcel Service
• Wing Aviation LLC
• Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.
• Matternet, Inc

第十六章 策略建议

第十七章：关于研究公司及免责声明

The Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market is projected to expand from USD 1.53 Billion in 2025 to USD 5.18 Billion by 2031, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 22.54%. This industry involves the use of unmanned aerial vehicles and autonomous ground robots to shuttle parcels from local distribution centers to the end consumer. Market growth is primarily fueled by the booming electronic commerce sector, which demands rapid fulfillment, and the critical necessity to mitigate labor shortages within logistics operations. Data from the International Federation of Robotics indicates that in 2024, the transportation and logistics sector purchased 102,900 professional service robots, accounting for more than half of all such global deployments.

However, the expansion of this market encounters a major obstacle in the form of regulatory inconsistency. Variations in laws across different jurisdictions, combined with strict safety standards for operating autonomous machinery in public areas, create high barriers to scalability for logistics providers. Consequently, companies are required to navigate intricate compliance mandates, a process that frequently postpones commercial launches and restricts the geographic boundaries of these automated delivery networks.

Market Driver

The surging volume of global e-commerce and online retail acts as the primary engine driving the autonomous last mile delivery market. As consumers increasingly pivot toward digital platforms for essential items and demand immediate delivery, logistics networks face immense pressure to implement scalable autonomous solutions capable of managing high parcel throughput efficiently. This demand-oriented growth is evident in the milestones reached by major industry participants; for instance, Forbes reported in October 2025 that Starship Technologies-operating a fleet of 2,700 robots-surpassed 9 million autonomous deliveries worldwide, underscoring the vital function of robotic fleets in supporting the fast-growing online retail and food delivery industries.

Concurrently, the establishment of supportive regulatory frameworks for autonomous mobility is effectively removing hurdles to commercial scalability. Governments are advancing from experimental pilot schemes to enacting comprehensive legislation that harmonizes safety protocols and operational permits, thereby allowing businesses to broaden their operational footprints. A notable regulatory advancement occurred in the drone logistics space, as highlighted by China Daily in April 2025, when Meituan received the nation's first operating license for nationwide low-altitude logistics. This transition toward a supportive legal landscape is hastening market adoption, evidenced by The Robot Report's 2025 data showing Zipline completed 1.45 million commercial deliveries, proving the increasing feasibility of regulated autonomous networks.

Market Challenge

Regulatory inconsistency remains a primary barrier to the growth of the Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, fundamentally hindering the standardization needed for logistics scalability. Rather than operating under a unified framework, providers encounter a fragmented array of local, state, and national regulations where safety standards and operational rights differ significantly across jurisdictions. This legislative disparity compels companies to tailor fleet configurations and software settings for specific municipalities, effectively eroding the economies of scale required for profitable mass deployment. As a result, the exorbitant costs associated with compliance and the risks of legal violations discourage investment in multi-regional or cross-border networks.

This legislative friction suppresses an industry that is otherwise technologically prepared for widespread adoption. The MHI Annual Industry Report noted in 2024 that the uptake of autonomous vehicles and drones is expected to hit 76% within five years, signaling a vast industrial demand currently constrained by these governance obstacles. Since resources for compliance are consumed by navigating conflicting regulations rather than extending service territories, the commercial implementation of these delivery systems trails significantly behind their technological capabilities, leaving a considerable portion of market demand unmet.

Market Trends

Strategic pilot partnerships between major retailers and robotics companies are evolving from experimental stages into aggressive commercial expansion, increasing market density in urban areas. Large retail groups are increasingly embedding autonomous systems directly into their supply chains to provide rapid, contactless fulfillment across wider regions, confirming the operational feasibility of the technology. This trend is illustrated by significant expansion efforts where retailers utilize established robotics networks to overcome traditional logistics delays; according to IoT World Today in June 2025, Walmart dramatically scaled its operations by expanding drone delivery to over 100 additional stores across several states, marking a decisive shift toward standardized national coverage.

Simultaneously, the adoption of Robot-as-a-Service (RaaS) subscription models is transforming the market's financial structure by reducing entry barriers for logistics providers. This approach enables organizations to deploy autonomous fleets using operational expenditure instead of heavy upfront capital investment, granting them the flexibility to adjust robot capacity dynamically based on shifting delivery volumes. Consequently, this model is hastening automation adoption among small and medium-sized enterprises that were previously excluded by cost. The International Federation of Robotics reported in its 'World Robotics 2025 Service Robots' publication that the RaaS model within the transportation and logistics sector saw a 42% year-over-year growth rate in 2024, emphasizing the rapid shift toward flexible consumption strategies.

Key Market Players

• Starship Technologies
• Drone Delivery Canada Corp.
• Flytrex Inc.
• Amazon, Inc.
• Kiwibot
• Nuro, Inc.
• United Parcel Service
• Wing Aviation LLC
• Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.
• Matternet, Inc

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By Platform

• Aerial Delivery Drones (Cargo Drone, Delivery Drone)
• Ground Delivery Drones (Delivery Bots, Autonomous/ Self-Driving Vans & Trucks)

Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By Application

• Logistics & Transportation
• Healthcare & Pharmaceutical
• Retail & Food

Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By Payload Weight

• Less than 5 Kilograms
• 5-10 Kilograms
• More than 10 Kilograms

Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By Region

• North America
  • United States
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• Europe
  • France
  • United Kingdom
  • Italy
  • Germany
  • Spain
• Asia Pacific
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • Australia
  • South Korea
• South America
  • Brazil
  • Argentina
  • Colombia
• Middle East & Africa
  • South Africa
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

• Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

• 1.1. Market Definition
• 1.2. Scope of the Market
  • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
  • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
  • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

• 2.1. Objective of the Study
• 2.2. Baseline Methodology
• 2.3. Key Industry Partners
• 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
• 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
• 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
• 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

• 3.1. Overview of the Market
• 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
• 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
• 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
• 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook

• 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
  • 5.1.1. By Value
• 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
  • 5.2.1. By Platform (Aerial Delivery Drones (Cargo Drone, Delivery Drone), Ground Delivery Drones (Delivery Bots, Autonomous/ Self-Driving Vans & Trucks))
  • 5.2.2. By Application (Logistics & Transportation, Healthcare & Pharmaceutical, Retail & Food)
  • 5.2.3. By Payload Weight (Less than 5 Kilograms, 5-10 Kilograms, More than 10 Kilograms)
  • 5.2.4. By Region
  • 5.2.5. By Company (2025)
• 5.3. Market Map

6. North America Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook

• 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
  • 6.1.1. By Value
• 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
  • 6.2.1. By Platform
  • 6.2.2. By Application
  • 6.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 6.2.4. By Country
• 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
  • 6.3.1. United States Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
    • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 6.3.1.2.1. By Platform
      • 6.3.1.2.2. By Application
      • 6.3.1.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 6.3.2. Canada Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
    • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 6.3.2.2.1. By Platform
      • 6.3.2.2.2. By Application
      • 6.3.2.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 6.3.3. Mexico Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
    • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 6.3.3.2.1. By Platform
      • 6.3.3.2.2. By Application
      • 6.3.3.2.3. By Payload Weight

7. Europe Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook

• 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
  • 7.1.1. By Value
• 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
  • 7.2.1. By Platform
  • 7.2.2. By Application
  • 7.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 7.2.4. By Country
• 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
  • 7.3.1. Germany Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
    • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 7.3.1.2.1. By Platform
      • 7.3.1.2.2. By Application
      • 7.3.1.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 7.3.2. France Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
    • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 7.3.2.2.1. By Platform
      • 7.3.2.2.2. By Application
      • 7.3.2.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 7.3.3. United Kingdom Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
    • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 7.3.3.2.1. By Platform
      • 7.3.3.2.2. By Application
      • 7.3.3.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 7.3.4. Italy Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
    • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 7.3.4.2.1. By Platform
      • 7.3.4.2.2. By Application
      • 7.3.4.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 7.3.5. Spain Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
    • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 7.3.5.2.1. By Platform
      • 7.3.5.2.2. By Application
      • 7.3.5.2.3. By Payload Weight

8. Asia Pacific Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook

• 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
  • 8.1.1. By Value
• 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
  • 8.2.1. By Platform
  • 8.2.2. By Application
  • 8.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 8.2.4. By Country
• 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
  • 8.3.1. China Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
    • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 8.3.1.2.1. By Platform
      • 8.3.1.2.2. By Application
      • 8.3.1.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 8.3.2. India Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
    • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 8.3.2.2.1. By Platform
      • 8.3.2.2.2. By Application
      • 8.3.2.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 8.3.3. Japan Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
    • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 8.3.3.2.1. By Platform
      • 8.3.3.2.2. By Application
      • 8.3.3.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 8.3.4. South Korea Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
    • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 8.3.4.2.1. By Platform
      • 8.3.4.2.2. By Application
      • 8.3.4.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 8.3.5. Australia Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
    • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 8.3.5.2.1. By Platform
      • 8.3.5.2.2. By Application
      • 8.3.5.2.3. By Payload Weight

9. Middle East & Africa Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook

• 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
  • 9.1.1. By Value
• 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
  • 9.2.1. By Platform
  • 9.2.2. By Application
  • 9.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 9.2.4. By Country
• 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
  • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
    • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 9.3.1.2.1. By Platform
      • 9.3.1.2.2. By Application
      • 9.3.1.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 9.3.2. UAE Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
    • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 9.3.2.2.1. By Platform
      • 9.3.2.2.2. By Application
      • 9.3.2.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 9.3.3. South Africa Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
    • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 9.3.3.2.1. By Platform
      • 9.3.3.2.2. By Application
      • 9.3.3.2.3. By Payload Weight

10. South America Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook

• 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
  • 10.1.1. By Value
• 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
  • 10.2.1. By Platform
  • 10.2.2. By Application
  • 10.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 10.2.4. By Country
• 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
  • 10.3.1. Brazil Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
    • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 10.3.1.2.1. By Platform
      • 10.3.1.2.2. By Application
      • 10.3.1.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 10.3.2. Colombia Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
    • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 10.3.2.2.1. By Platform
      • 10.3.2.2.2. By Application
      • 10.3.2.2.3. By Payload Weight
  • 10.3.3. Argentina Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook
    • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
      • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
    • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
      • 10.3.3.2.1. By Platform
      • 10.3.3.2.2. By Application
      • 10.3.3.2.3. By Payload Weight

11. Market Dynamics

• 11.1. Drivers
• 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

• 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
• 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
• 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

• 14.1. Competition in the Industry
• 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
• 14.3. Power of Suppliers
• 14.4. Power of Customers
• 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

• 15.1. Starship Technologies
  • 15.1.1. Business Overview
  • 15.1.2. Products & Services
  • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
  • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
  • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
• 15.2. Drone Delivery Canada Corp.
• 15.3. Flytrex Inc.
• 15.4. Amazon, Inc.
• 15.5. Kiwibot
• 15.6. Nuro, Inc.
• 15.7. United Parcel Service
• 15.8. Wing Aviation LLC
• 15.9. Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.
• 15.10. Matternet, Inc

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer