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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1965393

炼乳市场－全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会和预测：按产品类型、包装类型、销售管道、地区和竞争格局划分，2021-2031年

Condensed Milk Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Product Type, By Packaging Type, By Sales Channel, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 182 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

全球炼乳市场预计将从 2025 年的 41.1 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 54.5 亿美元，复合年增长率为 4.82%。

炼乳是一种乳製品，通过去除牛奶中的水分使其浓缩而成，通常会添加糖以确保其浓稠的质地和糖果甜点期。该市场的成长主要得益于其较长的保质期，这在低温运输设施不完善的地区尤其重要。此外，炼乳在烘焙和糖果行业中作为粘合剂和甜味剂的广泛应用也推动了市场成长。欧洲牛奶市场观察站的报告显示，2024年1月至9月，欧盟炼乳产量增加了8.5%，凸显了市场对这种稳定原料的持续需求。

市场概览
预测期 2027-2031
市场规模：2025年 41.1亿美元
市场规模：2031年 54.5亿美元
复合年增长率：2026-2031年 4.82%
成长最快的细分市场 非乳製品
最大的市场 北美洲

然而，由于消费者健康意识的转变，市场面临许多挑战。加糖炼乳通常含糖量高，这可能会引起注重健康的消费者的反感，并阻碍市场成长。随着消费者越来越倾向于植物来源和低热量替代品，以及在营养健康日益受到重视的环境下，传统高糖乳製品的需求面临明显的挑战。

市场驱动因素

炼乳市场成长的主要驱动力是糖果甜点和烘焙行业需求的不断增长。这些产业对炼乳的需求日益增长，将其作为蛋糕和软糖等甜点的重要原料，因为它能延长保质期、提升甜度和改善口感。这种行业依赖性推动了大规模的跨境贸易，製造商进口高品质的浓缩乳以满足大规模的加工需求并缓解原料奶短缺。 Dairynews.today 在 2025 年 2 月的报道反映了工业需求的激增，报告称俄罗斯 2024 年炼乳、奶粉和奶油的进口量增长了 26.5%，达到 13.21 万吨。这凸显了这些用途广泛的原料在食品加工产业的重要性。

此外，现代零售和电子商务平台的蓬勃发展显着拓宽了商业买家和消费者的市场准入管道。领先的乳製品公司正利用其产品较长的保质期，积极拓展全球市场，进军线上商城和国际超级市场，从而有效开拓新市场。例如，2024年11月，Vinamilk公布其前三个季度的出口收入成长了15.7%，这主要得益于其旗舰产品（如甜炼乳）在海外市场的成功。如此大规模的营运需要巨额资金支持。 2025年2月，FrieslandCampina公布其2024年全年营收达129亿欧元，充分展现了全球乳製品分销市场的巨大经济规模。

市场挑战

在全球健康意识日益增强的背景下，加糖炼乳固有的高糖含量成为其市场扩张的主要障碍。这种依赖添加糖来维持口感和延长保质期的产品，与人们日益增长的血糖值控制和卡路里摄入减少的趋势背道而驰。随着消费者越来越关注营养标籤，传统炼乳逐渐被视为偶尔的偏好而非主食，这限制了其在註重健康的家庭中的普及，并抑制了健康理念根深蒂固的发达市场的销售量增长。

数据支持消费行为的这种转变，以及由此给含糖乳製品带来的压力。国际食品资讯理事会（IFIC）的数据显示，到2024年，66%的消费者将主动限製糖的摄取量，较前一年显着成长。这种对添加甜味剂的普遍规避限制了炼乳市场拓展其用户群（除糖果甜点用途外）的能力，也给那些系统性地减少高糖食品摄取的消费者群体带来了销售量压力。

市场趋势

随着製造商不再满足于提供基础甜味剂产品，而是致力于满足更高端的食品需求，整个产业正朝着高级产品和手工产品转型。这一趋势包括为注重纯度和口感的精品咖啡文化以及国际市场开发高品质、受监管的浓缩液。各大品牌正在提高生产标准，以满足已开发地区严格的品管标准，从而提升其产品的地位。例如，《投资者》杂誌在2025年1月报道称，Vinamilk在2024年海外市场的营收年增了12.6%。这一成长动能主要归功于该公司凭藉其炼乳产品成功进军监管严格的欧洲市场。

同时，包装技术的创新正透过便利的挤压管和有吸嘴的包装袋的普及，改变着使用者体验。这些灵活的包装形式克服了传统金属罐的局限性，实现了精确的容量控制、更高的卫生标准和可重复密封性。此外，衬袋纸盒解决方案也助力餐饮企业减少废弃物。根据SIG于2025年2月发布的《2024年度报告》，该公司已获得大量带有吸嘴包装袋和衬袋纸盒包装系统的新契约。这反映出，与硬质包装相比，工业界和消费者对这些多功能包装解决方案有着强烈的偏好。

目录

第一章概述

第二章：调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章：客户心声

第五章：全球炼乳市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
    • 按金额
  • 市占率及预测
    • 依产品类型（乳製品、非乳製品）
    • 包装类型（罐装、管装、瓶装）
    • 销售管道（大型超级市场/超级市场、便利商店、专卖店、线上、其他）
    • 按地区
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市场地图

第六章：北美炼乳市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 北美洲：国别分析
    • 我们
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第七章：欧洲炼乳市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 欧洲：国别分析
    • 德国
    • 法国
    • 英国
    • 义大利
    • 西班牙

第八章：亚太地区炼乳市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 亚太地区：国别分析
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韩国
    • 澳洲

第九章：中东和非洲炼乳市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 中东与非洲：国别分析
    • 沙乌地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
    • 南非

第十章：南美洲炼乳市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 南美洲：国别分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥伦比亚
    • 阿根廷

第十一章 市场动态

  • 促进因素
  • 任务

第十二章 市场趋势与发展

  • 併购
  • 产品发布
  • 近期趋势

第十三章：全球炼乳市场：SWOT分析

第十四章：波特五力分析

  • 产业竞争
  • 新进入者的潜力
  • 供应商的议价能力
  • 顾客权力
  • 替代品的威胁

第十五章 竞争格局

  • Nestle SA
  • Santini Foods, Inc.
  • Eagle Family Foods Group LLC
  • Arla Foods amba
  • Hochwald Foods GmbH
  • F&N Dairies（Thailand）Limited
  • Morinaga Milk Industry Co. Ltd
  • Royal Friesland Campina NV
  • Magnolia Inc
  • Borden Dairy Company

第十六章 策略建议

第十七章：关于研究公司及免责声明

简介目录
Product Code: 26550

The Global Condensed Milk Market is projected to expand from USD 4.11 Billion in 2025 to USD 5.45 Billion by 2031, registering a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.82 percent. Condensed milk is characterized as a concentrated dairy item produced by removing water from cow's milk, often fortified with sugar to achieve a thick consistency and ensure preservation. The market is propelled by the product's long shelf life, which is essential for regions lacking robust cold chain infrastructure, and its widespread use as a binding agent and sweetener in the bakery and confectionery sectors. Validating this demand, the European Milk Market Observatory reported an 8.5 percent increase in European Union condensed milk production during the first nine months of 2024, highlighting the enduring need for this stable ingredient.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 4.11 Billion
Market Size 2031USD 5.45 Billion
CAGR 2026-20314.82%
Fastest Growing SegmentNon-Dairy
Largest MarketNorth America

However, the market confronts a notable obstacle due to shifting consumer health preferences. The substantial sugar content typical of sweetened condensed milk creates friction with health-conscious demographics, potentially hindering market growth. As consumers increasingly favor plant-based or low-calorie substitutes, the demand for traditional high-sugar dairy products faces distinct challenges in an environment prioritizing nutritional wellness.

Market Driver

A primary engine for growth in the condensed milk market is the escalating demand from the confectionery and bakery industries, where the ingredient is essential for improving shelf stability, sweetness, and texture in desserts like cakes and fudges. This industrial reliance fuels substantial cross-border trade, as manufacturers import high-quality dairy concentrates to satisfy large-scale processing requirements and mitigate fresh milk shortages. Reflecting this intense industrial appetite, Dairynews.today reported in February 2025 that Russian imports of condensed and dry milk and cream surged by 26.5 percent to reach 132,100 tons in 2024, underscoring the critical role these versatile ingredients play in the food processing sector.

Furthermore, the growth of modern retail and e-commerce platforms is significantly boosting market accessibility for both commercial buyers and household consumers. Major dairy companies are aggressively extending their global reach into online marketplaces and international supermarkets, leveraging the shelf-stable nature of the product to enter new regions effectively. For instance, Vinamilk reported in November 2024 a 15.7 percent rise in export revenue for the first three quarters, driven by the success of key items like sweetened condensed milk abroad. Supporting these vast operations requires massive financial scale; FrieslandCampina noted in February 2025 that it generated 12.9 billion euros in revenue for the full year 2024, demonstrating the economic magnitude of global dairy distribution.

Market Challenge

The significant sugar levels inherent in sweetened condensed milk pose a major hurdle to market expansion as global health priorities transform. Relying on added sugar for texture and preservation, the product stands in contrast to the growing trend of managing blood glucose and reducing caloric intake. As shoppers become more diligent about reading nutritional labels, traditional condensed milk is increasingly viewed as an occasional treat rather than a pantry staple, limiting its adoption in health-focused households and curbing volume growth in developed markets where wellness trends are deeply rooted.

Data supports this shift in consumer behavior and the resulting pressure on sugary dairy items. According to the International Food Information Council, 66 percent of consumers in 2024 stated they were actively limiting their sugar consumption, a notable increase from the previous year. This widespread avoidance of added sweeteners restricts the condensed milk market's ability to broaden its user base beyond confectionery uses, creating headwinds in maintaining sales volumes among demographics that are systematically eliminating high-sugar ingredients from their diets.

Market Trends

The industry is experiencing a shift toward premium and artisanal products, as manufacturers evolve beyond basic sweetening to support sophisticated culinary needs. This trend involves the creation of high-quality, regulatory-compliant concentrates tailored for artisanal coffee culture and discerning international markets that prioritize purity and texture. Brands are upgrading production standards to meet rigorous quality controls in developed regions, elevating the product's status. Illustrating this success, The Investor reported in January 2025 that Vinamilk saw a 12.6 percent year-on-year revenue increase from foreign markets in 2024, a growth trajectory heavily supported by the entry of its condensed milk into the highly regulated European market.

concurrently, packaging innovation is transforming the user experience through the adoption of convenient squeeze tubes and spouted pouches. These flexible formats address the limitations of traditional metal cans by offering precise dosage, improved hygiene, and resealability, while bulk bag-in-box solutions help food service operators reduce waste. According to SIG's 'Annual Report 2024', released in February 2025, the company secured a significant number of new contracts for spouted pouch and bag-in-box systems, reflecting a strong industrial and consumer preference for these versatile packaging solutions over rigid alternatives.

Key Market Players

  • Nestle SA
  • Santini Foods, Inc.
  • Eagle Family Foods Group LLC
  • Arla Foods amba
  • Hochwald Foods GmbH
  • F&N Dairies (Thailand) Limited
  • Morinaga Milk Industry Co. Ltd
  • Royal Friesland Campina N.V
  • Magnolia Inc
  • Borden Dairy Company

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Condensed Milk Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Condensed Milk Market, By Product Type

  • Dairy
  • Non-Dairy

Condensed Milk Market, By Packaging Type

  • Cans
  • Tubes
  • Bottles

Condensed Milk Market, By Sales Channel

  • Hypermarkets/Supermarkets
  • Convenience Stores
  • Specialty Stores
  • Online
  • Others

Condensed Milk Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Condensed Milk Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Condensed Milk Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Condensed Milk Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Product Type (Dairy, Non-Dairy)
    • 5.2.2. By Packaging Type (Cans, Tubes, Bottles)
    • 5.2.3. By Sales Channel (Hypermarkets/Supermarkets, Convenience Stores, Specialty Stores, Online, Others)
    • 5.2.4. By Region
    • 5.2.5. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America Condensed Milk Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Product Type
    • 6.2.2. By Packaging Type
    • 6.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 6.2.4. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 6.3.1.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 6.3.2. Canada Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 6.3.2.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 6.3.3. Mexico Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 6.3.3.2.3. By Sales Channel

7. Europe Condensed Milk Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Product Type
    • 7.2.2. By Packaging Type
    • 7.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 7.2.4. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 7.3.1.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 7.3.2. France Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 7.3.2.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 7.3.3.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 7.3.4. Italy Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 7.3.4.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 7.3.5. Spain Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 7.3.5.2.3. By Sales Channel

8. Asia Pacific Condensed Milk Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Product Type
    • 8.2.2. By Packaging Type
    • 8.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 8.2.4. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 8.3.1.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 8.3.2. India Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 8.3.2.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 8.3.3. Japan Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 8.3.3.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 8.3.4. South Korea Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 8.3.4.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 8.3.5. Australia Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 8.3.5.2.3. By Sales Channel

9. Middle East & Africa Condensed Milk Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Product Type
    • 9.2.2. By Packaging Type
    • 9.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 9.2.4. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 9.3.1.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 9.3.2. UAE Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 9.3.2.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 9.3.3. South Africa Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 9.3.3.2.3. By Sales Channel

10. South America Condensed Milk Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Product Type
    • 10.2.2. By Packaging Type
    • 10.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 10.2.4. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 10.3.1.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 10.3.2. Colombia Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 10.3.2.2.3. By Sales Channel
    • 10.3.3. Argentina Condensed Milk Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By Packaging Type
        • 10.3.3.2.3. By Sales Channel

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Condensed Milk Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Nestle SA
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Santini Foods, Inc.
  • 15.3. Eagle Family Foods Group LLC
  • 15.4. Arla Foods amba
  • 15.5. Hochwald Foods GmbH
  • 15.6. F&N Dairies (Thailand) Limited
  • 15.7. Morinaga Milk Industry Co. Ltd
  • 15.8. Royal Friesland Campina N.V
  • 15.9. Magnolia Inc
  • 15.10. Borden Dairy Company

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer