![]() |
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1967714
水果和坚果农业市场-全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会、预测:按类型、农业加工方式、地区和竞争格局划分,2021-2031年Fruit and Nut Farming Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Type, By Farming Process, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
||||||
全球水果和坚果农业市场预计将从 2025 年的 11,086.6 亿美元增长到 2031 年的 2,3,427.1 亿美元,复合年增长率为 13.28%。
该行业涉及各种水果和坚果的商业性种植和收穫,用于鲜食或工业加工。推动市场成长的关键因素包括全球人口成长对粮食安全的需求不断提高,以及消费者偏好向植物性饮食的结构性转变,这种转变源自于人们对营养更丰富的农产品的需求。近期产业产量预测进一步印证了这一正面势头。根据世界苹果梨协会预测,到2025年,南半球苹果产量预计将增加5.5%,达到约475万吨。
| 市场概览 | |
|---|---|
| 预测期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市场规模:2025年 | 11086.6亿美元 |
| 市场规模:2031年 | 23427.1亿美元 |
| 复合年增长率:2026-2031年 | 13.28% |
| 成长最快的细分市场 | 有机水果和坚果种植 |
| 最大的市场 | 亚太地区 |
儘管这些量化指标表现积极,但该产业仍面临许多挑战,例如难以预测的气候模式和极端天气事件,这些都威胁着作物收成的稳定性。不规则的降雨和气温波动会严重扰乱作物生长週期,并阻碍生产者维持可靠的供应链。这限制了市场扩张,也使得制定长期农业规划变得更加困难。
全球对健康和营养意识的日益增强,正极大地推动富含维生素的农产品和富含蛋白质的坚果的种植。随着消费者优先选择增强免疫力的食品和植物蛋白,农业相关人员正积极扩大杏仁和柑橘类水果等高需求作物的种植面积,以适应这种饮食习惯的结构性转变。这一趋势在主要产区尤为明显,这些产区的产量目标正在提高以满足消费者需求。例如,美国农业部国家农业统计局(USDA NASS)在其2024年7月发布的《加州杏仁产量目标报告》中预测,2024年加州杏仁产量将达到28亿磅(净重)。此外,根据美国农业部海外农业局的数据,在有利的天气条件和主要产区高产量的推动下,2023/2024产季全球橙子产量预计将在2024年达到4880万吨。
第二个关键驱动因素是低温运输物流和供应链基础设施的进步。这使得生鲜食品能够有效率地运往遥远的国际市场。冷冻技术的改进和更有效率的运输网路使生产商能够进入新兴经济体盈利的零售市场,同时最大限度地减少采后损失。这种物流能力支持了新鲜农产品出口的可持续成长,并确保当季农产品在保持品质的同时送达消费者手中。例如,完善的基础设施促成了来自主要南方出口国的贸易量创历史新高。根据智利水果协会于2024年10月发布的《2023-2024出口季报告》,智利新鲜水果的全球出口总量达到约253万吨。通路的这些改进使农民能够透过开发国内市场以外的多元化销售管道来稳定其收入基础。
气候变迁和极端天气事件难以预测,严重阻碍了全球水果和蔬菜坚果农业市场的成长。这些环境波动扰乱了作物生长週期的生物节律,导致产量不稳定,并削弱了供应链的可靠性。当种植者无法可靠地预测季节性产量时,与加工商和零售商签订长期合约就变得越来越困难。这种不确定性迫使该产业将重点放在短期措施上,而非策略性扩张,导致对新种植区域的资本投资减少,并阻碍了整体市场的发展。
这些与天气相关的干扰的直接影响可以从区域生产数据中衡量。根据世界苹果梨理事会预测,由于开花和授粉期间不利的条件,欧盟苹果产量预计将在2024年下降11.3%,至1,020万吨。这种结构性短缺限制了鲜食市场和工业加工市场的农产品供应,造成供不应求,阻碍了稳定贸易关係的建立。因此,无法维持稳定的库存水准直接限制了该行业的整体获利能力。
自主机器人采摘和修剪技术的应用正在从根本上改变果园管理,有效解决了长期的劳动力短缺问题,并提高了工作效率。在人事费用不断上涨和劳动力短缺日益加剧的背景下,种植者正在引入地面自主平台和无人机系统,以实现采摘软果和运输坚果等重复性工作的机械化。这些系统利用先进的电脑视觉技术来判断果实的成熟度和大小,从而确保品质等级的一致性,而这对于人工长时间工作而言是难以实现的。这种技术变革正在推动对设备规模化生产的大量投资。根据 TechCrunch 于 2024 年 1 月发表的一篇报导《Burro 融资 2,400 万美元以扩大自主机器人设备规模》报道,该公司成功完成了 B 轮资金筹措,旨在加速协作机器人的製造和部署,这些机器人将为商业苗圃和浆果农场的采摘物流提供支援。
同时,随着生产者致力于提升土壤生物多样性并遵守严格的环境法规,再生农业和认证有机农业的实践正在迅速发展。这项转变包括最大限度地减少合成材料的使用,并引入覆盖作物技术来改善果园的保水和固碳能力。零售商和加工商正日益推动这一转变,以实现企业永续性目标并满足消费者对环保生产方式的需求。近期全球种植面积指标表明,这一转变的规模显而易见。根据有机农业研究所(FiBL)于2024年2月发布的《2024年世界有机农业展望》,全球有机农地面积将扩大至约9,600万公顷,这反映了世界各地生产者为扩大无化学耕作区域所做的持续努力。
The Global Fruit and Nut Farming Market is projected to expand from USD 1108.66 Billion in 2025 to USD 2342.71 Billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 13.28%. This sector involves the commercial cultivation and harvesting of various fruit crops and tree nuts meant for either fresh consumption or industrial processing. Key drivers fueling this market growth include a growing global population that requires improved food security and a structural shift in consumer preferences toward plant-based diets demanding nutrient-rich produce. This positive momentum is supported by recent industry output forecasts; according to the World Apple and Pear Association, apple production in the Southern Hemisphere was expected to rise by 5.5 percent to roughly 4.75 million metric tons in 2025.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 1108.66 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 2342.71 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 13.28% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Organic Fruit and Nut Farming |
| Largest Market | Asia Pacific |
Despite these positive volume indicators, the industry faces a substantial hurdle in the form of unpredictable climate patterns and extreme weather events that jeopardize harvest stability. Irregular rainfall and temperature swings can severely interrupt growing cycles and hinder the capacity of producers to maintain reliable supply chains, thereby limiting broader market expansion and making long-term agricultural planning more difficult.
Market Driver
Increasing global awareness regarding health and nutrition acts as a primary catalyst driving the cultivation of vitamin-dense produce and protein-rich nuts. As consumers prioritize immunity-boosting foods and plant-based proteins, agricultural stakeholders are aggressively increasing acreage for high-demand crops like almonds and citrus fruits to meet this structural dietary shift. This trend is evident in major production hubs where output targets are being raised to accommodate consumption needs; for instance, the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service reported in the July 2024 '2024 California Almond Objective Measurement Report' that almond production for the 2024 crop year was forecast to reach 2.80 billion meat pounds. Furthermore, according to the United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service, global orange production for the 2023/2024 marketing year was estimated to rise to 48.8 million metric tons in 2024, driven by favorable weather and higher yields in key regions.
Advancements in cold chain logistics and supply chain infrastructure represent a second critical driver, enabling the efficient transport of perishable goods to distant international regions. Enhanced refrigeration technologies and streamlined shipping networks allow growers to minimize post-harvest losses while accessing lucrative retail opportunities in emerging economies. This logistical capability supports the sustained export growth of fresh commodities, ensuring that seasonal produce reaches consumers with maintained quality. For example, robust infrastructure facilitated record trade volumes from major southern exporters; according to Frutas de Chile's October 2024 '2023-2024 Export Season Report', the total volume of Chilean fresh fruit exports sent to global destinations reached approximately 2.53 million tons. These distribution channel improvements allow farmers to stabilize revenue streams by diversifying their market presence beyond domestic boundaries.
Market Challenge
Unpredictable climate patterns and extreme weather events pose a significant obstacle to the growth of the global fruit and nut farming market. These environmental volatilities disrupt the biological rhythm of growing cycles, resulting in erratic yield volumes that compromise the reliability of supply chains. When producers cannot anticipate seasonal outputs with certainty, securing long-term contracts with processors and retailers becomes increasingly difficult. This lack of predictability compels the industry to focus on short-term mitigation rather than strategic expansion, thereby reducing capital investment in new cultivation areas and stalling broader market development.
The direct consequence of these weather-induced disruptions is measurable in regional output data. According to the World Apple and Pear Association, apple production in the European Union was projected to decrease by 11.3 percent to 10.2 million metric tons in 2024 due to adverse conditions during the flowering and pollination stages. Such structural deficits limit the availability of produce for both fresh markets and industrial processing, causing supply shortages that deter consistent trade relationships. Consequently, the inability to maintain stable inventory levels directly constrains the overall revenue potential of the sector.
Market Trends
The adoption of autonomous robotic harvesting and pruning technologies is fundamentally transforming orchard management by addressing chronic labor shortages and improving operational efficiency. With manual labor becoming increasingly scarce and expensive, producers are integrating ground-based autonomous platforms and drone systems to mechanize repetitive tasks such as picking soft fruits and transporting harvested nuts. These systems employ advanced computer vision to assess fruit ripeness and size, ensuring a consistency in quality grading that human crews often struggle to maintain over extended shifts. This technological shift has attracted substantial investment to scale fleet capabilities; according to TechCrunch, January 2024, in the article 'Burro raises $24M to expand its autonomous robot fleet', the company secured Series B funding to accelerate the manufacturing and deployment of its collaborative robots designed to support harvest logistics in commercial nurseries and berry farms.
Concurrently, the proliferation of regenerative and certified organic farming practices is gaining momentum as producers seek to enhance soil biodiversity and align with stringent environmental regulations. This transition involves minimizing synthetic inputs and employing cover cropping techniques to improve water retention and carbon sequestration within fruit orchards. Retailers and processors are increasingly incentivizing this shift to fulfill corporate sustainability mandates and address consumer demand for eco-conscious production methods. The scale of this adoption is evident in recent global acreage metrics; according to the Research Institute of Organic Agriculture (FiBL), February 2024, in 'The World of Organic Agriculture 2024', global organic agricultural land expanded to approximately 96 million hectares, reflecting a sustained commitment among international growers to increase chemical-free cultivation zones.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Fruit and Nut Farming Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Fruit and Nut Farming Market.
Global Fruit and Nut Farming Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: