![]() |
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1967739
鲔鱼市场-全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会、预测:按类型、最终用户、分销管道、地区和竞争格局划分,2021-2031年Tuna Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity and Forecast, By Species, By Type, By End User, By Distribution Channel, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
||||||
全球鲔鱼市场预计将从 2025 年的 402.2 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 499.9 亿美元,复合年增长率为 3.69%。
该产业以鲔鱼(Thunnini)的商业性捕捞和分销为核心,其产品主要以罐装、鲜食和冷冻加工品的形式供人类食用。推动该行业发展的基本因素包括全球对易于获取的蛋白质来源日益增长的需求,以及罐装金枪鱼的经济效益——即使在通货膨胀时期,罐装金枪鱼也能保持稳定的保质期。这些核心要素满足了不同人口的基本营养需求,从而确保了稳定的收入来源,避免了受波动不定的饮食文化趋势的影响。
| 市场概览 | |
|---|---|
| 预测期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市场规模:2025年 | 402.2亿美元 |
| 市场规模:2031年 | 499.9亿美元 |
| 复合年增长率:2026-2031年 | 3.69% |
| 成长最快的细分市场 | 在线的 |
| 最大的市场 | 欧洲 |
然而,该行业在环境永续性和严格的捕捞配额方面面临严峻挑战,这些配额旨在降低过度捕捞的风险。根据联合国粮食及农业组织(粮农组织)的数据,2024年1月至9月,全球新鲜、冷冻和罐装鲔鱼的贸易量预计为307万吨,价值118.6亿美元。儘管这些数字凸显了该行业巨大的经济规模,但如何成功应对复杂的监管环境以维持生物量,将是未来扩张的关键。
消费者对价格实惠、保质期长、方便快速的罐装鲔鱼产品的需求不断增长,是推动市场扩张的主要动力,尤其是在通膨压力导致全球消费行为转变的背景下。罐装鲔鱼营养丰富、保质期长,吸引了寻求高性价比蛋白质来源的都市区,进一步强化了这一趋势。主要企业正利用大众市场主导的成长,透过优化其常温水产品产品组合,积极适应蓬勃发展的罐装食品市场,从而有效增强自身抵御经济波动的能力。例如,泰国证券交易所2024年11月发布的数据显示,泰联集团2024年第三季销售额达348.4亿泰铢,主要得益于该公司常温水产品产品线的有机需求成长。
同时,MSC认证的永续渔业和对海豚友善的捕捞方式的推广,正在改变供应链管治和贸易动态。随着监管机构和零售商实施更严格的可追溯性标准以打击非法、未报告和无管制捕捞(IUU捕捞),该行业正经历着向认证原材料的结构性转变,以确保生物资源的长期永续性。根据国际水产品永续性基金会(ISSF)2024年12月发布的《资源状况报告》,目前全球88%的商业鲔鱼渔获量来自资源状况良好的地区。认证计画的广泛应用进一步加强了整个产业为保护生态系统所做的努力。 2024年,海洋管理委员会(MSC)宣布,占全球商业鲔鱼渔获量53%的渔业已加入MSC计画。
全球鲔鱼市场成长的主要障碍是为应对过度捕捞而实施的严格捕捞配额和环境永续性义务。虽然从生物永续性的角度来看这些措施至关重要,但它们也立即造成了供应瓶颈。由于原材料供应人为受限,製造商和加工商无法根据不断增长的全球需求线性增加产量。这种供应限制与消费成长之间的脱节使市场陷入短缺循环,限制了产业扩大营运规模的能力,推高了采购成本,并最终阻碍了依赖销售的利润成长。
近期有关资源健康状况和必要保护措施的数据也印证了这个结构性限制因素。根据国际水产品永续性基金会(ISSF)的数据,截至2024年11月,全球主要商业鲔鱼族群中有13%被列为过度捕捞。这种情况十分严峻,可能导致对印度洋黄鳍鲔等主要鱼种实施严格的捕捞限制。因此,主要商业捕捞船队无法取得额外的生物资源,市场面临供不应求。这阻碍了新进入者,并限制了整个行业的成长潜力。
在渔船上采用人工智慧驱动的电子监控(EM)系统正迅速成为确保供应链透明度的关键标准。这有效地取代了对手写捕捞记录和间歇性人工监控的依赖。该技术利用高画质摄影机、感测器和人工智慧自动侦测捕捞活动、兼捕事件和处理操作,从而消除公海作业中的资料盲区。大型水产品集团正积极强制实施这些系统,以检验是否遵守劳工和环境通讯协定。这超越了简单的纸本认证,确保了捕捞环节的课责落实。根据泰国联合集团(Thai Union Group PCL)2024年6月发布的可持续发展报告,该公司已成功将配备电子监控系统或人工监控的渔船所捕捞的金枪鱼基准值提高至90%,较2021年的71%有了显着增长。
同时,超低温低温运输技术的进步,使得鲔鱼在运输过程中能够保持其质地和品质,从而推动了金枪鱼刺身和生食在全球范围内的消费普及。这一趋势标誌着金枪鱼市场与大众罐头金枪鱼市场出现了分化,经销商正优先处理速冻鱼柳和鱼片,以满足零售和餐饮服务行业对高附加价值新鲜金枪鱼产品日益增长的需求。这种向优质化的转变使相关人员能够获得更高的利润,并降低正鲣作为大宗商品价格波动的风险。根据联合国粮食及农业组织(粮农组织)2024年7月的报告,在日本——这一高附加值金枪鱼市场的领先指标——2024年初冷冻金枪鱼片的进口量同比增长了36.11%,证实了市场对刺身级金枪鱼产品的强劲需求。
The Global Tuna Market is projected to expand from USD 40.22 Billion in 2025 to USD 49.99 Billion by 2031, reflecting a CAGR of 3.69%. This sector centers on the commercial harvesting and distribution of Thunnini species, which are processed primarily into canned, fresh, and frozen formats for human consumption. Fundamental drivers supporting this industry include the rising global demand for accessible protein sources and the economic viability of canned tuna, which offers a stable shelf life during inflationary periods. These core factors ensure consistent revenue streams, distinct from shifting culinary trends, by satisfying essential nutritional needs across diverse demographics.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 40.22 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 49.99 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 3.69% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Online |
| Largest Market | Europe |
However, the industry faces critical hurdles regarding environmental sustainability and strict catch quotas intended to mitigate overfishing risks. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization, the global trade of fresh, frozen, and canned tuna during the first nine months of 2024 was estimated at 3.07 million tonnes, valued at USD 11.86 billion. While these figures highlight the sector's immense economic scale, future expansion remains contingent upon successfully navigating complex regulatory landscapes to maintain biological stock levels.
Market Driver
Rising consumer demand for affordable, shelf-stable, and convenient canned tuna products acts as a primary catalyst for market expansion, particularly as inflationary pressures shape global purchasing behaviors. This trend is reinforced by the product's nutritional versatility and long shelf life, which appeal to urban populations seeking cost-effective protein sources. Major industry players are capitalizing on this volume-driven growth by optimizing ambient seafood portfolios to meet the resilience of the canned segment, effectively insulating revenue against economic volatility. For instance, the Stock Exchange of Thailand reported in November 2024 that Thai Union Group achieved Q3 2024 sales of THB 34,840 million, a performance driven significantly by higher organic demand in their ambient seafood category.
Simultaneously, the expansion of MSC-certified sustainable and dolphin-safe fishing practices is reshaping supply chain governance and trade dynamics. As regulatory bodies and retailers enforce stricter traceability standards to combat illegal, unreported, and unregulated fishing, the industry is witnessing a structural shift towards certified sourcing to ensure long-term biological viability. According to the International Seafood Sustainability Foundation's December 2024 'Status of the Stocks' report, 88% of the total commercial tuna catch worldwide now originates from stocks at healthy levels of abundance. This industry-wide commitment to ecological preservation is further highlighted by the reach of certification programs; in 2024, the Marine Stewardship Council noted that fisheries harvesting 53% of the global commercial tuna catch were engaged with the MSC program.
Market Challenge
The primary impediment restricting the growth of the Global Tuna Market is the enforcement of strict catch quotas and environmental sustainability mandates designed to combat overfishing. While essential for long-term biological viability, these regulatory ceilings create an immediate supply-side bottleneck. Manufacturers and processors are unable to linearly increase production volumes in response to rising global demand because the availability of raw material is artificially capped. This disconnect between constrained supply and growing consumption forces the market into a cycle of scarcity, limiting the industry's ability to scale operations and driving up procurement costs, which ultimately hampers volume-driven revenue expansion.
This structural limitation is substantiated by recent data regarding stock health and necessary conservation measures. According to the International Seafood Sustainability Foundation, in November 2024, 13% of the world's major commercial tuna stocks were classified as overfished, a critical status that triggers rigorous harvest limits on key species such as the Indian Ocean yellowfin. Consequently, major commercial fleets are prevented from accessing additional biomass, locking the market into a supply deficit that stifles new market entry and restricts the overall capacity for industry growth.
Market Trends
The implementation of AI-driven electronic monitoring (EM) systems on fishing vessels is rapidly becoming a critical standard for supply chain transparency, effectively replacing reliance on manual logbooks and sporadic human observation. This technology utilizes high-definition cameras, sensors, and artificial intelligence to automatically detect fishing activities, bycatch events, and handling practices, thereby eliminating data blind spots in high-seas operations. Major seafood conglomerates are aggressively mandating these systems to verify compliance with labor and environmental protocols, moving beyond simple paper-based certifications to ensure accountability at the point of harvest. According to Thai Union Group PCL, in their June 2024 sustainability report, the company successfully increased the proportion of tuna sourced from vessels equipped with electronic monitoring or human observers to 90%, a significant rise from a 71% baseline in 2021.
Simultaneously, the market is witnessing the global mainstreaming of sashimi-grade and raw tuna consumption, facilitated by advancements in ultra-low temperature cold chains that preserve texture and quality during transport. This trend marks a divergence from the volume-driven canned segment, as distributors prioritize deep-frozen loins and fillets to meet the rising culinary demand for high-value raw formats in both retail and foodservice sectors. This shift towards premiumization allows stakeholders to command higher margins and mitigate the volatility associated with commodity skipjack prices. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization's July 2024 report, Japan, a leading indicator for this high-value segment, recorded a 36.11% year-on-year increase in imports of deep-frozen tuna fillets during early 2024, underscoring the resilient demand for sashimi-quality products.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Tuna Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Tuna Market.
Global Tuna Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: