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市场调查报告书
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1968419

长期照护市场－全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会和预测：按服务、支付方、地区和竞争对手划分，2021-2031年

Long-Term Care Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Service, By Payer, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 185 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

全球长期照护市场预计将从 2025 年的 1.23 兆美元成长到 2031 年的 1.83 兆美元，复合年增长率为 6.81%。

长期照护是指为因慢性疾病或残疾而难以独立进行日常活动的个人提供的各种医疗和非医疗支援服务。全球人口快速老化和慢性病发病率不断上升是推动这一市场发展的主要因素，这两者都需要持续的专业支援和专门的住宅。因此，人们对超越短期医疗解决方案的护理基础设施的需求正在稳步增长。

市场概览
预测期 2027-2031
市场规模：2025年 1.23兆美元
市场规模：2031年 1.83兆美元
复合年增长率：2026-2031年 6.81%
成长最快的细分市场 居家医疗
最大的市场 北美洲

另一方面，由于合格人员严重短缺，市场面临许多障碍，不仅阻碍了营运能力，也限制了市场扩张。劳动力短缺使得医疗机构即使在服务需求旺盛的情况下也难以接收新患者。根据美国医疗保健协会2024年的数据，严重的劳动力短缺迫使46%的医疗机构限制了新病患的接收。因此，服务供给与病患需求之间的差距仍然是限制市场整体扩张的主要障碍。

市场驱动因素

全球长期照护市场的主要结构性驱动因素是老年人口的快速成长和慢性病盛行率的上升。随着预期寿命的延长，越来越多的人需要持续的专业照护，例如失智症和与老龄化相关的残疾。这种人口结构的变化正促使照护模式从临时性急性照护转向长期支持，从而显着增加了居家照护和居住机构的使用率。根据阿兹海默症协会于2024年3月发布的报告《2024年阿兹海默症状况》，届时将有约690万65岁及以上的美国人患有老年痴呆症失智症，这凸显了对专业护理基础设施日益增长的需求。

同时，远端监测、远端保健和智慧护理技术的进步正在透过简化护理服务流程和加速居家养老策略，改变市场运作模式。这些技术对于缓解劳动力短缺至关重要，因为它们能够实现日常监测的自动化，并在不影响安全性的前提下管理更大规模的病患小组。医疗保健领导者正在积极采用这些数位化工具来优化资源配置。例如，根据飞利浦于2024年6月发布的《2024年未来健康指数》报告，85%的医疗保健领导者正在投资或计划投资生成式人工智慧，以支援临床决策并优化工作流程。这项技术变革伴随着显着的财务成长。美国医疗保险和医疗补助服务中心（CMS）于2024年6月发布的《2023-2032年国家医疗支出》报告预测，国家医疗支出将以每年平均5.6%的速度增长，凸显了这些医疗保健需求日益增长的财务负担。

市场挑战

全球长期照护市场面临的主要结构性障碍是合格人员严重短缺。这种短缺直接限制了营运能力，因为它使机构无法维持安全标准要求的强制性医护人员与病患比例。因此，儘管寻求照护的患者人数不断增加，但机构往往被迫冻结床位或缩减服务范围，从而有效地限制了其收入潜力。

这种短缺进一步削弱了财务永续性，因为营运商被迫依赖高成本的临时工来满足最低人员配备要求，从而显着增加了营运成本。由此导致的利润率下降造成了不稳定的环境，阻碍了资本投资和新进者。根据美国医疗保健协会 (AHCA) 2024 年的一项调查，超过 66% 的医疗机构表示，如果这些劳动力问题持续下去，它们可能会倒闭。这种不稳定性有可能导致市场基础设施​​萎缩，阻碍供应方扩大到足以充分满足不断增长的全球需求的规模。

市场趋势

居家照护模式的兴起，以及老年人能够在熟悉的环境中生活，正在从根本上改变着服务模式。这种转变的驱动力在于消费者对非机构式照护环境而非传统机构的强烈偏好。随着居家照护需求的成长，这项变化正在改变市场的经济结构，并促使人们重新评估资源分配和服务品质。居家照护的普及给服务供应带来了严峻的压力，导致个人照护服务成本显着上升，因为服务提供者正努力扩大服务团队以满足分散的需求。根据Genworth Financial于2025年3月发布的《2024年护理成本调查》，居家护理服务的年度成本中位数预计将上涨10%，达到75,504美元，这反映了护理消费结构转变带来的经济负担加重。

此外，引入辅助机器人来支援护理工作，标誌着营运支援领域的重大变革，它超越了简单的数位监控，实现了物流和实体工作流程的自动化。与被动式感测器系统不同，主动式机器人解决方案正被用来协助完成体力劳动强度大的任务，从而减轻工作人员的负担，并确保严格遵守护理通讯协定。即使在人员配备波动的情况下，这种应用也能维持高水准的患者关注，从而带来可衡量的临床效益。根据资讯科技创新基金会 (ITIF) 于 2024 年 11 月发布的报告《本週事实：护理机构中的机器人》，实施机器人系统的机构发现，居民压疮发生率降低了 26%，这表明物理自动化直接影响着长期照护的品质。

目录

第一章概述

第二章：调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章：客户心声

第五章：全球长期照护市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
    • 按金额
  • 市占率及预测
    • 服务类别（居家医疗、临终关怀/安宁疗护、护理服务、辅助住宅、其他）
    • 依支付主体（公共、私人、自筹资金）划分
    • 按地区
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市场地图

第六章：北美长期照护市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 北美洲：国别分析
    • 我们
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第七章：欧洲长期照护市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 欧洲：国别分析
    • 德国
    • 法国
    • 英国
    • 义大利
    • 西班牙

第八章：亚太地区长期照护市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 亚太地区：国别分析
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韩国
    • 澳洲

第九章：中东和非洲长期照护市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 中东与非洲：国别分析
    • 沙乌地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
    • 南非

第十章：南美洲长期照护市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 南美洲：国别分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥伦比亚
    • 阿根廷

第十一章 市场动态

  • 促进因素
  • 任务

第十二章 市场趋势与发展

  • 併购
  • 产品发布
  • 近期趋势

第十三章：全球长期照护市场：SWOT分析

第十四章：波特五力分析

  • 产业竞争
  • 新进入者的潜力
  • 供应商的议价能力
  • 顾客权力
  • 替代品的威胁

第十五章 竞争格局

  • Brookdale Senior Living Inc.
  • Sunrise Senior Living（Red Fox Holding Corporation）
  • Kindred Healthcare（Knight Health Holdings, LLC）
  • Genesis Healthcare, Inc.
  • Extendicare Inc.
  • Capital Senior Living Corporation
  • Diversicare Healthcare Services, Inc.
  • Home Instead, Inc.
  • Senior Care Centers, LLC
  • Atria Senior Living, Inc.

第十六章 策略建议

第十七章：关于研究公司及免责声明

简介目录
Product Code: 23404

The Global Long-Term Care Market is projected to expand from USD 1.23 Trillion in 2025 to USD 1.83 Trillion by 2031, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 6.81%. Long-term care involves a wide spectrum of medical and non-medical support tailored for individuals with chronic illnesses or disabilities who cannot manage daily activities on their own. The market is primarily propelled by a rapidly aging global population and a rising incidence of chronic conditions, both of which require ongoing professional assistance and specialized residential facilities, thereby generating a steady and growing demand for care infrastructure that exceeds short-term medical solutions.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 1.23 Trillion
Market Size 2031USD 1.83 Trillion
CAGR 2026-20316.81%
Fastest Growing SegmentHome Healthcare
Largest MarketNorth America

Conversely, the market encounters significant obstacles due to a critical shortage of qualified staff, which hampers operational capabilities and limits expansion. This lack of workforce prevents providers from accepting new patients, even amidst high service demand. According to the American Health Care Association's 2024 data, 46% of nursing homes were compelled to restrict new admissions because of severe labor shortages. Consequently, this disparity between the availability of services and patient necessities continues to be a major hindrance to broader market development.

Market Driver

The primary structural catalyst for the Global Long-Term Care Market is the rapid growth of the elderly population combined with the increasing prevalence of chronic diseases. As life expectancy rises, more individuals are reaching ages where conditions such as dementia and age-related disabilities necessitate continuous professional supervision. This demographic evolution compels a shift from episodic, acute care to long-term support models, drastically boosting utilization rates for both home-based services and residential facilities. According to the Alzheimer's Association's '2024 Alzheimer's Disease Facts and Figures' report from March 2024, approximately 6.9 million Americans aged 65 and older are living with Alzheimer's dementia, highlighting the growing necessity for specialized care infrastructure.

Simultaneously, advancements in remote monitoring, telehealth, and smart care technologies are transforming market operations by improving care delivery efficiency and facilitating aging-in-place strategies. These technologies are essential for alleviating workforce shortages as they automate routine monitoring and enable providers to oversee larger patient groups without risking safety. Healthcare leaders are actively adopting these digital tools to refine resource allocation; for instance, the 'Future Health Index 2024' report by Philips in June 2024 notes that 85% of healthcare leaders are investing or plan to invest in generative AI to enhance clinical decision support and workflows. This technological evolution parallels significant financial growth, with the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services projecting in their June 2024 'National Health Expenditure 2023-2032' report that national health spending will rise by an annual average of 5.6%, emphasizing the increasing economic burden of these care requirements.

Market Challenge

A critical structural barrier hindering the Global Long-Term Care Market is the severe shortage of qualified personnel. This workforce deficit directly limits operational capacity because providers cannot maintain the mandatory staff-to-patient ratios necessary for safety standards. As a result, facilities are often forced to freeze bed availability or curtail their range of services, effectively capping their revenue potential despite the increasing volume of patients seeking assistance.

This shortage further compromises financial sustainability, as providers frequently rely on costly temporary labor to meet minimum staffing requirements, significantly driving up operating expenses. The resulting erosion of profit margins creates an unstable environment that deters capital investment and new market entry. According to the American Health Care Association in 2024, over 66 percent of nursing home facilities expressed concerns regarding potential closure if these workforce issues continue. Such instability threatens to physically reduce the market's infrastructure, preventing the supply side from scaling adequately to meet rising global demand.

Market Trends

The transition toward home-based care and aging-in-place models is fundamentally transforming the service delivery landscape, fueled by strong consumer preference for non-institutional environments over traditional facilities. This shift is altering the market's economic structure, as the rising demand for in-home support necessitates a reevaluation of resource distribution and service valuations. Moving care to the home generates acute supply pressures, leading to substantial cost hikes for personal assistance as providers struggle to scale workforces for decentralized needs. According to the '2024 Cost of Care Survey' by Genworth Financial in March 2025, the median annual cost of homemaker services rose by 10% to $75,504, illustrating the growing financial burden associated with this structural change in care consumption.

Additionally, the deployment of assistive robotics to aid caregiver tasks marks a critical evolution in operational support, advancing beyond digital monitoring to the automation of logistical and physical workflows. Unlike passive sensor systems, active robotic solutions are being implemented to assist with physically demanding tasks, thereby alleviating strain on human staff and ensuring strict adherence to care protocols. This adoption offers measurable clinical advantages by maintaining high standards of patient attention even during staffing fluctuations. According to the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation's 'Fact of the Week: Robot Adoption in Nursing Homes' report from November 2024, facilities utilizing robotic systems lowered the incidence of pressure ulcers among residents by 26%, proving the direct impact of physical automation on the quality of long-term care.

Key Market Players

  • Brookdale Senior Living Inc.
  • Sunrise Senior Living (Red Fox Holding Corporation)
  • Kindred Healthcare (Knight Health Holdings, LLC)
  • Genesis Healthcare, Inc.
  • Extendicare Inc.
  • Capital Senior Living Corporation
  • Diversicare Healthcare Services, Inc.
  • Home Instead, Inc.
  • Senior Care Centers, LLC
  • Atria Senior Living, Inc.

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Long-Term Care Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Long-Term Care Market, By Service

  • Home healthcare
  • Hospice & Palliative Care
  • Nursing care
  • Assisted living facilities
  • Others

Long-Term Care Market, By Payer

  • Public
  • Private
  • Out of Pocket

Long-Term Care Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Long-Term Care Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Long-Term Care Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Long-Term Care Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Service (Home healthcare, Hospice & Palliative Care, Nursing care, Assisted living facilities, Others)
    • 5.2.2. By Payer (Public, Private, Out of Pocket)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America Long-Term Care Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Service
    • 6.2.2. By Payer
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Service
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By Payer
    • 6.3.2. Canada Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Service
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By Payer
    • 6.3.3. Mexico Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Service
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By Payer

7. Europe Long-Term Care Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Service
    • 7.2.2. By Payer
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Service
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By Payer
    • 7.3.2. France Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Service
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By Payer
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Service
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By Payer
    • 7.3.4. Italy Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Service
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By Payer
    • 7.3.5. Spain Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Service
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By Payer

8. Asia Pacific Long-Term Care Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Service
    • 8.2.2. By Payer
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Service
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By Payer
    • 8.3.2. India Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Service
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By Payer
    • 8.3.3. Japan Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Service
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By Payer
    • 8.3.4. South Korea Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Service
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By Payer
    • 8.3.5. Australia Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Service
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By Payer

9. Middle East & Africa Long-Term Care Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Service
    • 9.2.2. By Payer
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Service
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By Payer
    • 9.3.2. UAE Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Service
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By Payer
    • 9.3.3. South Africa Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Service
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By Payer

10. South America Long-Term Care Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Service
    • 10.2.2. By Payer
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Service
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By Payer
    • 10.3.2. Colombia Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Service
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By Payer
    • 10.3.3. Argentina Long-Term Care Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Service
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By Payer

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Long-Term Care Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Brookdale Senior Living Inc.
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Sunrise Senior Living (Red Fox Holding Corporation)
  • 15.3. Kindred Healthcare (Knight Health Holdings, LLC)
  • 15.4. Genesis Healthcare, Inc.
  • 15.5. Extendicare Inc.
  • 15.6. Capital Senior Living Corporation
  • 15.7. Diversicare Healthcare Services, Inc.
  • 15.8. Home Instead, Inc.
  • 15.9. Senior Care Centers, LLC
  • 15.10. Atria Senior Living, Inc.

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer