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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1968451
冷媒市场-全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会、预测:按类型、应用、地区和竞争格局划分,2021-2031年Refrigerants Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Type, By Application, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球冷媒市场预计将从 2025 年的 65.1 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 86.3 亿美元,复合年增长率达到 4.81%。
冷媒是能够在液态和气态之间发生相变以传递热能的化学物质,是空调、冷气和热泵系统不可或缺的组成部分。住宅、商业和工业领域对冷冻解决方案的需求不断增长,而快速的都市化和环境温度的增加进一步推动了这个市场的发展。此外,为确保食品安全和药品安全,高效低温运输物流的迫切需求也促进了冷媒市场的成长。根据日本冷冻空调工业协会(JRAIA)的报告,预计到2024年,全球空调总需求量将达到1.31638亿台,凸显了冷媒供应需求的巨大规模。
| 市场概览 | |
|---|---|
| 预测期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市场规模:2025年 | 65.1亿美元 |
| 市场规模:2031年 | 86.3亿美元 |
| 复合年增长率:2026-2031年 | 4.81% |
| 成长最快的细分市场 | 冷却器 |
| 最大的市场 | 亚太地区 |
儘管市场需求强劲,但向全球暖化潜势较低的替代能源转型仍面临许多挑战,而转型过程十分复杂,必须符合国际环境协议的要求。逐步淘汰氢氟碳化合物是一项重大挑战,迫使业界在遵守监管规定与下一代环保替代能源相关的成本增加、易燃风险和技术改进之间寻求平衡。这种监管负担迫使製造商在研发方面投入巨资,从而挤压利润空间,并可能减缓价格敏感型发展中地区对合规技术的采用。
对空调和暖通空调基础设施需求的不断增长,正成为市场成长的主要催化剂,尤其是在都市化和全球暖化的背景下,人们对可靠气候控制的需求日益增加。为了满足基础设施建设的迫切需求,製造商正在加速生产住宅和商业冷气系统,这导致冷媒消耗量显着增加。随着为应对热应力而采取的新安装措施不断增加,这些系统的初始加註和后续维护为生产商带来了持续的收入来源。根据美国暖气、空调和冷冻协会 (AHRI) 2025 年 3 月的数据,2024 年美国中央空调和空气源热泵的总合出货量年增 11.8%。这凸显了强劲的安装率,而这直接与化学品需求的成长有关。
同时,食品和药品低温运输基础设施的快速发展正在推动市场成长,确保生鲜产品在复杂的全球供应链中保持品质。该行业高度依赖先进的冷媒,以在储存和运输过程中维持精确的温度控制,从而最大限度地减少变质并延长保质期。根据全球冷链联盟(GCC)2025年4月发布的报告,其全球成员管理的温控能力较2024年成长超过10%,达到2.31亿立方公尺。这一成长凸显了对冷冻技术的日益依赖,而供应商的绩效也印证了这一趋势。例如,Facilities Dive在2025年10月报道称,霍尼韦尔旗下Solstice先进材料部门2024年的净销售额达到38亿美元,这主要得益于这些关键应用中新一代冷媒的广泛应用。
国际环境协定强制要求向全球暖化潜值(GWP)更低的替代冷媒过渡,这为全球冷媒市场带来了巨大阻碍因素。这项监管变化迫使製造商将大量资金投入合规替代冷媒的研发中,而非扩大产能。技术改造的高成本以及新一代冷媒相关的易燃性风险管理推高了最终产品价格,在价格敏感型产业造成了阻碍。此外,这些新型化合物的可用性和性能方面的不确定性也令终端用户犹豫不决,延缓了老旧系统的现代化改造。
这次市场动盪显然导致关键应用领域的需求萎缩,直接减少了新安装所需的冷媒数量。根据欧洲热泵协会(EHPA)统计,2024年欧洲13个主要国家的热泵销售量下降了23%,从去年的260万台降至约200万台。如此显着的装机量下降限制了冷媒补充的关键市场,进而限制了整个产业的获利能力和成长动能。
零售业正积极转向使用天然冷媒,特别是二氧化碳(R-744),以降低因逐步淘汰氢氟碳化合物(HFCs)而带来的监管风险。这一转变体现了与长期永续性策略的契合,因为超临界二氧化碳系统不受未来环境法规的影响,并具有卓越的动态效率。因此,零售商正在加速维修现有冷冻基础设施,以适应这些高压天然冷媒解决方案,有效取代传统的合成冷媒混合物。正如国际冷冻学会(IIR)在2025年3月指出的那样,届时约30%的欧洲食品零售店(总计约90,700家门市)将采用超临界二氧化碳系统,这标誌着零售业正明显摆脱对化学冷媒的依赖。
同时,由于国际配额限制了新生产的氢氟碳化合物(HFCs),市场正向循环经济模式转型。为了弥合供应限制与现有设施维护需求之间的差距,业界正在推动废气体回收和提炼的产业化。这个增值过程使回收的冷媒成为关键商品,从而减少了对日益减少的新原料的依赖。根据美国环保署(EPA)2025年9月发布的数据,2024年美国氢氟碳化合物的总回收量年增约30%,凸显了向再生资源快速转型的趋势。
The Global Refrigerants Market is projected to expand from USD 6.51 Billion in 2025 to USD 8.63 Billion by 2031, achieving a CAGR of 4.81%. Refrigerants, defined as chemical compounds that undergo phase transitions between liquid and gas to transfer thermal energy, are essential for air conditioning, refrigeration, and heat pump systems. The market is primarily propelled by the escalating demand for cooling solutions across residential, commercial, and industrial landscapes, a trend driven by rapid urbanization and rising ambient temperatures. Furthermore, growth is underpinned by the critical need for efficient cold chain logistics to guarantee food security and pharmaceutical safety. As reported by the Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association (JRAIA), total global demand for air conditioners was estimated at 131,638 thousand units in 2024, highlighting the substantial volume of equipment requiring refrigerant supply.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 6.51 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 8.63 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 4.81% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Chillers |
| Largest Market | Asia Pacific |
Despite this strong demand, the market encounters a major obstacle regarding the complicated shift toward low-global warming potential alternatives required by international environmental agreements. The phase-out of hydrofluorocarbons poses a significant challenge, compelling the industry to balance regulatory compliance with the increased costs, flammability risks, and technical retrofitting needs associated with next-generation eco-friendly substitutes. This regulatory burden forces manufacturers to dedicate heavy investment to research and development, potentially squeezing profit margins and decelerating the adoption of compliant technologies in price-sensitive developing regions.
Market Driver
The escalating demand for air conditioning and HVAC infrastructure acts as a primary catalyst for market growth, particularly as urbanization and rising global temperatures necessitate reliable climate control. This driver significantly boosts refrigerant consumption as manufacturers accelerate the production of residential and commercial cooling units to meet essential infrastructure needs. As new installations increase to address thermal stress, both the initial charging and subsequent servicing of these systems generate a continuous revenue stream for producers. Data from the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute in March 2025 indicates that combined shipments of central air conditioners and air-source heat pumps in the United States rose by 11.8% in 2024 compared to the prior year, emphasizing the robust equipment installation rates that directly correlate with higher chemical volume requirements.
Concurrently, the rapid development of cold chain infrastructure for food and pharmaceuticals is driving the market forward, ensuring the integrity of perishable goods across intricate global supply networks. This sector depends heavily on advanced refrigerants to maintain precise temperature controls in storage and transport logistics, thereby minimizing spoilage and extending shelf life. According to the Global Cold Chain Alliance in April 2025, the temperature-controlled capacity managed by its global members increased by over 10% to reach 231 million cubic meters relative to 2024 figures. This expansion highlights the growing reliance on cooling technologies, a trend confirmed by supplier performance; for instance, Facilities Dive reported in October 2025 that Honeywell's Solstice Advanced Materials division achieved $3.8 billion in net sales for 2024, largely driven by the adoption of next-generation refrigerants in these critical applications.
Market Challenge
The intricate transition to low-global warming potential (GWP) alternatives, mandated by international environmental accords, serves as a primary constraint on the Global Refrigerants Market. This regulatory shift forces manufacturers to divert substantial capital toward the research and development of compliant substitutes rather than capacity expansion. The high costs associated with technical retrofitting and managing the flammability risks of next-generation refrigerants inflate final product prices, creating barriers in price-sensitive sectors. Furthermore, uncertainty regarding the availability and performance of these new chemical compounds induces hesitation among end-users, thereby delaying the replacement of legacy systems.
This disruption is visibly contracting demand within key application segments, which directly reduces the volume of refrigerant required for new installations. According to the European Heat Pump Association (EHPA), heat pump sales across 13 major European countries declined by 23% in 2024, dropping to approximately 2 million units from 2.6 million the previous year. Such a significant downturn in equipment deployment limits the primary market for refrigerant charging, consequently stifling the industry's overall revenue potential and growth trajectory.
Market Trends
The retail sector is aggressively pivoting toward natural refrigerants, specifically carbon dioxide (R-744), to mitigate regulatory risks associated with the phase-out of hydrofluorocarbons. This transition signifies a strategic alignment with long-term sustainability, as transcritical CO2 systems offer immunity to future environmental bans and superior thermodynamic efficiency. Consequently, retailers are accelerating the retrofit of existing cold storage infrastructure to accommodate these high-pressure natural solutions, effectively displacing legacy synthetic blends. As noted by the International Institute of Refrigeration (IIR) in March 2025, roughly 30% of food retail outlets in Europe-totaling around 90,700 locations-have adopted transcritical CO2 systems, signaling a definitive departure from chemical coolants.
Simultaneously, the market is shifting toward circular economy practices as the production of virgin hydrofluorocarbons is capped by international quotas. To bridge the gap between restricted supply and the maintenance demand of the installed base, the industry is industrializing the recovery and purification of used gases. This valorization turns reclaimed refrigerant into a vital commodity, reducing reliance on diminishing virgin stocks. According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in September 2025, the total volume of hydrofluorocarbons reclaimed in the United States rose by approximately 30% in 2024 compared to the previous year, highlighting the rapid transition to regenerated material sources.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Refrigerants Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Refrigerants Market.
Global Refrigerants Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: