![]() |
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1968459
核桃市场-全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会、预测:按类型、性质、最终用途、地区和竞争格局划分,2021-2031年Walnut Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Type, By Nature, By End Use, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
||||||
全球核桃市场预计将从 2025 年的 83.2 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 119.4 亿美元,复合年增长率为 6.21%。
核桃是属于胡桃属(Juglans)的可食用种子,包裹在坚硬的外壳中,因其营养丰富而备受推崇。市场成长的主要驱动力是消费者对Omega-3脂肪酸有益心臟健康的认知不断提高,以及核桃在植物蛋白产业中日益广泛的应用。这些基本因素维持了对核桃的强劲需求,无论是直接作为零食食用,还是用于工业食品加工,因为製造商们正不断寻求功能性配料来丰富其产品线。
| 市场概览 | |
|---|---|
| 预测期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市场规模:2025年 | 83.2亿美元 |
| 市场规模:2031年 | 119.4亿美元 |
| 复合年增长率:2026-2031年 | 6.21% |
| 成长最快的细分市场 | 有机的 |
| 最大的市场 | 亚太地区 |
然而,该地区面临着与气候变迁相关的严峻挑战,这些挑战正在影响作物产量和品质的稳定性。根据国际坚果和干果理事会(INDFC)2025年的数据,2024-2025年度全球核桃产量将达到276万吨。虽然这一数字显示了市场规模,但极端天气事件日益频繁,为供应链稳定性和未来成长潜力带来了持续的风险。
消费者对Omega-3脂肪酸含量及其对心血管健康影响的认知不断提高,是推动市场发展的主要动力。核桃不仅被视为一种主食,更被视为一种重要的机能性食品,其富含α-亚麻油酸(ALA),使其区别于其他坚果。这项营养优势是针对注重健康、寻求天然饮食方案的消费者进行行销宣传活动的核心。正如加州核桃委员会在2024年12月发布的公告「美国食品药物管理局(FDA)认可核桃为健康食品」中所述,核桃符合修订后的「健康食品」监管标准,因为每盎司(约28克)核桃含有2.5克Omega-3ALA。这项认可增强了消费者的信心,并鼓励他们将核桃纳入日常健康饮食中。
同时,全球转向以植物来源、营养丰富的饮食模式的转变正在改变贸易格局。随着国际消费者越来越多地选择素食、纯素食和生酮饮食等生活方式,对用途广泛、高蛋白的植物性食材的需求正在推动全球分销管道的显着扩张。这一趋势体现在主要市场进口量的成长上,零售商正积极准备满足不断增长的消费群。根据美国农业部海外农业局预测,2025年欧盟核桃进口量预计将年增约29%。此外,根据国际坚果和干果理事会2025年3月发布的《全球核桃统计回顾》,2024年9月至11月期间,中国带壳核桃出口量增长了97%,这表明生产商正在迅速扩大生产规模以满足不断增长的全球需求。
气候变迁正成为全球核桃市场系统性扩张的主要障碍。由于核桃园高度依赖特定的环境条件,因此极易受到异常事件的影响,例如非季节性的温度波动、缺水和极端天气。这些环境扰动会直接影响作物的均匀性,导致产量和品质出现难以预测的波动。对于食品生产商和工业买家而言,这种不稳定性会导致供应链的不确定性和原材料成本的波动,使他们不愿意签订长期合约或开发新的核桃产品。因此,商业性成长和市场渗透受到阻碍。
近期产量数据显示供应量大幅下降,凸显了这项挑战的严峻性。根据国际坚果及干果协会(INDFC)预测,加州2024年核桃产量预计为607,814吨,较上年创纪录的丰收年大幅下降19%。这个全球主要出口地区的产量大幅下降,凸显了天气波动如何阻碍市场稳定成长,并为相关人员带来持续的物流挑战。
受零售商对便利性的需求以及对易于取得的工业原料的需求所驱动,市场正明显转向高价值的去壳核桃。随着消费者寻求更省时的烘焙和零食解决方案,出口商正在对其基础设施进行现代化改造,以供应高品质的核桃仁,而不是传统的去壳品种。这种转变正在改变全球贸易格局,主要生产中心正在调整布局,以满足欧洲和北美买家对优质去壳产品的需求。根据智利核桃协会2025年8月的月度出货报告,2025年3月至7月去壳核桃的出口量比上一季增长了22%,超过了其他去壳产品的增幅。这表明,在成熟市场中,现场加工正成为一项至关重要的竞争优势,从而推动市场结构性转变。
同时,咸味和调味即食核桃零食的出现,使核桃产品的销售范围从烘焙原料区扩展到了衝动消费区。製造商正利用核桃丰富的口感,开发出风味浓郁的功能性零食系列,例如添加热蜂蜜和功能性蘑菇的混合口味,以吸引註重健康的消费者。核桃作为功能性超级食品的稳固声誉,大大推动了这项产品演变,促使品牌创新,打造出洁净标示、高蛋白的零食选择。根据波洛克传播公司(Pollock Communications)于2025年1月进行的营养趋势调查,核桃被评为「2025年十大超级食品」之一。这项排名直接影响了近期的零售策略,将包装好的调味核桃作为高端健康产品来销售。
The Global Walnut Market is projected to expand from USD 8.32 Billion in 2025 to USD 11.94 Billion by 2031, registering a compound annual growth rate of 6.21%. Walnuts, which are the edible seeds encased in hard shells from the Juglans genus, are highly prized as a nutrient-rich food source. The market's growth is primarily fueled by increasing consumer awareness regarding the heart health benefits of omega-3 fatty acids and the rising incorporation of these nuts into the plant-based protein industry. These fundamental factors sustain strong demand for walnuts in both direct snacking and industrial food processing, as manufacturers increasingly search for functional ingredients to enhance their product lines.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 8.32 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 11.94 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 6.21% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Organic |
| Largest Market | Asia Pacific |
However, the industry faces substantial obstacles related to climate variability, which interferes with the consistency of crop yields and quality. According to data from the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council in 2025, global walnut production reached 2.76 million metric tons during the 2024 to 2025 crop year. While this figure highlights the market's significant scale, the growing frequency of severe weather events creates a continuous risk to supply chain stability and potential future growth.
Market Driver
Growing consumer knowledge regarding omega-3 content and cardiovascular wellness is a major engine driving market progress. Walnuts are increasingly viewed not merely as a pantry staple but as an essential functional food, distinguished among tree nuts by their rich concentration of alpha-linolenic acid (ALA). This nutritional advantage has become central to marketing campaigns targeting health-conscious groups looking for natural dietary solutions. As noted by the California Walnut Commission in December 2024, in their release 'Walnuts Deemed Healthy By the U.S. Food & Drug Administration', walnuts satisfied the revised regulatory criteria for "healthy" food due to containing 2.5 grams of omega-3 ALA per ounce, a recognition that strengthens consumer confidence and hastens their inclusion in daily health routines.
Concurrently, the global shift toward plant-based and nutritious diets is transforming trade patterns. As international consumers increasingly opt for vegetarian, vegan, and keto-friendly lifestyles, the need for versatile, high-protein plant ingredients has triggered a significant expansion in global distribution channels. This momentum is reflected in rising import volumes in key markets as retailers prepare to serve these growing consumer bases. According to the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, European Union walnut imports grew by roughly 29% in 2025 compared to the prior calendar year. Additionally, the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council reported in March 2025, within the 'Walnuts Global Statistical Review', that China's in-shell walnut exports increased by 97% from September to November 2024, illustrating how producers are rapidly ramping up operations to meet this escalating global demand.
Market Challenge
Climate variability acts as a major barrier to the systematic expansion of the global walnut market. The industry's reliance on specific environmental conditions renders walnut orchards extremely vulnerable to anomalies such as unseasonal temperature changes, water shortages, and severe weather occurrences. These environmental disturbances directly undermine crop uniformity, causing unpredictable variations in yield volume and quality. For food manufacturers and industrial buyers, this instability results in uncertain supply chains and fluctuating raw material costs, making them hesitant to sign long-term agreements or innovate with new walnut-based products, thereby impeding commercial growth and market penetration.
The gravity of this challenge is underscored by recent production data indicating notable supply reductions. According to the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council, the 2024 walnut production forecast for California was estimated at 607,814 metric tons, representing a sharp 19% drop from the record harvest of the preceding year. This significant decline in a key global exporting region highlights how weather-induced volatility restricts the market's ability to achieve steady growth and generates ongoing logistical difficulties for industry stakeholders.
Market Trends
The market is observing a clear transition toward value-added shelled formats, motivated by retailer requirements for convenience and industrial needs for ready-to-use ingredients. With consumers favoring time-efficient solutions for baking and snacking, exporters are modernizing their infrastructure to supply high-quality kernels instead of traditional in-shell varieties. This shift is altering global trade currents, as major production hubs pivot to satisfy European and North American buyers seeking premium shelled options. According to the 'Monthly Shipment Report' by Chilenut in August 2025, exports of shelled walnuts rose by 22% between March and July 2025 compared to the prior season, outpacing in-shell growth and signaling a structural change where source-based processing is becoming a vital competitive edge for serving mature markets.
At the same time, the launch of savory and seasoned ready-to-eat walnut snacks is extending the product's presence from baking aisles to impulse purchase sections. Manufacturers are utilizing the dense texture of walnuts to develop functional snack series with bold flavors, such as hot honey or blends incorporating functional mushrooms, to appeal to health-oriented consumers. This product evolution is strongly bolstered by the enduring reputation of walnuts as a functional superfood, encouraging brands to innovate with clean-label, high-protein snack options. As per the 'What's Trending in Nutrition' survey by Pollock Communications in January 2025, walnuts were listed among the Top 10 Superfoods of 2025, a classification that has directly shaped recent retail tactics to market seasoned walnut pouches as premium wellness items.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Walnut Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Walnut Market.
Global Walnut Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: