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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1970874

天然冷媒市场－全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会、预测：按气体类型、应用、地区和竞争对手划分，2021-2031年

Natural Refrigerants Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Gas, By Application, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 185 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

全球天然冷媒市场预计将从 2025 年的 24.4 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 31.7 亿美元，复合年增长率为 4.46%。

天然冷媒，包括氨、二氧化碳和碳氢化合物等天然物质，因其极低的全球暖化潜势值和零臭氧消耗潜能值，在供暖和製冷系统中得到越来越广泛的应用。这一市场成长的主要驱动力是严格的国际法规，这些法规要求逐步减少合成氟化化合物的使用。这迫使业界采用符合法规要求的替代品。此外，这些天然物质优异的动态性能有助于提高能源效率，从而促进商业和产业部门向天然冷媒转型，以实现长期降低能源成本和脱碳目标。

市场概览
预测期 2027-2031
市场规模：2025年 24.4亿美元
市场规模：2031年 31.7亿美元
复合年增长率：2026-2031年 4.46%
成长最快的细分市场 二氧化碳
最大的市场 欧洲

阻碍市场成长的一大障碍是训练有素的技术人员严重短缺，他们能够胜任这些系统固有的高压要求和安全通讯协定。这种短缺会导致早期采用者面临更长的安装週期和更复杂的维护工作。儘管面临这些挑战，该行业仍在取得显着进展。根据 ATMOphere 的数据，预计到 2024 年，北美采用超临界二氧化碳系统的食品零售店数量将达到 4,100 家，年增 40%。

市场驱动因素

逐步淘汰高全球暖化潜势（GWP）氢氟碳化合物（HFCs）的严格国际法规的实施，是推动市场采用天然冷媒的主要动力。诸如《基加利修正案》和欧盟氟碳化合物法规等法律措施，正在系统性地限制合成冷媒的供应，迫使终端用户升级或更换现有设备，采用符合法规要求的天然冷媒解决方案。这种法规环境正在推动重大变革，尤其是在那些即将禁止使用合成冷媒、且拥有雄心勃勃的永续性目标的地区，合规需求尤其迫切。根据ATMOsphere于2025年2月发布的《天然冷媒：2024年产业趋势》报告，这项法律推动将促使欧洲90,700家食品零售店安装超临界二氧化碳系统，市场渗透率将达30%。

同时，全球对节能冷却解决方案的需求日益增长，以降低营运成本，这成为推动转型的重要动力，而与近期监管处罚无关。氨和二氧化碳等天然冷媒具有卓越的动态效率，能够降低工业和商业设施的电力消耗和营运成本。对于注重优化生命週期成本的企业经营团队而言，这些永续升级的投资回报正变得越来越有吸引力。根据美国环境调查署 (EIA) 2025 年 7 月发布的报告《应对气候危机》，已实施这些系统的大型零售商的投资回收期为 4 至 10 年。此外，ATMOsphere 在 2025 年的报告中指出，欧洲已有 4,900 家工业设施正在使用超临界二氧化碳系统，凸显了该产业向经济高效的温度控管模式的转变。

市场挑战

天然冷媒广泛应用的主要障碍在于，能够应对高压要求和特定安全通讯协定的熟练技术人员严重短缺。与传统的合成冷媒不同，氨和二氧化碳等天然冷媒通常在极高压力下运行，且具有易燃性，因此必须采取严格的安全措施和精确的控制。缺乏具备处理这些复杂技术所需的专业知识的人员会导致安装计划出现重大延误，并增加运作风险。因此，商业和工业领域的终端用户对这些系统的可靠性感到担忧，并常常因为担心长时间停机和维护支援不足而推迟对这些绿色技术的投资。

近期行业统计数据凸显了监管目标与劳动力准备之间的差距。根据欧洲冷冻、空调和热泵协会 (AREA) 发布的 2024 年数据，仅有 21% 的氟碳气体 (F-gas) 认证技术人员接受过二氧化碳 (CO2) 处理方面的培训，仅有 12% 接受过氨气处理方面的培训。这种专业技能的匮乏直接阻碍因素了市场扩张，因为在监管压力日益增大、要求逐步淘汰氟化气体的背景下，合格人员的供应无法满足需求。

市场趋势

自主型商用展示柜中碳氢化合物冷媒的日益普及，正透过提高营运柔软性和简化基础设施要求，彻底改变零售业的冷气方式。与依赖庞大管道系统的集中式冷冻系统不同，这些即插即用型装置采用小型封闭迴路，使用丙烷（R290）冷媒，从而实现模组化门市设计和便捷的维修流程。碳氢化合物卓越的动态效率进一步加速了这一转变，使其在小规模应用中能够显着节能，且不受合成冷媒相关法规的限制。 ATMOsphere 于 2025 年 2 月发布的报告《天然冷媒：2024 年产业趋势》清晰地展现了这项变革的规模，报告指出，欧洲市场将安装约 1700 万自主型碳氢化合物冷媒冷藏柜，使其成为现代食品零售的标准技术。

同时，低填充氨製冷技术在轻工业领域的应用正从根本上重塑大规模温度控管的安全性。这些系统显着减少了有效冷却所需的冷媒用量，从而降低了通常与氨相关的有毒物质洩漏风险，使其适用于混合用途设施和人口密集区域。这项技术进步有利于工厂组装的成套机组，与客製化机组相比，它们具有更优的品管和更快的现场试运行速度。市场数据显示，这种更安全的系统正被广泛采用；根据 ATMO Sphere 2025 年 2 月的报告，预计北美地区采用低填充氨製冷系统的工业设施数量将增至 1230 家，成套机组的安装量将同比增长 38%。

目录

第一章概述

第二章：调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章：客户心声

第五章：全球天然冷媒市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
    • 按金额
  • 市占率及预测
    • 依气体种类（二氧化碳、氨气、碳氢化合物、其他）
    • 按应用领域（冷藏库、空调系统等）
    • 按地区
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市场地图

第六章：北美天然冷媒市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 北美洲：国别分析
    • 我们
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第七章：欧洲天然冷媒市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 欧洲：国别分析
    • 德国
    • 法国
    • 英国
    • 义大利
    • 西班牙

第八章：亚太地区天然冷媒市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 亚太地区：国别分析
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韩国
    • 澳洲

第九章：中东和非洲天然冷媒市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 中东与非洲：国别分析
    • 沙乌地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
    • 南非

第十章：南美洲天然冷媒市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 南美洲：国别分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥伦比亚
    • 阿根廷

第十一章 市场动态

  • 促进因素
  • 任务

第十二章 市场趋势与发展

  • 併购
  • 产品发布
  • 近期趋势

第十三章：全球天然冷媒市场：SWOT分析

第十四章：波特五力分析

  • 产业竞争
  • 新进入者的潜力
  • 供应商的议价能力
  • 顾客权力
  • 替代品的威胁

第十五章 竞争格局

  • Linde
  • Danfoss
  • Bitzer
  • Emerson
  • Panasonic
  • GEA Group
  • Mayekawa
  • Daikin
  • Carrier
  • Gree

第十六章 策略建议

第十七章：关于研究公司及免责声明

简介目录
Product Code: 2865

The Global Natural Refrigerants Market is projected to expand from USD 2.44 Billion in 2025 to USD 3.17 Billion by 2031, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.46%. Natural refrigerants, which include naturally occurring substances like ammonia, carbon dioxide, and hydrocarbons, are increasingly utilized in heating and cooling systems due to their negligible global warming potential and zero ozone depletion potential. The market is primarily propelled by rigorous international regulatory mandates requiring the phase-down of synthetic fluorinated gases, which obligates industries to adopt compliant alternatives. Furthermore, the exceptional thermodynamic characteristics of these natural substances contribute to improved energy efficiency, encouraging commercial and industrial sectors to transition as a means of reducing long-term energy costs and achieving decarbonization goals.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 2.44 Billion
Market Size 2031USD 3.17 Billion
CAGR 2026-20314.46%
Fastest Growing SegmentCarbon Dioxide
Largest MarketEurope

One notable barrier hindering faster market growth is the acute scarcity of technicians who are trained to manage the specialized high-pressure requirements and safety protocols inherent to these systems. This gap in the workforce can prolong installation schedules and complicate maintenance for early adopters. Despite these hurdles, the industry is experiencing significant progress; data from ATMOsphere indicates that in 2024, the number of food retail locations in North America utilizing transcritical CO2 systems rose to 4,100, marking a 40% increase over the prior year.

Market Driver

The enforcement of strict international regulations aimed at phasing out high-GWP hydrofluorocarbons acts as the primary accelerator for market adoption. Legislative measures, including the Kigali Amendment and the EU F-Gas Regulation, are systematically curtailing the supply of synthetic refrigerants, compelling end-users to upgrade or replace legacy infrastructure with compliant natural solutions. This regulatory environment has triggered a substantial shift driven by compliance needs, especially in regions with ambitious sustainability goals where bans on synthetics are approaching. As per the 'Natural Refrigerants: State of the Industry 2024' report by ATMOsphere in February 2025, this legislative drive has led to the installation of transcritical CO2 systems in 90,700 food retail stores across Europe, reaching a market penetration rate of 30%.

Simultaneously, the growing global demand for energy-efficient cooling solutions to lower operational expenditures provides a strong incentive for transition, independent of immediate regulatory fines. Natural refrigerants such as ammonia and carbon dioxide offer superior thermodynamic efficiency, resulting in reduced electricity usage and lower operating costs for industrial and commercial facilities. The return on investment for these sustainable upgrades is increasingly appealing to corporate leadership focused on optimizing lifecycle expenses. According to the July 2025 'Cooling the Climate Crisis' report by the Environmental Investigation Agency, major retailers adopting these systems have noted payback periods ranging from 4 to 10 years. Additionally, ATMOsphere reported in 2025 that 4,900 industrial sites in Europe are now using transcritical CO2 systems, highlighting the sector's move toward cost-efficient thermal management.

Market Challenge

A significant obstacle to the widespread uptake of natural refrigerants is the severe shortage of specialized technicians equipped to handle the unique high-pressure demands and safety protocols of these systems. Unlike traditional synthetic fluids, natural options like ammonia and carbon dioxide often function under extreme pressures or exhibit flammability, necessitating strict safety measures and precise management. When the available workforce lacks the specific competencies to navigate these technical intricacies, installation projects are subject to substantial delays and increased operational risks. As a result, commercial and industrial end-users face uncertainty regarding system reliability, frequently postponing investments in these green technologies due to concerns over extended downtime and insufficient maintenance support.

Recent industry statistics underscore the gap between regulatory goals and workforce preparedness. In 2024, the European association of refrigeration, air conditioning and heat pump (AREA) revealed that only 21% of personnel certified for F-gas were trained in Carbon Dioxide (CO2) handling, while merely 12% had training for Ammonia. This limited availability of specialized skills directly constrains the market's ability to expand, as the supply of qualified labor struggles to match the intensifying regulatory pressure to move away from fluorinated gases.

Market Trends

The increased use of hydrocarbons in self-contained commercial display units is revolutionizing retail cooling by delivering enhanced operational flexibility and simplifying infrastructure requirements. In contrast to centralized systems that depend on extensive piping, these plug-in units employ Propane (R290) within small, hermetically sealed circuits, facilitating modular store designs and smoother renovation processes. This transition is further hastened by the superior thermodynamic efficiency of hydrocarbons, which permits considerable energy conservation in smaller applications without the regulatory constraints linked to synthetic fluids. The magnitude of this shift is highlighted by ATMOsphere's February 2025 'Natural Refrigerants: State of the Industry 2024' report, which notes that the European market has installed roughly 17 million self-contained hydrocarbon cabinets, cementing the technology as a standard for modern food retail.

Concurrently, the integration of low-charge ammonia technology in light industrial sectors is fundamentally reshaping safety dynamics for large-scale thermal management. By significantly lowering the refrigerant inventory needed for effective cooling, these systems alleviate the toxic release risks typically associated with ammonia, rendering them suitable for facilities in mixed-use or densely populated areas. This technological progression favors factory-assembled packaged units, which offer superior quality control and more rapid onsite commissioning compared to custom-built plants. Market data reflects strong adoption of this safer architecture; according to the February 2025 ATMOsphere report, the number of industrial sites in North America using low-charge ammonia systems has risen to 1,230, with packaged unit installations experiencing a 38% year-over-year growth.

Key Market Players

  • Linde
  • Danfoss
  • Bitzer
  • Emerson
  • Panasonic
  • GEA Group
  • Mayekawa
  • Daikin
  • Carrier
  • Gree

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Natural Refrigerants Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Natural Refrigerants Market, By Gas

  • Carbon Dioxide
  • Ammonia
  • Hydrocarbons
  • Others

Natural Refrigerants Market, By Application

  • Refrigerators
  • Air Conditioning Systems
  • Others

Natural Refrigerants Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Natural Refrigerants Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Natural Refrigerants Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Gas (Carbon Dioxide, Ammonia, Hydrocarbons, Others)
    • 5.2.2. By Application (Refrigerators, Air Conditioning Systems, Others)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Gas
    • 6.2.2. By Application
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Gas
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 6.3.2. Canada Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Gas
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 6.3.3. Mexico Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Gas
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By Application

7. Europe Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Gas
    • 7.2.2. By Application
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Gas
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.2. France Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Gas
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Gas
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.4. Italy Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Gas
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.5. Spain Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Gas
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By Application

8. Asia Pacific Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Gas
    • 8.2.2. By Application
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Gas
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.2. India Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Gas
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.3. Japan Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Gas
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.4. South Korea Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Gas
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.5. Australia Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Gas
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By Application

9. Middle East & Africa Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Gas
    • 9.2.2. By Application
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Gas
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 9.3.2. UAE Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Gas
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 9.3.3. South Africa Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Gas
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By Application

10. South America Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Gas
    • 10.2.2. By Application
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Gas
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 10.3.2. Colombia Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Gas
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 10.3.3. Argentina Natural Refrigerants Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Gas
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By Application

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Natural Refrigerants Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Linde
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Danfoss
  • 15.3. Bitzer
  • 15.4. Emerson
  • 15.5. Panasonic
  • 15.6. GEA Group
  • 15.7. Mayekawa
  • 15.8. Daikin
  • 15.9. Carrier
  • 15.10. Gree

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer