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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1971361

5.8毫米弹药市场－全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会、预测：按类型、应用、地区和竞争格局划分，2021-2031年

5.8mm Ammunition Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Type (5.8-39MM, 5.8-51MM, 5.8-54MM, Others), By Application (Military, Law Enforcement, Civilian), By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 186 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

全球 5.8 毫米弹药市场预计将从 2025 年的 25.4 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 31.6 亿美元，复合年增长率为 3.71%。

该市场以5.8×42毫米中间威力弹为核心，这是一种无底缘弹药，由中华人民共和国专门设计并采用，用于其製式轻武器。市场成长的主要驱动力是中国人民解放军的大规模现代化战略，该战略旨在透过以更轻、更高初速的弹药取代老旧的7.62毫米弹药，从而提升士兵的作战能力。此外，全军各军种对此单一口径弹药的系统性标准化，是确保生产水准稳定和后勤保障统一性的根本驱动力，使其不受暂时性技术趋势的影响。

市场概览
预测期 2027-2031
市场规模：2025年 25.4亿美元
市场规模：2031年 31.6亿美元
复合年增长率：2026-2031年 3.71%
成长最快的细分市场 军队
最大的市场 北美洲

市场扩张的一大障碍是该弹药不符合北约标准。这主要限制了其应用范围，使其主要局限于中国军方，并限制了其出口潜力。关于支撑该产业的财政状况，斯德哥尔摩国际和平研究所的估计表明，中国2024年的军事支出约为3,140亿美元。这笔巨额预算直接用于持续采购和战略储备，以维持5.8毫米弹药市场的稳定性。

市场驱动因素

亚太地区地缘政治紧张局势加剧，大大刺激了全球5.8毫米弹药市场的需求，促使各国提升弹药生产能力以确保国防战备。随着中国人民解放军加快作战步伐，充足的弹药储备对于应对台湾海峡、南海等战略要地可能发生的高强度衝突至关重要。这种情况迫使中国将重点放在战略储备上，透过健全的后勤网路确保步兵部队能够维持持续的作战能力。政府对军事资产的投资为这项战略提供了资金支持。根据国务院2024年3月发布的《中央和地方预算执行报告》，国防预算拨款1.67兆元人民币，为大规模弹药采购项目累计了必要的资金保障。

新一代QBZ-191步枪平台的引入是第二个主要驱动力，它显着改变了该领域的技术要求。与以往的系统不同，QBZ-191采用现代化的5.8×42毫米DBP191弹药，该弹药具有更高的弹道係数和终端性能，因此需要对现有库存进行系统性的现代化改造。这项转变需要大规模生产这种特定型号的弹药，以供应目前正在进行现代化改造的大规模步兵部队。根据国际战略研究所（IISS）2024年2月发布的《2024年军事平衡》报告，中国人民解放军现役部队人数约为96.5万人，为此标准化进程构成了一个庞大而即时的市场。这项现代化努力也符合更广泛的金融趋势。根据《环球时报》2024年3月发布的《中国2024年国防预算》，国防支出增速设定为7.2%，确保了装备转型升级的持续资金投入。

市场挑战

全球5.8毫米弹药市场扩张的主要障碍在于其与北约标准缺乏互通性。在国际国防工业中，后勤相容性是采购的关键因素，各国倾向于选择能够与盟友共用且可从全球多个供应商采购的弹药。由于5.8×42毫米弹药是中国特有的标准，它被排除在这些既有的供应网络之外，因此对依赖标准5.56毫米或7.62毫米平台的外国军队缺乏吸引力。

这种孤立状态实际上阻碍了弹药从联合国国防费用和共用盈利中获益。根据欧洲航太、安全和国防工业协会（ASD）预测，到2024年，国防领域的销售额预计将达到1,834亿欧元，成长13.8%，这主要得益于标准化库存的联合补充。由于5.8毫米弹药无法融入这广泛的互通库存系统，因此错失了随着全球需求成长而扩大市场份额的机会。结果，该市场仍然局限于特定地域，无法享受标准化弹药类型所带来的规模经济和出口优势。

市场趋势

5.8毫米弹药的研发正从独立枪械製造转向融入更广泛的「智慧士兵」生态系统。这一趋势意味着将5.8毫米武器平台与采用弹道计算机和数据链的先进火控光学系统相结合，这就要求弹药具备极其精密的製造公差，以确保与数位化瞄准系统配合使用时的精度。正如《环球时报》2025年6月报道的《中国QBZ-191突击步枪透过战术瞄准镜提升精度》所述，这些整合系统能够实现20发子弹散布在3厘米以内的精度，这对下一代DBP-191弹药的品管提出了更高的要求。

5.8毫米弹药市场的另一个显着趋势是其独特性的增强。中国正积极推行一项政策，力求完全作为国产军用弹药。与国际互通性提升的趋势相反，5.8毫米弹药市场的特点是刻意禁止出口，製造商控制着技术和库存，使其仅限于国内现代化建设。这种国内化战略得到了强大的国有工业基础的支持。根据中国北方工业公司（NORINCO）2025年6月发布的《关于北方工业》公司简介，该公司2025年的销售收入将达到2190亿元人民币，这为其维持这一独特的、非出口的弹药生态系统提供了必要的庞大财力，使其独立于北约标准国际市场之外。

目录

第一章概述

第二章：调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章：客户心声

第五章：全球5.8毫米弹药市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
    • 按金额
  • 市占率及预测
    • 按类型（5.8 x 39 毫米、5.8 x 51 毫米、5.8 x 54 毫米、其他）
    • 按申请类别（军事、执法机关、民事）
    • 按地区
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市场地图

第六章：北美5.8毫米弹药市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 北美洲：国别分析
    • 我们
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第七章：欧洲5.8毫米弹药市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 欧洲：国别分析
    • 德国
    • 法国
    • 英国
    • 义大利
    • 西班牙

第八章：亚太地区5.8毫米弹药市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 亚太地区：国别分析
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韩国
    • 澳洲

第九章：中东和非洲5.8毫米弹药市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 中东与非洲：国别分析
    • 沙乌地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
    • 南非

第十章：南美5.8毫米弹药市场展望

  • 市场规模及预测
  • 市占率及预测
  • 南美洲：国别分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥伦比亚
    • 阿根廷

第十一章 市场动态

  • 促进因素
  • 任务

第十二章 市场趋势与发展

  • 併购
  • 产品发布
  • 近期趋势

第十三章 全球5.8毫米弹药市场：SWOT分析

第十四章：波特五力分析

  • 产业竞争
  • 新进入者的潜力
  • 供应商的议价能力
  • 顾客权力
  • 替代品的威胁

第十五章 竞争格局

  • Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • Vista Outdoor Inc.
  • Olin Corporation
  • RUAG International Holding AG
  • FN Herstal, SA
  • Nammo AS
  • BAE Systems plc
  • Poongsan Corporation
  • Sellier & Bellot AS
  • China North Industries Group Corporation Limited

第十六章 策略建议

第十七章：关于研究公司及免责声明

简介目录
Product Code: 22403

The Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market is projected to expand from USD 2.54 Billion in 2025 to USD 3.16 Billion by 2031, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 3.71%. This market is anchored by the 5.8X42mm intermediate cartridge, a unique rimless round designed and used solely by the People's Republic of China for its standard-issue small arms. The market's growth is primarily propelled by the People's Liberation Army's extensive modernization directives, which emphasize the replacement of older 7.62mm stocks with lighter, higher-velocity ammunition to improve individual soldier lethality. Additionally, the methodical standardization of this single caliber across all military branches serves as a fundamental driver for consistent production levels and ensures logistical uniformity, separate from fleeting technological trends.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 2.54 Billion
Market Size 2031USD 3.16 Billion
CAGR 2026-20313.71%
Fastest Growing SegmentMilitary
Largest MarketNorth America

A major obstacle hindering wider market growth is the cartridge's incompatibility with NATO standards, which restricts its adoption mainly to domestic Chinese forces and curtails export potential. In terms of the financial landscape supporting this industry, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute estimates that China's military expenditure rose to approximately 314 billion dollars in 2024. This substantial budgetary commitment directly funds the continuous procurement and strategic stockpiling necessary to maintain the stability of the 5.8mm ammunition sector.

Market Driver

Rising geopolitical friction in the Asia-Pacific region serves as a major stimulant for the Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market, requiring increased manufacturing capabilities to ensure national defense readiness. As the People's Liberation Army intensifies its operational pace, there is a critical need for significant ammunition reserves to prepare for possible high-intensity conflicts in strategic areas like the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea. This situation forces the state to focus on strategic stockpiling, guaranteeing that infantry units possess enduring combat sustainability through strong logistical networks, a stance financially backed by the government's investment in military assets. According to the 'Report on the Execution of the Central and Local Budgets' by the State Council of the People's Republic of China in March 2024, a national defense budget of 1.67 trillion yuan was allocated, providing the necessary funds for these extensive ammunition acquisition initiatives.

The introduction of next-generation QBZ-191 service rifle platforms acts as a second pivotal driver, significantly altering the sector's technological demands. Unlike previous systems, the QBZ-191 employs the modernized 5.8x42mm DBP191 cartridge, which delivers enhanced ballistic coefficients and terminal performance, necessitating a systematic update of current inventories. This shift requires the mass production of this specific cartridge model to supply the large infantry forces currently undergoing modernization. As noted in 'The Military Balance 2024' by the International Institute for Strategic Studies in February 2024, the PLA Ground Force consists of roughly 965,000 active personnel, representing a substantial immediate market for this standardization process. This modernization effort aligns with wider fiscal patterns; the Global Times reported in 'China's defense budget 2024' (March 2024) that defense spending growth was established at 7.2 percent, ensuring continued funding for these equipment transitions.

Market Challenge

The main obstacle to the expansion of the Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market is the cartridge's inherent lack of interoperability with NATO standards. In the international defense industry, logistical compatibility is a crucial factor for procurement, as countries prefer ammunition that can be shared with allies and obtained from various global suppliers. Since the 5.8X42mm round is proprietary to China, it is isolated from these established supply networks, making it unappealing to foreign military forces that depend on standard 5.56mm or 7.62mm platforms.

This isolation effectively prevents the cartridge from benefiting from the profitable trend towards collaborative defense expenditure and shared logistics. According to the Aerospace, Security and Defence Industries Association of Europe, defense sector turnover hit €183.4 billion in 2024, a 13.8% rise largely fueled by the collective restocking of standardized inventories. Because the 5.8mm format cannot be integrated into these extensive, interoperable stockpiles, it fails to gain market share from this increase in global demand. As a result, the market remains geographically restricted, unable to capitalize on the economies of scale and export profits associated with standardized ammunition types.

Market Trends

The development of 5.8mm ammunition is becoming increasingly distinct from standalone firearm manufacturing, shifting towards integration within broader "smart soldier" ecosystems. This trend entails combining 5.8mm weapon platforms with advanced fire-control optics that employ ballistic computers and data links, necessitating ammunition with extremely precise manufacturing tolerances to guarantee accuracy with digital targeting systems. As reported by the Global Times in June 2025 in 'China's QBZ-191 automatic rifle receives accuracy boost with tactical scopes', these integrated systems have attained 20-shot groupings within three centimeters, a level of precision that demands rigorous quality control for the new generation of DBP-191 cartridges.

Another notable trend in the 5.8mm market is the strengthening of its proprietary status, with China actively preserving it as an exclusive domestic military caliber. In contrast to the global movement towards cross-border interoperability, the 5.8mm market is defined by a deliberate absence of exports for this specific caliber, as manufacturers keep the technology and stockpiles isolated for internal modernization purposes. This domestic orientation is bolstered by significant state-supported industrial capability; according to the 'About NORINCO' corporate profile from China North Industries Corporation in June 2025, the company recorded sales revenue of 219 billion yuan, providing the massive financial scale needed to maintain this unique, non-exportable ammunition ecosystem separate from international NATO-standard markets.

Key Market Players

  • Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • Vista Outdoor Inc.
  • Olin Corporation
  • RUAG International Holding AG
  • FN Herstal, S.A.
  • Nammo AS
  • BAE Systems plc
  • Poongsan Corporation
  • Sellier & Bellot A.S.
  • China North Industries Group Corporation Limited

Report Scope

In this report, the Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

5.8mm Ammunition Market, By Type

  • 5.8X39MM
  • 5.8X51MM
  • 5.8X54MM
  • Others

5.8mm Ammunition Market, By Application

  • Military
  • Law Enforcement
  • Civilian

5.8mm Ammunition Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market.

Available Customizations:

Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Type (5.8X39MM, 5.8X51MM, 5.8X54MM, Others)
    • 5.2.2. By Application (Military, Law Enforcement, Civilian)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Type
    • 6.2.2. By Application
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Type
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 6.3.2. Canada 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Type
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 6.3.3. Mexico 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Type
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By Application

7. Europe 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Type
    • 7.2.2. By Application
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Type
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.2. France 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Type
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Type
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.4. Italy 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Type
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.5. Spain 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Type
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By Application

8. Asia Pacific 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Type
    • 8.2.2. By Application
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Type
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.2. India 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Type
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.3. Japan 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Type
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.4. South Korea 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Type
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.5. Australia 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Type
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By Application

9. Middle East & Africa 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Type
    • 9.2.2. By Application
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Type
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 9.3.2. UAE 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Type
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 9.3.3. South Africa 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Type
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By Application

10. South America 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Type
    • 10.2.2. By Application
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Type
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 10.3.2. Colombia 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Type
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 10.3.3. Argentina 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Type
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By Application

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Northrop Grumman Corporation
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Vista Outdoor Inc.
  • 15.3. Olin Corporation
  • 15.4. RUAG International Holding AG
  • 15.5. FN Herstal, S.A.
  • 15.6. Nammo AS
  • 15.7. BAE Systems plc
  • 15.8. Poongsan Corporation
  • 15.9. Sellier & Bellot A.S.
  • 15.10. China North Industries Group Corporation Limited

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer