市场调查报告书
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全球智慧武器市场:现况分析与预测(2024-2032)Smart Weapons Market: Current Analysis and Forecast (2024-2032) |
全球智慧武器市场规模在预测期内维持在6.95%的稳定成长率,这受到最大限度减少平民伤亡的需求不断增长和政府国防预算不断增长的推动力。智慧武器是世界各国最重要、最关键的军事力量要素之一。地区紧张局势、恐怖主义和地缘政治问题等日益严重的安全担忧以及现代化计划正在为智慧武器的发展提供动力。世界各国正透过增加智慧武器来增强军事能力,以应对不可预见的突发事件。因此,已开发国家和新兴国家正在增加国防预算,以应对不断变化的安全课题。例如,美国政府2023年的国防支出为8,200亿美元。其中,国防部用于军事活动的支出为7,760亿美元。此外,中国被认为是军事和国防方面大量投资的主要国家之一。例如,2024年,中国宣布国防预算比前一年增加7.2%。该国的新预算达2,361亿美元(1.7兆元)。与日本和台湾相比,中国的预算分别是日本和台湾的4倍和12倍,这显示政府对不断演变的安全问题很感兴趣。
依产品划分,市场分为飞弹、弹药、导引飞弹、导引火箭、定向能武器。飞弹领域将在 2023 年占据市场主导地位,并且由于对高导引飞弹的需求不断增加,预计在预测期内仍将占据主导地位。此外,推动飞弹需求的关键因素包括地缘政治紧张局势、来自先进对手的威胁不断增加、从反恐转向行业同行,以及为未来潜在衝突做好准备。俄罗斯、乌克兰和中东地区等国家之间不断加剧的地缘政治紧张局势导致对飞弹的需求激增。例如,2024年9月,俄罗斯向乌克兰首都基辅发射了一系列飞弹。飞弹包括多种类型的弹道飞弹和巡航飞弹。此外,人们对恐怖主义的日益关注和反恐的转变正在对智慧武器市场产生积极影响。美国和以色列等国正积极扩大其反恐飞弹能力。例如,以色列的防空系统 "铁穹" 旨在防御各种空中威胁,包括飞机、巡航飞弹和弹道飞弹。 Iron Dome 可自动拦截飞弹并捕获高达 99% 的来袭子弹。例如,2024年4月,伊朗向以色列发射了约300枚飞弹,包括多种类型的弹道飞弹和巡航飞弹,以报復以色列攻击叙利亚大马士革。
市场依平台分为空中、陆地和海上。 2023 年,陆地领域将主导智慧武器,预计在预测期内也会出现类似的发展。国防预算的增加、与网路中心战的整合以及不断扩大的技术进步正在推动该领域的成长。美国、中国和印度等国不断增加的国防预算为技术进步的发展和深化提供了保障。远程武器精度和准确度提高等进步正在促进这一领域的发展。例如,射程分别为1500公里和4000公里的东风21和东风26反舰弹道飞弹的研发代表了陆基智慧武器的进步。此外,整合人工智慧、机器学习、5G 网路和即时分析等技术来提高其能力和有效性,是陆基领域的一个重要例子。
依技术划分,市场分为雷射导引、红外线导引、雷达导引、卫星导引等。雷射导引领域预计将在 2023 年主导智慧武器,并且在预测期内预计也会出现类似的变化。由于雷射导引系统提供的高精度特性,雷射已成为现代战争中必不可少的工具。例如, "宝石路" 系列雷射制导炸弹与雷射指示器配合使用,因为雷射制导炸弹具有雷射感测器,可以高精度 "追踪" 从目标到炸弹的雷射反射。其精度可最大限度地减少无辜者的不幸死亡,从而提高雷射导引系统的效率。随着导引系统能力的显着增强,雷射技术也逐渐改进。例如,雷射导引目标的手段已透过技术进步得到改进,例如抵御恶劣天气条件等环境因素的能力。美国军方采用的先进雷射技术包括雷射导引弹药;例如,AGM 114 Hellfire 飞弹可以使用雷射指示器进行导引。
为了更深入瞭解智慧武器市场,市场分为北美(美国、加拿大、北美其他地区)、欧洲(德国、英国、法国、义大利、西班牙、欧洲其他地区)、亚洲太平洋地区(中国、日本、印度)、其他亚太地区)以及世界其他地区。由于其充足的国防预算、作为技术进步的中心以及对精确打击能力不断增长的需求,预计北美将在预测期内主导智慧武器市场。该地区包括在智慧武器发展中发挥关键作用的国家,例如美国和加拿大。这些国家是世界上最大的武器和国防製造商的所在地。美国拥有全球最大的国防预算,约8,200亿美元。Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, Raytheon Technologies等公司正在大力投资研发,以提高製造能力和新产品开发。此外,执法机构对智慧武器的需求不断增加,以控制该国的不可预测性和暴力。 LodeStar Works 等该地区的公司正在为执法机构推出智慧手枪,预计将为市场成长做出积极贡献。
市场的主要参与者包括 BAE Systems、L3Harris Technologies, Inc.、Leonardo S.p.A.、Lockheed Martin Corporation、MBDA Inc.、Northrop Grumman、RTX、IAI、Boeing 和 NORINCO。
Smart weapons include a range of precision-guided bombs that have great accuracy, smart bullets that can change their trajectory, and smart land mines that deactivate at a certain time. Advanced technology offers the military more clever ways of killing the enemy, while some of the methods are designed to eliminate or lessen collateral damage.
The Smart Weapons Market is growing at a steady rate of 6.95% during the forecast period, driven by the increasing demand to minimize civilian casualties and the increased government defense budget. Smart weapons are one of the most important and key elements of military power for countries around the world. The increasing security concerns and modernization programs including regional tension, terrorism, and geopolitical have gained momentum on smart weapons. Countries around the world are strengthening their military capabilities to tackle unwanted situations by adding smart weapons. Therefore, developed and developing countries have increased their defense budget to address the evolving security challenges. For instance, in 2023, the U.S government spent USD 820 billion on national defense. Out of this, the Department of Defense spent USD 776 billion on military activities. Additionally, China is considered one of the major countries that is investing heavily in the military and defense. For instance, in 2024, China unveiled its defense budget with an increase of 7.2% from the previous year. The country's new budget has gone to USD 236.1 billion (1.7 trillion yuan). When compared to Japan and Taiwan China's budget is 4 and 12 times greater which shows government interest towards evolving security concerns.
Based on product, the market is segmented into missiles, munitions, guided projectiles, guided rockets, and directed energy weapons. The missiles segment dominated the market in 2023 and is expected to dominate in the forecast period due to the growing demand for advanced guided missiles. Additionally, some of the major factors that have propelled the demand for the missiles include geopolitical tension, rising threats from advanced adversaries, a shift from counterterrorism to peer competitors, and the preparation for potential future conflicts. The increased geopolitical tension between countries such as Russia, Ukraine, and the Middle East region has skyrocketed the demand for missiles. For instance, in September 2024, Russia launched a barrage of missiles on Ukraine's capital city Kyiv. The missile includes several types of ballistic and cruise missiles. Moreover, the rising concern over terrorism and the shift toward counterterrorism has positively impacted the smart weapons market. Countries such as the U.S. and Israel have actively expanded their capabilities of missiles for counterterrorism. For example, Israel's air defense system "Iron Dome" is meant to protect against a range of aerial threats, which includes aircraft, cruise, and ballistic missiles. The iron dome automatically intercepted missiles and secured up to 99% of the incoming projectiles. For instance, in April 2024, Iran launched around 300 missiles at Israel including several types of ballistic and cruise missiles, in retaliation to an Israeli strike on Damascus, Syria.
Based on the platform, the market is segmented into air, land, and naval. The land segment dominated the smart weapons in 2023 and is expected to behave similarly in the forecast period. The increased defense budget, integration with network-centric warfare, and growing technological advancement have boosted segmental growth. The increased defense budget of countries such as the U.S., China, and India ascertain wings to develop and deep down into technological advancements. Advancements such as enhanced precision and accuracy for long-range weapons have increased, which contributed to the segmental growth. For example, the development of DF-21 and DF-26 anti-ship ballistic missiles which have a range of 1500, and 4,000 kilometers respectively show the advancements in land-based smart weapons. Additionally, the integration of technologies such as AI, ML, 5G networks, and real-time analytics to enhance their capabilities and effectiveness is a key example in the land-based segment.
Based on technology, the market is segmented into laser guidance, infrared guidance, radar guidance, satellite guidance, and others. The laser guidance segment dominated the smart weapons in 2023 and is expected to behave similarly in the forecast period. Laser is an indispensable tool in recent warfare due to its features of high precision and accuracy provided by laser-guided systems. For instance, the Paveway series of laser-guided bombs work in conjunction with a laser designator in that the laser-guided bomb has a laser sensor that 'homes in' on the laser reflections from the target and bombs it with great precision. The accuracy achieved translates well to minimizing unfortunate deaths of innocent people and makes laser-guided systems efficient. Laser technologies have progressively been upgraded such that the functionality of the guidance system has increased at an exponential rate. For example, the means of laser guidance to targets have improved due to technological advances such as the ability to withstand environmental factors such as bad weather. The advanced laser technology being employed in the U.S military involves the laser-guided munition, for instance, the AGM 114 Hellfire missile which can be guided by laser designators.
For a better understanding of the market of smart weapons, the market is analyzed based on its worldwide presence in countries such as North America (The US, Canada, and Rest of North America), Europe (Germany, The UK, France, Italy, Spain, Rest of Europe), Asia-Pacific (China, Japan, India, Rest of Asia-Pacific), Rest of World. The North America smart weapons market is expected to dominate in the forecast period due to several factors, such as the region has a substantial defense budget, a hub for technological advancements, and the growing demand for precision strike capabilities. The region includes countries such as the U.S., and Canada, which play an important role in developing smart weapons. These countries have some of the world's biggest weapon and defense manufacturer companies. United States has the world's highest defense budget globally approximately USD 820 billion. Companies such as Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, and Raytheon Technologies invested hefty amounts in research and development to advance their manufacturing capabilities and new product development. Moreover, there is an increasing demand for smart weapons in law enforcement to control the unexpected situation and violence within the country. Companies in the region such as LodeStar Works are introducing smart handguns for law enforcement, which is expected to positively contribute the market growth.
Some of the major players operating in the market include BAE Systems, L3Harris Technologies, Inc., Leonardo S.p.A., Lockheed Martin Corporation, MBDA Inc., Northrop Grumman, RTX, IAI, Boeing, and NORINCO.