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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1824112
排碳权的全球市场:类型,供给来源,计划类型,产业,废弃物处理厂房,地区 - 市场规模,产业动态,机会分析,预测(2025年~2035年)Global Carbon Credit Market: Type, Sources, Project Type, Industry, Waste Treatment Plant, Region - Market Size, Industry Dynamics, Opportunity Analysis And Forecast For 2025-2035 |
碳信用额市场正经历爆炸性成长,且日益复杂,反映出其在全球应对气候变迁的努力中日益重要的地位。 2024年,市场规模为1.1424兆美元,预计到2035年将达到4.9837兆美元。这一增长在预测期(2025-2035年)的复合年增长率为18%,显示碳交易作为减排关键手段的动能正在加速。
这项预测的成长并非仅仅是市场投机的结果;它深植于具体的需求动态,尤其是来自企业部门的需求动态。光是2023年,企业就註销了约1.61亿个碳信用额,显示企业对抵销排放的承诺日益坚定且持续成长。随着科学减碳目标 (SBT) 的日益普及,企业普遍采取的行动也得到了进一步加强。全球已有超过 5,200 家公司将其气候变迁策略与科学减碳目标结合。
新兴经济体和企业对参与碳信用交易表现出浓厚兴趣,这表明全球市场正在不断拓宽和深化。一个值得关注的例子是星展中国最近与中新苏州工业园区发展集团 (CSSD) 旗下子公司中新苏州工业园区绿色发展有限公司 (CSSGD) 和气候影响 X (CIX) 签署的谅解备忘录 (MOU)。该合作旨在促进中国境内的碳信用交易,并将其范围扩大到境外。
同时,企业正透过旨在促进优质信用额取得的新服务进入碳信用额市场。 2025 年 3 月,亚马逊为符合资格的企业推出了碳信用额服务。这项服务简化了取得经过验证的可靠碳信用额的流程,使企业能够更有效、更透明地抵销排放。亚马逊进军这一领域反映了企业对可靠气候解决方案日益增长的需求。它展示了私营部门的创新如何补充政府和多边努力,以扩大全球碳市场。
成长动力
日益严格的政府法规和雄心勃勃的国家气候变迁目标是碳信用市场快速成长的关键驱动力。认识到碳信用额在实现气候变迁目标方面发挥的关键作用,世界各国政府正在实施更严格的政策和监管框架来支持其使用。这些监管收紧措施旨在确保碳信用额的可靠性、可验证性和温室气体减排有效性。
新的机会趋势
数位化测量、报告和验证 (MRV) 系统的发展是推动碳市场成长和创新的变革趋势。这些数位化MRV解决方案是一项重要的进步,透过提高透明度和确保碳信用额的完整性,显着增强了碳交易的管理和整体效率。随着碳市场的扩张和日益复杂,对排放和碳清除活动的可靠、即时和准确监测的需求变得比以往任何时候都更加重要。数位化MRV系统利用尖端技术,自动化和简化碳减排追踪流程,从而满足了这项需求。
优化障碍
对 "漂绿" 和碳抵消专案声明完整性的担忧是可能阻碍碳信用额市场成长的重大课题。随着碳抵消需求的增加,对声称减少或消除温室气体排放的各种项目的真实性和有效性的审查也日益严格。 "漂绿" ——即呈现误导性或夸大环境效益的做法——会破坏市场信任,并引发人们对碳信用对气候变迁的真正影响的怀疑。这种怀疑态度可能会疏远潜在的买家、投资者和监管机构,减缓市场扩张,并削弱整体信心。
本报告探讨并分析了全球碳信用市场,提供了每个细分市场的规模和预测、市场动态和趋势以及公司概况。
The carbon credit market is one marked by explosive growth and increasing complexity, reflecting its rising importance in the global effort to combat climate change. Valued at an impressive US$1,142.40 billion in 2024, the market is on track for extraordinary expansion, with projections estimating it will reach nearly US$4,983.7 billion by 2035. This growth corresponds to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18% over the forecast period from 2025 to 2035, underscoring the accelerating momentum behind carbon trading as a critical tool for emissions reduction.
This projected surge is not merely a result of market speculation but is deeply rooted in tangible demand dynamics, particularly from the corporate sector. In 2023 alone, companies retired an estimated 161 million carbon credits, demonstrating a strong and growing commitment to offsetting their emissions. This widespread corporate engagement is further bolstered by the increasing adoption of Science-Based Targets (SBTs), with more than 5,200 firms globally aligning their climate strategies with scientifically grounded goals.
Emerging economies and companies are increasingly demonstrating a strong interest in participating in carbon credit trading, signaling a broadening and deepening of the market on a global scale. A notable example is DBS China's recent signing of a memorandum of understanding with China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Green Development Company (CSSGD), a subsidiary of China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group (CSSD), along with Climate Impact X (CIX). This partnership aims to advance carbon credit trading within China and extend its reach beyond national borders.
Meanwhile, corporate players are entering the carbon credit market with new services designed to facilitate access to high-quality credits. In March 2025, Amazon launched its carbon credit service aimed at qualified companies. This service provides streamlined access to verified and credible carbon credits, enabling businesses to offset their emissions more effectively and transparently. Amazon's entry into this space reflects the growing corporate demand for credible climate solutions. This illustrates how private sector innovation is complementing government and multilateral efforts to scale carbon markets globally.
Core Growth Drivers
Increasingly stringent government regulations and ambitious national climate targets are key drivers behind the rapid growth of the carbon credit market. Around the world, governments are recognizing the critical role that carbon credits play in achieving their climate goals and are consequently implementing more rigorous policies and regulatory frameworks to support their use. These enhanced regulations are designed to ensure that carbon credits are credible, verifiable, and effective in reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
Emerging Opportunity Trends
The development of digital Measurement, Reporting, and Verification (MRV) systems represents a major transformative trend driving growth and innovation within the carbon market. These digital MRV solutions are vital advancements that significantly enhance the operations and overall effectiveness of carbon trading by improving transparency and ensuring the integrity of carbon credits. As the carbon market expands and becomes increasingly complex, the need for reliable, real-time, and accurate monitoring of emissions and carbon removal activities has become more critical than ever. Digital MRV systems address this need by leveraging cutting-edge technologies to automate and streamline the processes involved in tracking carbon reductions.
Barriers to Optimization
Concerns over greenwashing and the integrity of offset project claims present significant challenges that could hamper the growth of the carbon credit market. As the demand for carbon offsets increases, so too does scrutiny over the authenticity and effectiveness of various projects claiming to reduce or remove greenhouse gas emissions. Greenwashing-the practice of presenting misleading or exaggerated environmental benefits-undermines trust in the market and raises doubts about whether carbon credits truly represent genuine climate action. This skepticism can deter potential buyers, investors, and regulators, slowing market expansion and reducing overall confidence.
By Type, the compliance segment's overwhelming 99.6% share of the carbon credit market highlights its absolute dominance and fundamental influence over the entire landscape. This dominance is not a coincidence but rather a structural reality shaped by legally binding government mandates and international agreements designed to curb greenhouse gas emissions. Central to this framework are cap-and-trade systems, which establish limits on emissions and create a regulated marketplace for trading carbon credits. Among these, the European Union's Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) stands out as the world's largest and most influential.
By Source, technology-based carbon credits have firmly established their dominance in the market, capturing a substantial 46.9% share. This growing prominence reflects an increasing demand for carbon removal solutions that are not only effective but also permanent and highly verifiable. Unlike many nature-based solutions, which can be vulnerable to risks such as forest fires, disease, or land-use changes that may reverse the carbon sequestration achieved, technology-driven methods provide a more durable and reliable approach to removing CO2 from the atmosphere.
By Project Type, carbon removal projects dominate the market with an impressive 75.3% share, reflecting a significant shift in global climate strategy. The focus within the environmental community and among policymakers has moved beyond merely preventing future emissions to actively removing existing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. This transition acknowledges the urgent need to address legacy carbon-greenhouse gases that have already accumulated and continue to drive climate change.
By Selling Platform, climate exchange platforms have emerged as the dominant force in the carbon credit transaction infrastructure, commanding an impressive 64.9% share of the market. Their rise to prominence is largely due to their ability to deliver the transparency, liquidity, and efficiency that the evolving carbon market demands. By operating as centralized digital marketplaces, these platforms effectively bring together buyers and sellers within a highly regulated environment. This setup fosters robust price discovery, allowing market participants to gauge the true value of carbon credits through open and dynamic trading processes.
By Industry, the power generation industry holds the position of the largest consumer in the carbon credit market, commanding a significant 22.1% share. This prominent role directly stems from its status as one of the primary sources of global greenhouse gas emissions. Fossil fuel power plants, which generate much of the world's electricity, release vast amounts of carbon dioxide and other pollutants into the atmosphere, making them central targets for emissions reduction efforts worldwide.
By Type
By Project Type
By Selling Platform
By Business Size
By Industry
By Region
Geography Breakdown