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全球醋酸乙烯单体市场 - 2024-2031Global Vinyl Acetate Monomer Market - 2024-2031 |
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概述
全球醋酸乙烯单体市场2023年达到102亿美元,预计到2031年将达到157亿美元,2024-2031年预测期间CAGR为4.5%。
由于主要最终用途行业需求不断增长,全球黏合剂行业的扩张预计将在预测期内继续成为全球醋酸乙烯单体市场的主要推动力。包装是黏合剂和密封剂的主要使用者。汽车和建筑等最终用户行业对包装的需求很高。
根据CEPI的数据,欧盟CEPI成员国的纸和纸板总产量为90,583千吨,比2020年的85,349千吨增加6.1%。2021年,包装纸和纸板占总产量53,545千吨。此外,CEPI成员国2021年的纸和纸板总消费量为75,219千吨,高于2020年的71,108千吨,成长5.8%。
到2023年,北美预计将成为成长第二快的地区,约占全球醋酸乙烯单体市场的25%。美国包装产业的良好成果,加上该国页岩气的繁荣,预计将继续成为区域市场成长的关键驱动力。
动力学
太阳能产业需求不断成长
大多数太阳能电池采用乙烯-醋酸乙烯酯来封装光伏组件。这是因为它具有高透光率和柔韧性、良好的熔体流动性、低加工温度和黏合性能等优点。太阳能电池的使用在世界各地迅速增长。过去十年,随着政府资助的增加,全球新安装的太阳能光电池的产能不断扩大。
太阳能光电发电装置规模稳定扩大。 SolarPower Europe估计,到2021年,全球累积太阳能光电发电容量将达到940吉瓦。太阳能市场的扩张标誌着分散式和永续能源解决方案的趋势。此外,预计未来三年太阳能光电装置容量将超过2.3太瓦,较2021年增加超过1.4太瓦。
对黏合剂和涂料的需求不断增长
醋酸乙烯酯因其优异的黏合、纤维形成、光学和电学性能而成为黏合剂製造中最重要的单体之一。它是用于製造工业和消费品的重要化学建筑成分。 VAM 是用于生产消费品和工业应用的聚合物和共聚物的前驱物。
由于基础设施支出增加,特别是在亚太和拉丁美洲的新兴经济体,对油漆和涂料的需求不断增长,可能会推动预测期内全球醋酸乙烯单体市场的成长。由于其对环境的影响较小,醋酸乙烯酯乙烯共聚物是建筑涂料的理想选择。
原物料价格波动及监管严格
页岩气勘探和生产活动的增加预计将维持 VAM 生产关键原料的稳定供应。原油是乙烯生产的主要原料,然后用于生产 VAM。从页岩气中提取的天然气中乙烷的含量高于用于 VAM 合成的原油。
VAM 的製造依赖于乙酸,乙酸是从甲醇和乙醛以及从原油或天然气中提取的乙烯中获得的。这些原材料的价格可能会大幅波动,影响 VAM 的製造成本、利润率和市场稳定性。为应对日益严重的环境问题而製定的严格法规以及关键原材料价格的波动预计将继续成为行业参与者的重大障碍。
Overview
Global Vinyl Acetate Monomer Market reached US$ 10.2 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach US$ 15.7 billion by 2031, growing with a CAGR of 4.5% during the forecast period 2024-2031.
The global adhesives industry's expansion due to rising demand from major end-use industries is projected to continue to be a major driving force in the global vinyl acetate monomer market during the forecast period. Packaging is a major user of adhesives and sealants. Packaging is in high demand from end-user sectors such as automotive and construction.
According to CEPI, total paper and board production in the CEPI member countries of the European Union was 90,583 kilotons, representing a 6.1% increase from 85,349 kilotons in 2020. In 2021, packaging paper and board accounted for 53,545 kiloTons of total production. Furthermore, CEPI member nations' overall consumption of paper and board in 2021 was 75,219 kilotons, up from 71,108 kilotons in 2020, representing a 5.8% increase.
In 2023, North America is expected to be the second-fastest growing region, holding about 25% of the global vinyl acetate monomer market. A promising outcome for the packaging industry in U.S., combined with the country's shale gas boom, is projected to continue to be a key driving force for regional market growth.
Dynamics
Growing Demand from Solar Industry
The majority of solar cells employ ethylene-vinyl acetate to enclose photovoltaic modules. It is due to its advantages, which include high light transmittance and flexibility, great melt fluidity, low processing temperature and adhesive properties. The use of solar cells is growing rapidly over the world. Over the last decade, as government funding has increased, the capacity of newly installed solar photovoltaic cells has expanded globally.
Solar photovoltaics' installed capacity is steadily expanding. SolarPower Europe estimates that global cumulative solar PV capacity will reach 940 GW by 2021. The solar market's expansion signals a trend towards distributed and sustainable energy solutions. Furthermore, solar PV capacity is predicted to exceed 2.3 TW during the next three years, an increase of more than 1.4 TW from 2021.
Growing Demand from Adhesives and Coatings
Vinyl acetate is one of the most essential monomers used in adhesive manufacture due to its superior adhesive, fiber-forming, optical and electrical capabilities. It is an important chemical building ingredient used to make industrial and consumer goods. VAM is a precursor utilized in the production of polymers and copolymers for both consumer and industrial applications.
Growing demand for paints and coatings as a result of increased infrastructure spending, particularly in emerging economies in Asia-Pacific and Latin America, is likely to boost the global vinyl acetate monomer market growth during the forecast period. Vinyl acetate ethylene copolymers are ideal for architectural coatings due to their low environmental impact.
Volatility in Raw Material Price and Stringent Regulations
Increasing shale gas exploration and production activities are expected to maintain a steady supply of critical raw materials for VAM production. Crude oil is a primary feedstock for ethylene production, which is then used to produce VAM. Natural gas extracted from shale gas contains a higher percentage of ethane than crude oil for VAM synthesis.
VAM manufacturing is dependent on acetic acid, which is obtained from methanol and acetaldehyde and ethylene, which is derived from crude oil or natural gas. Prices for these raw materials can fluctuate dramatically, affecting VAM manufacturing costs, profit margins and market stability. Stringent regulations in response to growing environmental concerns, as well as variable prices for key raw materials, are expected to continue to be significant obstacles for industry participants.
The global vinyl acetate monomer market is segmented based on application, end-user and region.
Rising Demand for Adhesives and Coatings Drives the Segment Growth
Polyvinyl Acetate production is expected to be the fastest growing segment with 1/3rd of the market during the forecast period 2024-2031. PVA is the largest VAM derivative and is widely used in adhesive applications due to its excellent adhesion qualities to a variety of substrates such as wood, paper, metals and plastic films.
PVA is also used extensively in paints and coatings. PVOH is the second-largest VAM consumer made from PVA. PVOH is utilized in a variety of applications including coatings, adhesives and water-soluble packaging. PVAc, developed from PVA, is used to make magnetic wire insulation, safety glass interlayers, wash primers and coatings.
Rising Production of New Energy Vehicles in Asia-Pacific
Asia-Pacific is the dominant region in the global vinyl acetate monomer market covering about 30% of the market. The region is expected to grow rapidly as countries such as China increase their investment in construction and the automobile industry. China is the world's largest vehicle producer. In accordance to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturing, the country's output of new energy passenger vehicles increased by 97.8% year on year in December 2022.
Furthermore, the country's new energy commercial vehicle production increased by 81% year on year in December 2022. Thus, the rising automobile business is likely to boost demand for vinyl acetate in the region. Vinyl acetate is commonly used to make paints, coatings, adhesives and packaging materials. With China being a prominent player in these industries, the demand for vinyl acetate is likely to increase during the forecast period.
The major global players in the market include Celanese Corporation, LyondellBasell Industries, The Dow Chemical Company, DuPont, Kuraray, Ineos, Chang Chun Group, Dairen Chemical Corp, Sinopec and Wacker Chemie.
COVID-19 Impact
The pandemic disrupted several industries, including construction, automotive, packaging and textiles, all of which rely heavily on VAM and its derivatives. The pandemic affected global supply chains, limiting raw material availability, transportation and logistics. Lockdown measures, supply chain interruptions and economic uncertainty caused swings in demand for VAM-based products such adhesives, coatings and polymers.
Changing consumer behavior during the pandemic, like increased demand for e-commerce, home improvement projects and healthcare supplies, had an impact on VAM-based product demand. For example, the spike in online shopping raised the demand for packaging materials, resulting in increasing demand for VAM-based adhesives and coatings used in packaging applications.
Russia-Ukraine War Impact
Geopolitical tensions and war can cause market uncertainty, causing buyers and investors to hesitate. Companies may postpone investment decisions or seek alternate supply sources to reduce geopolitical risks, which could have an influence on global VAM demand. Any production or transportation disruptions caused by a dispute might result to supply shortages and price volatility in the global VAM market.
Furthermore, Russia is a large exporter of natural gas, a critical feedstock for VAM manufacturing. Any disruptions in Russia's gas supply could have a significant impact on regional VAM output. The conflict causes heightened volatility in energy markets, particularly natural gas and crude oil prices. Natural gas is a significant feedstock for VAM production, so any volatility in energy prices could affect production costs and profitability for VAM companies globally.
The global vinyl acetate monomer market report would provide approximately 54 tables, 45 figures and 184 pages.
Target Audience 2024
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