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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1474039
全球铂族金属市场 - 2024-2031Global Platinum Group Metals Market - 2024-2031 |
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概述
2023年全球铂族金属市场规模达321亿美元,预计2031年将达413亿美元,2024-2031年预测期间复合年增长率为3.2%。
电池技术的进步和电动车新型电池化学材料的开发将成为预测期内促进全球市场成长的关键因素。人们正在研究钴铂奈米材料合金,以提高电动车电池的性能效率。
全球铂族金属市场的长期成长潜力因主要生产商未能提高产量而受到阻碍。鑑于铂族金属价格暴跌,许多生产商实际上正在关闭许多无利可图的矿山,并且更加犹豫是否要部署大量资本投资来勘探和开采新矿山以支持全球需求的成长。
动力学
采用严格的反排放规范
儘管目前全球存在脱碳趋势,但预计还需要二十年才能看到明显效果。同时,各国政府制定了严格的反排放法规,大力遏止道路运输的污染物和碳排放。例如,欧盟预计从2026年起制定最严格的欧7排放标准。
三元催化器是汽车污染控制的主要设备。催化转换器在催化剂存在下透过氧化还原反应将车辆的剧毒废气转化为无害气体。催化剂是铂族金属,铑或钯。
所有现代车辆都配备了催化转换器。许多旧车辆也正在改装触媒转换器,以防止它们在新的排放标准下变得不值得。严格排放标准的日益采用预计将推动全球铂族金属市场的成长。
新癌症疗法的开发
在过去的十年中,化疗抗药性癌症的病例不断增加。然而,类似地,儘管免疫疗法已经变得更加先进,但它仅被用于少数特定癌症的标准治疗。因此,科学家现在正在研究开发新的铂类化疗药物。
例如,2023年3月,俄罗斯南乌拉尔国立大学的研究人员合成了新的复杂铂分子,其毒性比传统的铂基化疗药物更低。奈达铂、洛铂和庚铂是一些铂类化疗药物,已在一些国家获得监管部门批准,但尚未在全球广泛使用。新的癌症疗法的开发将在预测期内进一步增加对铂族金属的需求。
价格波动加剧
铂族金属(PGM)的价格在疫情后时期波动加剧。儘管价格在2021 年第一季经历了短暂的回升,但在2022 年和2023 年的大部分时间里,价格再次持平或下降。金属平均价格低于4 月的峰值2021 年。
世界铂金投资理事会估计全球供应缺口占总需求的 8%,并可能持续到 2027 年。下跌。许多生产商正在积极寻求关闭亏损的采矿业务,以提高整体获利能力。价格波动的加剧将阻碍全球市场的长期成长前景。
Overview
Global Platinum Group Metals Market reached US$ 32.1 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach US$ 41.3 billion by 2031, growing with a CAGR of 3.2% during the forecast period 2024-2031.
The advancements in battery technology and the development of new battery chemistries for electric vehicles will be a key factor in facilitating global market growth during the forecast period. Cobalt-platinum nanomaterial alloys are being investigated for increasing the performance efficiency of electric vehicle batteries.
The long term growth potential for the global platinum group metals market is hobbled by the failure of major producers to boost production. Given the crash in PGM prices, many producers are actually closing many unprofitable mines and are more hesitant to deploy significant capital investments in exploring and exploiting new mines to support increase in global demand.
Dynamics
Adoption of Stringent Anti-Emission Norms
Although there is currently a global trend towards decarbonization, it is still expected to take another two decades to witness appreciable effects. In the meanwhile, governments have instituted stringent anti-emission regulations to heavily curb pollutants and carbon emissions from road transportation. For instance, the European Union is expected to institute the most stringent Euro 7 emission standards from 2026. From FY 21 onwards, India has implemented the Bharat Stage (BS) 6 emission norms whilst skipping BS5 norms, in an effort to reduce vehicular pollution.
The catalytic converter is the chief equipment used for pollution control in automobiles. A catalytic converter converts the highly toxic exhaust fumes of the vehicle into harmless gases through a redox reaction in the presence of a catalyst. The catalyst is a platinum group metal, either rhodium or palladium.
All modern vehicles are fitted with a catalytic converter. Many older vehicles are also being retrofitted with catalytic converters to prevent them from being rendered unworthy under new emission standards. The growing adoption of stringent emission norms is expected to drive the growth of the global platinum group metals market.
Development of New Cancer Therapies
Cases of chemotherapy treatment-resistant cancers has been growing in frequency over the past decade. However, in a similar note, although immunotherapy has become more advanced it has only been adopted for standard treatment for a few specific cancers. Therefore, scientists are now looking at developing new platinum-based chemotherapy drugs.
For instance, in March 2023, researchers at the South Ural State University in Russia synthesized new complex platinum molecules with less toxicity than traditional platinum-based chemotherapy agents. Nedaplatin, lobaplatin and heptaplatin are some platinum-based chemotherapy agents that have received regulatory approval in some countries but are not yet widely available globally. New cancer therapy development will further boost demand for platinum group metals during the forecast period.
Increased Price Volatility
The price of platinum group metals (PGM) has witnessed increased volatility in the post-pandemic period. Although prices underwent a brief recovery during the Q1 2021, prices have once again either stayed flat or declined for most of 2022 and 2023. Cumulative PGM prices fell by 42% through the entire 2023, with basket PGM average price going below the peak of April 2021.
The World Platinum Investment Council estimates global supply deficit at 8% of total demand and is likely to remain in place till 2027. Despite sanctions on Russia for the ongoing war in Ukraine, there has been less than severe disruption in the global PGM markets, thereby further precipitating price decline. Many producers are actively looking to close lose making mining operations to boost overall profitability. An increase in price volatility will hamper the long term growth prospects of the global market.
The global platinum group metals market is segmented based on type, application and region.
Diverse Range of Applications for Platinum Give it a Major Market Share
One of the major industrial uses of platinum is as a catalyst in automotive catalytic converters, which convert toxic exhaust automotive fumes into harmless gases. Platinum is also used to produce specialized electrodes, laboratory equipment, platinum resistance thermometers and dentistry equipment. Platinum is used in glassmaking for the manipulation of molten glass.
Growing innovations in the field of pharmacy have also opened up new applications for platinum. For example, platinum-containing compounds such as cisplatin, carboplatin and oxaliplatin are used in chemotherapy drugs to treat certain types of cancer. Comparatively, other metals in the group such as ruthenium and palladium have more specialized and niche applications.
North America to Garner the Largest Market Share
North America's major share in the global market is mainly due to its status as a leading scientific and technology hub. Many startups and established companies in various industrial sectors are active in the region. The region is a major producer of automobiles and automotive components. Platinum group metals are used in the production of catalytic converters for automobiles. North America produced 17.3 million vehicles in 2023, according to the international association of motor vehicle manufacturers (OICA).
North America is also a major hub of scientific research, mainly due to the well-developed research ecosystem of U.S. The space industry uses platinum to produce various rocket and satellite components. NASA is U. S's national space agency and the country has a well-developed space research industry. Private space companies such as SpaceX are also increasingly launching human spaceflight missions and satellite missions.
North America also has well-developed biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries. Both these industries utilize platinum group metals to produce various medical equipment and drug formulations. For instance, in November 2022, ImmunoGen, a U.S.-based biotechnology company launched Elahere, a new platinum chemotherapy drugs for ovarian cancer treatment. The continued dominance of U.S. in most emerging high technology research sectors ensures that North America will continue occupying a major share in the global platinum group metals market.
The COVID-19 pandemic created many challenges for the global market. PGM prices fell to multi-month lows in April 2020 and stayed low throughout the year on account of reduced demand from most sectors. Price recovery was only visible starting from February-March 2021, as the most stringent lockdowns were lifted. Most PGM mining operations were disrupted due to the pandemic.
The partial shutdown of commercial mining operations gave rise to illegal and artisanal mining. The flooding of market by illegally mined PGM metals further complicated the global price recovery during the short term. The post-pandemic period has witnessed a sustained rise in demand from various sectors and the market is poised for significant long-term growth.
The Russia-Ukraine war has created major upheaval in the global platinum group metals market, particularly since Russia is one of the largest producers of platinum and palladium. The sanctioning of trade in PGM by Russian entities by EU and U.S. has led Russia to resort to the international grey market for continuing the export of these metals.
The sanctioning of Russia has also created an opening for southern African nations such as Zimbabwe and South Africa for increasing their exports of platinum group metals. Multinational mining companies operating in both these countries are stepping up production at mining sites and are also exploring new potential sites for commercial production.
The major global players in the market include African Rainbow Minerals, Anglo American Platinum, Aquarius Platinum, Eastern Platinum, Glencore, Implats, Johnson Matthey, Norilsk Nickel, Sibanye-Stillwater and Northam Platinum Limited.
The global platinum group metals market report would provide approximately 50 tables, 50 figures and 187 Pages.
Target Audience 2024
LIST NOT EXHAUSTIVE