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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1887150
国防电子设备淘汰市场规模、占有率、成长及全球产业分析:按类型、应用和地区划分的洞察,以及2024-2032年预测Defense Electronics Obsolescence Market Size, Share, Growth and Global Industry Analysis By Type & Application, Regional Insights and Forecast to 2024-2032 |
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随着全球国防机构在维护、升级和现代化老旧军用电子设备方面面临日益严峻的挑战,全球国防电子设备淘汰市场正经历强劲且持续的成长。根据最新评估,该市场规模在2024年达到25.3亿美元,2025年将增加至27.3亿美元,预计2032年将达到50亿美元。这种稳定成长反映了随着老旧国防系统电子元件寿命的延长,确保作战准备的持续需求。
国防电子设备淘汰是指由于技术变革或製造製程转型,关键电子元件达到使用寿命终点、过时或无法取得的现象。国防平台,例如飞机、船、雷达系统和飞弹网络,通常运行数十年,往往超过其嵌入式电子设备的寿命。这就产生了对逆向工程、升级和延寿计画的策略需求,以维持关键任务系统的效能和可靠性。市场动态
驱动因素:作战准备与生命週期管理
影响市场格局的关键驱动因素是全球对作战准备的重视。随着军事平台对电子设备的依赖性日益增强,在快速的技术变革中保持功能已成为一项战略重点。生命週期管理策略确保了国防电子设备的可升级性、可维护性和安全性。国防机构正在大力投资预测分析和过时预测工具,以便在组件故障中断任务执行之前进行预测。预计到2032年,对现代化、可互通电子设备的日益依赖将显着加速市场发展。
限制因素:高成本与复杂的供应链
儘管现代化需求强劲,但挑战依然存在。国防供应链以其复杂性、严格的监管以及高度专业化的零件(这些零件的来源有限)而闻名。当製造商停止生产关键零件时,更换成本可能高得令人望而却步。过时管理可能涉及大规模的重新设计以及成本高昂的检验和认证流程。这些财务和后勤的挑战往往会延缓升级,限制现代化进程,减缓短期市场成长。
机会:延寿计画
延寿计画代表着一个重要的机遇,它使军队能够以远低于新采购的成本维护老旧平台。透过逆向工程、再製造和有针对性的现代化改造,国防机构可以延长航空电子设备、导引系统和电子战模组的使用寿命。预计在2024年至2032年间,对这类延寿计画的需求将持续成长,因为许多飞机、船舰和陆地车辆的使用寿命都将超过其原始设计寿命。对于面临预算限制但又希望提升作战能力的国家而言,这种方法尤其具有成本效益。
市场趋势
一个显着的趋势是基于人工智慧的预测分析技术的快速普及,该技术使国防机构能够预测故障、优化备件库存并主动识别高风险部件。利用机器学习技术的先进过时管理系统可协助国防公司规划技术更新周期、减少运转停机时间并提高设备可靠性。随着全球国防平台整合更多复杂的感测器和数位电子设备,预测分析技术在2032年之前仍将是过时管理的核心。
细分市场亮点
依系统划分
导航系统细分市场在2024年占10%的市场占有率,这主要得益于GPS、SAR、地理空间和先进惯性系统升级需求的增加。预计空中和陆地平台的现代化改造计画也将推动对飞行控制和通讯系统的强劲需求。
依平台划分
航空领域将在2024年主导全球市场,预计到2032年将保持最快成长速度,这主要得益于先进的无人机(UAV)、侦察无人机和飞机现代化改造。随着军方逐步淘汰过时的车辆电子设备和作战系统,陆地系统预计将稳定成长。
按类型划分
技术淘汰领域将在2024年引领市场,预计到2025年将占43%的市场占有率,这主要得益于技术的快速发展,使得过时的技术逐渐失效。
北美
北美将主导市场,2024年市场规模将达11.5亿美元,主要得益于美国2025财年国防预算超过8,000亿美元。由雷神技术公司、洛克希德马丁公司和英国航空航天系统公司领导的预测分析和生命週期现代化专案正在推动该地区的成长。
欧洲
欧洲仍是第二大市场,德国、法国和英国的国防开支预计将超过3,000亿美元,到2025年将达到5.1亿美元。欧盟主导的强调互通性的举措正在提升成长前景。
亚太地区
亚太地区预计到2025年将达到4.3亿美元,是成长最快的地区。预计到2025年,印度的国防预算将超过700亿美元,这将推动大规模的现代化和自主研发。
其他
受巴西、沙乌地阿拉伯和阿拉伯联合大公国现代化措施的推动,预计到2025年,印度的国防开支将达到3.8亿美元。
The global defense electronics obsolescence market is experiencing strong and sustained expansion as defense organizations worldwide face increasing challenges in maintaining, upgrading, and modernizing aging military electronics. According to the latest assessment, the market was valued at USD 2.53 billion in 2024, is projected to rise to USD 2.73 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 5.00 billion by 2032. This consistent growth reflects the ongoing need to ensure operational readiness as legacy defense systems surpass the lifecycle of their electronic components.
Defense electronics obsolescence occurs when critical electronic parts become unsupported, outdated, or unavailable due to changes in technology or shifts in manufacturing processes. As defense platforms such as aircraft, naval vessels, radar systems, and missile networks often operate for decades, they frequently outlive the lifecycle of their embedded electronics. This creates a strategic necessity for reverse engineering, upgrading, and lifecycle extension programs that preserve the performance and reliability of mission-critical systems.Market Dynamics
Drivers: Operational Readiness & Lifecycle Management
A key driver shaping the market is the global emphasis on operational readiness. As military platforms become increasingly electronics-dependent, maintaining functionality amidst rapid technological change has become a strategic priority. Lifecycle management strategies ensure that defense electronics remain upgradeable, supportable, and secure. Defense forces are investing heavily in predictive analytics and obsolescence forecasting tools to anticipate component failures before they disrupt mission operations. This growing dependence on modern, interoperable electronics will significantly contribute to market acceleration through 2032.
Restraints: High Costs and Complex Supply Chains
Despite strong demand for modernization, challenges persist. Defense supply chains are notoriously complex, heavily regulated, and reliant on highly specialized components with limited sources. When manufacturers discontinue key components, replacement costs can be extremely high. Obsolescence management can involve extensive redesign, costly testing, and certification processes. These financial and logistic challenges often delay upgrades and limit the pace of modernization, slowing short-term market growth.
Opportunities: Lifecycle Extension Programs
Lifecycle extension programs offer a major opportunity by enabling military forces to maintain aging platforms at a fraction of the cost of new procurements. Through reverse engineering, remanufacturing, and targeted modernization, defense agencies can extend the lifespan of avionics, guidance systems, and electronic warfare modules. With many aircraft, ships, and land vehicles operating beyond their originally intended service lives, demand for such extension programs will continue rising across 2024-2032. This approach is especially cost-effective for countries facing budget constraints while still aiming to enhance combat capability.
Market Trends
A defining trend is the rapid adoption of AI-based predictive analytics, enabling defense organizations to forecast failures, optimize spare inventories, and proactively identify risk-prone components. Advanced obsolescence management systems leveraging machine learning help defense contractors plan technology refresh cycles, reduce operational downtime, and increase equipment reliability. As global defense platforms integrate more complex sensors and digital electronics, predictive analytics will be central to managing obsolescence through 2032.
Segmentation Highlights
By System
The navigation system segment led the market in 2024 with a 10% share, driven by increasing upgrades using GPS, SAR, geospatial, and advanced inertial systems. Flight control and communication systems are also experiencing strong demand due to modernization programs across air and land platforms.
By Platform
The air segment dominated the global market in 2024 and is expected to be the fastest-growing through 2032, fueled by advanced UAVs, surveillance drones, and aircraft modernization. Land systems are projected to grow steadily as armies replace outdated vetronics and combat systems.
By Type
The technical obsolescence segment led the market in 2024 and is projected to account for 43% of the market in 2025, driven by rapid advancements that render older technologies inefficient.
North America
North America dominated the market in 2024 with a value of USD 1.15 billion, supported by the U.S.'s FY2025 defense budget exceeding USD 800 billion. Predictive analytics and lifecycle modernization programs led by Raytheon Technologies, Lockheed Martin, and BAE Systems drive regional growth.
Europe
Europe remains the second-largest market, expected to reach USD 0.51 billion in 2025, with combined defense spending from Germany, France, and the U.K. surpassing USD 300 billion. EU-led initiatives emphasizing interoperability enhance growth prospects.
Asia Pacific
With a projected value of USD 0.43 billion in 2025, Asia Pacific shows the fastest growth. India's defense budget for 2025 is set to exceed USD 70 billion, driving significant modernization and indigenization efforts.
Rest of the World
The region is expected to reach USD 0.38 billion in 2025, supported by modernization policies in Brazil, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.
Conclusion
With the market growing from USD 2.53 billion in 2024 to USD 2.73 billion in 2025, and projected to reach USD 5.00 billion by 2032, defense electronics obsolescence management has become an essential pillar of global military modernization. Increasing reliance on digital warfare technologies, coupled with the need to preserve legacy systems, will ensure sustained market growth over the next decade.
Segmentation
By System
By Platform
By Type
By Region