2025年全球汽车售后市场展望

受全球售后市场和汽车保有量变化的推动，维持稳定成长

该研究以 2024 年为基准年，预测到 2029 年的趋势。该研究采用全球观点，为北美（加拿大和美国）、欧洲、中国、印度、拉丁美洲、波湾合作理事会(GCC) 国家和其他拉丁美洲（世界其他地区）提供区域见解。

Frost & Sullivan 的分析重点关注总车辆重量等级 (GVWR) 为 6 吨或以下的轻型车辆，包括：轿车、轿车、掀背车、SUV、多用途车、货车、轻型商用车、皮卡车等。

调查结果显示，全球售后市场收益受到良好需求趋势的强烈影响，预计此趋势将持续到2025年。中国和印度的强劲成长预测得益于北美和欧洲市场良好的讯号。促成这一增长的因素包括车辆老化、年行驶里程增加以及道路上车辆数量的增加。随着客户努力从售后市场购买中获得最大收益，产业参与者需要采取创新策略并提供客製化解决方案，以抓住新的商机。对于寻求长期成长轨迹的供应商来说，这也是一个关键时刻。

Frost & Sullivan 认为，影响 2024 年全球汽车售后市场的关键全球趋势包括川普时代关税提案的潜在影响、电动车 (xEV) 的日益普及、技术驱动解决方案的主导以及软体定义汽车日益增长的作用及其对售后服务的影响。

这些趋势为整个价值链的相关人员带来了重大机会。

报告中涵盖的其他见解包括市场动态的区域差异、将影响 2025 年的 2024 年格局变化、目标商标产品製造商 (OEM) 的显着活动以及每个地区售后市场参与企业可获得的市场机会。

目录

改变汽车售后市场

• 为何成长变得越来越困难？
• The Strategic Imperative 8
• 三大策略对全球汽车后市场的影响
• 加速成长机会成长管道引擎

成长环境

• 分析亮点
• 2025年的关键预测
• 替换零件和配件收益预测
• 2024年的数字
• 2024年的趋势
• 2025年的数字
• 2025年的趋势
• 趋势一：川普总统政策对售后市场的影响
• 趋势二：IAM供应商在电动车转型中面临阻力
• 趋势三：十字路口：产品线多样化求生存
• 趋势四：下游领域产生影响的技术
• 趋势五：软体定义汽车的出现和售后市场数据主导的成长

生态系统

• 调查范围
• 车辆领域
• 区域市场区隔
• 本次调查回答的问题

第2025章 全球经济展望

• 2025 年十大趋势
• 2025年愿景
• 2025年愿景情境－全球成长预期
• 2025年全球风险与风险缓解策略
• 2025年各地区成长机会
• 全球GDP成长概况

成长要素：2025年全球汽车售后市场展望

• 全球 VIO 微型车
• 全球售后市场收益潜力
• 全球汽车售后市场收益预测
• 各国的成长机会
• 平均车龄
• 平均里程
• 汽车售后市场收益预测
• 汽车售后市场通路份额
• 区域趋势
• 2025年全球汽车售后市场的主要趋势
• 2024年整车厂活动
• 2024 年的电子商务活动
• 2024 年供应商/经销商活动
• 2024年的政策和监管变化

成长要素：2025年北美汽车售后市场展望

• 区域展望：美国
• 区域展望：加拿大
• 北美售后市场仪表板
• 售后市场展望：按替换零件类型分類的销售额
• VIO 所有权模式
• VIO 模型组合
• 汽车售后市场机会领域

成长要素：2025年欧洲汽车售后市场展望

• 区域展望：欧洲
• 欧洲售后市场仪表板
• VIO 所有权模式
• VIO 模型组合
• 汽车售后市场机会领域

成长要素：2025年中国汽车售后市场展望

• 中国区域展望
• 中国售后市场仪表板
• 售后市场展望：按替换零件类型分類的销售额
• VIO 保持航线
• VIO 模型组合
• 汽车售后市场机会领域

成长要素：2025年印度汽车售后市场展望

• 印度区域展望
• 印度售后市场仪表板
• 售后市场展望：按替换零件类型分類的销售额
• VIO 所有权模式
• VIO 模型组合
• 汽车售后市场的商机

成长要素：2024年拉丁美洲汽车售后市场展望

• 区域展望：拉丁美洲
• 拉丁美洲售后市场仪表板
• 售后市场展望：按替换零件类型分類的销售额
• VIO 所有权模式
• VIO 模型组合
• 汽车售后市场机会领域

成长要素：2024 年海湾合作委员会汽车售后市场展望

• 区域展望：海湾合作委员会地区
• GCC 售后市场仪表板
• 售后市场展望：按替换零件类型分類的销售额
• VIO 所有权模式
• VIO 模型组合
• 汽车售后市场机会领域

成长机会宇宙

• 成长机会 1：二线和自有品牌选择，把握售后市场客户日益增长的价格敏感度
• 成长机会2：垂直整合，实现汽车售后市场收益最大化
• 成长机会 3：在整个客户旅程中实现零件和服务订购的数位化

汽车售后市场的主要结论与未来展望

• 主要结论与未来展望

附录与后续步骤

• 成长机会的益处和影响
• 后续步骤Next steps
• 附表
• 免责声明

Global Aftermarket Maintains Steady Growth Driven by Shifting Vehicle Ownership Trends

The study has a base year of 2024 and forecasts trends through 2029. It adopts a global perspective, offering region-specific insights for North America (Canada and the United States), Europe, China, India, Latin America, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) nations, and the Rest of the World-though the latter is not explored in depth.

Frost & Sullivan's analysis focuses on light vehicles with gross vehicle weight ratings (GVWR) of up to 6 metric tons, which include: - Passenger vehicles: such as sedans, hatchbacks, SUVs, multipurpose vehicles, and vans - Light commercial vehicles: such as pickup trucks

The findings indicate that global aftermarket revenues have been strongly influenced by favorable demand dynamics-a trend expected to persist into 2025. Robust growth projections for China and India are supported by encouraging market signals from North America and Europe. Contributing factors include aging vehicle fleets, increasing annual mileage, and a rising number of vehicles on the road. As customers strive to maximize the return on their aftermarket purchases, industry players are encouraged to adopt innovative strategies and deliver tailored solutions to capitalize on emerging opportunities. This period is also critical for suppliers aiming to chart a long-term growth trajectory.

Key trends identified by Frost & Sullivan as shaping the global automotive aftermarket in 2024 include potential impacts from proposed Trump-era tariffs, increasing electrified vehicle (xEV) adoption, advancements in technology-driven solutions, and the increasing role of software-defined vehicles and their implications for aftersales service.

These trends point to significant opportunity areas for stakeholders across the value chain.

Additional insights covered in the report include regional variations in market dynamics, changes in the 2024 landscape that will influence 2025, prominent activities by original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and local market opportunities available to aftermarket participants in each region.

Table of Contents

Transformation in the Automotive Aftermarket

• Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
• The Strategic Imperative 8
• The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Global Automotive Aftermarket
• Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine

Growth Environment

• Analysis Highlights
• Top Predictions for 2025
• Revenue Forecast for Replacement Parts and Accessories
• 2024 in Numbers
• 2024 Trends
• 2025 in Numbers
• 2025 Trends
• Trend 1: Impact of Trump's Policies on the Aftermarket Industry
• Trend 2: IAM Suppliers Facing Headwinds in the EV Transition
• Trend 3: Navigating the Crossroads: Diversifying Product Lines to Stay Afloat
• Trend 4: Technology Enabling Downstream Effectiveness
• Trend 5: Software-defined Vehicles and Emergence of Data-driven Growth in the Aftermarket

Ecosystem

• Research Scope
• Vehicle Segmentation
• Market Segmentation by Region
• Questions That This Study Will Answer

2025 Global Economic Outlook

• Top 10 Trends for 2025
• 2025 Visioning Scenarios
• 2025 Visioning Scenarios-Global Growth Expectations
• 2025 Global Risks and Risk Mitigation Strategies
• 2025 Growth Opportunities by Region
• Global GDP Growth Snapshot

Growth Generator: Global Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2025

• Global Light Vehicle VIO
• Global Aftermarket Revenue Potential
• Global Automotive Aftermarket Revenue Outlook
• Growth Opportunity by Country
• Average Vehicle Age
• Average Vehicle Miles Traveled
• Automotive Aftermarket Revenue Forecast
• Automotive Aftermarket Channel Share
• Trend Relevance by Region
• Global Automotive Aftermarket Top Trends in 2025
• OEM Activity in 2024
• eCommerce Activity in 2024
• Supplier/Distributor Activity in 2024
• Policy and Regulatory Changes in 2024

Growth Generator: North America Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2025

• Regional Outlook: United States
• Regional Outlook: Canada
• North American Aftermarket Dashboard
• Aftermarket Outlook: Revenue by Replacement Part Type
• VIO Ownership Pattern
• VIO Model Mix
• Automotive Aftermarket Opportunity Areas

Growth Generator: Europe Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2025

• Regional Outlook: Europe
• European Aftermarket Dashboard
• VIO Ownership Pattern
• VIO Model Mix
• Automotive Aftermarket Opportunity Areas

Growth Generator: China Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2025

• Regional Outlook: China
• China Aftermarket Dashboard
• Aftermarket Outlook: Revenue by Replacement Part Type
• VIO Ownership Pattern
• VIO Model Mix
• Automotive Aftermarket Opportunity Areas

Growth Generator: India Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2025

• Regional Outlook: India
• Indian Aftermarket Dashboard
• Aftermarket Outlook: Revenue by Replacement Part Type
• VIO Ownership Pattern
• VIO Model Mix
• Automotive Aftermarket Opportunity Areas

Growth Generator: LATAM Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2024

• Regional Outlook: LATAM
• LATAM Aftermarket Dashboard
• Aftermarket Outlook: Revenue by Replacement Part Type
• VIO Ownership Pattern
• VIO Model Mix
• Automotive Aftermarket Opportunity Areas

Growth Generator: GCC Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2024

• Regional Outlook: GCC
• GCC Aftermarket Dashboard
• Aftermarket Outlook: Revenue by Replacement Part Type
• VIO Ownership Pattern
• VIO Model Mix
• Automotive Aftermarket Opportunity Areas

Growth Opportunity Universe

• Growth Opportunity 1: Second Line and Private Label Alternatives to Tap Into Expanding Price Sensitivity Among Aftermarket Customers
• Growth Opportunity 2: Vertical Integration for Maximizing Revenue in Automotive Aftermarket
• Growth Opportunity 3: Digitization of Parts and Service Ordering in the Customer Journey

Key Conclusions and Future Automotive Aftermarket Outlook

• Key Conclusions and Future Outlook

Appendix & Next Steps

• Benefits and Impacts of Growth Opportunities
• Next Steps
• List of Exhibits
• Legal Disclaimer