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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1739355
迈特纳的世界市场Meitnerium |
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预计到 2030 年全球 meitnerium 市场规模将达到 78,400 美元
全球美特纳金属市场规模预计在2024年为52,900美元,预计2030年将达到78,400美元,2024年至2030年的复合年增长率为6.8%。固体美特纳金属是本报告分析的细分市场之一,预计其复合年增长率为5.4%,到分析期结束时规模将达到44,300美元。液体美特纳金属细分市场在分析期间的复合年增长率预计为9.1%。
美国市场规模估计为 15,500 美元;中国市场预期复合年增长率为 6.7%
预计到2024年,美国美特纳市场规模将达到15,500美元。作为世界第二大经济体,中国市场规模预计到2030年将达到14,100美元,在2024-2030年的分析期间内,复合年增长率为6.7%。其他值得关注的区域市场包括日本和加拿大,预计在分析期间内,这两个市场的复合年增长率分别为6.1%和5.9%。在欧洲,预计德国市场的复合年增长率为5.6%。
全球美特纳市场-主要趋势与驱动因素摘要
为什么 meitnerium 是一个科学奇蹟而不是商业性实体?
迈特纳(Mt)是一种人工合成的超重元素,原子序数为109,在核化学和粒子物理学领域具有重要意义,但由于产量极为有限且存在时间短暂,目前尚未实现商业性应用。迈特纳于1982年在德国亥姆霍兹重离子研究中心首次合成,以纪念对核分裂发现做出贡献的物理学家莉泽‧迈特纳的名字命名。迈特纳属于元素週期表第9族,理论上与铱、铑和钴共用的化学性质。
然而,对这些特性的实际探索仍停留在理论阶段。迈特纳钇没有稳定同位素,其已知最稳定的同位素Mt-278的半衰期仅为几毫秒。它的生成需要高能量核融合反应,通常是在粒子加速器中用铁-58原子核轰击铋-209。此原子的存在是透过α能谱鑑定崩坏产物来证实的。鑑于其崩坏快,迈特纳钇除了在理解超重元素行为和核壳层模型的基础研究之外,没有其他用途。
meitnerium 对超重元素和核物理的研究有何贡献?
儘管迈特纳元素不稳定,但它在推进原子核结构理论模型方面发挥了重要作用,尤其是在预测「稳定岛」的理论模型中。 「稳定岛」是元素週期表中一个虚拟的区域,超重元素在该区域可能具有显着更长的半衰期。研究人员正在研究动态元素及其邻近的超锕系元素,以检验核壳层闭合、相对论对电子轨道的影响以及同位素崩坏链的量子力学模型。这些研究有助于完善超越当前週期边界、尚未发现的元素的稳定性、形成和化学性质的预测。
迈特纳钌通常一次合成一个原子,需要超灵敏的检测器和自动化资料分析系统,以便在背景杂讯中识别其崩坏模式。德国的GSI、俄罗斯的JINR和日本的RIKEN等先进设施正引领这一前沿,利用重离子加速器和分离器来研究这种短暂同位素。儘管从未分离出迈特纳钌的宏观样本,但其崩坏特性对于绘製元素週期表的上限以及理解中子星碰撞等宇宙事件中的核合成路径非常有价值。
哪些机构和实验平台正在推进钌及其同位素的研究?
钇的研究一直非常深入,但目前只有少数几家全球机构具备超重元素合成能力。位于达姆施塔特的GSI亥姆霍兹中心仍是钇的重要来源,进行初步实验并持续研究崩坏链。位于杜布纳的联合核子研究所(JINR)经营超重元素工厂(SHEF),该工厂研究超重元素化学,目标是研究钇、达姆施塔特钇以及邻近元素(例如铷)的较重同位素。
日本理化学研究所仁科加速器科学中心透过核融合实验和崩坏链图谱绘製做出了贡献。这些机构使用充气反冲分离器、飞行时间分析仪和位置敏感检测器来识别具有极低生产截面(通常低于皮巴)的合成事件。包括国际纯粹与应用化学联合会(IUPAC)和国际纯粹与应用物理联合会(IUPAP)在内的世界核物理联盟之间的合作,确保了发现声明和命名通讯协定的标准化。由于钇原子寿命较短,这些研究着重于统计分析、理论建模和原子行为的推断,而非直接操纵或利用。
在科学发现和元素週期表扩展方面,钇的未来前景如何?
迈特纳钇的研究并非旨在进行商业性开发,而是作为发现更稳定的超重元素和更好地理解极端核电荷下原子行为的垫脚石。随着研究向120号以上元素推进,迈特纳钇的崩坏模式将有助于在极端库仑应力下检验和改进壳模型预测和核力理论。迈特纳钇的行为为理解重原子和电子组态的相对论效应提供了重要的见解,这些效应远远超出了自然元素的极限。
未来的前景可能包括尝试透过替代靶弹组合和先进的核融合技术来生产寿命更长的同位素。下一代加速器、更灵敏的检测器和自动崩坏识别演算法的引入将有助于这些努力。儘管不太可能实用化,但钇(meitnerium)可能继续在量子化学模拟和元素週期表演化模型中被提及。
作为对科学好奇心和实验精准性的致敬,迈特纳钇展现了现代核能科学的边界。它在实验室中短暂的存在像征着人类对物质基本结构及其主宰力量的探索,无论其实用性或商业性利益。
部分
形态(固体、液体、气体)
关税影响係数
全球产业分析师根据公司总部所在国家、製造地、进出口(成品和原始设备OEM)等因素预测其竞争地位的变化。这种复杂且多面向的市场动态预计将以多种方式影响竞争对手,包括人为提高销货成本、盈利下降、供应链重组以及其他微观和宏观市场动态。
全球产业分析师密切关注来自全球顶尖首席经济学家(14,949位)、智库(62家)以及贸易和产业协会(171家)的专家的意见,以评估其对生态系统的影响并应对新的市场现实。我们追踪了来自每个主要国家的专家和经济学家对关税及其对本国影响的看法。
全球产业分析师预计,这场动盪将在未来2-3个月内逐渐平息,新的世界秩序将更加清晰地建立。全球产业分析师正在即时追踪这些事态发展。
2025年4月:谈判阶段
在4月的报告中,我们将探讨关税对全球整体市场的影响,并提供区域市场调整。我们的预测是基于历史数据和不断变化的市场影响因素。
2025年7月:最终关税调整
在各国宣布最终重置后,客户将在 7 月收到免费更新,最终更新将包含明确的关税影响分析。
相互和双边贸易及关税影响分析:
美国<>中国<>墨西哥<>加拿大<>欧盟<>日本<>印度<>其他176个国家
领先的产业经济学家:全球产业分析师知识库追踪了 14,949 位经济学家,其中包括来自民族国家、智库、贸易和产业协会、大型企业以及各领域专家的最具影响力的首席经济学家,他们共用了这场前所未有的全球经济状况模式转移的影响。我们超过 16,491 份报告大多遵循基于里程碑的两阶段发布计划。
Global Meitnerium Market to Reach US$78.4 Thousand by 2030
The global market for Meitnerium estimated at US$52.9 Thousand in the year 2024, is expected to reach US$78.4 Thousand by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.8% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Solid Meitnerium, one of the segments analyzed in the report, is expected to record a 5.4% CAGR and reach US$44.3 Thousand by the end of the analysis period. Growth in the Liquid Meitnerium segment is estimated at 9.1% CAGR over the analysis period.
The U.S. Market is Estimated at US$15.5 Thousand While China is Forecast to Grow at 6.7% CAGR
The Meitnerium market in the U.S. is estimated at US$15.5 Thousand in the year 2024. China, the world's second largest economy, is forecast to reach a projected market size of US$14.1 Thousand by the year 2030 trailing a CAGR of 6.7% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Among the other noteworthy geographic markets are Japan and Canada, each forecast to grow at a CAGR of 6.1% and 5.9% respectively over the analysis period. Within Europe, Germany is forecast to grow at approximately 5.6% CAGR.
Global Meitnerium Market - Key Trends & Drivers Summarized
Why Is Meitnerium a Scientific Curiosity Rather Than a Commercial Element?
Meitnerium (Mt), with atomic number 109, is a synthetic, superheavy element that holds significant interest within the field of nuclear chemistry and particle physics, yet possesses no commercial applications due to its extremely limited production and fleeting existence. First synthesized in 1982 at GSI Helmholtz Centre for Heavy Ion Research in Germany, meitnerium was named in honor of physicist Lise Meitner, who contributed to the discovery of nuclear fission. Meitnerium belongs to Group 9 of the periodic table, theoretically sharing chemical characteristics with iridium, rhodium, and cobalt.
However, practical exploration of these properties remains theoretical. Meitnerium has no stable isotopes, and its most stable known isotope, Mt-278, has a half-life of only a few milliseconds. Its creation involves high-energy nuclear fusion reactions, typically bombarding bismuth-209 with iron-58 nuclei in a particle accelerator. The atom’s existence is confirmed through the identification of decay products using alpha spectroscopy. Given its rapid decay, meitnerium has no role outside of fundamental research aimed at understanding superheavy element behavior and the nuclear shell model.
How Does Meitnerium Contribute to Superheavy Element Research and Nuclear Physics?
Despite its instability, meitnerium plays a vital role in advancing theoretical models of nuclear structure, particularly those predicting the "island of stability"-a hypothetical region in the periodic table where superheavy elements may possess significantly longer half-lives. Researchers study meitnerium and its neighboring transactinides to test quantum mechanical models of nucleon shell closures, relativistic effects on electron orbitals, and isotopic decay chains. These investigations help refine predictions on the stability, formation, and chemistry of yet-undiscovered elements beyond the current periodic frontier.
Meitnerium is typically synthesized one atom at a time, demanding ultra-sensitive detectors and automated data analysis systems capable of identifying decay patterns among background noise. Advanced facilities like GSI in Germany, JINR in Russia, and RIKEN in Japan are leading this frontier, using heavy ion accelerators and separator equipment to study fleeting isotopes. Although no macroscopic sample of meitnerium has ever been isolated, its decay characteristics are valuable in mapping the periodic table’s upper limits and understanding nucleosynthesis pathways in cosmic events like neutron star collisions.
Which Institutions and Experimental Platforms Are Driving Research into Meitnerium and Its Isotopes?
Research into meitnerium is highly centralized and limited to a few global institutions with capabilities in superheavy element synthesis. The GSI Helmholtz Centre in Darmstadt remains a key origin point for meitnerium, having conducted the initial experiments and continued studies on decay chains. The Joint Institute for Nuclear Research (JINR) in Dubna operates the Superheavy Element Factory (SHEF), which explores transactinide chemistry and targets heavier isotopes of meitnerium and neighboring elements like darmstadtium and roentgenium.
RIKEN Nishina Center in Japan contributes through cold fusion experiments and decay sequence mapping. These institutions use gas-filled recoil separators, time-of-flight analyzers, and position-sensitive detectors to identify synthesis events with extremely low production cross-sections (typically less than a picobarn). Collaboration among global nuclear physics consortia, including IUPAC and IUPAP, ensures standardization in discovery claims and naming protocols. Because of the short-lived nature of meitnerium atoms, these research efforts focus on statistical analysis, theoretical modeling, and atomic behavior extrapolation rather than direct manipulation or utilization.
What Is the Future Outlook for Meitnerium in Scientific Discovery and Periodic Table Expansion?
The study of meitnerium is not aimed at commercial exploitation but serves as a stepping stone toward discovering more stable superheavy elements and deepening our understanding of atomic behavior at extreme nuclear charges. As research pushes toward elements 120 and beyond, meitnerium’s decay patterns help validate or refine shell model predictions and nuclear force theories under extreme Coulombic stress. Its behavior provides critical insights into relativistic effects on heavy atoms and electronic configurations far beyond natural elemental limits.
Future prospects may include attempts to produce longer-lived meitnerium isotopes through alternative target-projectile combinations or advanced fusion methods. The deployment of next-generation accelerators, higher-sensitivity detectors, and automated decay identification algorithms will support these efforts. While practical applications are unlikely, meitnerium will continue to be referenced in quantum chemistry simulations and periodic table evolution models.
As a tribute to scientific curiosity and experimental precision, meitnerium exemplifies the boundaries of modern nuclear science. Its fleeting presence in laboratories symbolizes humanity’s quest to understand the fundamental structure of matter and the forces that govern it-regardless of practical utility or commercial gain.
SCOPE OF STUDY:
The report analyzes the Meitnerium market in terms of units by the following Segments, and Geographic Regions/Countries:
Segments:
Form (Solid Form, Liquid Form, Gas Form)
Geographic Regions/Countries:
World; United States; Canada; Japan; China; Europe (France; Germany; Italy; United Kingdom; Spain; Russia; and Rest of Europe); Asia-Pacific (Australia; India; South Korea; and Rest of Asia-Pacific); Latin America (Argentina; Brazil; Mexico; and Rest of Latin America); Middle East (Iran; Israel; Saudi Arabia; United Arab Emirates; and Rest of Middle East); and Africa.
Select Competitors (Total 44 Featured) -
TARIFF IMPACT FACTOR
Our new release incorporates impact of tariffs on geographical markets as we predict a shift in competitiveness of companies based on HQ country, manufacturing base, exports and imports (finished goods and OEM). This intricate and multifaceted market reality will impact competitors by artificially increasing the COGS, reducing profitability, reconfiguring supply chains, amongst other micro and macro market dynamics.
We are diligently following expert opinions of leading Chief Economists (14,949), Think Tanks (62), Trade & Industry bodies (171) worldwide, as they assess impact and address new market realities for their ecosystems. Experts and economists from every major country are tracked for their opinions on tariffs and how they will impact their countries.
We expect this chaos to play out over the next 2-3 months and a new world order is established with more clarity. We are tracking these developments on a real time basis.
As we release this report, U.S. Trade Representatives are pushing their counterparts in 183 countries for an early closure to bilateral tariff negotiations. Most of the major trading partners also have initiated trade agreements with other key trading nations, outside of those in the works with the United States. We are tracking such secondary fallouts as supply chains shift.
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APRIL 2025: NEGOTIATION PHASE
Our April release addresses the impact of tariffs on the overall global market and presents market adjustments by geography. Our trajectories are based on historic data and evolving market impacting factors.
JULY 2025 FINAL TARIFF RESET
Complimentary Update: Our clients will also receive a complimentary update in July after a final reset is announced between nations. The final updated version incorporates clearly defined Tariff Impact Analyses.
Reciprocal and Bilateral Trade & Tariff Impact Analyses:
USA <> CHINA <> MEXICO <> CANADA <> EU <> JAPAN <> INDIA <> 176 OTHER COUNTRIES.
Leading Economists - Our knowledge base tracks 14,949 economists including a select group of most influential Chief Economists of nations, think tanks, trade and industry bodies, big enterprises, and domain experts who are sharing views on the fallout of this unprecedented paradigm shift in the global econometric landscape. Most of our 16,491+ reports have incorporated this two-stage release schedule based on milestones.
COMPLIMENTARY PREVIEW
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