市场调查报告书
商品编码
1466279
太空碎片清除市场:按碎片大小、轨迹、技术和最终用户 - 2024-2030 年全球预测Space Debris Removal Market by Debris Size (10mm to 100mm, Greater than 100mm, Less than 10mm), Orbit (Geostationary Equatorial Orbit, Low Earth Orbit, Medium Earth Orbit), Technology, End-User - Global Forecast 2024-2030 |
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预计2023年太空碎片清除市场规模为2.8204亿美元,预计2024年将达到3.609亿美元,2030年将达到17.7994亿美元,复合年增长率为30.10%。
太空碎片清除是指清除和减轻外太空存在的人造碎片的过程和方法,例如人造卫星、废弃火箭级以及卫星拆解和碰撞产生的碎片。随着地球轨道上越来越挤满废弃的卫星和碎片,产生更多碎片的碰撞可能性将会升级,为运作中的太空船、太空站和卫星通讯带来风险。经过60多年的太空探勘和卫星发射,太空碎片扩散已成为太空导航和地球轨道环境的严重问题。这个问题需要积极采取措施清除碎片,并确保未来任务的操作空间环境的完整性。另一方面,该技术高成本、技术和操作复杂,对有效清除空间碎片提出了重大挑战。然而,寻求开发具有成本效益和可扩展解决方案的政府机构和私营公司的持续投资、新的先进技术解决方案的出现以及卫星和空间部件的空间碎片减缓技术的设计正在迅速增加。 。
主要市场统计 | |
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基准年[2023] | 28204万美元 |
预测年份 [2024] | 3.609 亿美元 |
预测年份 [2030] | 1,779.94 百万美元 |
复合年增长率(%) | 30.10% |
碎片尺寸:根据碎片尺寸清除空间碎片的创新方法
尺寸在10毫米以下的空间碎片,也称为“小碎片”,主要由油漆碎片、金属碎片和固体火箭马达排气产物组成,由于它们高速移动,碰撞时会造成重大损害太空船或卫星可能会提供。小碎片清除围绕着常见的碎片缓解策略(例如屏蔽)进行,该策略可以针对小碎片提供有效的保护。尺寸在 10 到 100 毫米之间的碎片,或「中型」碎片,包括螺栓、弹簧碎片和小型机械零件等物品。针对此类碎片,已经制定了积极的清除策略,并提案了用于捕获和处理碎片的网、鱼叉和机械臂等解决方案,以有效清除空间碎片。
大型碎片被定义为 100 毫米或更大,由废弃卫星、使用过的火箭级和太空船拆卸产生的大型碎片组成。太空监视网路定期追踪碎片。使用各种 ADR 方法(包括机器人捕获、网子、绳索和定向能係统)可以轻鬆清除大于 100 毫米的大型碎片。
轨道:中轨道上重要的碎片清除活动
近地轨道覆盖距离地球表面约 160 公里至 2,000 公里的高度。低地球轨道拥塞带来了很高的碰撞风险,并产生太空碎片,对正常运作的太空船和未来的太空任务构成威胁。碎片捕获技术(例如网、鱼叉和机械臂)的进步正在增加它们在近地轨道上的采用。中地球轨道(MEO)位于距离地球约 2,000 公里至 35,786 公里之间,主要用于 GPS、GLONASS、伽利略和北斗等卫星导航系统。从 MEO 清除空间碎片对于全球导航系统的完整性至关重要。 MEO 的清除策略着重于透过任务规划和使用机载推进系统进行脱轨来防止未来的碎片,因为与 LEO 相比,轨道崩坏的自然力较弱。对地静止赤道轨道 (GEO) 是一个圆形轨道,沿着地球自转方向位于地球赤道上方约 35,786 公里处。 GEO 中的太空碎片会造成长期危害,因为通讯和气象卫星的轨道不会自然衰减。对地静止碎片清除可能需要高精度和固定点保持能力,以避免干扰这具有重要战略意义的频宽内的运作卫星。
技术:太空碎片清除技术不断进步
机械臂描述了一种透过捕获和重定向物体来直接清除碎片的方法。该方法使用配备机器人操纵器的太空船,该机器人操纵器可以物理抓取并固定碎片。机械臂技术需要近距离机动和复杂的导引、导航和控制系统才能安全地接近和固定碎片。鱼叉和网是旨在捕获和清除碎片的接触方法。鱼叉使用系留弹体刺穿并固定碎片以进行回收或处置。部署网来捕获碎片,并可以回收滚落的多个碎片或大型物体。雷射脱轨系统(雷射扫帚)使用来自地面或太空的雷射来瞄准碎片。雷射脱轨系统的一个主要优点是它们是非接触式的,可以最大限度地减少产生更多碎片的风险。拖帆系统增加了空间碎片的表面积并增加了大气阻力。拖帆系统特别适合低地球轨道,其中残余大气会促进轨道衰变。帆可以内建到卫星的设计中并脱离轨道,也可以从追踪器部署并附着在现有碎片上。电动繫绳系统利用在地球磁场中移动的长导电繫绳中产生的洛伦兹力。当沿着繫绳感应出电流时,它与磁场相互作用,产生一种力,将碎片从其轨道上移除。该技术无需推进剂即可产生推力,并且适用于各种尺寸的碎片。离子束推移离轨概念利用太空船发送离子束来追踪碎片。这种方法的优点在于其非接触方式,最大限度地减少了物理碰撞的风险。
最终用户:政府机构大力研发碎片清除技术
太空碎片清除产业的商业最终用户包括卫星营运商、太空站营运商以及其他在外太空拥有资产的私人公司。随着外层空间变得更加拥挤,碰撞的风险也会增加,可能导致资产损坏或遗失以及服务中断。因此,私人公司对确保其太空营运的永续性越来越感兴趣。投资碎片清除技术可以被视为保护其资产和服务、确保营运连续性和减轻责任风险的一种型态。政府最终用户包括国家航太机构、国防部和其他参与太空运作的监管机构。政府对清除空间碎片的兴趣是多方面的,包括对国家安全、科学研究以及为子孙后代维护轨道环境的担忧。此外,政府在製定和执行太空交通管理法规方面拥有既得利益,并需要碎片清除能力。
区域洞察
美洲太空碎片清除市场目前的特征是美国在研发方面投入大量资金,特别是重要的产业参与企业。该地区的成长是由美国国家航太太空总署(NASA)等着名航太机构推动的,这些机构维护了关键卫星轨道的生存能力和人类任务的安全。政策框架和公私伙伴关係支持该地区碎片减缓技术的发展。在亚太地区,太空碎片清除市场正在蓬勃发展,中国和印度等新兴太空国家在发展卫星计画的同时越来越多地提出碎片减缓倡议。国家空间政策开始反映出对空间碎片造成的危险的认识,并支持为改进技术提供资金和建立伙伴关係。特别是在欧洲,欧洲太空总署 (ESA) 正在主导多项倡议,包括演示碎片清除的 ADRIOS 任务。欧洲成熟的航太工业正在推动去除技术和服务的创新和发展。随着包括阿拉伯联合大公国在内的各国参与太空探勘并加强对太空永续性的承诺,中东和非洲地区显示出为碎片清除市场做出贡献的潜力。
FPNV定位矩阵
FPNV 定位矩阵对于评估太空碎片清除市场至关重要。我们检视与业务策略和产品满意度相关的关键指标,以对供应商进行全面评估。这种深入的分析使用户能够根据自己的要求做出明智的决策。根据评估,供应商被分为四个成功程度不同的像限。最前线 (F)、探路者 (P)、利基 (N) 和重要 (V)。
市场占有率分析
市场占有率分析是一种综合工具,可以对空间碎片清除市场中供应商的现状进行深入而详细的研究。全面比较和分析供应商在整体收益、基本客群和其他关键指标方面的贡献,以便更好地了解公司的绩效及其在争夺市场占有率时面临的挑战。此外,该分析也为此细分市场的竞争特征提供了宝贵的见解,包括在研究基准年观察到的累积、分散主导地位和合併特征等因素。这种详细程度的提高使供应商能够做出更明智的决策并制定有效的策略,从而在市场上获得竞争优势。
1. 市场渗透率:提供有关主要企业所服务的市场的全面资讯。
2. 市场开拓:我们深入研究利润丰厚的新兴市场,并分析其在成熟细分市场的渗透率。
3. 市场多元化:包括新产品发布、开拓地区、最新发展和投资的详细资讯。
4. 竞争评估和情报:对主要企业的市场占有率、策略、产品、认证、监管状况、专利状况和製造能力进行全面评估。
5. 产品开发与创新:包括对未来技术、研发活动以及突破性产品开发的见解。
1.空间碎片清除市场的市场规模和预测是多少?
2.在空间碎片清除市场的预测期内,我们应该考虑投资哪些产品和应用?
3.空间碎片清除市场的技术趋势和法规结构是什么?
4.空间碎片清除市场主要厂商的市场占有率为何?
5.进入空间碎片清除市场的适当型态和策略手段是什么?
[185 Pages Report] The Space Debris Removal Market size was estimated at USD 282.04 million in 2023 and expected to reach USD 360.90 million in 2024, at a CAGR 30.10% to reach USD 1,779.94 million by 2030.
Space debris removal refers to the process and methods involved in eliminating or mitigating man-made debris in space, which encompasses defunct satellites, spent rocket stages, and fragments resulting from satellite disintegration or collision. As the orbit around Earth becomes increasingly congested with defunct satellites and fragments, the likelihood of collisions, which can generate even more debris, escalates, posing risks to operational spacecraft, space stations, and satellite communications. Stemming from over six decades of space exploration and satellite launches, the proliferation of space debris has reached a point where it is a significant concern for space navigation and Earth's orbital environment. This issue necessitates proactive measures for debris removal, ensuring the preservation of the operational space environment for future missions. On the other hand, the high cost of technologies and technical and operational complexities pose significant problems in effective space debris removal. However, the ongoing investment from government and private entities looking to develop cost-effective and scalable solutions, the emergence of new and advanced technology solutions, and the design of space debris mitigation technologies into satellites and space components provide considerable growth opportunities in the market.
KEY MARKET STATISTICS | |
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Base Year [2023] | USD 282.04 million |
Estimated Year [2024] | USD 360.90 million |
Forecast Year [2030] | USD 1,779.94 million |
CAGR (%) | 30.10% |
Debris Size: Innovative approaches for space debris removal depending on debris size
Space debris of less than 10mm in size, also called 'small debris,' primarily consists of paint flecks, metal fragments, or solid rocket motor exhaust products that travel at high velocities, making them capable of causing significant damage upon impact with spacecraft or satellites. Clearance of small particles revolves around general debris reduction strategies such as shielding that significantly protects against small debris. Debris within the 10mm to 100mm size bracket, or 'medium-sized' debris, includes objects such as bolts, spring fragments, and small mechanical parts. Active removal strategies are being developed for this class of debris, with proposed solutions including nets, harpoons, and robotic arms to capture and dispose of the debris for effective space debris removal.
Large debris, defined as being greater than 100mm, consists of defunct satellites, used rocket stages, and larger fragments from spacecraft disintegration. Space surveillance networks regularly track debris. The large debris greater than 100mm in size facilitates removal via various ADR methods such as robotic capture, netting, ropes, and directed energy systems.
Orbit: Significant debris removal activities in medium earth orbit
Low Earth Orbit encompasses altitudes from about 160 to 2,000 kilometers above the Earth's surface. The congestion in LEO has resulted in a high risk of collision, generating space debris that poses threats to functional spacecraft and future space missions. Advances in debris capture technology, such as nets, harpoons, or robotic arms, are increasingly adopted in low earth orbit. Medium Earth Orbit (MEO) ranges from approximately 2,000 to 35,786 kilometers above the Earth and is primarily utilized for navigation satellite systems such as GPS, GLONASS, Galileo, and BeiDou. Space debris removal from MEO is essential for the integrity of global navigation systems. Removal strategies in MEO focus more on preventing future debris through mission planning and using on-board propulsion systems for deorbiting, as the natural forces for orbital decay are weaker compared to LEO. The Geostationary Equatorial Orbit (GEO)is circular, roughly 35,786 kilometers above the Earth's equator in the direction of the Earth's rotation. Space debris in GEO poses a long-term danger due to the lack of natural orbital decay for communications and meteorological satellites. Geostationary debris removal may entail high precision and station-keeping capabilities to avoid disrupting the operational satellites in this strategically important band.
Technique: Ongoing advancements in space debris removal techniques
Robotic arms offer a direct approach to debris removal by capturing and redirecting objects. This method involves a spacecraft equipped with robotic manipulators that physically grapple and secure pieces of debris. The robotic arms technique requires proximity operations and complex guidance, navigation, and control systems to safely approach and secure the debris. Harpoons and nets are contact methods designed for capturing and removing debris. Harpoons use a tethered projectile to pierce and secure debris for retrieval or disposal, enabling the removal of large and uncooperative objects. Nets are deployed to trap debris, allowing for the collection of multiple pieces or larger, tumbling targets. Laser Deorbit Systems, or laser brooms, involve ground-based or space-based lasers directed toward debris. The primary advantage of laser deorbit systems is their contactless nature, minimizing the risk of creating additional debris. Drag sail systems increase the surface area of space debris, thereby enhancing atmospheric drag. Drag sail systems are particularly suited for low Earth orbit, where the residual atmosphere facilitates orbital decay. Sails can be integrated into satellite designs for end-of-life deorbiting or deployed from a chase vehicle to attach to existing debris. The electrodynamic tether system leverages Lorentz forces developed in a long conductive tether moving through the Earth's magnetic field. When a current is induced along the tether, it interacts with the magnetic field to produce a force that can deorbit the debris. This technology allows for propellantless thrust generation and is adaptable to varying sizes of debris. The ion beam shepherd concept uses a spacecraft to direct a beam of ions to track debris fragments. The advantage of this method lies in its non-contact approach, which minimizes the risk of physical collision.
End-User: Robust research and development in debris removal technologies by Government entities
Commercial end-users in the space debris removal industry include satellite operators, space station operators, and other private companies with assets in space. As space becomes more congested, the risk of collisions increases, leading to potential damage or loss of assets and disruption of services. Commercial entities are, therefore, increasingly interested in ensuring the sustainability of space operations. Investment in debris removal technologies can be seen as a form of protecting their assets and services, ensuring operational continuity, and reducing liability risks. Government end-users comprise national space agencies, defense departments, and other regulatory bodies involved in space operations. The government's interest in space debris removal is multifaceted, encompassing concerns about national security, scientific research, and maintaining the orbital environment for future generations. Additionally, governments have a vested interest in setting and enforcing space traffic management regulations, necessitating capabilities for debris removal.
Regional Insights
The market for space debris removal in the Americas is currently characterized by significant investment in research and development, particularly in the United States, which houses significant industry players. Region's growth is driven by prominent space agencies, including the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), which is vested in maintaining the viability of key satellite orbits and the safety of crewed missions. Policy frameworks and collaborations between public and private entities support the development of debris mitigation technologies in the region. In APAC, the space debris removal market is burgeoning, with emerging space nations such as China and India increasingly advocating for debris mitigation initiatives amid their growing satellite programs. National space policies have begun to reflect a recognition of the hazards posed by space debris, propelling funding and partnerships directed toward remediation technologies. EMEA's approach to space debris removal is heavily influenced by regional advancement and collaborative efforts, especially in Europe, where the European Space Agency (ESA) spearheads numerous initiatives, including the ADRIOS mission to demonstrate debris removal. Europe's established aerospace industry fosters innovation and development in removal technologies and services. The Middle East and Africa regions show potential for contributions to the debris removal market as countries, including the UAE, engage in space exploration and demonstrate a growing commitment to space sustainability.
FPNV Positioning Matrix
The FPNV Positioning Matrix is pivotal in evaluating the Space Debris Removal Market. It offers a comprehensive assessment of vendors, examining key metrics related to Business Strategy and Product Satisfaction. This in-depth analysis empowers users to make well-informed decisions aligned with their requirements. Based on the evaluation, the vendors are then categorized into four distinct quadrants representing varying levels of success: Forefront (F), Pathfinder (P), Niche (N), or Vital (V).
Market Share Analysis
The Market Share Analysis is a comprehensive tool that provides an insightful and in-depth examination of the current state of vendors in the Space Debris Removal Market. By meticulously comparing and analyzing vendor contributions in terms of overall revenue, customer base, and other key metrics, we can offer companies a greater understanding of their performance and the challenges they face when competing for market share. Additionally, this analysis provides valuable insights into the competitive nature of the sector, including factors such as accumulation, fragmentation dominance, and amalgamation traits observed over the base year period studied. With this expanded level of detail, vendors can make more informed decisions and devise effective strategies to gain a competitive edge in the market.
Key Company Profiles
The report delves into recent significant developments in the Space Debris Removal Market, highlighting leading vendors and their innovative profiles. These include Airbus SE, Altius Space Machines by Voyager Space Holdings, Astroscale Holdings Inc., BAE Systems PLC, ClearSpace SA, Electro Optic Systems, Exodus Space Systems, Fujitsu Limited, Infinite Orbits SAS, Kall Morris Incorporated, Lockheed Martin Corporation, Maxar Technologies Holdings Inc., Neuraspace Lda., Northrop Grumman Corporation, Obruta Space Solutions Corp., OrbitGuardians, PIAP Space sp.z o.o., Redwire Corporation, Rocket Lab USA, Inc., Rogue Space Systems, RTX Corporation, SIMBA Chain, SKY Perfect JSAT Holdings Inc., Skyrora Limited, Solstorm.io., Starfish Space, Tethers Unlimited, Inc., Thales Group, The Aerospace Corporation, Turion Space, and Vyoma GmbH.
Market Segmentation & Coverage
1. Market Penetration: It presents comprehensive information on the market provided by key players.
2. Market Development: It delves deep into lucrative emerging markets and analyzes the penetration across mature market segments.
3. Market Diversification: It provides detailed information on new product launches, untapped geographic regions, recent developments, and investments.
4. Competitive Assessment & Intelligence: It conducts an exhaustive assessment of market shares, strategies, products, certifications, regulatory approvals, patent landscape, and manufacturing capabilities of the leading players.
5. Product Development & Innovation: It offers intelligent insights on future technologies, R&D activities, and breakthrough product developments.
1. What is the market size and forecast of the Space Debris Removal Market?
2. Which products, segments, applications, and areas should one consider investing in over the forecast period in the Space Debris Removal Market?
3. What are the technology trends and regulatory frameworks in the Space Debris Removal Market?
4. What is the market share of the leading vendors in the Space Debris Removal Market?
5. Which modes and strategic moves are suitable for entering the Space Debris Removal Market?