市场调查报告书
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1466313
永续航空燃料市场:按燃料类型、混合能力、製造技术、营运、最终用途 - 全球预测,2024-2030 年Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market by Fuel Type (Biofuel, Gas to Liquid Fuel, Hydrogen Fuel), Blending Capacity (30% to 50%, Above 50%, Below 30%), Manufacturing Technology, Operation, End-Use - Global Forecast 2024-2030 |
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预计2023年永续航空燃油市场规模为38.8亿美元,2024年达50.1亿美元,预计2030年将达到274.5亿美元,复合年增长率为32.24%。
永续航空燃料(SAF)是一种用于民航机和军用飞机的环保替代燃料。 SAF 由废油、农业残留物、非作物等可再生资源以及藻类生质燃料和合成石蜡煤油 (SPK) 等先进生质燃料技术製成。主要最终用户包括希望减少与传统喷射机燃料相关的温室气体排放的航空公司、货运公司、政府和国防机构。监管机构制定更严格的排放标准,采取绿色倡议和税额扣抵和津贴等可用奖励,将鼓励 SAF 技术的研究和开发,并增加永续航空燃料的使用。全球空中交通量的增加和石油价格的持续上涨正在增加对清洁替代燃料的需求,以减少整个航空业对环境的影响。生产永续航空燃料的高成本阻碍了市场成长。将废弃物转化为有价值燃料的新途径的开拓预计将创造市场成长机会。
主要市场统计 | |
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基准年[2023] | 38.8亿美元 |
预测年份 [2024] | 50.1亿美元 |
预测年份 [2030] | 274.5亿美元 |
复合年增长率(%) | 32.24% |
燃料类型:更多采用生质燃料以使航空业脱碳
由废弃物和植物等有机材料製成的生质燃料是传统喷射机燃料的永续替代品。它的温室气体(GHG)排放低于石化燃料,并有可能为航空业的脱碳做出贡献。氢燃料也是无排放气体航空旅行的一种有前景的解决方案。用于燃料电池或在引擎和发电机装置中燃烧的氢气可产生水作为产品,从而显着减少温室气体排放。电转液(PtL)燃料利用可再生电力将水和二氧化碳转化为液态碳氢化合物,以合成液态碳氢化合物燃料,例如喷射机燃料。 PtL 燃料的优势在于其与现有喷射发动机和燃料基础设施的兼容性,使其成为减少飞机碳排放的可行解决方案。 GTL 燃料的化学性质与传统喷射机燃料相似,但它是透过合成过程由天然气生产的。它与现有航空燃料基础设施和引擎的兼容性使其成为立即部署的有吸引力的选择。此外,GTL燃料具有更高的能量密度,并且比传统喷射机燃料具有更高的燃料效率的潜力。
混合能力:扩大永续航空燃料的使用,经济高效的混合效率达到 30% 至 50%。
对于一些航空公司来说,30% 至 50% 范围内的混合效率代表了环境效益和成本效益之间的最佳平衡。 SAF 的这种混合效率水准有效减少了温室气体排放,同时保持与现有飞机引擎和燃料基础设施的兼容性。 SAF的混合效率超过50%,可显着减少温室气体排放。然而,这将需要在引擎改进和先进燃料基础设施方面进行额外投资。儘管存在潜在的成本负担,但旨在快速脱碳的航空公司更喜欢这一类别。 SAF 的混合效率低于 30%,非常适合逐渐过渡到永续航空解决方案或面临预算限制的航空公司。此外,与更有效的选择相比,这一类别代表了在减少排放的进展,但环境效益有限。
製造技术:增加使用费托合成石蜡煤油(FT-SPK)以提供更干净的燃烧燃料
酒精喷射 SPK (ATJ-SPK) 技术涉及多种原料的利用,包括农业残留物、城市固态废弃物和专用能源作物。催化水热热解喷气机 (CHJ) 透过催化水热热解和加氢处理,将从植物油和废脂肪中获得的脂质转化为可再生喷射机燃料。费托合成石蜡煤油(FT-SPK)技术透过将生物质和天然气等碳基原料转化为合成气,然后再转化为液态碳氢化合物来合成燃料。水解脂肪酸酯和脂肪酸合成石蜡煤油 (HEFA-SPK) 是用于生产 SAF 的重要技术。此製程将主要源自废油、动物脂肪和非食用植物油的生物基原料转化为适合飞机使用的先进生质燃料。 HEFA-SPK 燃料的主要优势在于,与传统喷射机燃料相比,它可以减少温室气体排放,同时保持高性能以及与现有飞机引擎和基础设施的兼容性。发酵氢化糖合成异烷烃(HFS-SIP)是透过发酵糖产生法呢烯,然后透过加水转化为异烷烃。所得燃料具有高能量密度和优异的低温流动性。
最终用途:SAF 在民用航空领域减少环境影响的新可能性
商务和通用航空部门包括私人飞机运营商、包机航班和小型支线航空公司。企业社会责任目标、环境法规和客户对绿色出行选择的需求推动了该行业对永续航空燃料 (SAF) 的需求。民航部门已开始使用 SAF 来实现国际民航组织 (ICAO) 等组织所製定的国际排放目标。军用航空领域包括世界各地寻求透过使用 SAF 来减少碳排放和对石化燃料依赖的军队。无人机 (UAV) 用于多种行业,包括航空摄影、监视、农业和运输。 SAF 越来越多地用于无人机,以尽量减少对环境的影响。
营运:在有人驾驶飞机碳减排方面增加使用 SAF
载人飞行器(MAV),包括民航机飞机和私人飞机,是最重要的航空业类别。 MAV 是航空燃油的主要消耗者,并且在使用 SAF 时处于最前沿。营运商开始将 SAF 纳入其燃料混合物中,显着减少与航空燃料相关的排放和其他排放。在国际上,机场和航空公司开始将 SAF 纳入其供应链。例如,航空巨头波音公司承诺在 2030 年确保商用飞机能够达到 100% SAF 的性能和认证。其他行业公司,例如联合航空和Delta航空,也在采取逐步措施来采用 SAF。无人机因其用途广泛(从送货到监视再到娱乐)而变得越来越受欢迎。儘管这些设备的燃料需求低于微型飞行器,但将 SAF 整合到无人机中非常重要。这些无人机使用 SAF 来减少碳排放并实现全球永续性目标。
区域洞察
根据国际贸易管理局 (ITA) 的数据,美国是世界上最大的航空客运和货运市场之一,每天运输的货物超过 58,000 吨。根据美国联邦航空管理局(FAA)预测,随着航空货运量的持续成长,预计2037年民航机总数将达到8,270架。在巴西、加拿大、美国和智利,由于地面车辆拥挤严重、流通係数低,飞机在货运、最后一哩配送、紧急医疗、空中接驳车和个人运输等领域的使用量不断增加。 ,创造了美洲对永续航空燃料的需求。亚太地区航空公司越来越多地采用各种永续航空燃料,预计将为亚太地区市场成长奠定基础。 2021 年 12 月,印度靛蓝航空与位于德拉敦的印度石油研究所科学与工业研究委员会 (CSIR-IIP) 签署协议,在全球开发和供应 SAF。 2021 年 6 月,日本航空 (JAL) 完成了日本生产的两种永续航空燃料的混合测试。扩大 SAF 製造规模的税额扣抵和津贴等政府支持的增加预计将成为欧洲、中东和非洲市场成长的基础。
FPNV定位矩阵
FPNV定位矩阵对于评估永续航空燃油市场至关重要。我们检视与业务策略和产品满意度相关的关键指标,以对供应商进行全面评估。这种深入的分析使用户能够根据自己的要求做出明智的决策。根据评估,供应商被分为四个成功程度不同的像限。最前线 (F)、探路者 (P)、利基 (N) 和重要 (V)。
市场占有率分析
市场占有率分析是一种综合工具,可对永续航空燃料市场供应商的现状进行深入而深入的研究。全面比较和分析供应商在整体收益、基本客群和其他关键指标方面的贡献,以便更好地了解公司的绩效及其在争夺市场占有率时面临的挑战。此外,该分析也为此细分市场的竞争特征提供了宝贵的见解,包括在研究基准年观察到的累积、分散主导地位和合併特征等因素。详细程度的提高使供应商能够做出更明智的决策并制定有效的策略,从而在市场上获得竞争优势。
1. 市场渗透率:提供有关主要企业所服务的市场的全面资讯。
2. 市场开拓:我们深入研究利润丰厚的新兴市场,并分析其在成熟细分市场的渗透率。
3. 市场多元化:包括新产品发布、开拓地区、最新发展和投资的详细资讯。
4. 竞争评估和情报:对主要企业的市场占有率、策略、产品、认证、监管状况、专利状况和製造能力进行全面评估。
5. 产品开发与创新:包括对未来技术、研发活动和突破性产品开发的见解。
1.永续航空燃油市场的市场规模与预测是多少?
2.在永续航空燃料市场的预测期内,我们应该考虑投资哪些产品和应用?
3.永续航空燃油市场的技术趋势和法规结构是什么?
4.永续航空燃料市场主要供应商的市场占有率为何?
5. 进入永续航油市场的适当型态和策略手段是什么?
[188 Pages Report] The Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market size was estimated at USD 3.88 billion in 2023 and expected to reach USD 5.01 billion in 2024, at a CAGR 32.24% to reach USD 27.45 billion by 2030.
Sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) are eco-friendly alternative fuels used in commercial and military aircraft. SAFs are made from renewable resources such as waste oils, agricultural residues, non-food crops, and advanced biofuel technologies, including algae-derived biofuels and synthetic paraffinic kerosene (SPK). The primary end-users include airlines, cargo carriers, governments, and defense organizations, aiming to reduce greenhouse gas emissions associated with conventional jet fuel. Stricter emission standards set by regulatory bodies to adopt green initiatives and the availability of incentives such as tax credits and grants encourage research and development in SAF technology, elevating the usage of sustainable aviation fuels. Rising air traffic globally and continuous upsurge in crude oil prices are increasing the need for cleaner alternatives across the aviation sector to mitigate environmental impacts. High production costs associated with sustainable aviation fuels hampers market growth. The growing development of novel pathways to convert waste materials into valuable fuels is expected to create opportunities for market growth.
KEY MARKET STATISTICS | |
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Base Year [2023] | USD 3.88 billion |
Estimated Year [2024] | USD 5.01 billion |
Forecast Year [2030] | USD 27.45 billion |
CAGR (%) | 32.24% |
Fuel Type: Growing adoption of biofuels to decarbonize the aviation sector
Biofuels, derived from organic matter such as waste materials and plants, are a sustainable alternative to traditional jet fuels. They emit fewer greenhouse gases (GHGs) compared to fossil fuels and potentially contribute to the decarbonization of the aviation industry. Hydrogen fuel is another promising solution for achieving emissions-free air travel. Hydrogen used in a fuel cell or burned in an engine-generator set-up produces water as a byproduct, significantly reducing GHG emissions. Power-to-liquid (PtL) fuels involve synthesizing liquid hydrocarbon fuels such as jet fuel by using renewable electricity to convert water and carbon dioxide into liquid hydrocarbons. The advantage of PtL fuels lies in their compatibility with existing jet engines and fuel infrastructure, making them a feasible solution for reducing the carbon footprint of aviation. GTL fuel is chemically similar to conventional jet fuel but is produced from natural gas through a synthetic process. Its compatibility with existing aviation fuel infrastructure and engines makes it an attractive option for immediate implementation. Additionally, GTL fuel has a higher energy density, potentially offering better fuel efficiency than traditional jet fuel.
Blending Capacity: Expanding usage of sustainable aviation fuel with blending efficiency of 30% to 50% owing to its cost-effectiveness
A blending efficiency range of 30% to 50% represents an optimal balance between environmental benefits and cost-effectiveness for several airlines. SAF, with this efficiency level, effectively reduces greenhouse gas emissions while maintaining compatibility with existing aircraft engines and fuel infrastructure. SAF, with a blending efficiency above 50%, offers substantial reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. However, it requires additional investment in engine modifications and advanced fuel infrastructure. Airlines focusing on rapid decarbonization prefer this category despite potential cost implications. SAF, with a blending efficiency below 30%, is ideal for airlines that are gradually transitioning toward sustainable aviation solutions or facing budget constraints. Moreover, this category offers limited environmental benefits compared to higher-efficiency options and represents progress in reducing emissions.
Manufacturing Technology: Increasing usage of Fischer Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK) that provides cleaner-burning fuel
Alcohol to Jet SPK (ATJ-SPK) technology involves the utilization of various feedstocks, including agricultural residues, municipal solid waste, and dedicated energy crops. Catalytic hydrothermolysis jet (CHJ) converts lipids sourced from vegetable oils and waste fats into renewable jet fuel through catalytic hydrothermolysis, followed by hydrotreatment. Fischer Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK) technology synthesizes fuel by converting carbon-based feedstocks, such as biomass and natural gas, into synthetic gas and then transforming it into liquid hydrocarbons. Hydroprocessed fatty acid esters and fatty acids - synthetic paraffinic kerosene (HEFA-SPK) is a prominent technology utilized in the production of SAF. The process involves converting bio-based feedstocks, primarily derived from waste oils, animal fats, and non-edible plant oils, into advanced biofuels suitable for use in aviation. The key advantage of HEFA-SPK fuels is their ability to lower greenhouse gas emissions compared to conventional jet fuel while maintaining high performance and compatibility with existing aircraft engines and infrastructure. Synthetic Iso-paraffin from Fermented Hydroprocessed Sugar (HFS-SIP) involves fermenting sugar into farnesene and then converting it into iso-paraffin through hydroprocessing. The resulting fuel has high energy density and excellent cold-flow properties.
End-Use: Emerging potential of SAFs across commercial aviation to reduce environmental impact
The business & general aviation sector encompasses private jet operators, charter flights, and smaller regional airlines. The need for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) in this sector is driven by corporate social responsibility goals, environmental regulations, and customer demand for greener travel options. The commercial aviation sector started using SAFs to meet international emission reduction targets set by organizations such as the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO). Military aviation includes armed forces worldwide seeking to lower their carbon footprint and dependency on fossil fuels through the use of SAFs. Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are used across various industries for applications such as aerial photography, surveillance, agriculture, and transportation. The use of SAFs is increasing in UAVs to minimize their environmental impact.
Operation: Increasing utilization of SAF in manned aerial vehicles carbon reduction
Manned aerial vehicles (MAVs), including commercial and private aircraft, are the most significant aviation sector category. MAVs are the chief consumers of aviation fuel and are at the forefront when using SAF. Operators have started introducing SAF into their fuel mix, significantly reducing the carbon footprint and other emissions associated with aviation fuel. Internationally, airports and airlines have begun incorporating SAF into their supply chains. For instance, the aviation behemoth Boeing has committed to ensuring its commercial planes are capable and certified to fly on 100% SAF by 2030. Other industry players, such as United Airlines and Delta Air Lines, are taking progressive steps toward adopting SAF. UAVs, colloquially known as drones, are rising in popularity due to their diverse applications ranging from delivery to surveillance and entertainment. These devices have a lesser fuel demand than MAVs; however, incorporating SAF in UAVs is significant. These drones reduce their carbon footprint using SAF, aligning with global sustainability goals.
Regional Insights
The United States has one of the largest air passenger and freight markets globally, and as per the International Trade Administration (ITA), over 58,000 tons of cargo are transported daily. According to the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), the total commercial aircraft fleet is estimated to reach 8,270 in 2037, owing to a continuous increase in air cargo. The usage of aircraft for cargo transportation, last-mile delivery, medical emergencies, air shuttle, private transport, and other areas has been increasing in Brazil, Canada, the U.S., and Chile due to high congestion and the indirect nature of routes with higher circuity factors for ground-based vehicles, creating a demand for sustainable aviation fuels in Americas. The ongoing adoption of various sustainable aviation fuels by airlines across Asia-Pacific is expected to create a platform for the growth of the market in Asia-Pacific. In December 2021, Indigo Airlines, India, signed an agreement with the Dehradun-based Council of Scientific and Industrial Research-Indian Institute of Petroleum (CSIR-IIP) to develop and supply SAF at the global level. Japan Airlines (JAL), in June 2021, completed the test of a mixture of two different types of sustainable aviation fuel produced domestically in Japan. The rising availability of government support in terms of tax credits and grants to expand the manufacturing of SAFs is expected to create a platform for market growth in EMEA.
FPNV Positioning Matrix
The FPNV Positioning Matrix is pivotal in evaluating the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market. It offers a comprehensive assessment of vendors, examining key metrics related to Business Strategy and Product Satisfaction. This in-depth analysis empowers users to make well-informed decisions aligned with their requirements. Based on the evaluation, the vendors are then categorized into four distinct quadrants representing varying levels of success: Forefront (F), Pathfinder (P), Niche (N), or Vital (V).
Market Share Analysis
The Market Share Analysis is a comprehensive tool that provides an insightful and in-depth examination of the current state of vendors in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market. By meticulously comparing and analyzing vendor contributions in terms of overall revenue, customer base, and other key metrics, we can offer companies a greater understanding of their performance and the challenges they face when competing for market share. Additionally, this analysis provides valuable insights into the competitive nature of the sector, including factors such as accumulation, fragmentation dominance, and amalgamation traits observed over the base year period studied. With this expanded level of detail, vendors can make more informed decisions and devise effective strategies to gain a competitive edge in the market.
Key Company Profiles
The report delves into recent significant developments in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market, highlighting leading vendors and their innovative profiles. These include Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, Aemetis, Inc., Amyris, Inc., Axens SA, BP PLC, Chevron Corporation, China National Petroleum Corporation, CleanJoule, DGFuels, LLC, ENEOS Group, Enertrag SE, Eni S.p.A., Exxon Mobil Corporation, Fulcrum BioEnergy, Inc., Gevo, Inc., HIF Global, Honeywell International Inc., Indian Oil Corporation Limited, INERATEC GmbH, KBR, Inc., LanzaTech Global, Inc., Linde PLC, Lummus Technology LLC, Maire Tecnimont S.p.A., Mitsubishi Corporation, Montana Renewables, LLC by Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P., Neste Corporation, Norsk e-Fuel AS, Nova Pangaea Technologies Ltd, ORLEN S.A., OxCCU Tech Limited, Phillips 66, Praj industries Ltd., Preem Holdings AB, Raven SR Inc., Red Rock Biofuels Holdings, RWE AG, Sasol Limited, Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Shell PLC, Siemens Energy AG, SkyNRG B.V., Sumitomo Heavy Industries, Ltd., Sunfire GmbH, Swedish Biofuels AB, Synhelion SA, Technip Energies N.V., Topsoe A/S, TotalEnergies SE, Twelve Benefit Corporation, World Energy, LLC, Yokogawa Electric Corporation, and Zero Petroleum Limited.
Market Segmentation & Coverage
1. Market Penetration: It presents comprehensive information on the market provided by key players.
2. Market Development: It delves deep into lucrative emerging markets and analyzes the penetration across mature market segments.
3. Market Diversification: It provides detailed information on new product launches, untapped geographic regions, recent developments, and investments.
4. Competitive Assessment & Intelligence: It conducts an exhaustive assessment of market shares, strategies, products, certifications, regulatory approvals, patent landscape, and manufacturing capabilities of the leading players.
5. Product Development & Innovation: It offers intelligent insights on future technologies, R&D activities, and breakthrough product developments.
1. What is the market size and forecast of the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market?
2. Which products, segments, applications, and areas should one consider investing in over the forecast period in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market?
3. What are the technology trends and regulatory frameworks in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market?
4. What is the market share of the leading vendors in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market?
5. Which modes and strategic moves are suitable for entering the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market?