市场调查报告书
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1627691
紫花苜蓿干草市场:未来预测(2025-2030)Alfalfa Hay Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
紫花苜蓿干草市场价值预计在 2025 年达到 185.85 亿美元,预计到 2030 年将达到 234.23 亿美元,复合年增长率为 4.74%。
紫花苜蓿干草市场的主要驱动力是畜牧业对高品质饲料的需求不断增加,特别是在酪农和肉类生产领域,紫花苜蓿的高蛋白质和营养含量可支持最佳的动物健康和生产力。世界牲畜数量的增加和人们对高效动物营养的兴趣日益浓厚,推动了需求。
如今,全球农业比以往任何时候都更肩负着确保粮食安全的重任。 2009年至2050年间,世界人口预计将增加23亿。预计人口成长主要受开发中国家发展的推动,其中撒哈拉以南非洲预计将经历最快的人口成长率,达到 114%。相较之下,东亚和东南亚预计成长最慢,为13%。此外,预计到2050年,世界人口将居住在都市区,高于目前的49%。
此外,预计2050年的人均收入将比现在高出数倍。联合国粮食及农业组织(FAO)指出,为了养活2050年91亿人口,2005/07年至2050年间粮食总产量需要增加70%左右。
预计肉类、乳製品、鱼类和水产产品的需求成长将推动畜牧业的扩张,畜牧业占开发中国家生产毛额的30%。开发中国家购买力的上升预计将导致其饮食偏好的变化,人们越来越倾向于食用动物性食物,而较少食用植物性主食。
此外,肉类消费总量预计将占全球成长的82%。在未来十年,以中国和巴西为首的拉丁美洲和加勒比地区以及亚太地区预计将占据大部分扩张份额,超过经合组织国家的成长速度。能力发展、农业改良以及现代化和密集生产技术的加强预计将促进这些国家的成长。
在巴西、中国、印度和独立国协(CIS)国家,家禽业在某种程度上证实了上述情况。另外值得注意的是,牲畜是全球约一半农场的有机肥料来源,因此可以满足对有机食品日益增长的需求。
由于肉类出口的增加,预计亚太地区将占据紫花苜蓿干草市场的大部分份额。例如,据中国国际进口博览局、国家会展中心(上海)称,中国将在 2024 年加大力度实现牛肉进口多元化,澳大利亚和俄罗斯等国家越来越多地希望向中国出售牛肉。商正在获得核准。中国观察家认为,这将有助于限制因过度依赖特定市场而导致的市场波动,同时透过更高水准的开放为其他国家提供更多机会。
此外,预计未来几年原奶产量的增加将对市场成长产生正面影响。例如,根据美国及农业组织(FAO)的数据,过去30年来全球牛奶产量增加了77%以上。从1992年的5.24亿吨增加到2022年的9.3亿吨。印度是世界上最大的原奶生产国,占全球产量的22%左右,其次是美国、巴基斯坦、中国和巴西。
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The alfalfa hay market is estimated to be valued at US$18.585 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach US$23.423 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.74%.
A key driver for the alfalfa hay market is the increasing demand for high-quality forage in livestock industries, particularly in dairy and meat production, where alfalfa's high protein and nutrient content support optimal animal health and productivity. Increasing global livestock populations and a growing focus on efficient animal nutrition boost demand.
The global agriculture industry is tasked with ensuring food security more than ever. The world population is expected to grow by 2.3 billion people between 2009 and 2050. Population growth is projected to be primarily driven by developments in developing nations, with sub-Saharan Africa expected to see the fastest growth rate at +114%. In contrast, East and South East Asia are anticipated to experience the slowest growth at +13%. Further, urban areas are estimated to account for 70% of the global population in 2050, up from 49% at present.
Additionally, the per capita income in 2050 is projected to be a multiple of current levels. As the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations noted, feeding a population of 9.1 billion people in 2050 would require raising overall food production by some 70% between 2005/07 and 2050.
The projected growth in demand for meat, dairy, fish, and aquaculture products will drive the expansion of livestock farming, which currently accounts for 30% of agricultural GDP in the developing world. The increased purchasing power in developing nations is expected to result in a change in dietary preferences, which would be increasingly oriented towards animal-source foods and away from staple foods of vegetal origin.
Moreover, of the projected global growth, overall meat consumption is expected to account for 82% of it. The APAC region, led by China and the LACs, with Brazil at the forefront, is projected to account for most of the expansion, surpassing the growth in OECD countries over the next decade. Capacity building, improved agriculture, and increasing integration of modernized and intensive production technologies are expected to catalyze the growth in these countries.
To a certain extent, the poultry sector is a testimony to the aforesaid in Brazil, China, and India, as well as with the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) countries. Further, it should be noted that livestock is a source of organic fertilizer for approximately half of the world's farmers, enabling them to respond to the growing demand for organically produced food products.
The APAC region is poised to hold a substantial share of the alfalfa hay market, owing to the rising meat exports. For instance, according to the China International Import Expo Bureau, National Exhibition and Convention Centre (Shanghai), China has stepped up efforts on diversifying beef imports in 2024, with more exporters in countries such as Australia and Russia being approved to sell beef to China. Chinese observers said that this will help reduce market fluctuations due to over-reliance on any single market while providing more opportunities for other countries through high-level opening-up.
Furthermore, increasing milk production is anticipated to positively influence market growth in the coming years. For instance, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United States (FAO), global milk production has increased by more than 77% in the last three decades. From 524 million tonnes in 1992, it had risen to 930 million tonnes in 2022. India is the world's largest milk-producing country, accounting for around 22% of world production, followed by the United States of America, Pakistan, China, and Brazil.
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