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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1627914
锂离子电池市场:未来预测(2025-2030)Lithium-Ion Battery Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
锂离子电池市场预计将以 9.43% 的复合年增长率成长,从 2025 年的 759.91 亿美元成长到 2030 年的 1,191.68 亿美元。
电动车、太阳能屋顶、电子设备和其他电力储存设备日益增长的需求推动了锂离子电池市场的发展。预计电动车的需求将大幅增加对锂离子电池的需求。
这些电池对于电子设备和电动车非常重要,并且在电网规模的能源储存中也越来越受欢迎。电动车和能源储存销量的成长将增加对锂离子电池的需求。亚太地区和欧洲可能有足够的製造能力来满足需求。
屋顶太阳能发电能力的扩大对锂离子电池产生了巨大的需求,用于储存多余的太阳能以供夜间使用。这将最大限度地提高太阳能发电量并帮助住宅实现能源独立。根据国际能源总署(IEA)的数据,2023年太阳能光电将占全球可再生能源新增装置容量的四分之三,2025年为421.7吉瓦,2026年为459.2吉瓦,2027年为493.9吉瓦。
随着对锂离子的需求不断增长,各家公司都在增加投资并采取重大倡议以跟上需求。例如2024年9月,Panasonic能源株式会社宣布准备量产4,680隻圆柱形汽车锂离子电池。该公司已经对其和歌山工厂(日本西部)进行了翻新,该工厂将成为其新电池的主要工厂。
锂离子电池市场驱动因素
电动车销售受到美国、中国、欧洲和印度等主要地区的推动。电动车(EV)的购买正在推动对电动车电池的需求。根据IEA(国际能源总署)的数据,2023年电动车电池需求将达到750GWh,比2022年成长40%。电动车电池的兴起增加了对锂等关键稀土矿物的需求。 2023年锂需求量为14万吨。
锂离子电池生产的一个趋势是其靠近电动车生产基地。欧洲电动车相对产量为250万辆,电动车电池产量达110GWh。两国政府的政策都鼓励电动车的生产,两国都拥有锂离子电池製造设施。中国已将2023年的电动车电池产能设定为417.97GW。在政府的支持下,美国製造业产能很可能在未来几年超越欧洲。
锂离子电池市场的地理展望
德国的锂离子电池市场将因该国的技术进步和永续性等多种因素而显着成长。
欧洲地区的市场成长反映了更广泛的趋势,由于锂离子电池在电动车和能源储存系统中的有效作用,需求正在增加。
到目前为止,电动车(EV)也是这项发展的主要驱动力之一。随着德国转向更环保的交通途径,对锂离子电池的需求正在增加。根据经合组织发布的《德国2023年环境绩效评估》报告,2020年至2021年间,德国电动车销量将翻倍,2021年终将达到新购汽车的24%。同样,Clean Technica 发布的一项研究预测,2024 年 8 月德国电动车的份额将达到 20.6%,高于 2024 年 2 月的 19.3%。
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The lithium-ion battery market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.43%, reaching a market size of US$119.168 billion in 2030 from US$75.991 billion in 2025.
The market for lithium-ion batteries is driven by the growing demand for electric vehicles, solar-powered rooftops, electronic devices, and the expansion of other energy-storing devices. The demand for electric vehicles would significantly increase the demand for Li-Ion Batteries.
These batteries are important for electronic devices and electric mobility and are gaining traction in grid-scale storage. Growth in sales of electric vehicles and energy storage increases the demand for lithium-ion batteries. The regions of Asia Pacific and Europe will have sufficient manufacturing capacity to meet demand.
The solar rooftop capacity expansion has created a significant demand for lithium-ion batteries to store excess solar energy generated for use during nighttime. This maximizes the use of solar power and provides homeowners with energy independence. In 2023, solar PV accounted for three-quarters of renewable capacity additions worldwide According to the International Energy Agency, Solar PV capacity additions would be 421.7 GW in 2025, 459.2 GW in 2026, and 493.9 GW in 2027.
With the growing demand for Lithium-Ion, companies are investing and making significant moves to meet it. For instance, in September 2024, Panasonic Energy Co., Ltd. announced preparations for mass production of the 4680 cylindrical automotive lithium-ion batteries. The company revamped its Wakayama factory in Western Japan, which would serve as the main factory for the new cells.
Lithium-ion battery Market Drivers
The electric vehicle sales are driven in major regions of the United States, China, Europe, and India. The buying of electric vehicles (EVs) is driving the demand for EV batteries. According to the IEA (International Energy Agency), the demand for EV batteries will be 750 GWh in 2023, which is 40% up from 2022. This rising number of EV batteries has increased demand for critical rare earth minerals like lithium. The demand for lithium was 140 kt in 2023.
The observed trend in the production of lithium-ion batteries is that they are close to the production centre of EVs. The relative production of EVs in Europe was 2.5 million, and their EV battery production reached 110 GWh. Government policies in various countries promote the production of electric vehicles and lithium-ion battery manufacturing facilities for both countries. China registered a battery production capacity for electric vehicles of 417.97GW in 2023. With government backing in the United States, the manufacturing capacity would bypass Europe in upcoming years.
Lithium-ion Battery Market Geographical Outlook
Germany's lithium-ion battery market will witness substantial growth owing to several factors, such as the country's commitment to technological advancement and sustainability.
The market growth within the European region reflects its broader trend where the demand for these lithium-ion batteries is increasing due to their efficient role in electric mobility and energy storage systems.
Electric cars (EVs) so far have also been one of the main engines of this development. The demand for lithium-ion batteries has increased as Germany has been switching to more environment-friendly forms of transport. According to the report published by the OECD Environmental Performance Review, Germany 2023, between 2020 and 2021, Germany witnessed a double growth in its EV sales, reaching 24% of newly purchased vehicles by the end of 2021. Similarly, according to the study published by Clean Technica, the month of August 2024 saw EVs take a 20.6% share in Germany, which is an increase from a 19.3% share in EVs in February 2024.
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